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OSU

Ohio State 34 at Purdue 10

PUR
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:41 · (11:52) #38 J.McCallister punt 44 yards to the OSU26 #1 B.Inniss return 9 yards to the OSU35 (#46 L.Raab)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior−16.9Home team on offense−41.3Score differential−23.8Garbage-time factor−13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:16: (14:25) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:16 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:18: (07:30) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #4 J.Smith caught at PUR00, for 35 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:18, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:12: (01:25) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:12 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:03: (00:08) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 00:03 — OSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:19: (06:25) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:19, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 6OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:59PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52OSU 4th & 13 at OSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:23PUR 4th & 3 at OSU 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:47PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:50PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:41OSU 4th & 23 at PUR 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:41PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:16OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:18OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:12OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:19OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:45PUR Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:013% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR26 (#0 S.Styles; #1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
2.9%
(14:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR24, for 1 yard to the PUR27 (#2 C.Downs)Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
3.1%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush left for 10 yards gain to the PUR37, out of bounds at PUR37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
3.1%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR38 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
3.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR48Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+2
3.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #22 A.Harris caught at PUR40, for 2 yards to the PUR40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+15
3.5%
#38 J.McCallister punt 45 yards to the OSU15 #1 B.Inniss return 15 yards to the OSU30 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0797% → 96%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
3.5%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 70 yards gain (13) to the PUR00, End Of Play PENALTY OSU Illegal Block in Back (#4 J.Smith) 10 yards from OSU43 to OSU33Similar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 7
OWN 32
+19
3.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #86 M.Klare caught at OSU42, for 19 yards to the PUR48 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
3.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at PUR48, for 3 yards to the PUR45 (#1 S.Bradford)Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-6
3.7%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OSU49 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 13
OWN 49
0
3.9%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short middle to #5 M.Graham thrown to PUR32 broken up by #21 T.Ra-ElSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
4.0%
(09:58) #42 J.McGuire punt 44 yards to the PUR07 fair catch by #2 M.Jackson III at PUR07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:294% → 6%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
4.0%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR05, for 5 yards to the PUR12 (#2 C.Downs)Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 12
0
4.2%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #44 C.Moore thrown to PUR20 QB hurried by #92 C.CurrySimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+30
4.2%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete deep right to #17 R.Walker caught at PUR33, for 30 yards to the PUR42 (#1 D.Igbinosun; #18 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
4.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 2 yards gain to the PUR44 (#92 C.Curry)Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
4.5%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR50, for 9 yards to the OSU47 (#2 C.Downs; #7 J.Mathews Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
4.7%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #22 A.Harris caught at OSU42, for 5 yards to the OSU42 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
4.8%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 4 yards gain to the OSU38 (#1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+8
4.9%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at OSU40, for 8 yards to the OSU30 (#18 J.McClain), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
5.1%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush left for 1 yard gain to the OSU29 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
5.3%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at OSU24, for 7 yards to the OSU22 (#2 C.Downs)Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-1
5.4%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush left for 1 yard loss to the OSU23 (#8 A.Reese)Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
5.9%
(04:40) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 04:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0794% → 94%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.9%
(04:23) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU27 (#40 I.Jeffries)Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
6.0%
(04:00) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the OSU31 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
6.4%
(03:17) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #1 B.Inniss caught at OSU36, for 9 yards to the OSU40 (#1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
6.4%
(02:35) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU42 (#0 T.Grimes)Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+8
6.5%
(02:05) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU49, for 8 yards to the OSU50 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (#4 H.Hines) 8 yards from OSU42 to OSU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
50
+2
6.7%
(01:25) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 2 yards gain to the PUR48 (#58 B.Ishmail; #4 H.Hines)Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+16
6.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at PUR36, for 16 yards to the PUR32 (#5 C.Correa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+31
7.0%
(00:20) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep left to #4 J.Smith caught at PUR01, for 31 yards to the PUR01 (#4 H.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.1%
(15:00) #83 N.Roberts rush middle for 0 yards to the PUR01 (#58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.3%
(14:25) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:16 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:147% → 7%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
6.8%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush right for 12 yards gain to the PUR37 (#18 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
7.1%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #12 C.Smith thrown to PUR40Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
7.1%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #12 C.Smith thrown to OSU45Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
6.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush right for 7 yards gain to the PUR44 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
7.4%
(13:23) #38 J.McCallister punt 45 yards to the OSU11 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 5:4493% → 94%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
7.3%
(13:02) #32 I.West rush left for 0 yards to the OSU11 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
7.4%
(12:43) Shotgun #32 I.West rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU13 (#10 A.Sanford; #23 T.Smith)Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+11
7.8%
(12:07) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #13 B.Rodgers caught at OSU23, for 11 yards to the OSU24 (#15 V.Cobb), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
7.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #1 B.Inniss caught at OSU20, for 5 yards to the OSU29 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+7
7.4%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU36, for 7 yards to the OSU36 QB hurried by #91 C.Nunnally, out of bounds at OSU36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
8.0%
(10:30) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush left for 0 yards to the OSU36 (#5 C.Correa), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
8.1%
#32 I.West rush left for 16 yards gain to the PUR48 (#21 T.Ra-El), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
8.2%
(09:00) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU48, for 9 yards to the PUR39 (#4 H.Hines)Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
8.4%
(08:15) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR35 (#15 V.Cobb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
6.2%
(07:30) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #4 J.Smith caught at PUR00, for 35 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:18, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:396% → 7%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
6.4%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep left to #11 T.Harris thrown to PUR45 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (#1 D.Igbinosun) 15 yards from PUR23 to PUR38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
6.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep right to #10 J.Watson thrown to OSU35 PENALTY PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#74 J.St. John) 5 yards from PUR38 to PUR33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
6.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep middle to #10 J.Watson thrown to OSU40Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
6.4%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep left to #11 T.Harris thrown to OSU42 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference offsetting PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-23
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass intercepted by #7 J.Mathews Jr. at OSU47 #7 J.Mathews Jr. return 23 yards to the PUR30 (#58 H.Purvis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:2194% → 97%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
6.4%
(06:33) Shotgun #32 I.West rush left for 3 yards gain to the PUR27 (#10 A.Sanford; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
6.5%
(06:03) Shotgun #32 I.West rush left for 5 yards gain to the PUR22 (#16 M.Powell; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+4
6.7%
(05:30) Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR18 (#16 M.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
6.8%
(04:35) Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush left for 5 yards gain to the PUR13 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
6.8%
(04:03) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #83 N.Roberts caught at PUR11, for 2 yards to the PUR11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+4
7.1%
(03:10) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the PUR07 (#9 M.Slusher; #40 I.Jeffries), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
7.1%
(02:30) Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR05 (#16 M.Powell; #58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
7.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR03 (#5 C.Correa; #97 J.Harkless)Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.3%
(01:25) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:12 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:255% → 5%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.8%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 0 yards to the PUR25 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.7%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the PUR30 (#3 L.Styles Jr.; #0 S.Styles)Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
5.0%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR33 broken up by #0 S.StylesSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
4.9%
(00:54) #38 J.McCallister punt 46 yards to the OSU24 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:4497% → 98%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
3.3%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep right to #13 B.Rodgers thrown to PUR47 broken up by #4 H.HinesSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
3.3%
(00:41) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #86 M.Klare caught at OSU28, for 10 yards to the OSU34 (#5 C.Correa), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
3.3%
(00:35) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush right for 10 yards gain to the OSU44, out of bounds at OSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
3.1%
(00:25) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #86 M.Klare caught at OSU47, for 5 yards to the OSU49 (#5 C.Correa), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+12
3.0%
(00:19) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #20 J.Peoples caught at PUR45, for 12 yards to the PUR39 (#0 T.Grimes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
2.8%
(00:12) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at PUR31, for 8 yards to the PUR31 (#0 T.Grimes), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+49
2.0%
(00:08) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 00:03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12INT
17 plays · 68 yds · 8:3497% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU20, for 5 yards to the OSU30 (#4 H.Hines; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
2.8%
(14:30) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #86 M.Klare caught at OSU32, for 5 yards to the OSU35 (#21 T.Ra-El), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
2.8%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 9 yards gain to the OSU44 (#21 T.Ra-El; #91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
2.6%
(13:14) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep right to #86 M.Klare thrown to PUR35Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
2.8%
(13:00) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU47 (#9 M.Slusher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
2.5%
(12:30) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #25 B.Jackson caught at PUR50, for 10 yards to the PUR43 (#0 T.Grimes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
2.3%
(11:40) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR38 (#16 M.Powell; #55 J.Dinkins)Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
2.2%
(11:00) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left thrown to PUR37 QB hurried by #40 I.JeffriesSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+19
2.3%
(10:46) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #13 B.Rodgers caught at PUR25, for 19 yards to the PUR19 (#15 V.Cobb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
2.2%
(10:15) PENALTY OSU False Start (#69 I.Moore) 5 yards from PUR19 to PUR24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+7
2.3%
(10:08) Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush right for 7 yards gain to the PUR17 (#25 H.McLaurin), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-3
2.1%
(09:25) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #20 J.Peoples caught at PUR20, for 3 yards loss to the PUR20 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+12
2.2%
(08:50) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #1 B.Inniss caught at PUR10, for 12 yards to the PUR08 (#1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
2.1%
(08:00) Shotgun #1 B.Inniss rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR05 (#21 T.Ra-El; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
1.9%
(07:25) Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush right for 2 yards loss to the PUR07 (#5 C.Correa; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
1.6%
(06:40) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass intercepted by #91 C.Nunnally at PUR00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:363% → 2%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
3.2%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR23 (#18 J.McClain)Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
2.5%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush right for 10 yards gain to the PUR33 (#0 S.Styles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
2.6%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #13 E.Horton caught at PUR39, for 6 yards to the PUR39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+2
2.6%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR41 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-1
2.6%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PUR40 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
2.3%
(03:57) #38 J.McCallister punt 45 yards to the OSU15 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 6:0998% → 99%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
1.6%
(03:50) Shotgun #32 I.West rush left for 8 yards gain to the OSU23 (#9 M.Slusher; #10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+4
1.5%
(03:25) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #83 N.Roberts caught at OSU26, for 4 yards to the OSU27 (#9 M.Slusher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
1.5%
(03:00) Shotgun #32 I.West rush right for 0 yards to the OSU27 (#16 M.Powell) PENALTY OSU Holding (#83 N.Roberts) 10 yards from OSU27 to OSU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 20
OWN 17
0
1.5%
(02:43) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU20, for 0 yards to the OSU17 (#4 H.Hines), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+23
1.5%
(02:05) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU40, for 23 yards to the OSU40 (#10 A.Sanford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
1.3%
(01:28) Shotgun #32 I.West rush left for 12 yards gain to the PUR48 (#40 I.Jeffries; #20 W.Berglund), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
1.3%
(00:45) #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #5 M.Graham caught at PUR33, for 20 yards to the PUR28 (#28 C.Cummings), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
1.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 14 yards gain to the PUR14 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
1.2%
(14:20) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short middle to #86 M.Klare thrown to PUR00Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
1.2%
(14:15) Shotgun #32 I.West rush right for 0 yards to the PUR14 (#58 B.Ishmail; #18 D.Kennedy)Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-13
1.2%
(13:40) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 13 yards to the PUR27 (#58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 23
OPP 27
+45
1.3%
(13:00) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 12:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR33 broken up by #1 D.IgbinosunSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR30 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
1.3%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to PUR40 broken up by #18 J.McClainSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
1.3%
(11:52) #38 J.McCallister punt 44 yards to the OSU26 #1 B.Inniss return 9 yards to the OSU35 (#46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 5:2299% → 100%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
1.1%
(11:41) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep left to #86 M.Klare caught at PUR45, for 20 yards to the PUR45 (#0 T.Grimes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
1.0%
(11:15) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the PUR45 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
1.0%
(10:35) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 11 yards gain to the PUR34 (#9 M.Slusher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
0.9%
(09:50) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 14 yards gain to the PUR20 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
0.9%
(09:15) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #15 J.Thurman caught at PUR13, for 6 yards to the PUR14 (#10 A.Sanford; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+4
0.9%
(08:30) Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR10 (#55 J.Dinkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.8%
(07:55) #20 J.Peoples rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PUR05 (#58 B.Ishmail; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
0.8%
Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR01 (#58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
(06:25) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:19, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:340% → 1%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at PUR24, for 3 yards to the PUR28 (#12 B.West; #26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
0.1%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 7 yards gain to the PUR35 (#20 R.Pettijohn; #26 P.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
0.1%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 8 yards gain to the PUR43 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
0.1%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush left for 6 yards gain to the PUR49 (#26 P.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
0.1%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OSU42 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+1
0.1%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU41 (#15 Z.Grady; #53 W.Smith Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
0.1%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #11 T.Harris caught at OSU44, for 1 yard loss to the OSU42 (#94 J.Moore)Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
0.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 0 yards to the OSU42 (#15 Z.Grady) PENALTY OSU Face Mask (#5 A.Scott Jr.) 15 yards from OSU42 to OSU27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
0.1%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #22 A.Harris caught at OSU26, for 12 yards to the OSU15 (#12 B.West; #20 R.Pettijohn), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Roughing The Passer (#14 B.Atkinson) 8 yards from OSU15 to OSU07, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.8%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #10 J.Watson caught at OSU00, for 7 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:45 #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18END OF GAME
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.5%
(01:45) #20 J.Peoples rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU28 (#10 A.Sanford; #8 C.Madden)Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
0.4%
(01:01) Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush left for 2 yards loss to the OSU26 (#10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
0.4%
(00:15) Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU32 (#20 W.Berglund)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:12
(01:25) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:12 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)
-4.6
TD · Q2 7:18
(07:30) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #4 J.Smith caught at PUR00, for 35 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:18, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)
-2.2
TD · Q2 14:16
(14:25) #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:16 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com