Try the model
MD

Maryland 20 at Rutgers 35

RUTG
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · SHI Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:56: (11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at MD09, for 9 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:56 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +6.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:14: (04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep right to #9 I.Strong caught at MD10, for 45 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:14, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +9.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:08: (03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete deep left to #84 K.Webb caught at RUT01, for 21 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:08, 1ST DOWN #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough) — MD win probability +12.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:34: (00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at MD00, for 5 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:34 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +9.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:26: (10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at MD00, for 14 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +9.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 2:59MD 4th & 11 at RUTG 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:09RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:19MD 4th & 9 at MD 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:53MD 4th & 6 at RUTG 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:05MD 4th & 1 at MD 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.9%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:59MD 4th & 3 at RUTG 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:29RUTG 4th & 4 at MD 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−1.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:34MD 4th & 15 at RUTG 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:29RUTG 4th & 17 at MD 44, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−3.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    83.9%−2.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:34MD 4th & 8 at MD 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:26MD 4th & 16 at MD 33, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:01RUTG 4th & 1 at MD 11, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:23MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:56RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:14RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:08MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:34RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:26RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:10RUTG Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2240% → 40%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.4%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #1 J.Farooq caught at MD19, for 2 yards to the MD27 (#7 C.Miller; #3 B.Mascoe)Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
60.2%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush right for 73 yards gain to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:23, 1ST DOWN #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2INT
12 plays · 70 yds · 6:1960% → 59%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.2%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 9 yards gain to the RUT34 (#13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
60.1%
(13:47) Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RUT39 (#9 Z.Mathis; #1 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
59.8%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RUT46 (#22 J.Huskey)Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
59.7%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 2 yards gain to the RUT48 (#10 C.Rice)Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+5
59.6%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MD47 (#3 T.Reddick; #29 S.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
59.5%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD45 (#6 D.Joyner; #3 T.Reddick)Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+20
59.2%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at MD28, for 20 yards to the MD25 (#6 D.Joyner; #22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
59.3%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush right for 4 yards gain to the MD21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+10
59.0%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 10 yards gain to the MD11 (#1 D.Wingate; #13 L.Scruggs), 1ST DOWN. #29 S.Stewart injured on the playSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
58.9%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at MD08, for 6 yards to the MD05 (#14 J.Glasker)Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
58.8%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass intercepted by #13 L.Scruggs at MD01 #13 L.Scruggs return 0 yards to the MD01 (#9 I.Strong)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:3743% → 45%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
57.4%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MD04 (#96 K.Griffin)Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+6
57.2%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #0 D.Williams caught at MD04, for 6 yards to the MD10 (#7 C.Miller)Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+2
57.1%
(06:28) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD12 (#8 D.Djabome; #99 E.O'Neill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
56.6%
(05:54) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MD21 (#6 A.Wright; #8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+13
56.0%
(05:26) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MD34 (#6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
55.7%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #9 D.Fleming caught at MD49, for 18 yards to the RUT48 (#5 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
54.9%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RUT47 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+12
54.7%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #9 D.Fleming caught at RUT44, for 12 yards to the RUT35, out of bounds at RUT28 PENALTY MD Face Mask (#9 D.Fleming) 15 yards from RUT35 to RUT50Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 12
50
+1
54.4%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #2 N.Ray caught at MD45, for 1 yard to the RUT49 (#3 B.Mascoe)Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
54.6%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #1 J.Farooq thrown to RUT45 broken up by #90 F.GnagoSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
55.4%
(03:00) #34 B.McFerson punt 30 yards to the RUT19, out of bounds at RUT19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3856% → 54%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
55.6%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at RUT16, for 7 yards to the RUT26 (#13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
55.2%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT28 (#46 D.Fontus; #13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-1
54.7%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 1 yard loss to the RUT27 (#14 J.Glasker)Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
54.0%
(01:36) #94 J.Anderson punt 41 yards to the MD32 fair catch by #1 J.Farooq at MD32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4047% → 46%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
53.5%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 I.Howard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MD33 (#7 C.Miller)Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
53.5%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Farooq thrown to MD47 broken up by #7 C.MillerSimilar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
54.0%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right thrown to MD50 QB hurried by #8 D.DjabomeSimilar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
54.4%
(00:27) #34 B.McFerson punt 20 yards to the RUT47, out of bounds at RUT47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:1955% → 63%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
55.4%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Duff thrown to MD15 PENALTY MD Pass Interference (#2 B.Lee) 15 yards from RUT47 to MD38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
55.8%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MD34 (#6 D.Joyner; #1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
56.3%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush left for 3 yards gain to the MD31 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+9
55.2%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #9 I.Strong caught at MD27, for 9 yards to the MD22 (#2 B.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
55.9%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to MD19 broken up by #6 D.JoynerSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+15
55.7%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #9 I.Strong caught at MD12, for 15 yards to the MD07 (#6 D.Joyner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
55.7%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 2 yards loss to the MD09 (#14 J.Glasker)Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
62.6%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at MD09, for 9 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:56 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:4641% → 46%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
59.1%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush left for 3 yards gain to the MD22 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
59.1%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MD28 (#3 B.Mascoe)Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
58.9%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD30 (#6 A.Wright; #5 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
58.4%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete deep left to #4 S.Knotts thrown to RUT31 QB hurried by #99 E.O'NeillSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
58.7%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD32 (#24 K.Levy; #99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+54
59.2%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush middle for 54 yards gain to the RUT14 (#7 C.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
55.5%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 I.Howard rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RUT15 (#99 E.O'Neill) PENALTY MD Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
54.3%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush right for 5 yards gain to the RUT10 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
54.8%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #1 J.Farooq caught at RUT08, for 5 yards to the RUT05 fumbled by #1 J.Farooq at RUT05 forced by #3 B.Mascoe, out of bounds at RUT05Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
56.0%
(06:16) PENALTY MD False Start (#9 D.Fleming) 5 yards from RUT05 to RUT10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
54.0%
(05:53) #36 S.O'Haire field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough), clock 05:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2955% → 67%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
54.7%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 15 yards gain to the RUT40 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
57.0%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 15 yards gain to the MD45 (#3 T.Reddick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
66.5%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep right to #9 I.Strong caught at MD10, for 45 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:14, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4637% → 50%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
63.4%
(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush left for 6 yards gain to the MD26 (#5 K.Sanders). #3 B.Mascoe injured on the playSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+53
62.8%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush right for 53 yards gain to the RUT21 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
50.2%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete deep left to #84 K.Webb caught at RUT01, for 21 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:08, 1ST DOWN #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 2:2854% → 69%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.4%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to RUT45Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
53.8%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RUT34 (#6 D.Joyner)Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
54.9%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 8 yards gain to the RUT42 (#32 C.Smith; #1 D.Wingate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
56.1%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MD46 (#32 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+31
57.2%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at MD17, for 31 yards to the MD15, out of bounds at MD15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
59.7%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MD06 (#32 C.Smith; #22 J.Huskey)Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+3
59.7%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MD03 (#32 C.Smith; #56 D.Holmes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
60.3%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MD02 (#32 C.Smith; #13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
59.7%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MD05 (#10 C.Rice; #1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.6%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at MD00, for 5 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:34 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11INT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:2631% → 32%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.2%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #9 D.Fleming caught at MD29, for 5 yards to the MD30 (#9 J.Elad)Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
68.4%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush left for 6 yards gain to the MD36 (#8 D.Djabome; #3 B.Mascoe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
68.3%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #4 S.Knotts caught at MD38, for 2 yards to the MD38, out of bounds at MD38Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-19
67.9%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass intercepted by #9 J.Elad at RUT40 #9 J.Elad return 19 yards to the MD41 (#9 D.Fleming)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1265% → 81%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.0%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RUT30 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
65.6%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT32 (#9 Z.Mathis; #1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
64.8%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RUT39 (#32 C.Smith; #13 L.Scruggs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
66.3%
(12:54) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the RUT33 (#40 N.Taylor)Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+3
64.5%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RUT36 (#32 C.Smith; #40 N.Taylor)Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+49
63.8%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at MD25, for 49 yards to the MD15 (#14 J.Glasker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
71.5%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 1 yard gain to the MD14 (#1 D.Wingate; #13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
81.2%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at MD00, for 14 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:1722% → 17%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.5%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MD26 (#99 E.O'Neill; #14 J.Thompson)Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
78.9%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MD23 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
80.4%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short middle to #4 S.Knotts caught at MD25, for 11 yards to the MD34 QB hurried by #99 E.O'Neill (#6 A.Wright; #90 F.Gnago)Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.2%
(08:12) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD36 (#55 Z.Angoy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
81.5%
(07:49) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush middle for 20 yards gain to the RUT44 (#5 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
80.6%
(07:04) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush right for 0 yards to the RUT44 (#42 D.Allen; #5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
80.9%
(05:56) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #0 D.Williams caught at RUT43, for 3 yards to the RUT41 (#5 K.Sanders; #6 A.Wright)Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+4
81.1%
(05:37) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush left for 4 yards gain to the RUT37 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
82.6%
(04:57) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Williams thrown to RUT34 QB hurried by #99 E.O'Neill, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:2385% → 87%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
85.1%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RUT43 (#32 C.Smith)Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+12
85.8%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush right for 12 yards gain to the MD45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
86.5%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MD41 (#23 K.Flowers; #50 E.Moore Jr.)Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-1
87.4%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MD42 (#27 L.Roland)Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+3
86.9%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MD39 (#56 D.Holmes; #1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
86.5%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to MD04 broken up by #14 J.Glasker, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3715% → 16%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
85.0%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #9 D.Fleming caught at MD35, for 4 yards to the MD43 (#10 J.Henderson)Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+13
84.8%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush middle for 13 yards gain to the RUT44 (#6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
84.3%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush right for 2 yards gain to the RUT42 (#94 B.Weaver; #8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+21
84.5%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush left for 21 yards gain to the RUT21 (#9 J.Elad), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
83.4%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush middle for 0 yards to the RUT21 (#5 K.Sanders; #42 D.Allen)Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
84.0%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #84 K.Webb thrown to RUT02Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
85.4%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to RUT25Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+44
84.3%
(13:34) #36 S.O'Haire field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough), clock 13:34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:5687% → 88%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.9%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT29 (#9 Z.Mathis; #44 J.Starlings)Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+34
87.4%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 34 yards gain to the MD37 (#33 M.Delhomme), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
89.4%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 3 yards loss to the MD40 (#3 T.Reddick)Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
88.8%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to #0 D.Sheffield thrown to MD14 broken up by #6 D.JoynerSimilar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+1
88.2%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MD39 (#98 E.Thomas; #9 Z.Mathis)Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 12
OPP 39
+5
88.3%
PENALTY RUT Delay Of Game (#94 J.Anderson) 5 yards from MD39 to MD44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
88.0%
(10:32) #94 J.Anderson punt 44 yards to the MD00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3815% → 12%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.0%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD22 (#8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
86.8%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Fleming thrown to MD30Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
87.6%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #4 S.Knotts thrown to MD30 broken up by #94 B.WeaverSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
88.3%
(09:38) #34 B.McFerson punt 44 yards to the RUT34 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RUT34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 5:1390% → 98%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
89.6%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 16 yards gain to the RUT50 (#13 L.Scruggs; #22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
90.7%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD48 (#98 E.Thomas)Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
91.6%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Raymond thrown to MD45 broken up by #14 J.GlaskerSimilar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+9
91.1%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at MD43, for 9 yards to the MD39 (#6 D.Joyner; #27 L.Roland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
92.5%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD37 (#13 L.Scruggs; #91 S.Smith)Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
92.9%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MD36 (#13 L.Scruggs; #10 C.Rice)Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+10
93.9%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #0 D.Sheffield caught at MD26, for 10 yards to the MD26 (#6 D.Joyner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
95.1%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 21 yards gain to the MD05 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.1%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:10 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 8 yds · 1:093% → 2%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #1 J.Farooq caught at MD25, for 2 yards to the MD27 (#10 J.Henderson)Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
97.5%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at MD34, for 7 yards to the MD34 (#8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.4%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MD39 (#99 E.O'Neill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.4%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Williams thrown to MD46Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
97.5%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #0 D.Williams caught at MD37, for 1 yard loss to the MD38 (#10 J.Henderson)Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
97.7%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Fleming thrown to MD45 broken up by #91 D.Abdou RahmanSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+5
97.7%
PENALTY MD False Start (#4 S.Knotts) 5 yards from MD38 to MD33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 16
OWN 33
0
97.8%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete deep left to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to RUT47 broken up by #7 C.Miller QB hurried by #91 D.Abdou Rahman, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20END OF GAME
11 plays · 18 yds · 1:4198% → 99%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
98.4%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MD20 (#9 Z.Mathis; #31 M.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
98.5%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MD14 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
98.7%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the MD14 (#44 J.Starlings; #10 C.Rice)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+3
98.7%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MD11 (#1 D.Wingate; #40 N.Taylor). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MD09 (#1 D.Wingate; #40 N.Taylor), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
98.7%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MD09 (#50 E.Moore Jr.; #91 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
98.9%
(00:35) Kneel down by #16 A.Kaliakmanis at MD15 for loss of 6 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:08
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete deep left to #84 K.Webb caught at RUT01, for 21 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:08, 1ST DOWN #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough)
-12.7
TD · Q3 10:26
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at MD00, for 14 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)
+9.7
TD · Q2 4:14
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep right to #9 I.Strong caught at MD10, for 45 yards to the MD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:14, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com