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IU

Indiana 27 at Penn State 24

PSU
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:15 · Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU14 (#24 A.Campbell; #36 Z.Fisher), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior−13.1Home team on offense−12.7Garbage-time factor−3.4Score differential−6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:08: Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:08 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:38: No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:38, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +8.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:36: Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:36 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +23.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 6:27: Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at IND21, for 19 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:27, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +34.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:36: Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PSU00, for 7 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +89.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:47IU 4th & 2 at IU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:12PSU 4th & 12 at IU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:45IU 4th & 4 at IU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:02PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:30IU 4th & 10 at PSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:15IU 4th & 1 at PSU 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−1.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:41IU 4th & 9 at PSU 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:36PSU 4th & 9 at IU 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:49IU 4th & 14 at IU 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−2.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:53IU 4th & 16 at IU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:51PSU 4th & 12 at PSU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−3.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:42IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:08PSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:38IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:36PSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:27PSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:36IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1377% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
23.1%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IND29 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-1
23.1%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND28 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+1
23.8%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #1 R.Hemby caught at IND29, for 1 yard to the IND29 QB hurried by #33 D.Dennis-Sutton (#16 K.Mack)Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+16
24.3%
#44 M.McCarthy punt 45 yards to the PSU26 #8 T.Pena return 16 yards to the PSU42 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 4:3524% → 27%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
24.4%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU46 (#1 A.Ferrell; #95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
24.4%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU50, for 5 yards to the IND49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
24.4%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND48 (#21 R.Hardy; #46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
24.5%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the IND50 (#91 D.Ratcliff)Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 12
50
+5
24.3%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND45 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+7
24.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND38 (#4 A.Fisher; #21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
24.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Pena thrown to IND36Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
24.5%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the IND40 (#0 H.Wheeler; #97 M.Landino)Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
24.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Ross thrown to IND40Similar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
26.6%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 26 yards to the IND14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:2774% → 72%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
26.5%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 8 yards gain to the IND22 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-3
26.4%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 3 yards loss to the IND19 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+12
26.7%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 12 yards gain to the IND31 (#24 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
26.4%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND34, for 4 yards to the IND35 (#4 A.Harris), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
26.3%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND37 (#24 A.Campbell; #99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
26.3%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #19 H.Staes thrown to IND43Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
28.4%
#44 M.McCarthy punt 37 yards to the PSU26, out of bounds at PSU26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4329% → 29%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
28.6%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU30 (#7 L.Moore; #21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
28.6%
No Huddle #13 K.Allen rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU31 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-4
28.4%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 4 yards to the PSU27 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
28.8%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 41 yards to the IND32 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:2071% → 76%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+53
29.0%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep left to #80 C.Becker caught at PSU31, for 53 yards to the PSU15 (#9 E.Washington II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
27.8%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards loss to the PSU18 (#24 A.Campbell; #36 Z.Fisher)Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+18
24.4%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 18 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:42, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:2826% → 37%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
26.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush left for 6 yards gain to the PSU39 (#0 H.Wheeler)Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-1
26.7%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PSU38 (#6 M.Kamara)Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+4
26.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU36, for 4 yards to the PSU42 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+2
26.5%
#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU41, for 2 yards to the PSU44 (#21 R.Hardy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
27.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #16 K.Dinkins caught at PSU45, for 6 yards to the PSU50 (#21 R.Hardy), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
50
-6
27.5%
#10 N.Singleton rush left for 6 yards loss to the PSU44 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+43
26.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #8 T.Pena caught at IND39, for 43 yards to the IND13 (#7 L.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
28.1%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IND05 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
28.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND02 (#4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.5%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:08 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
20 plays · 65 yds · 8:3868% → 68%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
32.5%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at IND27, for 7 yards to the IND32 (#0 D.DeLuca), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
31.6%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 10 yards gain to the IND42 (#24 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
31.3%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 1 yard loss to the IND41 (#36 Z.Fisher)Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+7
31.7%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND48 (#36 Z.Fisher)Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+10
31.2%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 5 yards to the IND43 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton) PENALTY PSU Holding 10 yards from IND48 to PSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
30.7%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PSU45, for 4 yards loss to the PSU46 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+8
31.6%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU38 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+8
31.0%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU30 (#4 A.Harris; #33 D.Dennis-Sutton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
30.3%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at PSU24, for 15 yards to the PSU15 (#4 A.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
30.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PSU16, for 0 yards to the PSU15 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
30.2%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to PSU00 broken up by #7 Z.TracySimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+10
30.9%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #80 C.Becker caught at PSU05, for 10 yards to the PSU05, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
30.2%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU05 (#5 D.Dixson)Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
32.3%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 7 yards to the PSU12 (#5 D.Dixson), fumble by #15 F.Mendoza recovered by IND #15 F.Mendoza at PSU12, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
33.5%
PENALTY IND False Start (#74 B.Lynch) 5 yards from PSU12 to PSU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+7
34.5%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PSU12, for 7 yards to the PSU10 (#6 Z.Wheatley; #2 A.Collins)Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
32.4%
#15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 02:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2134% → 33%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
34.2%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU25 (#0 H.Wheeler)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-1
34.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 1 yard to the PSU24 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-2
33.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #13 K.Allen caught at PSU21, for 2 yards loss to the PSU22 fumbled by #13 K.Allen at PSU23 forced by #22 J.Sharpe recovered by IND #4 A.Fisher at PSU22, End Of Play. PSU is challenging the ruling on the field - "Runner was down by contact". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:3171% → 80%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
28.8%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short middle to #7 E.Williams Jr. thrown to PSU10 PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (#16 K.Mack) 12 yards from PSU22 to PSU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
28.8%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at PSU01, for 9 yards to the PSU01 (#4 A.Harris)Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:38, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:2923% → 23%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at PSU22, for 5 yards to the PSU30 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
23.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #16 K.Dinkins caught at PSU34, for 4 yards to the PSU34 (#5 D.Ponds)Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
23.1%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU35 (#0 H.Wheeler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
23.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #16 K.Dinkins caught at IND47, for 23 yards to the IND42 (#22 J.Sharpe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1623% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
22.8%
#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep middle to #5 D.Ross thrown to IND18 broken up by #5 D.PondsSimilar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
22.6%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass intercepted by #4 A.Fisher at IND48 broken up by #22 J.Sharpe #4 A.Fisher return 2 yards to the IND50 (#16 K.Dinkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 6:0378% → 84%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
50
+7
21.6%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU43 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+8
21.4%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 8 yards gain to the PSU35 (#3 A.Belgrave-Shorter; #28 Z.Durant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
21.4%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 11 yards gain to the PSU24 (#6 Z.Wheatley; #33 D.Dennis-Sutton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
21.3%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at PSU21, for 6 yards to the PSU18 (#4 A.Harris)Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+3
21.3%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU15 (#4 A.Harris)Similar
Q3 14:44
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
21.9%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU15 (#54 X.Gilliam)Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
21.8%
Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU14 (#24 A.Campbell; #36 Z.Fisher), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
20.4%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 1 yard gain to the PSU13 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
20.4%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right thrown to PSU10 QB hurried by #28 Z.DurantSimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
21.1%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PSU17, for 0 yards to the PSU13 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
16.1%
#15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 08:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:0519% → 20%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.2%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU25 (#4 A.Fisher; #6 M.Kamara)Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
19.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #1 K.Hudson caught at PSU34, for 9 yards to the PSU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
19.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #13 K.Allen caught at PSU31, for 5 yards to the PSU39 (#21 R.Hardy; #0 H.Wheeler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
19.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #8 T.Pena caught at IND46, for 21 yards to the IND40 (#4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
20.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at IND44, for 2 yards loss to the IND42 (#8 S.Daley; #46 I.Jones)Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+22
20.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete deep middle to #3 K.Howard caught at IND20, for 22 yards to the IND20 (#22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
22.1%
PENALTY PSU False Start 5 yards from IND20 to IND25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+6
21.5%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #3 K.Howard caught at IND19, for 6 yards to the IND19 (#5 D.Ponds)Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
22.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Pena thrown to IND04 QB hurried by #8 S.DaleySimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
20.4%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Ross thrown to IND20 QB hurried by #6 M.KamaraSimilar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
20.2%
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky), clock 03:36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:4781% → 80%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right thrown to IND27 QB hurried by #24 A.CampbellSimilar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.8%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND28 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
20.1%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND38, for 10 yards to the IND38 (#2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
18.1%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND43 (#16 K.Mack; #25 A.Tatsch)Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+7
18.0%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND50 (#2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
50
0
17.6%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to IND48Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 10
50
+1
17.6%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU49 (#39 T.Blanding)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
17.5%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep left to #80 C.Becker thrown to PSU10Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 49
+5
19.4%
PENALTY IND Delay Of Game (#44 M.McCarthy) 5 yards from PSU49 to IND46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
20.4%
#44 M.McCarthy punt 39 yards to the PSU15 fair catch by #8 T.Pena at PSU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:1319% → 46%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+20
18.6%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU34, for 20 yards to the PSU35 (#3 J.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
19.3%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU39 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+59
20.4%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 59 yards gain to the IND02 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
23.2%
#10 N.Singleton rush left for 1 yard loss to the IND03 (#21 R.Hardy) PENALTY IND Offside 1 yard from IND02 to IND01. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
23.2%
PENALTY IND Offside 2 yards from IND03 to IND01. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.2%
#10 N.Singleton rush middle for 0 yards to the IND01 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.2%
#10 N.Singleton rush middle for 0 yards to the IND01 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.2%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:36 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4966% → 69%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.9%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND27 (#24 A.Campbell; #28 Z.Durant)Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
31.5%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass intercepted by #16 K.Mack at IND45 #16 K.Mack return 1 yard to the IND44, out of bounds at IND44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 4:2043% → 80%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
43.2%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the IND46 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+7
40.4%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #16 K.Dinkins caught at IND40, for 7 yards to the IND39 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+5
42.5%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND34 (#7 L.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
45.7%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at IND31, for 9 yards to the IND25 (#5 D.Ponds)Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+4
45.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND21 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
45.7%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 7 yards gain to the IND14 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+5
45.7%
PENALTY PSU False Start (#17 E.Grunkemeyer) 5 yards from IND14 to IND19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
80.4%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at IND21, for 19 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:27, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:3434% → 24%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
66.0%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #80 C.Becker caught at IND37, for 13 yards to the IND38 (#6 Z.Wheatley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
63.5%
Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND40 (#2 A.Collins; #7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-3
62.8%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 3 yards to the IND37 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+5
67.5%
PENALTY IND Delay Of Game (#15 F.Mendoza) 5 yards from IND37 to IND32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
68.4%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Black thrown to IND39 broken up by #25 A.Tatsch QB hurried by #36 Z.FisherSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
75.7%
#44 M.McCarthy punt 41 yards to the PSU27, out of bounds at PSU27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 10 yds · 2:0283% → 90%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
83.4%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU34 (#7 L.Moore; #4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
84.3%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU35 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
84.5%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU39 (#21 R.Hardy; #46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.5%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU39 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
89.1%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU40 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+2
88.9%
#17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU39, for 2 yards to the PSU42 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+5
89.4%
PENALTY PSU False Start (#31 K.Dinkins) 5 yards from PSU42 to PSU37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
89.9%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 63 yards to the IND00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 1:1512% → 95%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
88.1%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 7 yards to the IND13 (#28 Z.Durant)Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+22
88.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND32, for 22 yards to the IND35 (#4 A.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.9%
No Huddle #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
87.3%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND47, for 12 yards to the IND47 (#4 A.Harris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
84.9%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to PSU27Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+29
85.6%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at PSU28, for 29 yards to the PSU24 (#16 K.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
80.0%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at PSU07, for 17 yards to the PSU07 (#2 A.Collins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.6%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to PSU05 broken up by #99 Y.Kemajou QB hurried by #99 Y.KemajouSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.1%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short middle to #7 E.Williams Jr. thrown to PSU00 broken up by #16 K.Mack QB hurried by #16 K.MackSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
5.5%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PSU00, for 7 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21END OF GAME
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:1524% → 19%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
23.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #85 L.Reynolds caught at PSU39, for 5 yards to the PSU41 (#22 J.Sharpe), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
25.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep left to #1 K.Hudson thrown to IND38 QB hurried by #4 A.FisherSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
24.5%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU46, for 6 yards to the PSU47 (#12 D.Boykin; #4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
22.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep right to #1 K.Hudson thrown to IND30 PENALTY IND Offside (#6 M.Kamara) 5 yards from PSU47 to IND48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 5
OPP 48
0
27.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep left to #5 D.Ross thrown to IND23Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-3
21.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush left for 3 yards loss to the PSU49 fumbled by #17 E.Grunkemeyer at IND48, out of bounds at PSU49Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
18.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep middle to #1 K.Hudson thrown to IND05 broken up by #1 A.FerrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:36
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at PSU00, for 7 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
-89.3
TD · Q4 6:27
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at IND21, for 19 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:27, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
+34.7
TD · Q4 11:36
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:36 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
+23
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com