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USC

USC 21 at Nebraska 17

NEB
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:23 · (05:26) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 05:23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+12.5Pregame prior−3.6Garbage-time factor+6.1Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:37: (01:40) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:37, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic) — NEB win probability +11.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:32: (03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 16 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:32, 1ST DOWN #30 K.Miller rush attempt Successful — USC win probability +26.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 12:53: (12:56) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 12:53 — NEB win probability +12.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:06: (10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 6 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper) — USC win probability +31.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:15: (01:26) Kneel down by #14 J.Maiava at NEB36 for loss of 9 yards — USC win probability +15.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 7USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:30USC 4th & 3 at USC 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:03USC 4th & 5 at USC 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:58NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:23USC 4th & 7 at NEB 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:29NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:07USC 4th & 6 at NEB 32, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30USC 4th & 11 at USC 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:36NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 42, up 8
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:38USC 4th & 2 at NEB 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.6%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:23NEB 4th & 1 at USC 34, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.0%−4.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:53NEB 4th & 9 at USC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−14.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:55NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:27USC 4th & 19 at NEB 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−4.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−2.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:26NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.9%−11.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:29NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:37NEB Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:32USC Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    45.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:06USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2260% → 60%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 5 yards gain to the USC30 (#8 D.Singleton; #9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
39.7%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #6 M.Lemon thrown to USC30Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
39.8%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #6 M.Lemon caught at USC26, for 2 yards to the USC32 (#0 J.Wright; #15 D.McCullough)Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
40.1%
(13:38) #80 S.Johnson punt 47 yards to the NEB21 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 4 yards to the NEB25 (#28 K.Urlacher)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4140% → 46%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.2%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at NEB30, for 7 yards to the NEB32 (#25 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
40.4%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB38 (#19 B.Fitzgerald; #6 A.Lucas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
40.6%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Key thrown to USC41Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
40.6%
(12:24) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NEB45 (#25 M.Williams)Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+4
41.0%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB49 (#17 D.Nicholson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
41.4%
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at USC46, for 6 yards to the USC45 (#17 D.Nicholson)Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+4
41.7%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC41 (#18 E.Gentry; #94 K.Pepe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
42.0%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at USC36, for 12 yards to the USC29 (#23 D.Stephens II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
42.5%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 2 yards gain to the USC27 (#9 K.Silver)Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+4
42.6%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola rush right for 4 yards gain to the USC23 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+8
42.6%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 8 yards gain to the USC15 (#4 J.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
43.1%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete short left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to USC00Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
43.1%
(07:10) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC14 (#23 D.Stephens II; #18 E.Gentry)Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
46.3%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at USC00, for 14 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:29, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1854% → 53%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.6%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 0 yards to the USC25 (#96 W.Nwaneri). #77 A.Noa injured on the playSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
46.0%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep left to #8 J.Lane thrown to USC45 broken up by #37 D.JonesSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.4%
(05:48) PENALTY USC False Start (#73 T.Raymond) 5 yards from USC25 to USC20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
46.6%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USC30 (#15 D.McCullough; #21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
47.1%
(05:10) #80 S.Johnson punt 31 yards to the NEB39, out of bounds at NEB39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5647% → 48%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
47.4%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 2 yards gain to the NEB41 (#23 D.Stephens II; #18 E.Gentry)Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
48.1%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB41 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
47.9%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB46 (#19 B.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
48.2%
(03:04) #83 A.Wilson punt 40 yards to the USC14 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC14 PENALTY NEB Illegal Formation 5 yards from USC14 to USC19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:3052% → 54%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
47.9%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep left to #8 J.Lane thrown to USC45Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
47.9%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #8 J.Lane caught at USC28, for 9 yards to the USC28 (#1 C.Wright; #10 A.Marshall)Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+5
48.1%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC33 (#93 K.Pietrzak; #0 J.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
48.4%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #6 M.Lemon caught at USC43, for 16 yards to the USC49 (#8 D.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
47.7%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 15 yards gain to the NEB36 (#8 D.Singleton; #21 R.Guthrie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
47.8%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush left for 13 yards gain to the NEB23 (#10 A.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
47.2%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 16 yards gain to the NEB07 (#21 R.Guthrie; #9 V.Shavers Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
47.5%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Lane thrown to NEB01Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
47.5%
(14:15) No Huddle #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #15 J.Richardson thrown to NEB00Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
48.6%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush left for 5 yards gain to the NEB02 (#10 A.Marshall; #21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
49.6%
PENALTY USC False Start (#73 T.Raymond) 5 yards from NEB02 to NEB07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
46.0%
(13:23) #48 R.Sayeri field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper), clock 13:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4247% → 48%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.1%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #13 N.Hunter caught at NEB23, for 0 yards to the NEB25 (#24 C.Pierce)Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
47.1%
(12:51) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush left for 14 yards gain to the NEB39 (#24 C.Pierce; #25 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
48.7%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Key thrown to NEB45 broken up by #8 D.ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
48.5%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB39 (#92 C.Jones; #18 E.Gentry)Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+5
48.0%
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 5 yards gain to the NEB44 (#23 D.Stephens II; #17 D.Nicholson)Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
48.1%
(10:35) #83 A.Wilson punt 41 yards to the USC15 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:1252% → 53%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
48.3%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 15 yards gain to the USC30 (#52 D.Rogers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
47.6%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC34 (#0 J.Wright; #52 D.Rogers)Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
47.3%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #15 J.Richardson thrown to USC47 broken up by #37 D.JonesSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+12
48.3%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #16 T.Hines caught at USC40, for 12 yards to the USC46 (#0 J.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
46.3%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NEB45 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+9
46.4%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush left for 9 yards gain to the NEB36 (#37 D.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
46.8%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 H.Dalton III rush right for 3 yards gain to the NEB33 (#21 R.Guthrie; #11 C.Lenhardt)Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 7
OPP 33
-10
45.8%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short middle thrown to NEB33 QB hurried by #9 V.Shavers Jr. PENALTY USC Intentional Grounding (#14 J.Maiava)Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 17
OPP 43
+11
49.1%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 11 yards gain to the NEB32 (#16 E.Jeudy), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+49
47.5%
(06:11) #48 R.Sayeri field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper), clock 06:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1150% → 66%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
50.0%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #21 E.Johnson caught at NEB25, for 14 yards to the NEB39 (#31 J.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
51.7%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB43 (#31 J.Walker)Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
53.0%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #44 L.Lindenmeyer caught at NEB41, for 0 yards to the NEB43 (#25 M.Williams)Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+9
52.0%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short middle to #6 D.Key caught at NEB48, for 9 yards to the USC48 (#17 D.Nicholson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
54.1%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #44 L.Lindenmeyer caught at USC32, for 23 yards to the USC25 (#25 M.Williams; #44 M.Tagoa'i), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
54.9%
(02:31) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the USC25 (#7 K.Ramsey) PENALTY NEB Holding (#59 H.Lutovsky) 10 yards from USC25 to USC35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+4
54.5%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC31 (#1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+6
54.0%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at USC27, for 6 yards to the USC25 (#25 M.Williams; #23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+15
54.4%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Key thrown to USC01, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USC Pass Interference (#25 M.Williams) 15 yards from USC25 to USC10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
65.5%
(01:40) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:37, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:5936% → 34%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
64.5%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #87 L.McRee thrown to USC16Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
64.9%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #87 L.McRee thrown to USC26 QB hurried by #96 W.NwaneriSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+13
66.1%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #8 J.Lane caught at USC18, for 13 yards to the USC32 (#21 R.Guthrie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
64.1%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #87 L.McRee thrown to USC40 broken up by #8 D.Singleton QB hurried by #93 K.PietrzakSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+17
64.8%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush left for 17 yards gain to the USC49, out of bounds at USC49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NEB Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
62.2%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #87 L.McRee caught at USC47, for 5 yards to the NEB46 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-6
60.9%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left thrown to NEB49 QB hurried by #93 K.Pietrzak PENALTY USC Intentional Grounding (#14 J.Maiava)Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
64.6%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #16 T.Hines thrown to NEB24Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+4
66.3%
(00:36) #80 S.Johnson punt 38 yards to the NEB14 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 4 yards to the NEB18 (#16 P.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
64.3%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NEB27 (#6 A.Lucas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2066% → 66%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
66.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Key thrown to USC35Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
66.2%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NEB43 (#6 A.Lucas)Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-1
67.6%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 1 yard loss to the NEB42 (#6 A.Lucas; #8 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
66.3%
(13:40) #83 A.Wilson punt 32 yards to the USC26, out of bounds at USC26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-40
65.2%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass intercepted by #10 A.Marshall at USC34, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1870% → 71%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
69.9%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USC27 (#6 A.Lucas)Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
70.1%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete short left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to USC11Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
69.1%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC23 (#8 D.Thompkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
70.7%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola sacked for loss of 10 yards to the USC33 (#6 A.Lucas), fumble by #15 D.Raiola recovered by USC #1 K.Crawford at USC33, End Of Play. #15 D.Raiola injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1734% → 33%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
65.6%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 3 yards gain to the USC36 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
65.6%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USC45 (#0 J.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
65.1%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NEB48 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
63.8%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB46 (#15 D.McCullough)Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
64.4%
PENALTY USC False Start (#50 J.Reed) 4 yards from NEB46 to NEB50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 5
50
+3
65.6%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB47 (#0 J.Wright; #96 W.Nwaneri)Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+1
67.4%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB46 (#0 J.Wright; #5 R.Van Poppel), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0773% → 75%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
72.9%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC49 (#18 E.Gentry; #6 A.Lucas). #57 E.Pritchett injured on the playSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
73.8%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 6 yards gain to the USC43 (#9 K.Silver; #23 D.Stephens II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
74.1%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush left for 6 yards gain to the USC37 fumbled by #14 T.Lateef at USC37 forced by #18 E.Gentry, out of bounds at USC37Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
74.6%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 M.Nelson rush right for 2 yards gain to the USC35 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
76.2%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #21 E.Johnson caught at USC37, for 1 yard to the USC34 (#10 B.Shelby)Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+52
75.3%
(05:26) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 05:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:4330% → 60%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
70.4%
(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the USC39 (#0 J.Wright; #52 D.Rogers)Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
69.4%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #15 J.Richardson thrown to NEB22 broken up by #10 A.MarshallSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+29
71.1%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #16 T.Hines caught at NEB32, for 29 yards to the NEB32, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
67.1%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 16 yards gain to the NEB16 (#21 R.Guthrie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
40.3%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 16 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:32, 1ST DOWN #30 K.Miller rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:2252% → 68%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
51.5%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB29 (#19 B.Fitzgerald; #94 K.Pepe)Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
52.5%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush left for 5 yards gain to the NEB34 (#18 E.Gentry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
52.5%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at NEB33, for 11 yards to the NEB45 (#7 K.Ramsey; #17 D.Nicholson), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down prior to losing the ball". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
56.2%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NEB40, for 5 yards loss to the NEB40 (#19 B.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+15
53.0%
PENALTY USC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#17 D.Nicholson) 15 yards from NEB40 to USC45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
57.7%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 1 yard gain to the USC44 (#7 K.Ramsey; #9 K.Silver)Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+23
57.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 23 yards gain to the USC21 (#19 B.Fitzgerald), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
59.6%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush middle for 7 yards loss to the USC28 fumbled by #14 T.Lateef at USC28 recovered by NEB #14 T.Lateef at USC28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 17
OPP 28
0
57.4%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete short left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to USC09Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+8
54.8%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 8 yards gain to the USC20 (#8 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+39
67.7%
(12:56) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 12:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4238% → 77%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.3%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #6 M.Lemon thrown to USC29 broken up by #0 J.WrightSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+43
62.9%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #15 J.Richardson caught at NEB32, for 43 yards to the NEB32 (#21 R.Guthrie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
54.6%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB29 (#97 K.Davis)Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+6
54.3%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #87 L.McRee caught at NEB23, for 6 yards to the NEB23, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
56.3%
(10:56) No Huddle #14 J.Maiava rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB21 (#0 J.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
54.4%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #16 T.Hines thrown to NEB00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (#8 D.Singleton) 15 yards from NEB21 to NEB06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
23.2%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 6 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0035% → 32%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
35.4%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 13 yards gain to the NEB38 (#18 E.Gentry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
36.6%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep left to #13 N.Hunter thrown to USC28 broken up by #25 M.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
36.1%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #10 H.Haarberg caught at NEB36, for 1 yard to the NEB39 (#24 C.Pierce)Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-1
34.4%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NEB38 (#1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
31.7%
(08:01) #83 A.Wilson punt 37 yards to the USC25 fair catch by #6 M.Lemon at USC25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:1772% → 79%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
27.6%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 13 yards gain to the USC38 (#8 D.Singleton; #9 V.Shavers Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
22.7%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #85 W.Lyons thrown to NEB35 PENALTY NEB Offside declined NEB Pass Interference (#9 V.Shavers Jr.) 15 yards from USC38 to NEB47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
21.3%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB42 (#0 J.Wright; #1 C.Wright)Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-1
20.2%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 1 yard loss to the NEB43 (#96 W.Nwaneri)Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+7
20.3%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush left for 7 yards gain to the NEB36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
19.6%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush right for 1 yard gain to the NEB35 (#54 J.Bower; #97 K.Davis)Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-5
16.2%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NEB40 (#0 J.Wright)Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 14
OPP 40
0
19.7%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #30 K.Miller thrown to NEB28 QB hurried by #15 D.McCulloughSimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 14
OPP 40
+5
22.6%
PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB40 to NEB45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 19
OPP 45
0
21.2%
(03:27) #80 S.Johnson punt 41 yards to the NEB04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3526% → 23%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
26.0%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB08 (#23 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+10
24.7%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush middle for 10 yards gain to the NEB18 (#10 B.Shelby), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
25.8%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB23 (#10 B.Shelby)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-1
24.8%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NEB22, for 1 yard loss to the NEB22 (#7 K.Ramsey)Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+5
22.3%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef rush left for 5 yards gain to the NEB27 fumbled by #14 T.Lateef at NEB27, out of bounds at NEB27Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
22.5%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB27, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:4293% → 94%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-9
7.0%
(01:26) Kneel down by #14 J.Maiava at NEB36 for loss of 9 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 19
OPP 36
-1
7.9%
(01:14) Kneel down by #14 J.Maiava at NEB37 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 20
OPP 37
-2
6.0%
(00:33) Kneel down by #14 J.Maiava at NEB39 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:06
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 K.Miller rush right for 6 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06 #48 R.Sayeri kick attempt good (H: #80 S.Johnson, LS: #31 H.Pepper)
-31.2
TD · Q3 3:32
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush right for 16 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:32, 1ST DOWN #30 K.Miller rush attempt Successful
-26.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:15
(01:26) Kneel down by #14 J.Maiava at NEB36 for loss of 9 yards
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com