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RUTG

Rutgers 13 at Illinois 35

ILL
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+5.9ILL 81.4%(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyerrush right for 3 yards gain to theRUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:04 #24D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)AWAY 6 - HOME 14 · Q2 2:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:04 · (02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 3 yards gain to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:04 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Home team on offense+8.3Pregame prior+16.3Score differential+1.8Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:04: (04:07) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #3 K.Feagin caught at RUT04, for 7 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:04 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III) — ILL win probability +2.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:41: (13:41) #44 J.Patel field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor), clock 13:41 — RUTG win probability +2.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 2:04: (02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 3 yards gain to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:04 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III) — ILL win probability +5.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:29: (00:33) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #80 H.Beatty caught at RUT00, for 1 yard to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III) — ILL win probability +5.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:40: (10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete deep right to #13 H.Clement caught at RUT00, for 20 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:40, 1ST DOWN #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III) — ILL win probability +6.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:15RUTG 4th & 15 at ILL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:48RUTG 4th & 1 at ILL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:41RUTG 4th & 4 at ILL 8, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.4%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:14RUTG 4th & 4 at ILL 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:45RUTG 4th & 9 at ILL 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:04ILL 4th & 3 at RUTG 3, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:27RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:12RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:24ILL 4th & 5 at RUTG 37, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:25ILL 4th & 3 at RUTG 7, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:30RUTG 4th & 7 at ILL 42, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:20ILL 4th & 7 at RUTG 27, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:31RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 45, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:26ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 37, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:04ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:04ILL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:29ILL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:40ILL Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:25ILL Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 4:3621% → 22%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at RUT30, for 7 yards to the RUT32 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
79.0%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #9 I.Strong thrown to RUT45 broken up by #99 C.Neal QB hurried by #99 C.NealSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
79.0%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT36 (#17 G.Jacas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.8%
(13:42) Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 0 yards to the RUT36 (#99 C.Neal)Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
78.6%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at RUT43, for 9 yards to the RUT45 (#6 J.Clarke)Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
78.4%
(12:39) No Huddle #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RUT46 (#99 C.Neal; #36 T.Durojaiye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
78.2%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT48 (#43 J.Barna)Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+8
77.9%
(11:16) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #3 A.Raymond caught at RUT45, for 8 yards to the ILL44 (#41 J.Kreutz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
77.7%
(10:35) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to ILL30Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
77.7%
(10:32) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to ILL31Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
77.8%
(10:27) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #18 C.Weber thrown to ILL41Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+5
78.0%
PENALTY RUT Delay Of Game 5 yards from ILL44 to ILL49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
78.1%
(10:24) #94 J.Anderson punt 48 yards to the ILL01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
13 plays · 99 yds · 5:5778% → 80%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
77.9%
(10:12) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at ILL02, for 3 yards to the ILL04 (#7 C.Miller)Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+3
77.8%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 3 yards gain to the ILL07 (#99 E.O'Neill; #14 J.Thompson)Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+16
77.3%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at ILL15, for 16 yards to the ILL23 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWN. #9 J.Elad injured on the playSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
77.4%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 19 yards gain to the ILL42 (#6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
77.7%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush right for 6 yards gain to the ILL48 (#55 Z.Angoy; #99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
77.6%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 5 yards gain to the RUT47 (#3 B.Mascoe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
77.6%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at RUT31, for 16 yards to the RUT31 (#10 J.Henderson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
77.6%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #85 T.Arkin caught at RUT30, for 2 yards to the RUT29 (#6 A.Wright), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+11
77.5%
(05:34) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #85 T.Arkin caught at RUT31, for 11 yards to the RUT18 (#3 B.Mascoe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
77.4%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Bowick thrown to RUT00Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
77.3%
(04:44) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #80 H.Beatty caught at RUT14, for 11 yards to the RUT07 (#7 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
79.9%
(04:07) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #3 K.Feagin caught at RUT04, for 7 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:04 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:1821% → 25%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.0%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Sheffield thrown to RUT40Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
79.0%
(03:58) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep right to #9 I.Strong caught at ILL44, for 33 yards to the ILL42 (#5 T.Cox Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
78.0%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL41 (#90 J.Thompson Jr.; #3 A.Bryant)Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
77.7%
(02:40) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #18 C.Weber caught at ILL38, for 6 yards to the ILL35 (#41 J.Kreutz)Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
77.4%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at ILL30, for 6 yards to the ILL29 (#5 T.Cox Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
76.8%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to ILL00 broken up by #6 J.ClarkeSimilar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
76.9%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at ILL22, for 8 yards to the ILL21 (#16 T.Heckel)Similar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
77.3%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 S.Brown V rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL20 (#41 J.Kreutz)Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+6
77.6%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at ILL14, for 6 yards to the ILL14 (#6 J.Clarke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
76.5%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to ILL00 broken up by #41 J.KreutzSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
76.5%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Sheffield thrown to ILL10Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+6
77.3%
(14:33) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #3 A.Raymond caught at ILL10, for 6 yards to the ILL08 (#41 J.Kreutz; #3 A.Bryant)Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
75.1%
(13:41) #44 J.Patel field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor), clock 13:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4INT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:5276% → 76%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.1%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #3 K.Feagin caught at ILL26, for 9 yards to the ILL34 (#7 C.Miller)Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
76.6%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush right for 7 yards gain to the ILL41 (#6 A.Wright; #42 D.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.9%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Dixon thrown to ILL43Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-7
76.4%
(12:35) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ILL34 (#99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+24
75.0%
(11:48) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 24 yards gain to the RUT42 (#5 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
77.1%
(11:04) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 1 yard loss to the RUT43 (#8 D.Djabome) PENALTY ILL Holding (#75 B.Henderson) 10 yards from RUT42 to ILL48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 20
OWN 48
0
76.2%
(10:44) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right thrown to RUT40 QB hurried by #55 Z.AngoySimilar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 20
OWN 48
0
76.0%
(10:39) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass intercepted by #90 F.Gnago at ILL46 broken up by #99 E.O'Neill #90 F.Gnago return 0 yards to the ILL46 (#73 J.Gesky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:4127% → 27%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
73.4%
(10:29) Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL43 (#45 M.Hood)Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
73.1%
(09:49) Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL39 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-1
72.6%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 S.Brown V rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ILL40 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+6
73.9%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at ILL35, for 6 yards to the ILL34 (#6 J.Clarke), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
71.9%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ILL26 (#10 M.Scott)Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
71.6%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL23 (#30 J.Hayden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
71.3%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL22 (#7 M.Bailey; #90 J.Thompson Jr.)Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
71.0%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Duff thrown to ILL13Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
74.1%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to ILL10 broken up by #90 J.Thompson Jr.Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
72.8%
(05:47) #44 J.Patel field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor), clock 05:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3474% → 81%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 0 yards to the ILL25 (#14 J.Thompson)Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
74.2%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #80 H.Beatty thrown to ILL40 PENALTY RUT Holding (#7 C.Miller) 10 yards from ILL25 to ILL35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
74.5%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush middle for 36 yards gain to the RUT29 (#3 B.Mascoe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
76.7%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT25 (#55 Z.Angoy)Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
76.7%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete deep middle to #17 C.Dixon thrown to RUT00 broken up by #7 C.MillerSimilar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+16
76.0%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 16 yards gain to the RUT09 (#5 K.Sanders), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
76.6%
(03:29) #17 C.Dixon rush right for 2 yards gain to the RUT07 (#7 C.Miller)Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
76.3%
(02:54) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #17 C.Dixon thrown to RUT00 broken up by #6 A.WrightSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
75.5%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #80 H.Beatty caught at RUT07, for 4 yards to the RUT03 (#5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.4%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 3 yards gain to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:04 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 0:3119% → 18%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.8%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Raymond thrown to RUT18 broken up by #4 D.BrownSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
81.0%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at RUT36, for 11 yards to the RUT36 (#5 T.Cox Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.1%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #9 I.Strong thrown to RUT39Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-7
80.5%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 7 yards to the RUT29 (#17 G.Jacas)Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+6
81.5%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at RUT33, for 6 yards to the RUT35 (#16 T.Heckel)Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
81.7%
(01:32) #94 J.Anderson punt 35 yards to the ILL30, out of bounds at ILL30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 0:5283% → 90%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
82.8%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short middle to #13 H.Clement caught at ILL45, for 16 yards to the ILL46 (#6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.1%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #14 C.Rusk thrown to RUT40Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+29
83.8%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL45, for 29 yards to the RUT25 (#94 B.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
84.7%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 14 yards gain to the RUT11 (#3 B.Mascoe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
84.5%
(00:49) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #17 C.Dixon thrown to RUT10 broken up by #10 J.HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
84.9%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Dixon thrown to RUT10Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+10
84.5%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #3 K.Feagin caught at RUT08, for 10 yards to the RUT01 (#8 D.Djabome), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.3%
(00:33) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #80 H.Beatty caught at RUT00, for 1 yard to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:029% → 9%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep right to #9 I.Strong thrown to ILL50Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.7%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT27 (#90 J.Thompson Jr.). #65 B.Felter injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1489% → 96%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL28 (#8 D.Djabome). #10 J.Henderson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+24
88.5%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #80 H.Beatty caught at ILL35, for 24 yards to the RUT48 (#9 J.Elad), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
89.3%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #13 H.Clement thrown to RUT35Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
89.0%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush right for 2 yards loss to the RUT50 (#8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 12
50
+17
88.8%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #0 J.Bowick caught at RUT34, for 17 yards to the RUT33 (#5 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
89.5%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RUT28 (#96 K.Griffin)Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
89.9%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 3 yards gain to the RUT25 (#96 K.Griffin)Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
89.8%
(11:32) Shotgun #80 H.Beatty rush left for 5 yards gain to the RUT20 (#3 B.Mascoe; #9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.2%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete deep right to #13 H.Clement caught at RUT00, for 20 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:40, 1ST DOWN #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #9 I.Strong thrown to RUT30 broken up by #5 C.ValentineSimilar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #9 I.Strong caught at RUT30, for 5 yards to the RUT30 (#5 T.Cox Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
95.8%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the RUT24 (#17 G.Jacas). #74 M.Giwa injured on the playSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
96.1%
(09:21) #94 J.Anderson punt 41 yards to the ILL35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:3296% → 100%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.4%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 6 yards gain to the ILL41 (#9 J.Elad)Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
96.6%
(08:31) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ILL47 (#7 C.Miller), 1ST DOWN. #58 M.Priestly injured on the playSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
96.6%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #80 H.Beatty rush left for 11 yards gain to the RUT42 (#8 D.Djabome), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.7%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT40 (#1 J.Walker)Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
96.8%
(06:47) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 3 yards gain to the RUT37 (#6 A.Wright)Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
96.9%
(06:03) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush right for 0 yards to the RUT37 (#5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+23
96.7%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete deep left to #13 H.Clement caught at RUT14, for 23 yards to the RUT14 (#7 C.Miller), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RUT Offside declined RUT Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
97.1%
(05:03) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RUT07 (#9 J.Elad; #8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
97.5%
(04:21) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 0 yards to the RUT07 (#91 D.Abdou Rahman)Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
97.6%
(03:36) #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short left to #85 T.Arkin thrown to RUT00Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
(03:26) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at RUT00, for 7 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:25, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RUT Offside declined #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.7%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RUT34 (#4 D.Brown)Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+21
99.7%
(02:45) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RUT49, for 21 yards to the ILL45 (#10 M.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
99.7%
(02:04) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush right for 2 yards loss to the ILL47 (#41 J.Kreutz)Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
99.8%
(01:24) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to ILL08 broken up by #5 T.Cox Jr.Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
(01:17) Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 5 yards gain to the ILL42 (#90 J.Thompson Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
99.8%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #2 B.Black thrown to ILL27, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 5:07100% → 100%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.7%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush left for 4 yards gain to the ILL46 (#8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
99.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #13 H.Clement thrown to ILL49Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+9
99.8%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #13 H.Clement caught at RUT46, for 9 yards to the RUT45 (#1 J.Walker), 1ST DOWN. RUT is challenging the ruling on the field - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.8%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush right for 3 yards gain to the RUT42 (#6 A.Wright)Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+12
99.8%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush right for 12 yards gain to the RUT30 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.8%
(12:32) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RUT29 (#1 J.Walker; #5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+2
99.8%
(11:49) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 2 yards gain to the RUT27 (#3 B.Mascoe)Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
99.8%
(11:04) #5 C.Valentine rush right for 0 yards to the RUT27 (#97 O.Billotte)Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
99.8%
(10:24) #24 D.Olano field goal attempt from 45 yards NO GOOD (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 10:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 4:170% → 1%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #18 C.Weber caught at RUT30, for 10 yards to the RUT37 (#7 M.Bailey; #16 T.Heckel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT39 (#36 T.Durojaiye)Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #2 B.Black caught at RUT46, for 7 yards to the RUT46 (#6 J.Clarke)Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RUT45 (#3 A.Bryant; #17 G.Jacas)Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+27
99.9%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Duff caught at ILL35, for 27 yards to the ILL28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush right for 6 yards gain to the ILL22 (#10 M.Scott)Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush right for 4 yards gain to the ILL18 (#8 J.Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
99.2%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to ILL00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (#6 J.Clarke) 15 yards from ILL18 to ILL03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at ILL00, for 3 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:47 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:0999% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.2%
(05:39) #3 K.Feagin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL31 (#5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+9
99.3%
(05:01) Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush right for 9 yards gain to the ILL40 (#96 K.Griffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
99.4%
(03:57) Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush left for 3 yards loss to the ILL37 (#9 J.Elad)Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+2
99.4%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL39 (#91 D.Abdou Rahman)Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-2
99.4%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush right for 2 yards loss to the ILL37 (#3 B.Mascoe)Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
99.5%
(02:26) #40 K.Crimmins punt 48 yards to the RUT15 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RUT15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17END OF GAME
21 plays · 83 yds · 2:201% → 1%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.5%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #9 I.Strong thrown to RUT30 broken up by #1 K.PattersonSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.5%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT19 (#45 M.Hood)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+17
99.5%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #9 I.Strong caught at RUT30, for 17 yards to the RUT36 (#2 S.Karriem), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.5%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #0 D.Sheffield caught at RUT45, for 9 yards to the RUT45 (#0 M.Resetich), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
99.5%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #20 J.Benjamin caught at RUT47, for 6 yards to the ILL49 (#2 S.Karriem), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
99.5%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #0 D.Sheffield caught at ILL44, for 8 yards to the ILL41, out of bounds at ILL41Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+8
99.5%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush right for 8 yards gain to the ILL33 (#2 S.Karriem), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.4%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush right for 2 yards gain to the ILL31 (#4 D.Brown)Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
99.4%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #0 D.Sheffield caught at ILL25, for 7 yards to the ILL24, out of bounds at ILL24Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
99.4%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ILL19 (#45 M.Hood; #52 P.Farrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.4%
(00:52) PENALTY RUT False Start (#18 C.Weber) 5 yards from ILL19 to ILL24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+13
99.5%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #9 I.Strong caught at ILL13, for 13 yards to the ILL11 (#19 T.Rooks; #30 J.Hayden)Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 2
OPP 11
0
99.5%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Sheffield thrown to ILL08Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+8
99.5%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #9 I.Strong caught at ILL05, for 8 yards to the ILL03 (#19 T.Rooks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.4%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ILL02 (#43 J.Barna; #4 D.Brown)Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.5%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Sheffield thrown to ILL00Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.5%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to ILL00 broken up by #19 T.RooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:40
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete deep right to #13 H.Clement caught at RUT00, for 20 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:40, 1ST DOWN #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
+6.4
TD · Q2 2:04
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 3 yards gain to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:04 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
+5.9
TD · Q2 0:29
(00:33) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #80 H.Beatty caught at RUT00, for 1 yard to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com