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PSU

Penn State 14 at Ohio State 38

OSU
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:18: #10 N.Singleton rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:41: J. Sayin pass to C. Tate for 45 yds, for a TD (J. Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky) — PSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: End of 2nd quarter. — OSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:18: #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:18 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann) — OSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:25PSU 4th & 3 at OSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:41PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:08OSU 4th & 4 at PSU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.6%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:00PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00PSU 4th & 21 at PSU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:52PSU 4th & 14 at PSU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:23OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 47, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:39PSU 4th & 21 at PSU 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−1.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:29PSU 4th & 7 at OSU 7, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:00OSU 4th & 1 at PSU 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:15OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:18PSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:41OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20PSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:18OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:43OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:3514% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
86.3%
#13 K.Allen rush left for 26 yards gain to the OSU49 (#18 J.McClain), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
86.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU49, for 6 yards to the OSU43 (#1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-2
86.3%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 2 yards loss to the OSU45 (#8 A.Reese; #97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+3
86.3%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU42 (#8 A.Reese; #96 E.Houston)Similar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
85.5%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 31 yards to the OSU11 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 6:1086% → 86%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+20
85.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #17 C.Tate caught at OSU25, for 20 yards to the OSU31 (#4 A.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
85.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards loss to the OSU27 (#32 K.Wylie)Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+9
85.6%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OSU36 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+18
85.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at PSU47, for 18 yards to the PSU46 (#2 A.Collins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
85.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #85 B.Christian caught at PSU45, for 3 yards to the PSU43 (#3 A.Belgrave-Shorter), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+10
85.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at PSU34, for 10 yards to the PSU33 (#6 Z.Wheatley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
85.8%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 8 yards gain to the PSU25 (#3 A.Belgrave-Shorter)Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+4
85.8%
#12 C.Donaldson Jr rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU21 (#4 A.Harris; #32 K.Wylie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
85.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #86 M.Klare caught at PSU18, for 6 yards to the PSU15 (#3 A.Belgrave-Shorter), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
85.8%
Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU14 (#99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
85.7%
J. Sayin pass to J. Smith for 14 yds, for a TD (J. Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3415% → 15%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.4%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU26 (#0 S.Styles; #8 A.Reese)Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
85.4%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU32 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
85.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right thrown to PSU31 QB hurried by #95 T.MaloneSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
85.4%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 43 yards to the OSU25 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:3385% → 85%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.3%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU26 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
85.3%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #1 B.Inniss thrown to PSU45 PENALTY PSU Roughing The Passer (#28 Z.Durant) 15 yards from OSU26 to OSU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
85.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #1 B.Inniss caught at PSU39, for 29 yards to the PSU30 (#6 Z.Wheatley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
85.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right thrown to PSU20 QB hurried by #24 A.CampbellSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
85.8%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 11 yards gain to the PSU19 (#28 Z.Durant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
85.8%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU18 (#0 D.DeLuca)Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
85.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #1 B.Inniss caught at PSU20, for 7 yards to the PSU11 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+5
85.6%
Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU06 (#50 A.Ford Jr.; #24 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
85.8%
Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PSU07 (#24 A.Campbell; #50 A.Ford Jr.)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
85.4%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #17 C.Tate caught at PSU04, for 3 yards to the PSU04 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.1%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #20 J.Peoples thrown to PSU04 broken up by #0 D.DeLucaSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
85.1%
#38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 14:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:5015% → 23%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU23, for 1 yard loss to the PSU24 (#2 C.Downs)Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
85.1%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU26 (#2 C.Downs; #95 T.Malone)Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
85.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU32, for 9 yards to the PSU35 (#8 A.Reese; #6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep right to #1 K.Hudson thrown to OSU45Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
84.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at PSU33, for 16 yards to the OSU49 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
84.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU44 (#0 S.Styles; #95 T.Malone)Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
84.1%
#13 K.Allen rush left for 7 yards gain to the OSU37 (#2 C.Downs; #92 C.Curry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
84.2%
Shotgun #2 L.Clifford pass incomplete short right to #1 K.Hudson thrown to OSU25Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
84.2%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU37 (#8 A.Reese; #96 E.Houston)Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+13
84.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #2 L.Clifford caught at OSU24, for 13 yards to the OSU24 (#18 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
83.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU22 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+13
83.7%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #10 N.Singleton caught at OSU26, for 13 yards to the OSU09 (#0 S.Styles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
83.3%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU08 (#53 W.Smith Jr.; #8 A.Reese)Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
82.7%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU03 (#8 A.Reese; #92 C.Curry)Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.4%
#10 N.Singleton rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3780% → 85%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
#10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #1 B.Inniss thrown to OSU30Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.5%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU30 (#16 K.Mack)Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
79.3%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OSU39 (#9 E.Washington II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
80.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU42, for 13 yards to the PSU48 (#16 K.Mack), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
81.4%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the PSU45 (#50 A.Ford Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
85.1%
J. Sayin pass to C. Tate for 45 yds, for a TD (J. Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 1:3615% → 15%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.7%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 9 yards gain to the PSU34 (#2 C.Downs; #7 J.Mathews Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
83.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Pena thrown to OSU46Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
84.2%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU37 (#98 K.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
84.0%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 0 yards to the PSU37 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
84.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #16 K.Dinkins thrown to PSU40Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
85.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Pena thrown to PSU48Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
85.5%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 63 yards to the OSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4018% → 27%
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
81.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU09 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+8
82.5%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #13 K.Allen caught at OSU10, for 8 yards to the OSU01 (#3 L.Styles Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.3%
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
73.2%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU13 (#2 C.Downs; #98 K.McDonald)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
77.9%
Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU22 fumbled by #12 C.Donaldson Jr at OSU19 forced by #33 D.Dennis-Sutton recovered by PSU #19 C.Coleman at OSU22 #19 C.Coleman return 9 yards to the OSU13 (#17 C.Tate)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4278% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
77.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #89 W.Kacmarek caught at OSU28, for 14 yards to the OSU39 (#32 K.Wylie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+57
78.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #17 C.Tate caught at PSU20, for 57 yards to the PSU04 (#6 Z.Wheatley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
80.3%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU02 (#6 Z.Wheatley)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
80.3%
#25 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU01 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
#12 C.Donaldson Jr rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:18 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 11:468% → 5%
Q3 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 20
+9
91.7%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 59 yards to the OSU21 #1 B.Inniss return 9 yards to the OSU30 (#8 D.Nelson)Similar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
94.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #16 K.Dinkins caught at PSU17, for 3 yards to the PSU21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
94.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush right for 2 yards gain to the PSU23 (#18 J.McClain)Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+8
94.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU24, for 8 yards to the PSU31 (#8 A.Reese), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU31 (#53 W.Smith Jr.)Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
94.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea thrown to PSU35 broken up by #97 K.Jackson Jr.Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-11
94.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 11 yards to the PSU20 (#8 A.Reese)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:228% → 7%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
92.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #16 K.Dinkins caught at PSU14, for 9 yards to the PSU22 (#18 J.McClain)Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+1
92.0%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU23 (#98 K.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
92.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU21, for 6 yards to the PSU29 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+4
91.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU28, for 4 yards to the PSU33 (#1 D.Igbinosun), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
91.8%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU36 (#95 T.Malone; #98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
91.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #2 L.Clifford caught at PSU37, for 1 yard to the PSU37 (#0 S.Styles), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-8
92.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 8 yards to the PSU29 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
93.3%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 55 yards to the OSU16, out of bounds at OSU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 4:3195% → 96%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
94.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #1 B.Inniss caught at OSU13, for 6 yards to the OSU22 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+57
94.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at PSU34, for 57 yards to the PSU21 (#16 K.Mack; #2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
95.0%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #17 C.Tate caught at PSU26, for 1 yard loss to the PSU22 (#2 A.Collins)Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-1
95.0%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #1 B.Inniss caught at PSU27, for 1 yard loss to the PSU23 (#99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+15
94.9%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep middle to #86 M.Klare thrown to PSU03 PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (#4 A.Harris) 15 yards from PSU23 to PSU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
95.0%
#25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU06 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
95.0%
Shotgun #12 C.Donaldson Jr rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU01 (#3 A.Belgrave-Shorter)Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.5%
J. Sayin pass to B. Christian for 1 yd, for a TD ( KICK) #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:3796% → 97%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
96.0%
Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU41 (#6 Z.Wheatley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
96.2%
Shotgun #20 J.Peoples rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU43 (#32 K.Wylie)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
96.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #20 J.Peoples caught at OSU40, for 4 yards to the OSU47 (#24 A.Campbell), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
96.2%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU47 (#39 T.Blanding)Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
96.7%
#42 J.McGuire punt 43 yards to the PSU10 fair catch by #5 D.Ross at PSU10 PENALTY OSU Kick Catch Interference (#13 M.Lockhart) 15 yards from PSU10 to PSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:444% → 3%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.2%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #10 N.Singleton caught at PSU23, for 1 yard loss to the PSU24 (#8 A.Reese)Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
96.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU23, for 4 yards to the PSU28 (#8 A.Reese)Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
96.3%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 14 yards to the PSU14 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.) PENALTY PSU Illegal Motion declinedSimilar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
97.0%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 48 yards to the OSU38 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:5697% → 99%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+51
97.1%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 51 yards gain to the PSU11 (#4 A.Harris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.1%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at PSU01, for 11 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:43, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17INT
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:141% → 1%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 6 yards to the PSU19 (#96 E.Houston), fumble by #17 E.Grunkemeyer recovered by PSU #66 D.Shelton at PSU19, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
99.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU16, for 1 yard to the PSU20 (#98 K.McDonald; #1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+18
99.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #1 K.Hudson caught at PSU38, for 18 yards to the PSU38, out of bounds at PSU38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.0%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush left for 2 yards gain to the PSU40 (#92 C.Curry)Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+26
99.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete deep middle to #3 K.Howard caught at OSU36, for 26 yards to the OSU34 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep middle to #16 K.Dinkins thrown to OSU14 PENALTY OSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#2 C.Downs) 15 yards from OSU34 to OSU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "Penalty enforcement". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep left to #16 K.Dinkins thrown to OSU14 PENALTY OSU Targeting (#2 C.Downs) 15 yards from OSU34 to OSU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY)Similar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
98.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OSU10 (#18 J.McClain)Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
98.8%
Shotgun #13 K.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU10 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
98.9%
Shotgun #10 N.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU09 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.; #98 K.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short left to #1 K.Hudson thrown to OSU00 broken up by #0 S.StylesSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
98.8%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #13 K.Allen caught at OSU09, for 2 yards to the OSU07 (#8 A.Reese)Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.9%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Pena thrown to OSU05 QB hurried by #0 S.Styles and #92 C.CurrySimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.4%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass intercepted by #2 C.Downs at OSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18END OF GAME
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:2999% → 100%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
#25 B.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the OSU25 (#16 K.Mack; #25 A.Tatsch)Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 9 yards gain to the OSU34 (#2 A.Collins; #3 A.Belgrave-Shorter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.3%
#25 B.Jackson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU45 (#6 Z.Wheatley; #28 Z.Durant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.4%
#25 B.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU48 (#2 A.Collins)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
99.6%
#20 J.Peoples rush left for 5 yards gain to the PSU47 (#39 T.Blanding)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
99.6%
#20 J.Peoples rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU46 (#24 A.Campbell; #32 K.Wylie)Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+4
99.5%
#10 J.Sayin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU42 (#25 A.Tatsch; #54 X.Gilliam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
99.6%
Kneel down by #10 J.Sayin at PSU44 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
#13 K.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
-9.6
TD · Q3 12:18
#12 C.Donaldson Jr rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:18 #38 J.Fielding kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann)
+6.6
TD · Q2 6:18
#10 N.Singleton rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com