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IU

Indiana 55 at Maryland 10

MD
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:49 · (09:57) #44 M.McCarthy punt 36 yards to the IND45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior−39.8Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:53: (05:01) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at UMD00, for 22 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:53, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +3.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:40: #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 00:40 — IU win probability +2.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:54: (13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #0 D.Williams caught at UMD43, for 55 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:54, 1ST DOWN #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough) — MD win probability +6.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:43: (09:59) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 31 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:43, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +6.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:41: Devan Boykin 32 Yd Fumble Return (Nico Radicic Kick) — IU win probability +5.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:01MD 4th & 4 at IU 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.3%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:49IU 4th & 26 at IU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:53MD 4th & 8 at IU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:30IU 4th & 1 at MD 2, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:55MD 4th & 11 at MD 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:40IU 4th & 5 at MD 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:42MD 4th & 5 at IU 5, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:22IU 4th & 2 at MD 6, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:27MD 4th & 2 at IU 47, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:42MD 4th & 10 at IU 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 2:11IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:53IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:54MD Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:43IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:41IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:37IU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:22IU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:08IU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1091% → 90%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
9.2%
(14:54) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at IND32, for 3 yards to the IND33 (#6 D.Joyner; #29 S.Stewart)Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
9.4%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND35 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-32
9.6%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass intercepted by #14 J.Glasker at IND44 #14 J.Glasker return 32 yards to the IND12 (#65 C.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2810% → 10%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
9.8%
(13:36) No Huddle #0 D.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND11 (#14 K.Turner)Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+5
10.1%
(13:06) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at IND07, for 5 yards to the IND06 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
10.4%
(12:14) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Fleming thrown to IND13Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
10.4%
(12:04) #36 S.O'Haire field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough), clock 12:01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 2:0290% → 88%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.5%
(11:56) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND27 (#56 D.Holmes)Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
10.7%
(11:26) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 8 yards to the IND19 (#29 S.Stewart, #98 E.Thomas)Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-5
11.2%
(10:40) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 5 yards loss to the IND14 (#1 D.Wingate; #13 L.Scruggs)Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+5
11.6%
(10:06) PENALTY IND False Start (#80 C.Becker) 5 yards from IND14 to IND09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 26
OWN 9
0
11.7%
(09:57) #44 M.McCarthy punt 36 yards to the IND45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5312% → 12%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
11.7%
(09:49) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Williams thrown to IND38Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
11.7%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 N.Ray rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND43 (#97 M.Landino)Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
12.0%
(09:06) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to IND27 QB hurried by #0 H.WheelerSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
11.8%
(09:00) #34 B.McFerson punt 36 yards to the IND07, out of bounds at IND07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 6:3688% → 87%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
12.1%
(08:53) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IND13 (#46 D.Fontus; #3 T.Reddick)Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+2
12.4%
(08:22) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND11, for 2 yards to the IND15 (#6 D.Joyner)Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+8
12.8%
(07:48) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IND23 (#13 L.Scruggs; #33 M.Delhomme), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
13.0%
(07:07) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND30 (#1 D.Wingate; #33 M.Delhomme)Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+8
13.2%
(06:27) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IND38 (#10 C.Rice), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
13.5%
(05:57) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 2 yards gain to the IND40 (#98 E.Thomas; #33 M.Delhomme)Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
13.7%
(05:21) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right thrown to IND40 broken up by #98 E.ThomasSimilar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+22
14.0%
(05:15) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at UMD45, for 22 yards to the UMD38 (#13 L.Scruggs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
13.9%
(04:43) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush right for 18 yards gain to the UMD20 (#27 L.Roland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
13.9%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at UMD21, for 11 yards to the UMD09 (#3 T.Reddick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
14.2%
(03:39) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD07 (#32 C.Smith)Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.5%
(02:59) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 0 yards to the UMD07 (#98 E.Thomas)Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
13.3%
(02:18) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:11 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6INT
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:0914% → 16%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
13.9%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD23, for 21 yards to the UMD46 (#7 L.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
14.8%
(01:35) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete deep left to #4 S.Knotts thrown to IND34Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
14.5%
(01:30) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD43, for 1 yard to the UMD47 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+25
14.7%
(00:54) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete deep left to #84 K.Webb caught at IND33, for 25 yards to the IND28 (#1 A.Ferrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
16.0%
(00:06) PENALTY UMD False Start (#82 D.Owens) 5 yards from IND28 to IND33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
15.9%
(15:00) #7 M.Washington pass intercepted by #14 K.Turner at IND22, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 76 yds · 4:1985% → 86%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
14.9%
(14:55) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND27 (#40 N.Taylor; #33 M.Delhomme)Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
15.1%
(14:22) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND30 (#3 T.Reddick)Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+7
15.5%
(13:43) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush left for 7 yards gain to the IND37 (#7 G.Edwards), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+52
15.4%
(12:55) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND45, for 52 yards to the UMD11 (#33 M.Delhomme), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
14.8%
(12:22) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMD07 (#33 M.Delhomme; #40 N.Taylor)Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
15.0%
(11:57) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 5 yards gain to the UMD02 (#1 D.Wingate; #10 C.Rice)Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
15.6%
(11:15) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 0 yards to the UMD02 (#7 G.Edwards; #46 D.Fontus)Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+20
14.0%
(10:35) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 20 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 10:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8INT
4 plays · 59 yds · 0:4215% → 15%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.7%
(10:30) #2 N.Ray rush middle for 0 yards to the UMD25 (#34 J.Utzinger; #6 M.Kamara)Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
14.6%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #84 K.Webb caught at UMD30, for 15 yards to the UMD40 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
15.4%
(09:43) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass intercepted by #7 L.Moore at IND16, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 4:3585% → 90%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
14.6%
(09:33) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 4 yards gain to the IND20 (#46 D.Fontus)Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
14.9%
(09:02) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND23, for 4 yards to the IND24 (#14 J.Glasker)Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+3
14.4%
(08:24) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND27 (#46 D.Fontus), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
14.3%
(07:47) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to IND41Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+20
14.7%
(07:39) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 20 yards gain to the IND47 (#3 T.Reddick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
13.9%
(06:57) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at UMD42, for 19 yards to the UMD34 (#33 M.Delhomme), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
13.8%
(06:12) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD31 (#0 N.Avery; #98 E.Thomas)Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+9
13.8%
(05:34) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UMD22 (#12 J.Shipps), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
10.2%
(05:01) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at UMD00, for 22 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:53, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:4411% → 11%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
11.0%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at UMD33, for 12 yards to the UMD37 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
11.4%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 0 yards to the UMD37 (#0 H.Wheeler)Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
11.2%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Williams thrown to UMD40Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-1
11.0%
(03:40) Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UMD36 (#21 R.Hardy; #22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
11.0%
(03:00) #34 B.McFerson punt 35 yards to the IND29 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:0689% → 92%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
10.9%
(02:55) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND39, for 11 yards to the IND40 (#14 J.Glasker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
9.9%
(02:28) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 3 yards gain to the IND43 (#98 E.Thomas)Similar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
9.9%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to UMD26Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
10.0%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #19 H.Staes caught at UMD45, for 13 yards to the UMD44 (#32 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.7%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. thrown to UMD37Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
9.7%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UMD33 (#33 M.Delhomme), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
9.6%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. thrown to UMD27Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
9.7%
Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMD28 (#29 S.Stewart)Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
9.7%
Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Brady thrown to UMD25 broken up by #10 C.RiceSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
7.6%
#15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 00:40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:569% → 15%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.4%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD23, for 3 yards to the UMD28 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
9.2%
(14:27) Shotgun #5 O.Smith Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the UMD29 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
9.2%
(13:53) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #0 D.Williams caught at UMD28, for 16 yards to the UMD45 (#22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
15.3%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #0 D.Williams caught at UMD43, for 55 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:54, 1ST DOWN #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:0086% → 93%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
14.0%
(12:50) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND41 (#46 D.Fontus)Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
13.9%
(12:21) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 7 yards gain to the IND48 (#14 J.Glasker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
13.9%
(11:50) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND47, for 8 yards to the UMD44 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
13.9%
(11:06) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMD39 (#10 C.Rice; #46 D.Fontus), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
14.2%
(10:32) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 8 yards gain to the UMD31 (#33 M.Delhomme)Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+31
7.3%
(09:59) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 31 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:43, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · -25 yds · 0:569% → 4%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
8.8%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMD28 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
8.8%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #16 L.Haughton Jr. caught at UMD31, for 6 yards to the UMD34 (#7 L.Moore)Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+32
3.6%
Devan Boykin 32 Yd Fumble Return (Nico Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
3.5%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #5 O.Smith Jr. caught at UMD25, for 1 yard loss to the UMD24 fumbled by #5 O.Smith Jr. at UMD27 forced by #2 B.Baldwin Jr. recovered by IND #2 B.Baldwin Jr. at UMD24, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3898% → 99%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
2.5%
(08:18) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMD16 (#23 K.Flowers)Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+16
1.5%
(07:45) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 16 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:37, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:501% → 1%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.3%
(07:37) No Huddle #2 N.Ray rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMD32 (#22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+21
1.1%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #89 A.Szymanski caught at UMD43, for 21 yards to the IND47 (#5 D.Ponds; #21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+38
1.2%
(06:39) No Huddle #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #9 D.Fleming caught at IND50, for 38 yards to the IND09 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
1.4%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #89 A.Szymanski thrown to IND00Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
1.4%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND07 (#6 M.Kamara)Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
1.3%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #0 D.Williams caught at IND07, for 2 yards to the IND05 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.0%
(04:49) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Fleming thrown to IND00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
16 plays · 95 yds · 8:1299% → 100%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
1.4%
(04:37) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IND14 (#22 J.Huskey)Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+5
0.8%
(04:10) PENALTY IND False Start (#75 Z.Michalski) 5 yards from IND14 to IND09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+3
0.8%
(03:52) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND12 (#44 J.Starlings)Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+4
0.7%
(03:14) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND16, for 4 yards to the IND16 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
0.7%
(02:39) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 2 yards gain to the IND18 (#1 D.Wingate)Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+17
0.7%
(01:53) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #3 O.Cooper Jr. caught at IND30, for 17 yards to the IND35, out of bounds at IND35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
0.6%
(01:05) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 12 yards gain to the IND47 (#33 M.Delhomme), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
0.5%
(00:28) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at UMD41, for 11 yards to the UMD42 (#32 C.Smith; #23 K.Flowers) PENALTY IND Holding (#65 C.Smith) 10 yards from IND47 to IND37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+13
0.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #1 R.Hemby caught at IND35, for 13 yards to the IND50 (#22 J.Huskey)Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 7
50
+36
0.5%
(14:25) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 36 yards gain to the UMD14 (#22 J.Huskey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
0.4%
(13:36) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush left for 14 yards gain (3) to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:31 PENALTY IND Holding (#75 Z.Michalski) 10 yards from UMD11 to UMD21Similar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 17
OPP 21
+8
0.4%
(13:31) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMD13 (#22 J.Huskey)Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+6
0.4%
(12:50) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMD07 (#56 D.Holmes)Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
0.4%
(12:12) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMD06 (#46 D.Fontus)Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+6
0.3%
(11:30) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza pass complete short left to #0 J.Brady caught at UMD04, for 6 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:22, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
0.2%
(11:15) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #1 J.Farooq caught at UMD24, for 18 yards to the UMD45 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.2%
(10:48) Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short right to #5 O.Smith Jr. thrown to IND45Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.2%
(10:41) Shotgun #24 I.Howard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMD49 (#46 I.Jones; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
(10:18) Shotgun #7 M.Washington rush right for 4 yards gain to the IND47 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+4
0.2%
(09:35) Shotgun #0 D.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND43 (#21 R.Hardy; #91 D.Ratcliff), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.2%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Williams thrown to IND37Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
0.2%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short middle to #24 I.Howard thrown to IND42Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
0.2%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass incomplete short left to #84 K.Webb thrown to IND27Similar
Q4 8:42
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
0.2%
(08:43) #34 B.McFerson punt 36 yards to the IND07 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 5:27100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
0.3%
(08:42) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush right for 11 yards gain to the IND18 (#12 J.Shipps), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+53
0.2%
(07:59) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza rush right for 53 yards gain to the UMD29 (#22 J.Huskey; #12 J.Shipps), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
0.2%
(07:08) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD27 (#32 C.Smith)Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-2
0.2%
(06:16) Shotgun #28 K.Martin rush right for 2 yards loss to the UMD29 (#0 N.Avery)Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+14
0.2%
(05:27) Shotgun #16 A.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #6 L.Bond caught at UMD15, for 14 yards to the UMD15, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
0.2%
(04:39) Shotgun #18 S.Vanhorse rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMD09 (#23 K.Flowers; #33 M.Delhomme)Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+8
0.1%
(03:56) Shotgun #18 S.Vanhorse rush right for 8 yards gain to the UMD01 (#33 M.Delhomme; #31 M.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
(03:17) #28 K.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:08 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
0.1%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 I.Howard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMD33 (#91 D.Ratcliff; #17 D.Ndukwe)Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
0.1%
(02:16) #24 I.Howard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD35 (#16 J.Boyd)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+8
0.1%
(01:56) #12 K.Martin rush right for 8 yards gain to the UMD43 (#3 J.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
0.1%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 I.Howard rush right for 2 yards gain to the UMD45 (#17 D.Ndukwe)Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
0.1%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Martin pass complete short left to #81 J.Powell-Wonson caught at UMD45, for 5 yards to the UMD50 (#16 J.Boyd)Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 3
50
+9
0.1%
K. Martin pass to J. Powell-Wonson for 9 yds, K. Martin fumbled, forced by J. Boyd, recovered by G. Reese, G. Reese returnedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:14100% → 100%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
0.1%
(00:30) Kneel down by #16 A.Mendoza at IND40 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-1
0.1%
(00:14) Kneel down by #16 A.Mendoza at IND39 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:43
(09:59) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 31 yards gain to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:43, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
-6.9
TD · Q3 12:54
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short left to #0 D.Williams caught at UMD43, for 55 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:54, 1ST DOWN #36 S.O'Haire kick attempt good (H: #34 B.McFerson, LS: #96 E.Gough)
+6.2
TD · Q3 8:41
Devan Boykin 32 Yd Fumble Return (Nico Radicic Kick)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com