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RUTG

Rutgers 27 at Purdue 24

PUR
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:19 · (10:20) #38 J.McCallister punt 38 yards to the RUT10 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RUT10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense+11.1Garbage-time factor+5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:33: (07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at PUR33, for 72 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:33, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +15.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 7:45: (07:45) #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +34.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:43: (04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at RUT00, for 14 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab) — PUR win probability +42.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:06: (01:08) #44 J.Patel field goal attempt from 20 yards GOOD (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor), clock 01:06 — RUTG win probability +23.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Jai Patel 30 Yd Field Goal — RUTG win probability +33.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 8RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:27RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:34PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41RUTG 4th & 4 at PUR 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:08PUR 4th & 2 at RUTG 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:53RUTG 4th & 15 at PUR 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:47PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:23RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:44PUR 4th & 9 at RUTG 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:10RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.5%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37RUTG 4th & 2 at PUR 24, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:33RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:19PUR 4th & 6 at RUTG 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:00PUR 4th & 5 at RUTG 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−1.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:17PUR 4th & 7 at RUTG 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−3.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:02PUR 4th & 1 at RUTG 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−6.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−11.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:00RUTG 4th & 2 at PUR 35, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−11.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:06RUTG 4th & 2 at PUR 2, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−32.4
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2550% → 50%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 2 yards gain to the RUT27 (#5 C.Correa; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
50.0%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at RUT30, for 5 yards to the RUT32 (#1 S.Bradford)Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
50.1%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to #2 B.Black thrown to RUT40Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
50.2%
(13:34) #94 J.Anderson punt 45 yards to the PUR23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:5450% → 53%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
50.2%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PUR29 (#6 A.Wright; #14 J.Thompson)Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
50.3%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush right for 2 yards gain to the PUR31 (#9 J.Elad)Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
50.3%
(12:32) Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush right for 1 yard gain to the PUR32 (#8 D.Djabome; #5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+3
50.4%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR35 (#6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+57
50.7%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush left for 57 yards gain to the RUT08 (#10 J.Henderson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
51.4%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Jackson III thrown to RUT00Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
53.0%
(10:28) #3 M.Singleton pass complete short right to #24 M.Thomas caught at RUT04, for 8 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:24 #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:3548% → 46%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.3%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 0 yards to the RUT25 (#91 C.Nunnally; #58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+39
52.9%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RUT43, for 39 yards to the PUR36 (#4 H.Hines; #21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
52.6%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 2 yards gain to the PUR34 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+22
52.6%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #2 B.Black caught at PUR23, for 22 yards to the PUR12 (#1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
52.6%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR08 (#58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-1
52.9%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PUR09 (#16 M.Powell; #8 C.Madden)Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+3
53.6%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR06 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 4
OPP 6
0
54.4%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. thrown to PUR00 broken up by #25 H.McLaurin, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4FG
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:2155% → 59%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
55.1%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PUR15 (#14 J.Thompson)Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+7
55.4%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR15, for 7 yards to the PUR22 (#5 K.Sanders), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
55.7%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at PUR28, for 6 yards to the PUR28 (#21 A.Salaam)Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+17
56.2%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 17 yards gain to the PUR45 (#9 J.Elad; #3 B.Mascoe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
57.2%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 M.Jackson III caught at PUR44, for 0 yards to the PUR45 (#7 C.Miller)Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
57.2%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush left for 3 yards gain to the PUR48 (#6 A.Wright; #42 D.Allen)Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+44
57.1%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete deep left to #24 M.Thomas caught at RUT32, for 44 yards to the RUT08 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RUT Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
58.1%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT06 (#9 J.Elad; #8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
58.6%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush left for 5 yards gain to the RUT01 (#9 J.Elad)Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
58.5%
(00:45) Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RUT02 (#8 D.Djabome; #4 S.Robinson)Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
58.8%
(00:10) #35 S.Porath field goal attempt from 20 yards GOOD (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 00:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:1441% → 37%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.7%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at RUT21, for 1 yard loss to the RUT24 (#1 S.Bradford)Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+19
59.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush right for 19 yards gain to the RUT43 (#58 B.Ishmail; #4 H.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
58.5%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #18 C.Weber caught at RUT47, for 8 yards to the PUR49 (#10 A.Sanford)Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+10
58.3%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush left for 10 yards gain to the PUR39 (#21 T.Ra-El; #25 H.McLaurin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
58.8%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PUR33 (#21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+11
58.0%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 11 yards gain to the PUR22 (#23 T.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-7
57.8%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 7 yards to the PUR29 (#25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 17
OPP 29
-6
59.1%
(11:21) Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the PUR35 (#97 J.Harkless)Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 23
OPP 35
+7
61.5%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PUR28 (#18 D.Kennedy)Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+45
63.4%
(09:53) #44 J.Patel field goal attempt from 45 yards NO GOOD (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor), clock 09:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5862% → 61%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
62.3%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR31 (#99 E.O'Neill; #8 D.Djabome)Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
62.6%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #12 C.Smith thrown to PUR38Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+1
62.0%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush left for 1 yard gain to the PUR32 (#7 C.Miller), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
61.4%
(08:53) #38 J.McCallister punt 51 yards to the RUT17 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RUT17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1737% → 42%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
63.3%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left thrown to RUT20 QB hurried by #91 C.NunnallySimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-12
64.3%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 12 yards to the RUT05 (#91 C.Nunnally), fumble by #16 A.Kaliakmanis recovered by RUT #56 T.Needham at RUT05, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 22
OWN 5
+15
65.4%
(07:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 15 yards gain to the RUT20, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
57.7%
(07:23) #94 J.Anderson punt 35 yards to the PUR45 PENALTY RUT Kick Catch Interference (#7 C.Miller) 15 yards from PUR45 to RUT40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3059% → 56%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
58.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #13 E.Horton thrown to RUT30Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
58.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RUT37 (#6 A.Wright)Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-2
58.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #24 M.Thomas caught at RUT39, for 2 yards loss to the RUT39 (#10 J.Henderson)Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
56.4%
#38 J.McCallister punt 24 yards to the RUT15 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RUT15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
22 plays · 85 yds · 5:1844% → 45%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
56.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RUT20 (#16 M.Powell; #20 W.Berglund)Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
56.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT24 (#21 T.Ra-El; #25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
56.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 0 yards to the RUT24 (#40 I.Jeffries)Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+1
58.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RUT25 (#40 I.Jeffries), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 7 yards gain to the RUT32 (#25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
54.8%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 2 yards gain to the RUT34 (#40 I.Jeffries; #1 S.Bradford)Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
55.7%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT38 (#40 I.Jeffries; #58 B.Ishmail), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
55.2%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at PUR45, for 19 yards to the PUR43 (#4 H.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
53.0%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #0 D.Sheffield caught at PUR35, for 11 yards to the PUR32, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
51.7%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #2 B.Black caught at PUR26, for 7 yards to the PUR25 (#21 T.Ra-El; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
52.4%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short middle to #18 C.Weber thrown to PUR18 broken up by #16 M.PowellSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+1
53.8%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR24 (#16 M.Powell; #25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+11
57.9%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #2 B.Black caught at PUR18, for 11 yards to the PUR13 (#16 M.Powell; #10 A.Sanford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
54.4%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #18 C.Weber caught at PUR16, for 5 yards to the PUR08, out of bounds at PUR08Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+5
54.4%
(00:29) PENALTY RUT False Start (#65 B.Felter) 5 yards from PUR08 to PUR13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
54.3%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left thrown to PUR00 QB hurried by #97 J.HarklessSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+12
56.3%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 12 yards gain to the PUR01 (#21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.6%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:12 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
59.2%
(00:05) Kneel down by Purdue at PUR32 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3958% → 75%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
58.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush right for 32 yards gain to the RUT43 (#9 J.Elad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
62.6%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RUT40 (#94 B.Weaver)Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+37
62.7%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 37 yards gain to the RUT03 (#5 K.Sanders), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.6%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass complete short left to #45 D.Mockobee caught at RUT00, for 3 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:10 #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3028% → 25%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.1%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep middle to #0 D.Sheffield thrown to PUR26Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.4%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT29 (#5 C.Correa; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
73.1%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 3 yards to the RUT26 (#23 T.Smith)Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
74.7%
(11:38) #94 J.Anderson punt 41 yards to the PUR33 fair catch by #2 M.Jackson III at PUR33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:0074% → 74%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
74.1%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #45 D.Mockobee caught at PUR33, for 15 yards to the PUR48 (#6 A.Wright), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
75.7%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep middle to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to RUT13Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
75.6%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush right for 4 yards gain to the RUT48 (#9 J.Elad)Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
75.2%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Jackson III thrown to RUT42Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
74.1%
(10:20) #38 J.McCallister punt 38 yards to the RUT10 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RUT10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 2:3826% → 40%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
73.9%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RUT11 (#91 C.Nunnally; #58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
75.0%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. caught at RUT10, for 8 yards to the RUT19 (#5 C.Correa; #25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+6
75.9%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RUT25 (#5 C.Correa; #25 H.McLaurin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.3%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 3 yards gain to the RUT28 (#23 T.Smith; #25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+72
59.6%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at PUR33, for 72 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:33, 1ST DOWN #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2462% → 63%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.8%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 0 yards to the PUR25 (#91 D.Abdou Rahman)Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
61.6%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush right for 11 yards gain to the PUR36, out of bounds at PUR36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
63.2%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush left for 1 yard gain to the PUR37 (#6 A.Wright; #5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+18
63.0%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #22 A.Harris caught at PUR35, for 18 yards to the RUT45 (#5 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
66.1%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RUT40 (#6 A.Wright; #94 B.Weaver)Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
66.2%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep middle to #6 A.Branch thrown to RUT00Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
65.5%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #17 R.Walker thrown to RUT30 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
63.4%
(04:11) #38 J.McCallister punt 40 yards to the RUT00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16FUMBLE
9 plays · 45 yds · 4:3638% → 39%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
62.0%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the RUT14 (#5 C.Correa, #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+9
63.7%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #3 A.Raymond caught at RUT16, for 9 yards to the RUT23 (#16 M.Powell; #91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
64.8%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #3 A.Raymond caught at RUT25, for 9 yards to the RUT32 (#0 T.Grimes; #21 T.Ra-El), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
62.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 7 yards gain to the RUT39 (#16 M.Powell)Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+12
59.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 12 yards gain to the PUR49 (#21 T.Ra-El; #25 H.McLaurin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
58.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to PUR21 broken up by #4 H.HinesSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
59.8%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR46 (#5 C.Correa; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+11
60.9%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 11 yards gain to the PUR35 fumbled by #3 A.Raymond at PUR38 forced by #25 H.McLaurin recovered by PUR #21 T.Ra-El at PUR35, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:3568% → 68%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
68.4%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #13 E.Horton caught at PUR47, for 17 yards to the RUT48 (#5 K.Sanders; #10 J.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
71.8%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RUT46 (#1 J.Walker)Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
72.1%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton pass incomplete short right thrown to RUT42Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+1
70.6%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #2 M.Jackson III caught at RUT48, for 1 yard to the RUT45 (#5 K.Sanders; #99 E.O'Neill)Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
67.9%
(12:19) #38 J.McCallister punt 35 yards to the RUT10 fair catch by #0 D.Sheffield at RUT10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 4:2334% → 76%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
66.1%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 4 yards gain to the RUT14 (#5 C.Correa; #25 H.McLaurin)Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+42
66.6%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at PUR48, for 42 yards to the PUR44 (#4 H.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
60.7%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR42 (#91 C.Nunnally)Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+11
60.9%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 17 yards gain to the PUR25 (#21 T.Ra-El) PENALTY RUT Holding (#54 T.White) 11 yard from PUR42 to RUT47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+37
64.9%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete deep right to #8 K.Duff caught at PUR16, for 37 yards to the PUR16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
58.3%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PUR07 (#0 T.Grimes)Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+6
58.4%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PUR01 (#5 C.Correa; #1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.2%
(07:45) #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:4844% → 82%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
44.2%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Horton thrown to RUT28Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
43.6%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush right for 5 yards gain to the RUT36 (#5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+4
42.3%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RUT32 (#5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+1
41.7%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Singleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RUT31 (#6 A.Wright; #99 E.O'Neill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
47.0%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 D.Mockobee rush right for 2 yards gain to the RUT29 (#5 K.Sanders)Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
43.0%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Horton thrown to RUT19Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+15
39.8%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #0 N.Tuggle thrown to RUT20 PENALTY RUT Pass Interference (#3 B.Mascoe) 15 yards from RUT29 to RUT14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
82.3%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at RUT00, for 14 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 3:2330% → 57%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
70.1%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RUT44, for 32 yards to the PUR43 (#1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
63.4%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR41 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
63.7%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR37 (#91 C.Nunnally; #5 C.Correa)Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
66.7%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 2 yards gain to the PUR35 (#91 C.Nunnally; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+16
70.5%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short right to #2 B.Black caught at PUR30, for 16 yards to the PUR19 (#25 H.McLaurin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
65.1%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass complete short left to #0 D.Sheffield caught at PUR14, for 8 yards to the PUR11 (#21 T.Ra-El; #16 M.Powell)Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+4
66.5%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR07 (#1 S.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
64.5%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR05 (#5 C.Correa)Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.4%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Kaliakmanis pass incomplete short left to #12 K.Fletcher Jr. thrown to PUR03 broken up by #91 C.Nunnally QB hurried by #91 C.NunnallySimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
65.9%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PUR02 (#5 C.Correa; #21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
42.8%
(01:08) #44 J.Patel field goal attempt from 20 yards GOOD (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor), clock 01:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
57.1%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #15 R.Browne caught at PUR32, for 3 yards loss to the PUR30 fumbled by #15 R.Browne at PUR32 forced by #90 F.Gnago recovered by RUT #9 J.Elad at PUR30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:5262% → 95%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
38.3%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 11 yards gain to the PUR19 (#21 T.Ra-El; #4 H.Hines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
37.4%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PUR13 (#21 T.Ra-El)Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+30
4.7%
Jai Patel 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:43
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 N.Tuggle caught at RUT00, for 14 yards to the RUT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #35 S.Porath kick attempt good (H: #38 J.McCallister, LS: #46 L.Raab)
+42.5
TD · Q4 7:45
(07:45) #16 A.Kaliakmanis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45 #44 J.Patel kick attempt good (H: #22 R.McCann, LS: #99 M.O’Connor)
-34.2
FG · Q4 0:00
Jai Patel 30 Yd Field Goal
-33.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com