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NU

Northwestern 21 at Nebraska 28

NEB
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:15 · (03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at NEB25, for 4 yards to the NEB25 (#37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+7.6Home team on offense+14.9Garbage-time factor+4.0Score differential+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:47: (15:00) #92 N.Dugandzic kickoff 60 yards to the NEB05 #32 K.Williams return 95 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:47 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic) — NEB win probability +14.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:39: (07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at NU 00, for 12 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:39, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic) — NEB win probability +7.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:25: (02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 4 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:25 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine) — NU win probability +7.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:16: (11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 56 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:16, 1ST DOWN #80 H.Eligon II pass attempt Successful — NU win probability +32.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:44: (02:49) Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:44. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic) — NEB win probability +30.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:51NU 4th & 12 at NU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:28NU 4th & 8 at NEB 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:41NEB 4th & 1 at NU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:45NEB 4th & 1 at NU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.2%−0.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:44NEB 4th & 11 at NU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:01NU 4th & 7 at NEB 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30NEB 4th & 1 at NU 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:49NU 4th & 7 at NEB 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:43NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 32, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:15NU 4th & 3 at NEB 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:29NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 42, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:13NU 4th & 6 at NEB 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−4.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−5.2
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:5726% → 26%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU 29, for 4 yards to the NU 29 (#21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
74.1%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 3 yards gain to the NU 32 (#97 K.Davis; #96 W.Nwaneri)Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
74.0%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 36 (#16 E.Jeudy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
73.8%
PENALTY NU False Start (#60 E.Beerntsen) 5 yards from NU 36 to NU 31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+3
73.8%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NU 34 (#33 M.Watson-Trent; #9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
73.7%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep right to #19 D.Wagner thrown to NEB44 QB hurried by #15 D.McCulloughSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
73.7%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NU 49Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
73.8%
(12:00) #11 L.Akers punt 35 yards to the NEB31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:5774% → 76%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
73.7%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB36 (#6 R.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
73.7%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at NEB41, for 5 yards to the NEB41 (#2 F.Davis II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
73.6%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short middle to #13 N.Hunter caught at NU 50, for 26 yards to the NU 33 (#91 A.Hubbard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
73.8%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 7 yards gain to the NU 26 (#18 G.Wallace)Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+5
73.8%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NU 21 (#95 N.Story), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
73.8%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete short right to #19 C.Mills Jr. thrown to NU 05 QB hurried by #47 M.KilbaneSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
73.7%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NU 13 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
73.3%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 09 (#33 B.Brus; #21 D.Walters), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
75.5%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 9 yards gain to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:49 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:1625% → 27%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.8%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Komolafe thrown to NU 29Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.9%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 4 yards gain to the NU 29 (#21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+37
75.1%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NEB39, for 37 yards to the NEB34 (#10 A.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
73.9%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 8 yards gain to the NEB26 (#96 W.Nwaneri; #16 E.Jeudy)Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+2
73.8%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB24, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.8%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB24 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
73.8%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #6 J.Himon II caught at NEB28, for 2 yards to the NEB22 (#8 D.Singleton)Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
74.3%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #10 R.Ahumaraeze thrown to NEB04 broken up by #1 C.WrightSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
72.8%
(03:29) #82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 03:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4MISSED FG
16 plays · 40 yds · 7:2673% → 72%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
73.1%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola rush left for 6 yards gain to the NEB40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+15
73.6%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 15 yards gain to the NU 45 (#91 A.Hubbard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.7%
(02:09) No Huddle #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete short right thrown to NU 30 QB hurried by #91 A.HubbardSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
73.6%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #35 M.Nelson caught at NU 47, for 6 yards to the NU 39 (#6 R.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
73.5%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush right for 3 yards gain to the NU 36 (#37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
72.8%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU 35 (#47 M.Kilbane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
73.9%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Barney Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the NU 28 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+1
73.8%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU 27 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #1 C.Bastone)Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
73.3%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NU 26, for 1 yard to the NU 26 (#18 G.Wallace)Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
72.6%
(12:54) No Huddle #10 H.Haarberg rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU 25 (#37 M.Uihlein), 1ST DOWN. NU is challenging the ruling on the field - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
73.8%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 1 yard gain to the NU 24 (#1 C.Bastone; #47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-9
73.8%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NU 33 (#91 A.Hubbard). #65 T.Prochazka injured on the playSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 18
OPP 33
+7
72.3%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at NU 37, for 7 yards to the NU 26 (#18 G.Wallace; #91 A.Hubbard)Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
71.5%
(10:48) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic), clock 10:44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 7:3628% → 31%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
71.9%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU 27 (#40 D.Merritt)Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+8
71.7%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 8 yards gain to the NU 35 (#1 C.Wright)Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
70.8%
(09:25) No Huddle #8 P.Stone rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU 37 (#57 A.Murphy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
70.8%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #84 H.Welcing caught at NU 34, for 7 yards to the NU 44, out of bounds at NU 44Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
70.0%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Komolafe thrown to NEB48Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
70.2%
(07:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush right for 5 yards gain to the NU 49 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.; #21 R.Guthrie), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NEB Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
69.7%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB45 (#5 R.Van Poppel)Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-1
69.1%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NEB46 fumbled by #8 P.Stone at NEB46 recovered by NU #60 E.Beerntsen at NEB46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+12
69.6%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #19 D.Wagner caught at NEB45, for 12 yards to the NEB34 (#1 C.Wright; #8 D.Singleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
68.3%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #86 L.Albright caught at NEB30, for 4 yards to the NEB30 (#21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+20
67.9%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 20 yards gain to the NEB10 (#1 C.Wright; #37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
67.8%
(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Komolafe thrown to NEB05 broken up by #93 K.PietrzakSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
67.7%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB10 (#5 R.Van Poppel)Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
70.8%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #6 J.Himon II caught at NEB14, for 3 yards to the NEB07 (#37 D.Jones; #3 M.Buford Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
69.3%
#82 J.Olsen field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine), clock 03:01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:2572% → 71%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
71.7%
(03:01) No Huddle #13 N.Hunter rush right for 3 yards loss to the NEB22 (#2 F.Davis II), out of bounds PENALTY NEB Illegal Motion declinedSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
71.1%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the NEB37 (#4 A.Saka), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
72.1%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at NEB40, for 7 yards to the NEB44, out of bounds at NEB44. #13 J.Fussell injured on the playSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+21
73.2%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 21 yards gain to the NU 35 (#9 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
74.5%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete deep right to #6 D.Key thrown to NU 15 broken up by #12 E.SmithSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-6
74.5%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 6 yards loss to the NU 41 (#91 A.Hubbard)Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+15
71.5%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #44 L.Lindenmeyer caught at NU 34, for 15 yards to the NU 26 (#33 B.Brus)Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
71.3%
(00:38) No Huddle #15 D.Raiola rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU 24 fumbled by #15 D.Raiola at NU 24 forced by #9 B.Turner recovered by NU #2 F.Davis II at NU 24, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
68.9%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NU 27 (#21 R.Guthrie; #9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:5821% → 21%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
79.0%
PENALTY NEB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#35 M.Nelson) 15 yards from NU 25 to NU 40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
78.0%
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU 42 (#37 D.Jones; #11 C.Lenhardt)Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
78.1%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at NU 48, for 6 yards to the NU 48 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+2
77.3%
(13:22) No Huddle #8 P.Stone rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU 50 (#16 E.Jeudy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
50
+3
76.9%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 3 yards gain to the NEB47 (#8 D.Singleton; #21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
77.0%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NEB42Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
77.4%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #19 D.Wagner thrown to NEB35Similar
Q3 11:49
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
79.4%
(11:55) #11 L.Akers punt 36 yards to the NEB11 fair catch by #2 J.Barney Jr. at NEB11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:5580% → 80%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
80.3%
(11:47) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush left for 8 yards gain to the NEB19 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+4
80.6%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB23 (#47 M.Kilbane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
80.7%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Barney Jr. rush right for 3 yards loss to the NEB20 (#6 R.Fitzgerald). #6 R.Fitzgerald injured on the playSimilar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+4
80.4%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush left for 4 yards gain to the NEB24 (#95 N.Story; #47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+8
80.0%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #21 E.Johnson caught at NEB29, for 8 yards to the NEB32 (#37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
80.1%
(08:52) #83 A.Wilson punt 53 yards to the NU 15 #19 D.Wagner return 0 yards to the NU 15 (#46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
80.0%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass intercepted by #37 D.Jones at NU 32, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:4783% → 91%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
83.3%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 28 (#52 R.Hagarty) PENALTY NU Personal Foul (#12 E.Smith) 14 yards from NU 28 to NU 14, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
83.7%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 2 yards gain to the NU 12 (#1 C.Bastone; #37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
90.8%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at NU 00, for 12 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:39, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 5:0212% → 21%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
88.4%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 2 yards gain to the NU 24 (#97 K.Davis)Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+30
89.3%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #80 H.Eligon II caught at NU 41, for 30 yards to the NEB46 (#10 A.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
87.9%
PENALTY NEB Offside 5 yards from NEB46 to NEB41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+5
87.6%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB36 (#21 R.Guthrie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
88.4%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Wilde rush left for 5 yards gain to the NEB31 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
87.4%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB29 (#11 C.Lenhardt; #9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
87.2%
(03:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep right to #19 D.Wagner thrown to NEB09. #16 E.Jeudy injured on the playSimilar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+4
88.3%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at NEB25, for 4 yards to the NEB25 (#37 D.Jones), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
86.5%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush right for 17 yards gain to the NEB08 (#1 C.Wright), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NEB Face Mask (#1 C.Wright) 4 yards from NEB08 to NEB04, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.6%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 4 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:25 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:3985% → 86%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
84.9%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB27 (#37 M.Uihlein; #33 B.Brus)Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
85.3%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short middle to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NEB32, for 5 yards to the NEB32 (#33 B.Brus)Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
85.3%
(01:03) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB34 (#15 B.Flakes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
85.8%
(00:24) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB39 (#6 R.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
87.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush left for 1 yard gain to the NEB40 (#33 B.Brus)Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+2
87.1%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #6 D.Key caught at NEB42, for 2 yards to the NEB42 (#2 F.Davis II)Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
86.3%
(13:37) #83 A.Wilson punt 58 yards to the NU 00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0615% → 48%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
84.8%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU 21 (#5 R.Van Poppel)Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
85.1%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep right to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to NU 48 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (#10 A.Marshall) 15 yards from NU 21 to NU 36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.8%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 0 yards to the NU 36 (#37 D.Jones)Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
84.3%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #80 H.Eligon II caught at NU 44, for 8 yards to the NU 44 (#21 R.Guthrie)Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+56
51.7%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 56 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:16, 1ST DOWN #80 H.Eligon II pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
61.1%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass intercepted by #37 M.Uihlein at NEB39 #37 M.Uihlein return 5 yards to the NEB34 (#2 J.Barney Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4652% → 47%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
48.2%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #6 J.Himon II caught at NEB33, for 3 yards to the NEB31 (#0 J.Wright), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
47.2%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Himon II rush right for 3 yards gain to the NEB28 (#11 C.Lenhardt)Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
49.2%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 2 yards gain (2) to the NEB26 (#8 D.Singleton) PENALTY NU Holding (#75 M.Lewis) 10 yards from NEB26 to NEB36Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-14
53.3%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass intercepted by #0 J.Wright at NEB22 #0 J.Wright return 14 yards to the NEB36 (#84 H.Welcing; #5 C.Komolafe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 6:2162% → 95%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
62.4%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete deep right to #13 N.Hunter thrown to NU 23Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
61.6%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush right for 3 yards gain to the NEB39 (#52 R.Hagarty)Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+7
60.7%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #21 E.Johnson caught at NEB46, for 7 yards to the NEB46 (#12 E.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
64.8%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB48 (#95 N.Story)Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
64.4%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 N.Hunter caught at NEB49, for 1 yard to the NEB49 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+19
62.4%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #13 N.Hunter caught at NU 35, for 19 yards to the NU 32 (#2 F.Davis II), 1ST DOWN. #91 A.Hubbard injured on the playSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
67.1%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NU 29 (#47 M.Kilbane; #37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
67.1%
(05:37) Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass incomplete deep left to #6 D.Key thrown to NU 03Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+13
64.9%
(05:31) Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #6 D.Key caught at NU 25, for 13 yards to the NU 16 (#6 R.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
66.9%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Barney Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the NU 12 (#12 E.Smith)Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+1
66.8%
(04:10) No Huddle #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NU 11 (#6 R.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+7
64.6%
(03:31) Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NU 04, for 7 yards to the NU 04 (#33 B.Brus), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.8%
(02:49) Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:44. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:0911% → 12%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
88.9%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at NU 39, for 13 yards to the NU 39 (#13 J.Conn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
88.2%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep right to #84 H.Welcing caught at NEB39, for 22 yards to the NEB39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #84 H.Welcing thrown to NEB24Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
86.6%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #6 J.Himon II caught at NEB43, for 4 yards to the NEB35 (#9 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
86.5%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Komolafe thrown to NEB25 QB hurried by #96 W.NwaneriSimilar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
88.5%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep left to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NEB03 QB hurried by #0 J.Wright, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:3496% → 97%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.1%
(01:13) #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NEB42 (#18 G.Wallace)Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
96.8%
(01:07) #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NU 49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
97.0%
(00:34) Kneel down by #15 D.Raiola at NEB49 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:16
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 56 yards gain to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:16, 1ST DOWN #80 H.Eligon II pass attempt Successful
-32.6
TD · Q4 2:44
(02:49) Shotgun #21 E.Johnson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:44. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)
+30.2
TD · Q3 14:47
(15:00) #92 N.Dugandzic kickoff 60 yards to the NEB05 #32 K.Williams return 95 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:47 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #46 K.Gallic)
+14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com