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ILL

Illinois 25 at Washington 42

WASH
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.5WASH 61.5%(05:09) #24 D.Olano field goal attemptfrom 33 yards GOOD (H: #40 K.Crimmins,LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 05:05AWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 5:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:05 · (05:09) #24 D.Olano field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 05:05
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+8.9Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:26: (07:32) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at WASH00, for 2 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:26 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III) — ILL win probability +8.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 7:45: (07:50) #1 J.Coleman rush right for 7 yards gain to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +10.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:39: (14:45) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ILL00, for 6 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:39 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:07: (11:09) #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:07 #14 C.Rusk pass attempt Successful — ILL win probability +14.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:16: (08:19) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at ILL03, for 2 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:16, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +5.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ILL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:05ILL 4th & 3 at WASH 14, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.6%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 6:10WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  3. Q3 13:22ILL 4th & 15 at ILL 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q4 4:21WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 20, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.5
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1461% → 63%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.7%
(14:53) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 9 yards gain to the WASH34 (#28 D.Rosiek), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
60.7%
(14:22) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at WASH31, for 8 yards to the WASH42 (#16 T.Heckel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
60.8%
(13:48) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush right for 8 yards gain to the WASH50 (#5 T.Cox Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 2
50
+8
60.9%
(13:15) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 8 yards gain to the ILL42 (#3 A.Bryant; #16 T.Heckel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
61.0%
(12:35) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #24 A.Mohammed caught at ILL40, for 9 yards to the ILL33 (#28 D.Rosiek; #3 A.Bryant)Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
61.2%
(11:52) #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL29 (#44 A.McCullom), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
61.2%
(11:12) No Huddle #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ILL20, for 19 yards to the ILL10 (#28 D.Rosiek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
61.3%
(10:35) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #4 J.Washington caught at ILL14, for 4 yards to the ILL06 (#7 M.Bailey), out of bounds PENALTY WASH Holding (#86 D.DeGraaf) 10 yards from ILL10 to ILL20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+7
61.3%
(10:17) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #1 J.Coleman caught at ILL25, for 7 yards to the ILL13 (#45 M.Hood), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
61.4%
(09:43) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #12 D.Boston thrown to ILL13 broken up by #52 P.FarrellSimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
63.0%
(09:41) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #81 D.Roebuck caught at ILL02, for 13 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:31, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:1138% → 39%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
62.2%
(09:25) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #80 H.Beatty caught at ILL47, for 11 yards to the WASH42 (#10 X.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
62.1%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete deep left to #80 H.Beatty thrown to WASH12 broken up by #12 A.McLaughlinSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
62.2%
(08:50) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WASH34 (#12 A.McLaughlin; #10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
62.4%
(08:09) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at WASH32, for 2 yards to the WASH32 (#8 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
62.2%
(07:21) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right thrown to WASH25 QB hurried by #10 X.AlexanderSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
62.3%
(07:12) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #14 C.Rusk caught at WASH26, for 11 yards to the WASH21 (#24 M.Esteen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
62.3%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush right for 4 yards gain to the WASH17 (#10 X.Alexander; #5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
62.3%
(05:58) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 3 yards gain to the WASH14 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
63.0%
(05:13) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Bowick thrown to WASH00Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+33
61.5%
(05:09) #24 D.Olano field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 05:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:1262% → 68%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
62.0%
(04:58) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 1 yard gain to the WASH34 (#28 D.Rosiek) PENALTY WASH Illegal Formation 5 yards from WASH33 to WASH28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+10
61.9%
(04:46) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #81 D.Roebuck caught at WASH33, for 10 yards to the WASH38 (#16 T.Heckel)Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
62.7%
(04:08) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #24 A.Mohammed caught at WASH34, for 10 yards to the WASH48 (#28 D.Rosiek; #6 J.Clarke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
63.0%
(03:28) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #86 D.DeGraaf thrown to WASH42Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+28
62.9%
(03:25) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ILL35, for 28 yards to the ILL24 (#10 M.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
63.3%
(02:40) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL21 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+4
63.4%
(02:00) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL17 (#17 G.Jacas; #96 E.Coenen)Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+4
63.0%
(01:31) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush right for 4 yards gain to the ILL13 (#7 M.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
67.9%
(00:52) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #81 D.Roebuck caught at ILL00, for 13 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:46, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 8:1233% → 40%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.9%
(00:46) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush right for 2 yards gain to the ILL27 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
67.0%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ILL29 (#92 B.Butler; #5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
67.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #80 H.Beatty caught at ILL45, for 17 yards to the ILL46 (#12 A.McLaughlin; #24 M.Esteen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
66.5%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL47, for 2 yards to the ILL48 (#7 E.Prysock)Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
67.0%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 6 yards gain to the WASH46 (#7 E.Prysock)Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+13
67.2%
(13:14) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 13 yards gain to the WASH33 (#12 A.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
66.5%
(12:25) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 3 yards gain to the WASH30 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
66.5%
(11:46) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #80 H.Beatty caught at WASH31, for 5 yards to the WASH25 (#12 A.McLaughlin), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+7
67.8%
(11:02) #3 K.Feagin rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WASH18 (#41 D.Lynch; #7 E.Prysock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
67.2%
(10:23) Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH15 (#24 M.Esteen)Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
67.8%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #3 K.Feagin caught at WASH11, for 6 yards to the WASH09 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
68.8%
(08:59) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH06 (#7 E.Prysock; #10 X.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
68.2%
(08:19) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #17 C.Dixon thrown to WASH00 PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (#8 T.Davis) 4 yards from WASH06 to WASH02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.5%
(08:16) #3 K.Feagin rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH02 (#7 E.Prysock; #12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.7%
(07:32) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at WASH00, for 2 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:26 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0564% → 63%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.9%
(07:21) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 7 yards gain to the WASH32 (#9 L.Lowery)Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
64.9%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 0 yards to the WASH32 (#90 J.Thompson Jr.; #44 A.McCullom)Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
63.6%
(06:19) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #86 D.DeGraaf thrown to WASH34Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
62.9%
(06:15) #45 L.Dunne punt 47 yards to the ILL21 fair catch by #80 H.Beatty at ILL21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:0737% → 41%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
63.3%
(06:10) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short middle to #17 C.Dixon caught at ILL38, for 25 yards to the ILL46 (#8 T.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.1%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 0 yards to the ILL46 (#10 X.Alexander). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
61.7%
(05:03) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at ILL44, for 6 yards to the WASH48 (#7 E.Prysock), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+18
61.1%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush middle for 18 yards gain to the WASH30 (#24 M.Esteen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
59.9%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete deep left to #13 H.Clement thrown to WASH00 broken up by #2 R.ClarkSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
59.9%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WASH22 (#5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+9
60.6%
(03:16) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #80 H.Beatty caught at WASH13, for 9 yards to the WASH13 (#12 A.McLaughlin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 21
OPP 24
+15
60.4%
(02:35) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass intercepted by #8 T.Davis at WASH00, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (#8 T.Davis) 15 yards from WASH24 to WASH09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
59.7%
(02:30) Shotgun #3 K.Feagin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WASH05 (#12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.9%
(02:00) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short middle to #85 T.Arkin caught at WASH00, for 5 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:1065% → 69%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.6%
(01:55) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at WASH27, for 7 yards to the WASH32 (#7 M.Bailey), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
65.8%
(01:50) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #12 D.Boston thrown to WASH42Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
64.2%
(01:46) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #12 D.Boston caught at WASH35, for 5 yards to the WASH37 (#5 T.Cox Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
65.5%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WASH41 (#3 A.Bryant)Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+18
66.6%
(01:31) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #12 D.Boston caught at WASH45, for 18 yards to the ILL41 (#10 M.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
67.5%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #1 J.Coleman caught at ILL36, for 8 yards to the ILL33 (#5 T.Cox Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+10
67.9%
(01:12) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 10 yards gain to the ILL23 (#7 M.Bailey), 1ST DOWN. #7 M.Bailey injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
67.9%
(01:00) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #12 D.Boston thrown to ILL18 broken up by #41 J.KreutzSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
68.5%
(00:56) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at ILL19, for 8 yards to the ILL15 (#10 M.Scott)Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
67.5%
(00:50) #4 J.Washington rush right for 3 yards gain to the ILL12 (#16 T.Heckel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
68.6%
(00:46) #12 D.Boston pass complete short right to #1 J.Coleman caught at ILL00, for 12 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
62.9%
(00:28) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Bowick thrown to ILL45Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
63.4%
(00:24) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ILL41 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 1:3436% → 34%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 8 yards gain to the ILL33 (#12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
62.3%
(14:27) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #85 T.Arkin caught at ILL36, for 4 yards to the ILL37 (#7 E.Prysock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.6%
(13:43) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short left to #13 H.Clement thrown to WASH45Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
64.0%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short middle to #80 H.Beatty thrown to WASH45 QB hurried by #10 X.Alexander PENALTY ILL Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
65.4%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short middle to #80 H.Beatty thrown to ILL48 broken up by #23 Z.Rainey-SaleSimilar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+5
66.0%
PENALTY ILL False Start (#17 C.Dixon) 5 yards from ILL37 to ILL32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 15
OWN 32
-8
66.4%
(13:31) #40 K.Crimmins punt 50 yards to the WASH18 muffed by #12 D.Boston at WASH18 recovered by WASH #6 D.Robinson at WASH10, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 5:2565% → 83%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
65.1%
(13:22) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #1 J.Coleman caught at WASH05, for 5 yards to the WASH15 (#7 M.Bailey), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+3
64.8%
(12:46) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+3
63.4%
(12:14) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH21 (#3 A.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
64.9%
(11:42) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WASH19, for 11 yards to the WASH32 (#28 D.Rosiek), 1ST DOWN. #90 J.Thompson Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
65.3%
(11:20) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH35 (#7 M.Bailey; #28 D.Rosiek)Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+29
68.6%
(10:45) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 29 yards gain to the ILL36 (#10 M.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
71.2%
(10:12) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the ILL36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
71.2%
(09:32) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the ILL33 (#17 G.Jacas), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+17
71.0%
(08:58) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ILL16, for 17 yards to the ILL16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
72.4%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at ILL21, for 9 yards to the ILL07 (#45 M.Hood)Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+7
83.0%
(07:50) #1 J.Coleman rush right for 7 yards gain to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11INT
11 plays · 25 yds · 5:1020% → 16%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.0%
(07:45) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 1 yard gain to the ILL26 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
80.5%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short middle to #80 H.Beatty caught at ILL32, for 6 yards to the ILL32 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
80.7%
(06:20) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #0 J.Bowick caught at ILL36, for 4 yards to the ILL36, out of bounds at ILL36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
80.1%
(05:42) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush right for 2 yards gain to the ILL38 (#10 X.Alexander; #7 E.Prysock)Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
80.3%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #14 C.Rusk caught at ILL42, for 9 yards to the ILL47 (#7 E.Prysock), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
80.1%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #14 C.Rusk caught at WASH47, for 9 yards to the WASH44, out of bounds at WASH44Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
80.3%
(03:54) Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WASH39 (#12 A.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
81.0%
(03:16) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete deep left to #17 C.Dixon thrown to WASH08Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
81.0%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 4 yards gain to the WASH35 (#54 A.Thompson; #41 D.Lynch) PENALTY ILL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#75 B.Henderson) 15 yards from WASH35 to WASH50Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 21
50
-34
84.0%
(02:42) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass intercepted by #8 T.Davis at WASH30 broken up by #23 Z.Rainey-Sale #8 T.Davis return 34 yards to the ILL36 (#9 L.Altmyer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:4487% → 96%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
86.6%
(02:29) Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush right for 11 yards gain (2) to the ILL25 (#6 J.Clarke), out of bounds PENALTY WASH Holding (#74 D.Azzopardi) 10 yards from ILL34 to ILL44Similar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 18
OPP 44
0
86.6%
(02:05) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #8 C.Lawson caught at ILL45, for 0 yards to the ILL44 (#8 J.Warren)Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 18
OPP 44
0
86.6%
(01:31) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #5 O.Evans thrown to ILL04Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 18
OPP 44
+25
86.0%
(01:25) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 25 yards gain to the ILL19 (#0 M.Resetich), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
87.3%
(00:39) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at ILL18, for 3 yards to the ILL16 (#6 J.Clarke)Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+3
88.3%
(15:00) #1 J.Coleman rush left for 3 yards gain to the ILL13 (#6 J.Clarke), out of bounds PENALTY ILL Face Mask (#6 J.Clarke) 7 yards from ILL13 to ILL06, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.1%
(14:45) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at ILL00, for 6 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:39 #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:275% → 19%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.6%
(14:39) Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ILL34 (#24 M.Esteen; #10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
94.8%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #5 C.Valentine caught at ILL36, for 3 yards to the ILL37, out of bounds at ILL37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
94.9%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 1 yard loss to the ILL36 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+15
95.2%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass intercepted by #24 M.Esteen at ILL47 #24 M.Esteen return 19 yards to the ILL28, End Of Play PENALTY WASH Roughing The Passer (#11 T.Uiagalelei) 15 yards from ILL36 to WASH49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
94.9%
PENALTY WASH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from WASH49 to WASH34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
94.7%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 5 yards gain to the WASH29 (#48 J.Lane)Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+25
95.0%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short middle to #80 H.Beatty caught at WASH10, for 25 yards to the WASH04 (#8 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.1%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush right for 3 yards gain to the WASH01 (#8 T.Davis)Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.6%
(11:09) #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:07 #14 C.Rusk pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4486% → 97%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
86.4%
(11:07) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at WASH24, for 20 yards to the WASH45 (#10 M.Scott), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.5%
(10:35) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush right for 1 yard gain to the WASH46 (#1 K.Patterson; #28 D.Rosiek) PENALTY ILL Personal Foul (#44 A.McCullom) 15 yards from WASH46 to ILL39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
88.2%
(10:19) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep middle to #12 D.Boston thrown to ILL00 broken up by #16 T.HeckelSimilar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
88.1%
(10:13) #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ILL35 (#17 G.Jacas)Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+24
87.9%
(09:25) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at ILL27, for 24 yards to the ILL11 (#0 M.Resetich), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #12 D.Boston injured on the playSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
90.2%
(09:06) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at ILL11, for 9 yards to the ILL02 (#41 J.Kreutz)Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.1%
(08:19) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at ILL03, for 2 yards to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:16, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15INT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:034% → 4%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
(08:15) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass incomplete short right to #14 C.Rusk thrown to ILL32 broken up by #48 J.LaneSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.1%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #5 C.Valentine caught at ILL22, for 1 yard loss to the ILL24 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
96.3%
PENALTY ILL False Start (#58 M.Priestly) 5 yards from ILL24 to ILL19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+27
96.5%
(07:12) Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete deep right to #14 C.Rusk caught at ILL46, for 27 yards to the ILL46 (#12 A.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
96.0%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer rush right for 6 yards gain to the WASH48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+12
96.0%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at WASH37, for 12 yards to the WASH36 (#12 A.McLaughlin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Offside declinedSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
96.2%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Altmyer pass intercepted by #2 R.Clark at WASH11 #2 R.Clark return 0 yards to the WASH11 (#80 H.Beatty)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16END OF GAME
16 plays · 26 yds · 5:1798% → 100%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
97.6%
(06:02) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 4 yards gain to the WASH15 (#17 G.Jacas)Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-2
97.7%
(05:22) Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 2 yards loss to the WASH13 (#52 P.Farrell; #44 A.McCullom)Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+7
97.9%
(05:15) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the WASH20 (#45 M.Hood), out of bounds. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+5
99.1%
(04:30) #45 L.Dunne punt 40 yards to the ILL40 PENALTY ILL Running Into The Kicker (#0 M.Resetich) 5 yards from WASH20 to WASH25. NO PLAY. ILL is challenging the ruling on the field - "Penalty enforcement". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.2%
(04:20) #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH36, for 11 yards to the WASH36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
99.3%
(03:31) Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 3 yards loss to the WASH33 (#10 M.Scott)Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+2
99.4%
(02:47) Shotgun #4 J.Washington rush right for 2 yards gain to the WASH35 (#44 A.McCullom)Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+11
99.4%
(02:43) Shotgun #4 J.Washington rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WASH46 (#30 J.Hayden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
99.5%
(01:59) Kneel down by #2 D.Williams Jr. at WASH43 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 13
OWN 43
-3
99.5%
(01:18) Kneel down by #2 D.Williams Jr. at WASH40 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 16
OWN 40
-3
99.5%
(00:36) Kneel down by #2 D.Williams Jr. at WASH37 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:07
(11:09) #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:07 #14 C.Rusk pass attempt Successful
-14.5
TD · Q3 7:45
(07:50) #1 J.Coleman rush right for 7 yards gain to the ILL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45, 1ST DOWN #95 G.Gross kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean)
+10.6
TD · Q2 7:26
(07:32) #9 L.Altmyer pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at WASH00, for 2 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:26 #24 D.Olano kick attempt good (H: #40 K.Crimmins, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com