Try the model
MD

Maryland 17 at UCLA 20

UCLA
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Rose Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:14 · Will Karoll punt for 59 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Defense timeoutsOffense timeoutsHome team on offensePregame priorTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Defense timeouts−14.2Offense timeouts−13.1Home team on offense+5.3Pregame prior+4.3Time remaining+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:40: Jamare Glasker 8 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Capriotti Kick) — MD win probability +13.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q3 4:40: Maryland Penalty, false start (Dillan Fontus) to the UCLA 8 — MD win probability +6.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q4 3:33: Mikey Matthews 14 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Mateen Bhaghani Kick) — UCLA win probability +35.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:04: Mateen Bhaghani 42 Yd Field Goal — UCLA win probability +13.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:02: Mateen Bhaghani 23 Yd Field Goal — MD win probability +22.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:59UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01MD 4th & 7 at MD 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28UCLA 4th & 9 at MD 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:11MD 4th & 6 at UCLA 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:12MD 4th & 3 at MD 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:46UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:26MD 4th & 8 at UCLA 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:30UCLA 4th & 15 at UCLA 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:26MD 4th & 1 at MD 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.9%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:28MD 4th & 6 at MD 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:14UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:17MD 4th & 4 at MD 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:25UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:16MD 4th & 2 at UCLA 2, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−10.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:12UCLA 4th & 19 at MD 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−3.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−1.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:25MD 4th & 2 at MD 28, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:13MD 4th & 8 at UCLA 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−4.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:44UCLA 4th & 2 at MD 38, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%−3.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−5.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:46MD 4th & 4 at UCLA 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−5.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−3.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:59UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.4%−0.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:04UCLA 4th & 14 at MD 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−4.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−13.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:05UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:40MD Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:33UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5160% → 57%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
59.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
59.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jalen Berger for no gain to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
58.4%
Nico Iamaleava run for no gain to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
57.4%
Will Karoll punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5143% → 44%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
57.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan Ray, broken up by JonJon Vaughns Maryland Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Octavian Smith Jr.) to the MD 8Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
57.2%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the MD 11Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
56.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts, broken up by Rodrick PleasantSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
56.4%
Bryce McFerson punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:2256% → 51%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
55.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
55.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 9 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
55.5%
Jaivian Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
54.7%
Jaivian Thomas run for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
54.2%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+9
53.3%
Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
53.6%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
52.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr., broken up by Dillan FontusSimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+3
52.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 3 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-5
51.1%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (Mateen Bhaghani) to the MD 41Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
50.6%
Will Karoll punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4FG
18 plays · 88 yds · 8:0749% → 60%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
50.7%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 9Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
50.3%
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the MD 9Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+16
50.0%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 16 yds to the MD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.8%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr., broken up by Cole MartinSimilar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+32
48.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 32 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
46.9%
Octavian Smith Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+3
45.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
45.4%
Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
44.6%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+4
43.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 4 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+10
43.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 10 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
41.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts, broken up by Isaiah ChisomSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
41.7%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+15
41.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rodrick Pleasant) to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
40.6%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
40.0%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
40.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
39.6%
Sean O'Haire 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:0039% → 44%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
38.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
38.4%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+9
37.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 9 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
43.8%
Anthony Frias II 55 Yd Run (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5355% → 55%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.8%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb, broken up by Key LawrenceSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 7 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
44.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
44.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1441% → 38%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
41.1%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+3
40.6%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 2
OWN 15
-8
40.2%
Nico Iamaleava run for no gain to the UCLA 15 UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (Courtland Ford) to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+2
39.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Frias II for 2 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+7
38.2%
Will Karoll punt for 40 yds , Jalil Farooq returns for 7 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1160% → 57%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
40.4%
Iverson Howard run for no gain to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
42.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 2 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
42.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
43.5%
Bryce McFerson punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5641% → 38%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
41.4%
Jaivian Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
40.6%
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-8
39.4%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Nahsir Taylor and Daniel Wingate for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 9 UCLA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kwazi Gilmer) to the UCLA 5Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
37.9%
Will Karoll punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:2058% → 62%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
41.9%
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the MD 34Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
41.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
39.8%
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the MD 43Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+23
40.6%
DeJuan Williams run for 23 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
37.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 2 yds Malik Washington fumbled, recovered by UCLA JonJon VaughnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:5240% → 32%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
40.3%
Anthony Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+33
39.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 18 yds to the MD 49 Maryland Penalty, personal foul (Trey Reddick) to the MD 36Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
31.1%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
31.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr.Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
30.5%
Jalen Berger run for 7 yds to the MD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
32.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass intercepted Jalen Huskey return for no gain to the MD 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:5269% → 73%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
31.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 10 yds to the MD 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
30.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan Ray, broken up by Anthony JonesSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
30.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 2 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+15
31.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr. for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Robert Stafford III) to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
29.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 4 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
28.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts, broken up by Scooter JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
29.6%
Malik Washington run for 9 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
27.9%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
28.5%
Malik Washington run for 11 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
27.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jordan Scott, broken up by Scooter JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3257% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan RaySimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.3%
Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q3 14:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
43.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q3 14:28
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
44.4%
Bryce McFerson punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 18 , Mikey Matthews returns for no gain to the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:0740% → 39%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
40.4%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
40.2%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+9
38.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 9 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
41.2%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
40.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala, broken up by Jalen HuskeySimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+6
39.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 6 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
39.1%
Will Karoll punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:5054% → 53%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
46.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 19 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
45.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 6 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
44.7%
Nolan Ray run for no gain to the MD 45Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
44.5%
Malik Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
47.1%
Bryce McFerson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4443% → 37%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
43.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
43.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 5 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
37.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr.Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+20
36.8%
Will Karoll punt for 52 yds , Jalil Farooq returns for 20 yds to the MD 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:5656% → 54%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
43.7%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming, broken up by Andre Jordan Jr.Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
44.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 4 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+41
43.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 41 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
41.5%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq, broken up by Rodrick PleasantSimilar
Q3 6:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
43.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 1 yd to the UCLA 2Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.9%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming, broken up by Andre Jordan Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
3 plays · 98 yds · 0:3336% → 16%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
35.7%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 4
-8
22.3%
Jamare Glasker 8 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Capriotti Kick)Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
15.7%
Maryland Penalty, false start (Dillan Fontus) to the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:2323% → 20%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
23.2%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+34
25.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 34 yds to the MD 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
29.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 35Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 11
OPP 35
-10
28.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for no gain to the MD 35 UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (Courtland Ford) to the MD 45Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+2
23.8%
Anthony Frias II run for 2 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 19
OPP 43
0
22.3%
Nico Iamaleava run for no gain to the MD 43Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
20.1%
Will Karoll punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4785% → 85%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.5%
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the MD 20Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
15.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 1 yd to the MD 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+7
15.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 7 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
15.2%
Bryce McFerson punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21Uncategorized
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:1320% → 26%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
20.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for a 1ST down Maryland Penalty, Defensive holding (La'khi Roland) to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
20.9%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43 UCLA Penalty, illegal block (Kwazi Gilmer) to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+20
22.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 20 yds to the MD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
26.0%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Sidney Stewart for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 48 Nico Iamaleava fumbled, recovered by MD DD Holmes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4885% → 85%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
15.1%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
13.7%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts, broken up by Rodrick PleasantSimilar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
14.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts, broken up by Key LawrenceSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
15.3%
Bryce McFerson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:2620% → 21%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
19.8%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the UCLA 10Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
19.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 7 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+17
18.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 17 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
18.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+20
18.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 20 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
22.3%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Sam Yoon) to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+5
21.1%
Anthony Frias II run for 5 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
22.9%
Nico Iamaleava run for 7 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+1
22.7%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the MD 38Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+56
20.5%
Mateen Bhaghani 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5388% → 86%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
12.5%
DeJuan Williams run for 13 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
14.6%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
14.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+2
14.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to AJ Szymanski for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
14.3%
Bryce McFerson punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:0726% → 74%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
25.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 14 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
25.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mikey Matthews for a 1ST down Maryland Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dontay Joyner) to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
29.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
28.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr.Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
29.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr., broken up by Messiah DelhommeSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+31
27.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 16 yds to the MD 35 Maryland Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Huskey) to the MD 20Similar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
38.7%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the MD 16Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
38.6%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the MD 14Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
73.6%
Mikey Matthews 14 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
75.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the MD 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5279% → 93%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
78.9%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the MD 20Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
81.2%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the MD 25Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+1
80.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 1 yd to the MD 24Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
79.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+42
92.9%
Mateen Bhaghani 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:237% → 21%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.9%
Malik Washington run for 11 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
77.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 9 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
75.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
77.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+28
76.6%
Malik Washington run for 28 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
78.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
79.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+8
80.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr. for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive holding (Andre Jordan Jr.) to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
78.7%
Jalil Farooq 8 Yd pass from Malik Washington (Ryan Capriotti Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 29FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 0:3292% → 70%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
91.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 14 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
92.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 19 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+35
92.4%
Anthony Frias II run for 35 yds to the MD 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
69.5%
Mateen Bhaghani 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:33
Mikey Matthews 14 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)
+35.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+30.5
FG · Q4 0:02
Mateen Bhaghani 23 Yd Field Goal
-22.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com