ORE
Oregon 56 at Rutgers 10
RUTG2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · SHI Stadium
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · B. Thomas takes a knee
01
Market gave RUTG a 11% pregame chance
−56
02
ORE has the ball
−5
03
ORE leading by 46
−1
04
Blowout context favors the offense
+0
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:50
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 28
-0.5
Q1 14:12
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 24
-0.1
Q1 13:35
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 8 yds Gary Bryant Jr. fumbled, recovered by RUTG Jordan Walker
0.0
Q1 13:32
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff
+1.1
Q1 13:28
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff
0.0
Q1 13:22
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff
-0.1
Q1 13:18
Jai Patel 51 yd FG GOOD
+1.2
Q1 13:18
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.2
Q1 12:54
Dante Moore pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the ORE 29
-0.8
Q1 12:38
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 32
0.0
Q1 11:52
Noah Whittington run for 68 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-2.2
Q1 11:52
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 11:42
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 24
+0.4
Q1 11:13
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff
0.0
Q1 10:54
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 7 yds to the RUTG 31
0.0
Q1 10:30
Jakob Anderson punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 13
0.0
Q1 10:20
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the ORE 18
-0.5
Q1 9:45
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 20
0.0
Q1 9:10
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 16 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:01
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien Moore
-0.1
Q1 8:50
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 36
-0.1
Q1 7:24
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 6:49
Dante Moore pass complete to Cooper Perry for 2 yds to the RUTG 38
-0.2
Q1 6:41
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 5 yds to the RUTG 33
0.0
Q1 6:36
Dante Moore run for 13 yds to the RUTG 20 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the RUTG 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:25
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 30 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-1.4
Q1 6:25
Saleapaga,Roger rush attempt Successful PENALTY RU Offside offsetting OU Illegal Formation offsetting. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 6:25
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.1
Q1 6:06
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 6 yds to the RUTG 31
+0.5
Q1 5:42
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 5:05
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete
+0.1
Q1 4:50
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the RUTG 43
0.0
Q1 4:16
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:03
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 40 Athan Kaliakmanis fumbled, recovered by RUTG Kwabena Asamoah , return for 0 yards
+0.1
Q1 2:41
Antwan Raymond run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q1 2:10
Timeout Rutgers, clock 02:10
+0.1
Q1 1:53
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 6 yds to the ORE 44
0.0
Q1 1:23
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 0:41
Oregon Penalty, (3 Yards) to the ORE 36
+0.1
Q1 0:41
Oregon Penalty, (15 Yards) to the ORE 21
0.0
Q1 0:00
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 24 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q2 14:45
Jordon Davison run for 13 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 14:17
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 21 yds to the RUTG 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:02
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 21 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
-1.3
Q2 14:02
Gage Hurych kickoff for 59 yds
0.0
Q2 13:55
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 23
+0.5
Q2 13:11
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 18 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:38
Antwan Raymond run for 8 yds to the RUTG 49 Antwan Raymond fumbled, recovered by ORE Theran Johnson
0.0
Q2 12:14
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 10 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q2 12:02
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 5 yds to the RUTG 34
0.0
Q2 11:34
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 34 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-0.2
Q2 11:34
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 63 yds
0.0
Q2 11:29
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT Sheffield
0.0
Q2 11:24
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Kenny Fletcher Jr.
0.0
Q2 11:10
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26
0.0
Q2 10:38
Jakob Anderson punt for 46 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the ORE 28
0.0
Q2 10:19
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the ORE 34
-0.1
Q2 10:05
Noah Whittington run for 9 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:29
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 29 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:54
Noah Whittington run for 28 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-0.1
Q2 8:54
Gage Hurych kickoff for 64 yds
0.0
Q2 8:47
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28
+0.2
Q2 8:34
Timeout Rutgers, clock 08:34
0.0
Q2 8:24
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 32
0.0
Q2 7:29
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 6:43
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 9 yds to the RUTG 46
0.0
Q2 6:09
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 45
0.0
Q2 5:41
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:07
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT Sheffield
0.0
Q2 4:43
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ORE 47
0.0
Q2 3:56
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 44
0.0
Q2 3:27
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 11 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:01
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ben Black
0.0
Q2 2:51
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the ORE 33
0.0
Q2 2:03
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the ORE 28
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Rutgers, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:57
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT Sheffield
0.0
Q2 1:50
Dante Moore run for 1 yd to the ORE 29
-0.2
Q2 1:45
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Malik Benson
0.0
Q2 1:30
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 56 yds to the RUTG 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:14
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Davison,Jordon rush middle for 0 yards to the RU15 (O'Neill,Eric) PENALTY RU Offside (Weaver,Bradley) 5 yards from RU15 to RU10. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 0:55
PENALTY RU Offside (O'Neill,Eric) 5 yards from RU10 to RU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 0:50
Dante Moore pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:46
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Jamari Johnson
0.0
Q2 0:43
Dante Moore pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
0.0
Q2 0:43
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q2 0:29
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27
+0.1
Q2 0:17
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff
0.0
Q2 0:12
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 27
0.0
Q2 0:12
Timeout Oregon, clock 00:12
0.0
Q2 0:05
Jakob Anderson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 34
0.0
Q3 15:00
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.1
Q3 14:51
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28
+0.1
Q3 13:57
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 14 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:25
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 45
0.0
Q3 12:49
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 12:46
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT Sheffield
0.0
Q3 12:40
Jakob Anderson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 13
0.0
Q3 12:23
Jordon Davison run for 67 yds to the RUTG 20 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 11:44
Jordon Davison run for 20 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
0.0
Q3 11:44
Gage Hurych kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 11:33
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 19 yds to the RUTG 44 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 10:55
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q3 10:21
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ORE 48
0.0
Q3 9:59
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:21
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Blake Purchase for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 47
0.0
Q3 8:41
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff
0.0
Q3 8:37
Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted Aaron Flowers return for no gain to the ORE 34
0.0
Q3 8:15
Dante Moore run for 35 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 7:39
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 6 yds to the RUTG 25
0.0
Q3 7:05
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 6 yds to the RUTG 19 for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Jesse Ofurie) to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:48
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Jay rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:48 PENALTY OU Holding (Iuli,Dave) 10 yards from RU09 to RU19. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 6:43
Dante Moore pass intercepted Cam Miller return for no gain to the RUTG 15
0.0
Q3 6:34
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 18
+0.1
Q3 5:59
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 20
0.0
Q3 5:24
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Kenny Fletcher Jr.
0.0
Q3 5:18
Jakob Anderson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dakorien Moore at the ORE 42
0.0
Q3 5:08
Jay Harris run for 12 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 3:54
Dante Moore pass complete to Dierre Hill Jr. for 11 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 3:42
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 35 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
0.0
Q3 3:42
PENALTY OU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Harkey,Alex) 15 yards from OU35 to OU20. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 3:35
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 63 yds , Ben Black return for 25 yds to the RUTG 42
0.0
Q3 3:06
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47
+0.1
Q3 2:43
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the RUTG 48
0.0
Q3 2:26
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 47
0.0
Q3 1:48
Jakob Anderson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dakorien Moore at the ORE 14
0.0
Q3 1:16
Jay Harris run for 6 yds to the ORE 20
0.0
Q3 1:10
(01:10) PENALTY RU Offside (Angoy,Zaire) 5 yards from OU20 to OU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 0:13
Jay Harris run for 3 yds to the ORE 28
0.0
Q3 0:00
Brock Thomas pass complete to Jay Harris for 6 yds to the ORE 34
0.0
Q4 14:25
Brock Thomas pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 35 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:06
Jay Harris run for 1 yd to the RUTG 30
0.0
Q4 13:32
Brock Thomas pass incomplete to Cooper Perry
0.0
Q4 13:18
Brock Thomas pass complete to Cooper Perry for 4 yds to the RUTG 26
0.0
Q4 12:43
Gage Hurych 44 yd FG MISSED
0.0
Q4 12:34
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 28
0.0
Q4 11:47
Ja'shon Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 26
0.0
Q4 11:18
Ja'shon Benjamin run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 23
0.0
Q4 10:47
Jakob Anderson punt for 47 yds , Dakorien Moore returns for no gain to the ORE 30 Dakorien Moore fumbled, recovered by RUTG Ben Black
0.0
Q4 10:38
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 8 yds to the ORE 22
0.0
Q4 10:04
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ORE 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:27
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 15
0.0
Q4 8:43
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 12
0.0
Q4 8:01
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 9
0.0
Q4 7:30
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ORE 7 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:48
AJ Surace pass incomplete to Sah'nye Degraffenreidt
0.0
Q4 6:44
AJ Surace pass incomplete to Ben Black
0.0
Q4 6:44
Timeout Oregon, clock 06:44
0.0
Q4 6:40
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
0.0
Q4 6:40
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q4 6:18
Da'Jaun Riggs run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 22
0.0
Q4 5:30
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 11 yds to the ORE 33
0.0
Q4 5:00
Brock Thomas run for 15 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:17
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47
0.0
Q4 3:35
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 9 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:49
Jay Harris run for 9 yds to the RUTG 29
0.0
Q4 2:00
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 13 yds to the RUTG 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Rutgers, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:52
Jay Harris run for 2 yds to the RUTG 14
0.0
Q4 1:02
B. Thomas takes a knee
0.0
Q4 0:00
B. Thomas takes a knee
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 11:52
Noah Whittington run for 68 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q1 6:25
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 30 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-1.4
TD · Q2 14:02
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 21 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
-1.3