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ORE

Oregon 56 at Rutgers 10

RUTG
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · B. Thomas takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:25: Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 30 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +1.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:02: Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 21 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK) — ORE win probability +4.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:34: Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 34 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +4.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:54: Noah Whittington run for 28 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:43: Dante Moore pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK) — RUTG win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 11 of 12ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:18RUTG 4th & 10 at ORE 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:30RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:23RUTG 4th & 1 at ORE 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:38RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:27RUTG 4th & 3 at ORE 44, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:57RUTG 4th & 5 at ORE 28, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 27, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:40RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 45, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:18RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 20, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:48RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 47, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:43ORE 4th & 5 at RUTG 26, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:47RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 23, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:30RUTG 4th & 1 at ORE 9, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ORE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:52ORE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:25ORE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:02ORE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:34ORE Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:54ORE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:43ORE Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:44ORE Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:42ORE Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:40RUTG Touchdown, down 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1587% → 86%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.1%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
13.4%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 24Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
13.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 8 yds Gary Bryant Jr. fumbled, recovered by RUTG Jordan WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1414% → 14%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
13.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
13.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
13.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
13.9%
Jai Patel 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0286% → 86%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
14.2%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+68
14.2%
Noah Whittington run for 68 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1214% → 15%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
14.3%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 24Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
14.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
14.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 7 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
14.6%
Jakob Anderson punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 3:5585% → 86%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
14.8%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the ORE 18Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
15.1%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+16
15.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 16 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
15.2%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien MooreSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
15.3%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 36Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+24
16.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
15.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Cooper Perry for 2 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
15.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 5 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
15.9%
Dante Moore run for 13 yds to the RUTG 20 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the RUTG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
14.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 30 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
14.4%
Saleapaga,Roger rush attempt Successful PENALTY RU Offside offsetting OU Illegal Formation offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6INT
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:2515% → 16%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
15.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
15.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
15.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
15.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 40 Athan Kaliakmanis fumbled, recovered by RUTG Kwabena Asamoah , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+10
15.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 7
50
+6
15.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 6 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+6
15.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
16.1%
Oregon Penalty, (3 Yards) to the ORE 36Similar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
16.1%
Oregon Penalty, (15 Yards) to the ORE 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:5885% → 90%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
15.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 24 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
15.0%
Jordon Davison run for 13 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
15.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 21 yds to the RUTG 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
10.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 21 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:1712% → 13%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
11.9%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 23Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+18
11.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 18 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
12.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 8 yds to the RUTG 49 Antwan Raymond fumbled, recovered by ORE Theran JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:4090% → 95%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
10.0%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 10 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
10.0%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 5 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+34
5.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 34 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:514% → 5%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Kenny Fletcher Jr.Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
5.3%
Jakob Anderson punt for 46 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the ORE 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:2595% → 96%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
5.4%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
5.3%
Noah Whittington run for 9 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+29
5.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 29 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
3.8%
Noah Whittington run for 28 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12DOWNS
17 plays · 47 yds · 6:504% → 2%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.3%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
4.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
3.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
4.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 9 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-1
3.6%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
2.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
3.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
2.8%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+3
2.4%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+11
2.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 11 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
2.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ben BlackSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
2.7%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the ORE 33Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
2.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 5
OPP 28
0
2.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:0797% → 98%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
2.9%
Dante Moore run for 1 yd to the ORE 29Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
2.9%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+56
2.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 56 yds to the RUTG 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
2.3%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Davison,Jordon rush middle for 0 yards to the RU15 (O'Neill,Eric) PENALTY RU Offside (Weaver,Bradley) 5 yards from RU15 to RU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 5
OPP 10
+5
2.0%
PENALTY RU Offside (O'Neill,Eric) 5 yards from RU10 to RU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.0%
Dante Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.9%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Jamari JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
1.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
1.2%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 27Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
1.2%
Jakob Anderson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:112% → 2%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
1.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 14 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
1.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
1.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
1.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
1.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:3998% → 98%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+67
1.7%
Jordon Davison run for 67 yds to the RUTG 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
1.6%
Jordon Davison run for 20 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:561% → 1%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
1.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 19 yds to the RUTG 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
1.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 4
50
+2
1.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
1.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
1.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Blake Purchase for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 47Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
0.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
0.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted Aaron Flowers return for no gain to the ORE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18INT
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+35
1.3%
Dante Moore run for 35 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
1.1%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 6 yds to the RUTG 25Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+16
1.1%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 6 yds to the RUTG 19 for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Jesse Ofurie) to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
1.0%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Jay rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:48 PENALTY OU Holding (Iuli,Dave) 10 yards from RU09 to RU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
0
1.1%
Dante Moore pass intercepted Cam Miller return for no gain to the RUTG 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
0.6%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 18Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
0.6%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 20Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
0.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Kenny Fletcher Jr.Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
0.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dakorien Moore at the ORE 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
0.9%
Jay Harris run for 12 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
0.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dierre Hill Jr. for 11 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
0.7%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 35 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
0.8%
PENALTY OU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Harkey,Alex) 15 yards from OU35 to OU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
0.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
0.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the RUTG 48Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-1
0.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 47Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
0.3%
Jakob Anderson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dakorien Moore at the ORE 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22MISSED FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:3399% → 100%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
0.7%
Jay Harris run for 6 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
0.6%
(01:10) PENALTY RU Offside (Angoy,Zaire) 5 yards from OU20 to OU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.6%
Jay Harris run for 3 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
0.6%
Brock Thomas pass complete to Jay Harris for 6 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+35
0.5%
Brock Thomas pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 35 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
0.5%
Jay Harris run for 1 yd to the RUTG 30Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
0.4%
Brock Thomas pass incomplete to Cooper PerrySimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+4
0.4%
Brock Thomas pass complete to Cooper Perry for 4 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
0.5%
Gage Hurych 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-2
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 26Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-3
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 23Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 13
OWN 23
+47
0.2%
Jakob Anderson punt for 47 yds , Dakorien Moore returns for no gain to the ORE 30 Dakorien Moore fumbled, recovered by RUTG Ben BlackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24TD
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:580% → 0%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 8 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+4
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the ORE 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 15Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 12Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+3
0.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the ORE 9Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
0.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the ORE 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.2%
AJ Surace pass incomplete to Sah'nye DegraffenreidtSimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.2%
AJ Surace pass incomplete to Ben BlackSimilar
Q4 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25END OF GAME
12 plays · 57 yds · 6:18100% → 100%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.2%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 22Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
0.2%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 11 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
0.2%
Brock Thomas run for 15 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
0.2%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
0.2%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 9 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
0.1%
Jay Harris run for 9 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+13
0.1%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 13 yds to the RUTG 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
0.1%
Jay Harris run for 2 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-2
0.1%
B. Thomas takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-2
0.1%
B. Thomas takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:02
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 21 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q2 11:34
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 34 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q1 6:25
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 30 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com