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PUR

Purdue 0 at Northwestern 19

NU
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:00 · Malachi Singleton run for 2 yds to the NU 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+21.7Score differential+9.4Pregame prior+2.7Garbage-time factor+5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:13: Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +4.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:38: Jack Olsen 38 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +6.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:54: Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the NU 14 — NU win probability +2.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:01: Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NU win probability +6.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:49: Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Corey Smith — PUR win probability +2.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 7:45NU 4th & 4 at PUR 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.5%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:42PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:38NU 4th & 10 at PUR 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:28PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 30, down 13
    Close callPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:36NU 4th & 10 at NU 49, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:00PUR 4th & 3 at NU 46, down 13
    Close callPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:35PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:35NU 4th & 1 at PUR 38, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−3.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00PUR 4th & 3 at NU 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:00NU 4th & 12 at NU 26, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:44PUR 4th & 2 at NU 17, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:27NU 4th & 7 at NU 20, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:21NU 4th & 8 at PUR 8, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:56PUR 4th & 6 at NU 26, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 13:13NU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:01NU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 7:0961% → 62%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
61.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 11 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
61.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 10 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
61.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 7 yds to the PUR 47Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+7
61.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 7 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
61.5%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hunter WelcingSimilar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
61.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the PUR 37Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+7
61.4%
Preston Stone run for 7 yds to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
61.6%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
61.7%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Carson GroveSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+15
61.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 15 yds to the PUR 15 Caleb Komolafe fumbled, recovered by NU Caleb Komolafe for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
61.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the PUR 13Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
61.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the PUR 9Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
61.5%
Ryan Boe run for no gain to the PUR 9Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
61.9%
Jack Olsen 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1638% → 38%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to EJ Horton Jr.Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
61.9%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 22Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
62.4%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Jesse Watson for 8 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
62.5%
Jack McCallister punt for 47 yds , Drew Wagner returns for 3 yds to the NU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3TD
17 plays · 74 yds · 8:0462% → 68%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
61.7%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
61.7%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+8
61.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 8 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
62.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
62.6%
PENALTY NU Illegal Snap (Carsello,Jackson) 5 yards from NU43 to NU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+15
61.9%
(03:30) Shotgun Stone,Preston pass incomplete deep left to Eligon II,Hayden thrown to PUR41 broken up by Grimes,Tony PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Grimes,Tony) 15 yards from NU38 to PUR47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin WildeSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
62.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+7
62.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 7 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
63.0%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 38Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+7
62.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 7 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-1
63.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 32Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+15
62.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Stone,Preston pass incomplete short middle to Ahumaraeze,Ricky thrown to PUR15 QB hurried by Powell,Mani PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Hines,Hudauri) 15 yards from PUR32 to PUR17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
63.6%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Caleb KomolafeSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
63.6%
Robby Preckel run for 14 yds to the PUR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
63.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the PUR 3Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2033% → 31%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
67.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 16 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
67.1%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass incomplete short right to Jackson III,Michael thrown to PUR45 broken up by Uihlein,Mac PENALTY PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Purvis,Hank) 5 yards from PUR34 to PUR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+8
67.4%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 8 yds to the PUR 37Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
66.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 4
OWN 40
-10
66.6%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR47 (Turner,Braden), out of bounds PENALTY PUR Holding (Tanona,Joey) 10 yards from PUR40 to PUR30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
68.8%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+5
69.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 55 yds , Drew Wagner returns for 5 yds to the NU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 1:5467% → 75%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+50
67.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 35 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Hershey McLaurin) to the PUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
69.2%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
69.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 10 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.3%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the PUR 20Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
69.5%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
68.9%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin WildeSimilar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
74.9%
Jack Olsen 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0426% → 25%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
73.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the PUR 17Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
74.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Arhmad Branch for 4 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+2
74.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the PUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
74.6%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Arhmad Branch for 4 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
74.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
74.6%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Arhmad BranchSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+1
75.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 44 yds , Drew Wagner returns for 1 yd to the NU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:4776% → 78%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
76.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
77.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 35Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
76.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
78.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 6 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
79.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
79.1%
Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
80.2%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
80.0%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
79.0%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin WildeSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+4
78.2%
Lawson Albright run for 4 yds to the PUR 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3024% → 24%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.8%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
76.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 7 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
75.3%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
76.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Drew Wagner at the NU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5479% → 80%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
78.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+13
79.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 13 yds to the NU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
79.8%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Stone,Preston pass incomplete short right thrown to NU31 QB hurried by Nunnally,CJ PENALTY NU Holding (Lewis,Martes) 10 yards from NU27 to NU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 17
-2
79.6%
(00:01) Kneel down by Northwestern at NU15 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:1720% → 18%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
79.6%
Ryan Browne run for 3 yds to the PUR 11Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+2
79.7%
Malachi Singleton run for 2 yds to the PUR 13Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+13
80.4%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 13 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
79.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
80.3%
Malachi Singleton run for 6 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-2
80.8%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 32Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Jack McCallister punt for 44 yds , Drew Wagner returns for no gain to the NU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 7:2184% → 95%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
83.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 15 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
83.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 6 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+8
85.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 8 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
85.5%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 49Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+11
85.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Lawson Albright for 11 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
85.6%
Preston Stone run for no gain to the PUR 38Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
84.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
86.3%
(07:17) Shotgun Stone,Preston pass incomplete deep left to Wilde,Griffin thrown to PUR10 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Hines,Hudauri) 15 yards from PUR35 to PUR20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
86.4%
Dashun Reeder run for 6 yds to the PUR 14Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
87.0%
Dashun Reeder run for 3 yds to the PUR 11Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
87.4%
Dashun Reeder run for 5 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
88.4%
PENALTY NU False Start (Lewis,Martes) 5 yards from PUR06 to PUR11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
88.8%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 12Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
95.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:498% → 6%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.3%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
92.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
92.6%
Malachi Singleton run for 2 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
92.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+10
92.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 10 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
93.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
93.0%
Malachi Singleton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+2
93.5%
Michael Jackson III run for 2 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+2
94.1%
Malachi Singleton run for 2 yds to the NU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5497% → 97%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
96.7%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 26Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
97.0%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hunter WelcingSimilar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+24
96.8%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 24 yds to the PUR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:465% → 4%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.1%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Michael Jackson III for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 19Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
95.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+48
95.8%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Corey Smith for 48 yds Corey Smith fumbled, recovered by NU Robert FitzgeraldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:0497% → 98%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
97.4%
Dashun Reeder run for 28 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
97.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 18 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
97.8%
Dashun Reeder run for 9 yds to the PUR 28 Dashun Reeder fumbled, recovered by PUR Alex Sanford Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:574% → 4%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+26
96.0%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 26 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
96.0%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for 21 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
95.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
95.5%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 4 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
96.0%
Malachi Singleton run for 1 yd to the NU 17Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
96.1%
Malachi Singleton run for no gain to the NU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1298% → 98%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
98.0%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 20Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Luke Akers punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Michael Jackson III at the PUR 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:083% → 3%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Malachi ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
97.0%
Malachi Singleton pass intercepted Mac Uihlein return for no gain to the PUR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4898% → 99%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
98.4%
Robby Preckel run for 1 yd to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+4
98.6%
Robby Preckel run for 4 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
98.8%
Preston Stone pass intercepted Smiley Bradford return for no gain to the PUR 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:132% → 2%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
98.0%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to EJ Horton Jr.Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
98.0%
Malachi Singleton run for 6 yds to the PUR 20Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+26
98.1%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 26 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Michael Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
98.0%
Malachi Singleton sacked by Anto Saka for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 45 Malachi Singleton fumbled, recovered by NU Brendan Flakes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1799% → 99%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
99.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 37 yds to the PUR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.1%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 9Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the PUR 8Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.3%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the PUR 8Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
99.2%
Jack Olsen 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to EJ Horton Jr.Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.6%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Jesse Watson for 6 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+20
98.5%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Rico Walker for 20 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
98.5%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for 11 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
98.4%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 13 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-11
98.0%
Malachi Singleton sacked by Michael Kilbane for a loss of 11 yards to the NU 41Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 21
OPP 41
+15
99.4%
Malachi Singleton run for 15 yds to the NU 26Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Jesse WatsonSimilar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
99.4%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4999% → 99%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.4%
(00:51) Kneel down by Northwestern at NU24 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-1
99.4%
(00:31) Kneel down by Northwestern at NU23 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:01
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+6.5
FG · Q2 8:38
Jack Olsen 38 yd FG GOOD
+6.1
TD · Q2 13:13
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com