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WASH

Washington 7 at Michigan 24

MICH
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · B. Underwood takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:40: Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +15.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:20: Jordan Marshall run for 14 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +29.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Jasper Parker run for 3 yds to the MICH 41 — MICH win probability +11.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:05: Bryce Underwood pass complete to Zack Marshall for 10 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +7.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:26: Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the WASH 12 — MICH win probability +5.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:26MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13WASH 4th & 12 at MICH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:56MICH 4th & 1 at WASH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20WASH 4th & 9 at MICH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:31WASH 4th & 17 at MICH 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:11MICH 4th & 10 at WASH 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:09WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:22MICH 4th & 2 at WASH 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−12.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:34WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.5%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:39WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−2.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:30MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−3.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:34WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:10MICH 4th & 8 at WASH 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:33MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:40WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:20MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:05MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3063% → 62%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.5%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.5%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the MICH 26Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
62.4%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Deakon Tonielli for 5 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
62.4%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 35 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 4 yds to the WASH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:0838% → 38%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
62.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
62.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 3 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+6
62.2%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
62.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the MICH 47Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+10
61.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 10 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
61.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-5
61.7%
PENALTY WASH False Start (Hatchett,Geirean) 5 yards from UOM34 to UOM39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 12
OPP 39
0
61.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 12
OPP 39
0
62.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen RoebuckSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 12
OPP 39
0
62.4%
Luke Dunne punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:1062% → 62%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
62.3%
Jordan Marshall run for 8 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
62.6%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 7 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
62.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
62.6%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Jordan Marshall for 9 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
62.7%
Donaven McCulley run for 11 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
62.9%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Underwood,Bryce pass incomplete short right to McCulley,Donaven thrown to WASH36 PENALTY UOM Holding (Bredeson,Max) 10 yards from WASH42 to UOM48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+4
62.4%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Jordan Marshall for 4 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 16
OPP 48
0
62.5%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Deakon TonielliSimilar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+15
62.0%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Zack Marshall for 15 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
62.4%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Semaj MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:2038% → 39%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+48
61.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 48 yds to the MICH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
60.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MICH 17Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-1
60.4%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 18Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
60.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Raiden Vines-BrightSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
61.4%
Grady Gross 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:3762% → 68%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
61.9%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Deakon Tonielli for 5 yds to the MICH 25Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
62.0%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
62.0%
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
62.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Jordan Marshall for 7 yds to the MICH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
63.0%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 15 yds to the WASH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
63.4%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Zack Marshall for 19 yds to the WASH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
68.0%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 22 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:2934% → 32%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 5 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
66.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the WASH 25Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+27
67.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 27 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
65.3%
Adam Mohammed run for 6 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+4
65.2%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
65.5%
PENALTY WASH False Start (DeGraaf,Decker) 5 yards from UOM38 to UOM43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
66.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
66.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 6 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-5
66.0%
PENALTY WASH False Start (Azzopardi,Drew) 5 yards from UOM37 to UOM42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+3
67.4%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 3 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
68.3%
Luke Dunne punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:1468% → 70%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
68.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the MICH 8Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+13
68.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Zack Marshall for 13 yds to the MICH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
68.8%
Bryce Underwood run for 11 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
69.1%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 20 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
71.4%
Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Semaj MorganSimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
71.3%
Jordan Marshall run for 8 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+10
71.2%
Jordan Marshall run for 10 yds to the WASH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
72.1%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Zack MarshallSimilar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-5
72.1%
PENALTY UOM False Start (Crippen,Greg) 5 yards from WASH30 to WASH35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+1
71.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 1 yd to the WASH 34Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+4
70.7%
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
70.0%
Dominic Zvada 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 4:2429% → 47%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
70.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+6
69.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Kade Eldridge for 6 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
70.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen RoebuckSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
70.4%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 9 yds to the MICH 49Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
69.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
69.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 5 yds to the MICH 40Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
68.8%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
69.2%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 4 yds to the MICH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-9
66.7%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 9 yards to the MICH 42Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 19
OPP 42
+31
70.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 31 yds to the MICH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
66.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the MICH 6Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
67.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 5 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3062% → 60%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 24Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
61.4%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Zack MarshallSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
60.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Channing Goodwin for 10 yds to the MICH 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4543% → 41%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
57.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
58.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen RoebuckSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
59.5%
Luke Dunne punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:3863% → 62%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
62.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 7 yds to the MICH 47Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-5
63.8%
(13:23) Shotgun Underwood,Bryce pass complete short left to Marsh,Andrew caught at WASH44, for 11 yards to the WASH42 (Esteen,Makell) PENALTY UOM Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Crippen,Greg) 5 yards from UOM47 to UOM42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+12
63.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 12 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
64.0%
Bryce Underwood run for no gain to the WASH 46Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
63.6%
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the WASH 42Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+15
63.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Zack Marshall for 15 yds to the WASH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
64.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 13 yds to the WASH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
64.9%
Jasper Parker run for 2 yds to the WASH 12Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
65.0%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Jordan MarshallSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+6
63.6%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the WASH 6Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+1
61.7%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the WASH 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 4:3643% → 42%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
57.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds to the WASH 13Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+1
57.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WASH 14Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+2
58.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
56.6%
(06:43) Shotgun Williams Jr.,Demond pass incomplete short right to Coleman,Jonah thrown to WASH24 broken up by Hausmann,Ernest PENALTY WASH Holding (DeGraaf,Decker) 8 yards from WASH16 to WASH08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+14
57.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 14 yds to the WASH 22Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
56.2%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+3
57.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 3 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+3
58.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
55.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 5 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
54.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 32Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
56.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen RoebuckSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+5
58.0%
Luke Dunne punt for 55 yds , Semaj Morgan returns for 5 yds to the MICH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0159% → 57%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
59.2%
Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the MICH 21Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
59.1%
Bryce Underwood run for 3 yds to the MICH 24Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
57.8%
Bryce Underwood run for 3 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
57.1%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
55.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass intercepted Cole Sullivan return for 8 yds to the WASH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
84.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 14 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16INT
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:3623% → 27%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
76.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 17 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
75.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 16 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
73.4%
Demond Williams Jr. pass intercepted Jimmy Rolder return for 2 yds to the MICH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:5585% → 95%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
84.7%
Jasper Parker run for 3 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
85.0%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
84.6%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
85.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
86.0%
Bryce Underwood sacked by Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 47Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+28
84.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Deakon Tonielli for 28 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
87.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 11 yds to the WASH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
87.6%
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the WASH 10Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
95.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Zack Marshall for 10 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:248% → 8%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
90.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
91.1%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 32Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-15
91.7%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 15 yards to the WASH 17 Demond Williams Jr. fumbled, recovered by WASH Decker DeGraaf , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19FG
8 plays · 9 yds · 4:1697% → 99%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
97.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the WASH 12Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+1
97.5%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the WASH 11Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
97.7%
Jordan Marshall run for 6 yds to the WASH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
97.9%
Bryce Underwood run for a loss of 4 yards to the WASH 9Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the WASH 5Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.2%
Jasper Parker run for 2 yds to the WASH 3Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
98.0%
PENALTY UOM Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH03 to WASH08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
99.1%
Dominic Zvada 26 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass intercepted Jacob Oden return for no gain to the MICH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21END OF GAME
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:4999% → 100%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.2%
Jasper Parker run for 2 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+8
99.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 8 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
99.4%
(02:26) Shotgun Marshall,Jordan rush left for 4 yards gain to the UOM45 (Parker,Armon) PENALTY UOM Holding (Guarnera,Jake) 10 yards from UOM41 to UOM31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+17
99.4%
Bryce Underwood run for 17 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+6
99.4%
Jasper Parker run for 6 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.5%
Jasper Parker run for 5 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-2
99.5%
B. Underwood takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:20
Jordan Marshall run for 14 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+29.1
TD · Q2 0:40
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
-15.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00
Jasper Parker run for 3 yds to the MICH 41
+11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com