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IOWA

Iowa 37 at Wisconsin 0

WIS
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:23 · Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−56.7Score differential−45.8Garbage-time factor−22.0Pregame prior−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−11.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:33: Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +3.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:30: Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +7.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:44: Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +4.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Drew Stevens 49 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +3.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:34: Xavier Williams run for 29 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:23IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33IOWA 4th & 4 at WIS 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:04WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:44IOWA 4th & 6 at WIS 6, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−6.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:57WIS 4th & 1 at IOWA 37, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:16IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 41, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:40WIS 4th & 13 at IOWA 42, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:59WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 31, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:30WIS 4th & 2 at IOWA 45, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:30WIS 4th & 2 at IOWA 45, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00IOWA 4th & 10 at WIS 44, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:03WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 28, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:45IOWA 4th & 1 at WIS 22, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:23WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 35, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:12IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 25, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:33IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:30IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:34IOWA Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:25IOWA Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2763% → 63%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
36.6%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 2 yds to the IOWA 32Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
36.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
37.0%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to DJ VonnahmeSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
37.2%
Rhys Dakin punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:1437% → 39%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
37.2%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Trech KekahunaSimilar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
37.2%
Trech Kekahuna run for 6 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-5
37.3%
Wisconsin Penalty, Helping the Runner (-5 Yards) to the WIS 29Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+5
37.6%
Hunter Simmons run for 5 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
37.8%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Jackson AckerSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
37.8%
Dilin Jones run for 2 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+7
38.0%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Chris Brooks Jr. for 7 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+4
38.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 4 yds to the IOWA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:1862% → 61%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
38.4%
Kaden Wetjen run for 10 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
38.6%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 6 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
38.3%
Kamari Moulton run for 7 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
38.5%
Nathan McNeil run for 24 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST down Wisconsin Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
38.1%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Hayden LargeSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
38.2%
Kamari Moulton run for 8 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
38.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the WIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
38.4%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the WIS 17Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
38.6%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 3 yds to the WIS 14Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
39.1%
Iowa Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mark Gronowski) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
39.1%
Drew Stevens 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3439% → 39%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
39.1%
Hunter Simmons pass intercepted Bryce Hawthorne return for no gain to the WIS 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:1462% → 66%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
38.1%
Nathan McNeil run for 4 yds to the WIS 20Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+14
38.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Sam Phillips for 14 yds to the WIS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
34.5%
Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:3034% → 35%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
34.3%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 16 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-35
34.8%
Hunter Simmons pass intercepted Aaron Graves return for 35 yds to the WIS 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.1%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2229% → 28%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.8%
Darrion Dupree run for 9 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
28.9%
Darrion Dupree run for no gain to the WIS 34Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
28.6%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Lance MasonSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+13
28.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IOWA 39 , Kaden Wetjen returns for 13 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
26.5%
Mark Gronowski pass intercepted Ricardo Hallman return for no gain to the WIS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:4628% → 28%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
28.4%
Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the WIS 38Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-10
28.3%
Hunter Simmons run for a loss of 10 yards to the WIS 28 Hunter Simmons fumbled, recovered by IOWA Zach LutmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11FG
10 plays · 22 yds · 5:1975% → 83%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
25.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+12
24.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 12 yds to the WIS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
24.3%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the WIS 10Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-1
23.4%
Nathan McNeil run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 11Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+7
23.1%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 7 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
22.6%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 7Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
21.9%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the WIS 6Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
21.8%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the WIS 6Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+25
17.6%
Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
17.3%
PENALTY WIS UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Peterson,Darryl) 15 yards from IOWA35 to IOWA50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:3922% → 22%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
21.7%
Dilin Jones run for 13 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
23.2%
Dilin Jones run for 10 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
23.1%
Dilin Jones run for 4 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
22.5%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Vinny Anthony IISimilar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
22.3%
Dilin Jones run for 5 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
21.8%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Lance MasonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3584% → 84%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.9%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Dayton HowardSimilar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
15.9%
Nathan McNeil run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 36Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+5
15.9%
Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the IOWA 41Similar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
15.7%
Rhys Dakin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the WIS 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:1119% → 18%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
18.9%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 8 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+6
19.3%
Dilin Jones run for 6 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+29
18.7%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Lance Mason for 29 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
19.6%
Dilin Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 42Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
18.7%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Tucker AshcraftSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 13
OPP 42
0
18.4%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
18.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 1:3487% → 91%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
12.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 12 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
12.3%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Seth Anderson for 4 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+16
12.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 16 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
11.5%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 13 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
11.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 9 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+6
10.8%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Xavier Williams for 6 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
10.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 5 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
10.1%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 3 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-5
10.3%
(00:03) Shotgun Moulton,Kamari rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS22 (Reiger,Mason) PENALTY IOWA Illegal Formation 5 yards from WIS26 to WIS31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+49
9.4%
Drew Stevens 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5815% → 13%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.3%
Dilin Jones run for 5 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
15.5%
Dilin Jones run for 1 yd to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
13.7%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Dilin Jones for no gain to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+17
12.8%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 17 yds to the IOWA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:2091% → 97%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
9.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+14
8.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 14 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
7.3%
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+8
6.8%
Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
3.2%
Xavier Williams run for 29 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 5:514% → 2%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
3.7%
Dilin Jones run for 8 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
3.4%
Dilin Jones run for 1 yd to the WIS 33Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
3.2%
Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
3.1%
Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
2.9%
Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
2.8%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 5 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-9
2.1%
Vinny Anthony II run for a loss of 9 yards to the WIS 38 Vinny Anthony II fumbled, recovered by WIS Vinny Anthony IISimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 19
OWN 38
+14
1.9%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 14 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+3
1.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
1.9%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Grant StecSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
1.9%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Grant StecSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 4:2698% → 99%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
2.3%
(04:30) Shotgun Gronowski,Mark pass incomplete short middle to Washington Jr.,Terrell thrown to WIS44 PENALTY WIS Pass Interference offsetting IOWA Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
2.1%
Nathan McNeil run for 6 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
2.0%
Nathan McNeil run for 3 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
1.0%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Hayden Large for 2 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
1.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the WIS 43Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
1.0%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 3 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+1
0.9%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 1 yd to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-5
1.1%
PENALTY IOWA Delay Of Game 5 yards from WIS39 to WIS44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
1.0%
Rhys Dakin punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the WIS 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:541% → 0%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
0.7%
Dilin Jones run for 1 yd to the WIS 13Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
0.7%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Dilin JonesSimilar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+9
0.6%
Hunter Simmons run for 9 yds to the WIS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.6%
Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the WIS 22Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
0.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIS 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:3399% → 100%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
0.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
0.5%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to KJ ParkerSimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+12
0.5%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 12 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
0.4%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-1
0.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 33Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+11
0.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 11 yds to the WIS 22Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
0.3%
Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the WIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Reece Vander ZeeSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
0.2%
Nathan McNeil run for 1 yd to the WIS 19Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+19
0.2%
Xavier Williams run for 19 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the WIS 20Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
0.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 12 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Chris Brooks Jr.Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 3 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.2%
Nathan McNeil run for no gain to the IOWA 19Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
0.2%
Nathan McNeil run for 4 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+2
0.1%
Jeremy Hecklinski pass complete to Alex Eichmann for 2 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
Rhys Dakin punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIS 41 , Jayden Ballard returns for 6 yds to the WIS 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Gideon Ituka run for 3 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
0.1%
Gideon Ituka run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 1
50
+5
0.1%
Gideon Ituka run for 5 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.1%
Gideon Ituka run for 5 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
0.1%
Gideon Ituka run for 5 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:30
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
-7.7
FG · Q2 8:44
Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOOD
-4.2
TD · Q1 2:33
Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com