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MICH

Michigan 13 at USC 31

USC
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:52 · Waymond Jordan run for 11 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Pregame prior+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:09: Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 8 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +12.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:14: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 12 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +9.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:45: King Miller run for 15 yds for a TD — USC win probability +10.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: King Miller run for 1 yd to the USC 23 — USC win probability +5.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:17: Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 69 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MICH win probability +7.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:55MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:52USC 4th & 1 at USC 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:57MICH 4th & 20 at USC 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:13USC 4th & 17 at USC 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:34MICH 4th & 11 at MICH 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:57MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:01USC 4th & 11 at MICH 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:01MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:01MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:52USC 4th & 17 at MICH 37, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:20MICH 4th & 15 at MICH 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:57USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:09MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:14USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:45USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:17MICH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.3%−0.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:21USC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5257% → 60%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.6%
Waymond Jordan run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
56.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Waymond Jordan for 6 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
56.7%
Waymond Jordan run for 2 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
56.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 12 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
57.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 21 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
57.3%
Waymond Jordan run for 7 yds to the MICH 24Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+7
57.4%
King Miller run for 7 yds to the MICH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
57.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 11 yds to the MICH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
57.6%
Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the MICH 2Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.8%
Waymond Jordan run for no gain to the MICH 2Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 2 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5841% → 40%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.1%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Justice Haynes for 2 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
59.8%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Justice HaynesSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
60.1%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 49 yds , Makai Lemon returns for 5 yds to the USC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:4560% → 62%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
59.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 9 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
60.7%
Waymond Jordan run for no gain to the USC 38Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
60.7%
Waymond Jordan run for no gain to the USC 38Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+11
60.2%
Waymond Jordan run for 11 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
61.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 8 yds to the MICH 43Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+11
61.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 11 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
62.4%
King Miller run for 3 yds to the MICH 29Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
62.7%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi LaneSimilar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+21
62.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 21 yds Lake McRee fumbled, recovered by MICH Derrick MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:5938% → 36%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
61.6%
Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the MICH 13Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+7
61.3%
Justice Haynes run for 7 yds to the MICH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
61.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 7 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+16
60.9%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 16 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
60.8%
Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
60.5%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 8 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
60.4%
Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the USC 42Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+9
60.4%
Justice Haynes run for 9 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
59.7%
Justice Haynes run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 37Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+10
61.4%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 10 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-5
60.7%
(13:13) PENALTY UM False Start (Klein,Marlin) 5 yards from USC27 to USC32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-11
61.1%
Bryce Underwood sacked by Bishop Fitzgerald for a loss of 11 yards to the USC 43Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 20
OPP 43
0
63.8%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3763% → 63%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
63.4%
Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+21
63.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 21 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
64.2%
Waymond Jordan run for 6 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
65.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 5 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.2%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Walker LyonsSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
65.6%
Jayden Maiava run for 7 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
64.3%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Waymond JordanSimilar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
63.4%
Sam Johnson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 5:5636% → 50%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
64.5%
Justice Haynes run for 13 yds to the MICH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
64.3%
Justice Haynes run for 7 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
63.8%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Semaj MorganSimilar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
64.8%
Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
64.4%
Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
64.1%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Jordan MarshallSimilar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+12
64.9%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 12 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
63.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 16 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
62.2%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+10
61.9%
Jordan Marshall run for 10 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
61.9%
(05:22) PENALTY UM False Start (Morgan,Semaj) 5 yards from USC19 to USC24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+5
63.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
62.6%
Bryce Underwood run for 11 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
62.3%
Jordan Marshall run for no gain to the USC 8Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
49.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 8 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:4358% → 71%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.7%
Waymond Jordan run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+28
57.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 28 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
60.6%
King Miller run for 8 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
60.5%
King Miller run for 1 yd to the MICH 36Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
59.9%
King Miller run for 2 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
61.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to King Miller for 5 yds to the MICH 29Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+8
61.5%
King Miller run for 8 yds to the MICH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
61.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to King Miller for 9 yds to the MICH 12Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+12
71.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 12 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.0%
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the MICH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:2231% → 29%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.7%
Jordan Marshall run for no gain to the MICH 25Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
69.1%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Underwood,Bryce pass complete short right to Hansen,Hogan caught at UM30, for 9 yards to the UM34 (Nicholson,DeCarlos), out of bounds PENALTY UM Pass Interference (Marsh,Andrew) 12 yards from UM25 to UM13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+5
69.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 18Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+6
70.6%
Bryce Underwood run for 6 yds to the MICH 24Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
71.5%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:4373% → 84%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
72.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Makai LemonSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-16
72.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 47 USC Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the USC 32Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 26
OWN 32
+49
69.5%
King Miller run for 49 yds to the MICH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
74.1%
King Miller run for 4 yds to the MICH 15Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
84.3%
King Miller run for 15 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4318% → 16%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.2%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Marlin Klein for 5 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
81.5%
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
82.0%
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 36Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+1
82.9%
Bryce Underwood run for 1 yd to the MICH 37Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
83.9%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+2
84.2%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 36 yds , Makai Lemon returns for 2 yds to the USC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12INT
5 plays · 56 yds · 2:4986% → 89%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+47
85.8%
King Miller run for 47 yds to the MICH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
87.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 11 yds to the MICH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
88.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 14Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-1
88.3%
King Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 15Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
88.5%
Jayden Maiava pass intercepted Zeke Berry return for no gain to the MICH 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13INT
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:1714% → 13%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
86.5%
Jordan Marshall run for 6 yds to the MICH 10Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+6
86.4%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 6 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
87.0%
Jordan Marshall run for 13 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
86.7%
Jordan Marshall run for 10 yds to the MICH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
86.1%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 2 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+19
86.4%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 19 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
85.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 11 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
85.1%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Andrew MarshSimilar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
85.7%
Bryson Kuzdzal run for no gain to the USC 29Similar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-13
87.1%
Bryce Underwood pass intercepted Bishop Fitzgerald return for 13 yds to the USC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:5992% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
92.4%
King Miller run for 1 yd to the USC 23Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+18
92.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 18 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
93.2%
King Miller run for 8 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
93.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jaden Richardson for 5 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
93.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Tanook Hines for 8 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+2
94.2%
King Miller run for 2 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
94.3%
King Miller run for no gain to the MICH 36Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
94.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Tanook HinesSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-10
94.4%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden rush left for 4 yards gain to the UM32 (Metcalf,TJ), out of bounds PENALTY USC Holding (Banuelos,Micah) 10 yards from UM36 to UM46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+9
94.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 9 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+54
96.0%
Ryon Sayeri 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:384% → 11%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.9%
Jordan Marshall run for 6 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+69
88.6%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Andrew Marsh for 69 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5091% → 99%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.9%
King Miller run for no gain to the USC 25Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi LaneSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
90.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 20 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
93.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 5
50
+10
93.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jaden Richardson for 10 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
94.1%
Bryan Jackson run for 5 yds to the MICH 35Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
94.7%
Bryan Jackson run for 4 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
94.8%
King Miller run for 2 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.8%
Bryan Jackson run for 29 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:092% → 2%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
98.1%
Bryce Underwood sacked by Devan Thompkins for a loss of 11 yards to the MICH 14Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
98.2%
Bryce Underwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+16
98.2%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Jordan Marshall for 16 yds to the MICH 30Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.2%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Semaj MorganSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.2%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Semaj MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
98.9%
Bryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 14
OPP 34
-5
99.0%
Bryan Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 39Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+2
99.0%
King Miller run for 2 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Sam Johnson punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Jadyn Davis pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
98.1%
Jadyn Davis sacked by Devan Thompkins for a loss of 6 yards to the MICH 14 Jadyn Davis fumbled, recovered by MICH Evan Link , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+1
98.2%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the MICH 15Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 15
OWN 15
-1
98.3%
Jadyn Davis pass intercepted Bishop Fitzgerald return for 1 yd to the MICH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.6%
J. Maiava takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:09
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 8 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q3 10:45
King Miller run for 15 yds for a TD
+10.3
TD · Q2 0:14
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 12 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com