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NEB

Nebraska 34 at Maryland 31

MD
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:09 · Archie Wilson punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior−8.0Home team on offense+5.4Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:58: DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +17.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:40: Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Dontay Joyner return for 67 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +18.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 7:47: Kyle Cunanan 27 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +18.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:47: Timeout Maryland, clock 07:47 — MD win probability +14.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:08: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +53.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 8 of 10NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:25NEB 4th & 2 at MD 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    64.7%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:27MD 4th & 5 at NEB 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27MD 4th & 5 at NEB 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:38MD 4th & 12 at MD 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55NEB 4th & 22 at MD 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:30MD 4th & 9 at MD 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:30MD 4th & 9 at MD 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:26MD 4th & 1 at MD 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:24MD 4th & 5 at NEB 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:09NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 42, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:02MD 4th & 11 at NEB 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:47NEB 4th & 9 at MD 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−15.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:42MD 4th & 4 at MD 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:21MD 4th & 4 at NEB 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%−8.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:15NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:32MD Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:25MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:27NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:37NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:58MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:40MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:08NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−3.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2673% → 72%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
26.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 13 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
26.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
27.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
27.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 4 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
27.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Heinrich HaarbergSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
27.5%
Isaiah Mozee run for 3 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
27.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 5 yds to the MD 31Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
28.2%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the MD 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:4629% → 30%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
28.5%
Malik Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 29Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+7
28.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 7 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+19
29.0%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 19 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
30.0%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for no gain to the NEB 45Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
30.1%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+4
30.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 4 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+4
30.3%
Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+4
30.3%
Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the NEB 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
27.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 64 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2127% → 26%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
27.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-6
27.1%
Malik Washington sacked by Kade Pietrzak for a loss of 6 yards to the MD 21Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
26.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan RaySimilar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
26.4%
Bryce McFerson punt for 49 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for no gain to the NEB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5FG
16 plays · 47 yds · 5:3873% → 73%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
27.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
27.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+12
27.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 12 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
26.9%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep left to Hunter,Nyziah thrown to UMD30 PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Roland,La'khi) 15 yards from NEB47 to UMD38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
26.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 7 yds to the MD 31Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
26.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the MD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
26.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the MD 23Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
26.2%
(02:00) Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short right to Key,Dane thrown to UMD14, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Glasker,Jamare) 10 yards from UMD23 to UMD13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
26.2%
Heinrich Haarberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 15Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-15
26.5%
(01:09) Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short right to Key,Dane caught at UMD06, for 15 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:05 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Johnson,Emmett) 15 yards from UMD15 to UMD30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 27
OPP 30
+10
26.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 10 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 17
OPP 20
-5
27.0%
(00:15) PENALTY NEB False Start (Gottula,Gunnar) 5 yards from UMD20 to UMD25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 22
OPP 25
0
27.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 22
OPP 25
+43
26.7%
Kyle Cunanan 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1427% → 36%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
26.5%
Malik Washington run for 8 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
26.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for no gain to the MD 33Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
26.1%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
26.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 5 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+25
26.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 25 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
27.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 6 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+28
35.8%
Nolan Ray run for 28 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3370% → 67%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
30.2%
Isaiah Mozee run for 2 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
32.6%
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Messiah Delhomme return for no gain to the NEB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:1436% → 45%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
36.2%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
36.4%
Jalil Farooq run for 2 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+6
35.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 6 yds to the NEB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
44.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Leon Haughton Jr. for 21 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:3959% → 70%
Q2 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
41.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the MD 7Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
29.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 7 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4933% → 32%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
32.7%
Iverson Howard run for 1 yd to the MD 14Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
32.7%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
31.9%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
31.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryson Webber at the NEB 39Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
31.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jacory Barney Jr. at the MD 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:4770% → 74%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
29.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 19 yds to the MD 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
30.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 15 yds to the MD 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
26.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5424% → 24%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for no gain to the MD 25Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
24.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 9 yds to the MD 34Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
24.2%
Maryland Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
23.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacory Barney Jr. at the NEB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:5372% → 73%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
27.8%
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamare Glasker) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
50
+5
27.0%
Isaiah Mozee run for 5 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-6
26.7%
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Jamare Glasker return for 6 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
26.7%
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cam Rice) to the MD 29Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+14
26.7%
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (14 Yards) to the MD 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 2:4524% → 33%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
23.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 4 yds to the MD 19Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+11
23.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 11 yds to the MD 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
24.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the MD 38Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+13
25.8%
Nolan Ray run for 13 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
25.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
25.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
25.5%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
25.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 8 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
26.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 5 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
26.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 19Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
26.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
24.9%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
33.4%
Sean O'Haire 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
33.1%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Zahir Mathis for a loss of 10 yards to the NEB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5028% → 49%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.2%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
28.5%
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 26Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+22
27.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 22 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
30.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 4 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
31.3%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+11
30.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 11 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
31.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 18 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
31.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the NEB 14Similar
Q3 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.2%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17INT TD
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1260% → 44%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
39.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 11 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
38.3%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Lutovsky,Henry) 5 yards from NEB42 to NEB37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+1
41.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 1 yd to the NEB 38Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+8
41.0%
Isaiah Mozee run for 8 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+9
39.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 9 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
37.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Keelan Smith for 3 yds to the MD 42Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-67
55.9%
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Dontay Joyner return for 67 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1540% → 38%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
59.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
58.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
57.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-1
58.6%
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 42Similar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
61.8%
Archie Wilson punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 5:0167% → 75%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
67.2%
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the MD 44Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
68.3%
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
50
+5
70.3%
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
70.9%
Iverson Howard run for 6 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
76.5%
Malik Washington run for 6 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
78.2%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-4
77.0%
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-5
75.8%
PENALTY UMD Delay Of Game (Washington,Malik) 5 yards from NEB35 to NEB40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
75.1%
Bryce McFerson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20FG
17 plays · 83 yds · 6:0829% → 42%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
71.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
71.2%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short middle to Lindenmeyer,Luke caught at NEB32, for 13 yards to the NEB32 (Smith,Carlton) PENALTY NEB Holding (Pritchett,Elijah) 9 yards from NEB19 to NEB10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+5
71.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 5 yds to the NEB 15Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+10
72.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 10 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+5
73.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
72.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-10
72.3%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short left to Barney Jr.,Jacory caught at NEB35, for 1 yard to the NEB35 (Smith,Carlton) PENALTY NEB Holding (Hunter,Nyziah) 10 yards from NEB34 to NEB24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+16
74.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 16 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
71.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+50
75.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 50 yds to the MD 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q4 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
73.7%
Dylan Raiola run for 6 yds to the MD 4Similar
Q4 8:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
76.7%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game (Raiola,Dylan) 5 yards from UMD04 to UMD09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
58.5%
Kyle Cunanan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:5873% → 82%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
75.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 14 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
79.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the MD 42Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
80.3%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+2
81.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 2 yds to the MD 47Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+5
81.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 39 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for 5 yds to the NEB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:1930% → 94%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
69.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 23 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
66.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 47Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+33
66.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 33 yds to the MD 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
61.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the MD 16Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+13
58.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 13 yds to the MD 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Luke LindenmeyerSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
6.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:3415% → 12%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 4 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
15.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 16 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-14
17.4%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Washington,Malik pass incomplete short right thrown to NEB40 PENALTY UMD Intentional Grounding (Washington,Malik) 14 yards from UMD45 to UMD31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 24
OWN 31
0
14.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 24
OWN 31
+20
11.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 20 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
11.8%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
5.1%
D. Raiola takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:08
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
-53.9
TD · Q3 6:40
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Dontay Joyner return for 67 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
+18.5
FG · Q4 7:47
Kyle Cunanan 27 yd FG GOOD
-18.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com