NEB
Nebraska 34 at Maryland 31
MD2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · SECU Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey play
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NEB · Drive 1DOWNS · 9 plays · 44 yds
Q1 15:00
Sean O'Haire kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
41.9%
0.0
Q1 14:51
Emmett Johnson run for 13 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST down
38.8%
-3.1
Q1 14:31
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST down
37.2%
-1.6
Q1 13:59
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the MD 43
36.1%
-1.0
Q1 13:15
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 4 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST down
35.7%
-0.4
Q1 12:49
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Heinrich Haarberg
35.7%
0.0
Q1 12:43
Isaiah Mozee run for 3 yds to the MD 36
35.7%
0.0
Q1 12:04
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 5 yds to the MD 31
35.7%
0.0
Q1 11:25
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the MD 31
36.5%
+0.7
MD · Drive 2DOWNS · 9 plays · 33 yds
Q1 11:25
Timeout Maryland, clock 11:25
42.4%
+6.0
Q1 11:13
Malik Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 29
42.4%
0.0
Q1 10:36
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 7 yds to the MD 36
42.4%
0.0
Q1 9:59
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 19 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST down
42.7%
+0.2
Q1 9:16
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for no gain to the NEB 45
44.8%
+2.1
Q1 8:50
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 44
44.3%
-0.4
Q1 8:00
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 4 yds to the NEB 40
44.5%
+0.2
Q1 7:27
Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the NEB 36
44.5%
0.0
Q1 7:27
Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the NEB 36
44.5%
+9.8
NEB · Drive 3TD · 3 plays · 64 yds
Q1 7:27
Timeout Maryland, clock 07:27
34.7%
-9.8
Q1 7:15
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 64 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
22.8%
-21.7
Q1 7:15
Timeout Maryland, clock 07:15
39.0%
+16.2
MD · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · -2 yds
Q1 7:09
John Hohl kickoff for 63 yds , Ricardo Cooper Jr. return for 21 yds to the MD 23
23.2%
-15.8
Q1 6:59
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the MD 27
28.0%
+4.8
Q1 6:19
Malik Washington sacked by Kade Pietrzak for a loss of 6 yards to the MD 21
28.1%
+0.1
Q1 5:50
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan Ray
28.1%
+0.1
Q1 5:38
Bryce McFerson punt for 49 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for no gain to the NEB 28
28.1%
0.0
NEB · Drive 5FG · 16 plays · 47 yds
Q1 5:38
Timeout Maryland, clock 05:38
23.4%
-4.8
Q1 5:33
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 33
23.4%
0.0
Q1 4:56
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 35
23.6%
+0.2
Q1 4:13
Emmett Johnson run for 12 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST down
23.6%
0.0
Q1 3:48
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep left to Hunter,Nyziah thrown to UMD30 PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Roland,La'khi) 15 yards from NEB47 to UMD38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
22.6%
-1.0
Q1 3:35
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 7 yds to the MD 31
22.5%
0.0
Q1 2:58
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the MD 25 for a 1ST down
22.5%
0.0
Q1 2:26
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the MD 23
22.5%
0.0
Q1 1:58
(02:00) Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short right to Key,Dane thrown to UMD14, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Glasker,Jamare) 10 yards from UMD23 to UMD13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
22.2%
-0.3
Q1 1:46
Heinrich Haarberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 15
22.2%
0.0
Q1 1:12
Timeout Nebraska, clock 01:12
22.6%
+0.4
Q1 1:05
(01:09) Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short right to Key,Dane caught at UMD06, for 15 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:05 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Johnson,Emmett) 15 yards from UMD15 to UMD30. NO PLAY.
22.6%
0.0
Q1 0:49
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 10 yds to the MD 20
22.6%
0.0
Q1 0:15
(00:15) PENALTY NEB False Start (Gottula,Gunnar) 5 yards from UMD20 to UMD25. NO PLAY.
22.7%
+0.1
Q1 0:00
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane Key
22.9%
+0.2
Q2 14:55
Kyle Cunanan 43 yd FG GOOD
20.3%
-2.6
MD · Drive 6TD · 10 plays · 75 yds
Q2 14:55
John Hohl kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
21.0%
+0.7
Q2 14:46
Malik Washington run for 8 yds to the MD 33
24.3%
+3.3
Q2 14:22
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for no gain to the MD 33
24.3%
0.0
Q2 13:54
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down
24.3%
0.0
Q2 13:30
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
24.3%
0.0
Q2 13:20
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 5 yds to the MD 41
24.3%
0.0
Q2 12:31
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 25 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down
24.6%
+0.3
Q2 12:03
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 6 yds to the NEB 28
26.4%
+1.8
Q2 11:32
Nolan Ray run for 28 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
35.8%
+9.4
Q2 11:32
Timeout Maryland, clock 11:32
21.0%
-14.7
NEB · Drive 7INT · 3 plays · 2 yds
Q2 11:25
Sean O'Haire kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Mozee return for 29 yds to the NEB 29
33.4%
+12.4
Q2 11:18
Isaiah Mozee run for 2 yds to the NEB 31
31.6%
-1.8
Q2 10:45
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Messiah Delhomme return for no gain to the NEB 33
32.6%
+1.0
MD · Drive 8TD · 5 plays · 33 yds
Q2 10:39
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the NEB 29
39.4%
+6.8
Q2 9:51
Jalil Farooq run for 2 yds to the NEB 27
37.6%
-1.8
Q2 8:54
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 6 yds to the NEB 21 for a 1ST down
37.3%
-0.2
Q2 8:25
Malik Washington pass complete to Leon Haughton Jr. for 21 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
53.6%
+16.3
Q2 8:25
Timeout Maryland, clock 08:25
31.2%
-22.4
NEB · Drive 9TD · 5 plays · 10 yds
Q2 8:13
Sean O'Haire kickoff for 60 yds , Kenneth Williams return for 85 yds to the MD 10
54.1%
+22.9
Q2 8:06
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the MD 7
46.4%
-7.7
Q2 7:27
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 7 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
29.5%
-17.0
Q2 7:27
Timeout Maryland, clock 07:27
53.1%
+23.6
Q2 7:27
John Hohl kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nahsir Taylor)
51.0%
-2.0
MD · Drive 10PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q2 7:19
Iverson Howard run for 1 yd to the MD 14
32.8%
-18.2
Q2 6:43
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
32.8%
0.0
Q2 6:38
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
32.8%
0.0
Q2 6:30
Bryce McFerson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryson Webber at the NEB 39
32.8%
0.0
Q2 6:30
Bryce McFerson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jacory Barney Jr. at the MD 46
32.8%
0.0
NEB · Drive 11TD · 3 plays · 46 yds
Q2 6:24
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 19 yds to the MD 27 for a 1ST down
28.1%
-4.7
Q2 6:02
Emmett Johnson run for 15 yds to the MD 12 for a 1ST down
28.0%
-0.1
Q2 5:37
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
21.4%
-6.6
MD · Drive 12PUNT · 5 plays · 9 yds
Q2 5:37
John Hohl kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
22.7%
+1.3
Q2 5:20
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for no gain to the MD 25
20.4%
-2.4
Q2 4:56
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 9 yds to the MD 34
21.4%
+1.1
Q2 4:32
Maryland Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declined
21.4%
0.0
Q2 4:26
Bryce McFerson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacory Barney Jr. at the NEB 29
21.4%
0.0
NEB · Drive 13INT · 5 plays · 26 yds
Q2 4:17
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamare Glasker) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
22.9%
+1.4
Q2 4:03
Isaiah Mozee run for 5 yds to the MD 45
21.9%
-1.0
Q2 3:24
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Jamare Glasker return for 6 yds to the MD 29
20.6%
-1.2
Q2 3:24
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cam Rice) to the MD 29
20.6%
0.0
Q2 3:24
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (14 Yards) to the MD 15
20.6%
0.0
MD · Drive 14FG · 15 plays · 66 yds
Q2 3:09
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 4 yds to the MD 19
21.4%
+0.8
Q2 2:39
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 11 yds to the MD 30 for a 1ST down
21.4%
0.0
Q2 1:59
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the MD 38
21.6%
+0.1
Q2 1:59
Timeout Maryland, clock 01:59
21.6%
+0.1
Q2 1:53
Nolan Ray run for 13 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST down
21.6%
0.0
Q2 1:43
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
20.6%
-1.1
Q2 1:30
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the NEB 40
20.6%
0.0
Q2 1:12
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down
22.4%
+1.9
Q2 0:53
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 8 yds to the NEB 29
22.4%
0.0
Q2 0:53
Timeout Maryland, clock 00:53
22.4%
0.0
Q2 0:45
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 5 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST down
22.4%
0.0
Q2 0:38
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 19
22.4%
0.0
Q2 0:34
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts
22.4%
0.0
Q2 0:28
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
22.4%
-0.1
Q2 0:24
Sean O'Haire 37 yd FG GOOD
30.0%
+7.7
NEB · Drive 15END OF HALF · 2 plays · -10 yds
Q2 0:19
Sean O'Haire kickoff for 40 yds , Caleb Benning return for 25 yds to the 50 yard line
28.1%
-2.0
Q2 0:00
Dylan Raiola sacked by Zahir Mathis for a loss of 10 yards to the NEB 40
21.1%
-7.0
MD · Drive 16TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q3 14:56
John Hohl kickoff for 54 yds , Iverson Howard return for 14 yds to the MD 25
22.4%
+1.3
Q3 14:48
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 28
30.0%
+7.6
Q3 14:10
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 26
30.0%
0.0
Q3 13:39
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 22 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST down
30.0%
0.0
Q3 13:12
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 4 yds to the NEB 48
31.1%
+1.1
Q3 12:48
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the NEB 46
31.7%
+0.6
Q3 11:59
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 11 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST down
31.5%
-0.2
Q3 11:59
Timeout Maryland, clock 11:59
32.8%
+1.3
Q3 11:41
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 18 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST down
32.8%
0.0
Q3 11:02
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the NEB 14
32.8%
0.0
Q3 9:58
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
52.0%
+19.2
Q3 9:58
Timeout Maryland, clock 09:58
22.3%
-29.7
NEB · Drive 17INT TD · 10 plays · 33 yds
Q3 9:58
Sean O'Haire kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
49.5%
+27.2
Q3 9:52
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 31
41.8%
-7.7
Q3 9:15
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 11 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST down
41.8%
0.0
Q3 8:58
PENALTY NEB False Start (Lutovsky,Henry) 5 yards from NEB42 to NEB37. NO PLAY.
40.6%
-1.2
Q3 8:39
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 1 yd to the NEB 38
41.8%
+1.2
Q3 8:21
Isaiah Mozee run for 8 yds to the NEB 46
40.9%
-0.9
Q3 7:45
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 9 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST down
39.9%
-1.1
Q3 7:08
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Keelan Smith for 3 yds to the MD 42
39.6%
-0.3
Q3 6:40
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Dontay Joyner return for 67 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
59.2%
+19.6
Q3 6:40
Timeout Maryland, clock 06:40
42.0%
-17.2
NEB · Drive 18PUNT · 6 plays · 19 yds
Q3 6:32
Sean O'Haire kickoff for 65 yds , Kenneth Williams return for 23 yds to the NEB 23
68.3%
+26.3
Q3 6:24
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down
61.5%
-6.8
Q3 5:49
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the NEB 41
61.5%
0.0
Q3 5:18
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 43
60.6%
-0.9
Q3 4:44
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 42
60.4%
-0.2
Q3 4:09
Archie Wilson punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 38
61.7%
+1.3
MD · Drive 19PUNT · 10 plays · 22 yds
Q3 4:09
Timeout Maryland, clock 04:09
70.8%
+9.2
Q3 4:03
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the MD 44
70.8%
0.0
Q3 3:19
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
70.8%
0.0
Q3 2:38
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the NEB 45
73.3%
+2.4
Q3 1:53
Iverson Howard run for 6 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST down
73.3%
0.0
Q3 1:09
Malik Washington run for 6 yds to the NEB 33
74.7%
+1.4
Q3 0:00
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the NEB 31
76.3%
+1.5
Q4 14:51
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 35
76.1%
-0.2
Q4 14:13
PENALTY UMD Delay Of Game (Washington,Malik) 5 yards from NEB35 to NEB40. NO PLAY.
76.6%
+0.6
Q4 14:02
Bryce McFerson punt for 32 yds
76.6%
0.0
NEB · Drive 20FG · 17 plays · 83 yds
Q4 13:55
Emmett Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 19 for a 1ST down
67.9%
-8.7
Q4 13:25
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short middle to Lindenmeyer,Luke caught at NEB32, for 13 yards to the NEB32 (Smith,Carlton) PENALTY NEB Holding (Pritchett,Elijah) 9 yards from NEB19 to NEB10. NO PLAY.
67.9%
0.0
Q4 13:06
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 5 yds to the NEB 15
69.6%
+1.7
Q4 12:30
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 10 yds to the NEB 25
70.3%
+0.7
Q4 11:45
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST down
70.7%
+0.4
Q4 11:23
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 34
70.7%
0.0
Q4 10:47
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short left to Barney Jr.,Jacory caught at NEB35, for 1 yard to the NEB35 (Smith,Carlton) PENALTY NEB Holding (Hunter,Nyziah) 10 yards from NEB34 to NEB24. NO PLAY.
70.7%
0.0
Q4 10:22
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 16 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down
70.7%
0.0
Q4 9:56
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane Key
71.3%
+0.6
Q4 9:56
Timeout Maryland, clock 09:56
71.3%
0.0
Q4 9:42
Emmett Johnson run for 50 yds to the MD 10 for a 1ST down
71.5%
+0.1
Q4 9:00
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane Key
70.0%
-1.5
Q4 8:51
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
70.0%
0.0
Q4 8:41
Dylan Raiola run for 6 yds to the MD 4
70.0%
0.0
Q4 8:03
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game (Raiola,Dylan) 5 yards from UMD04 to UMD09. NO PLAY.
73.2%
+3.2
Q4 7:47
Kyle Cunanan 27 yd FG GOOD
59.9%
-13.3
Q4 7:47
Timeout Maryland, clock 07:47
81.0%
+21.1
MD · Drive 21PUNT · 8 plays · 22 yds
Q4 7:47
John Hohl kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
57.8%
-23.2
Q4 7:40
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 27
69.2%
+11.4
Q4 6:55
DeJuan Williams run for 14 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST down
69.2%
0.0
Q4 6:09
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the MD 42
69.7%
+0.5
Q4 5:26
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 45
72.1%
+2.3
Q4 5:26
Timeout Maryland, clock 05:26
72.5%
+0.4
Q4 4:31
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 2 yds to the MD 47
75.3%
+2.8
Q4 3:42
Bryce McFerson punt for 39 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for 5 yds to the NEB 19
76.3%
+1.0
NEB · Drive 22TD · 8 plays · 81 yds
Q4 3:27
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 23 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST down
68.6%
-7.7
Q4 2:52
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 47
69.1%
+0.4
Q4 2:17
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 33 yds to the MD 20 for a 1ST down
69.4%
+0.3
Q4 2:17
Timeout Maryland, clock 02:17
66.6%
-2.7
Q4 1:54
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the MD 16
67.2%
+0.6
Q4 1:17
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 13 yds to the MD 3 for a 1ST down
68.4%
+1.1
Q4 1:12
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Luke Lindenmeyer
70.7%
+2.4
Q4 1:08
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
13.8%
-56.9
MD · Drive 23DOWNS · 9 plays · 26 yds
Q4 1:08
John Hohl kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
14.5%
+0.6
Q4 0:55
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 4 yds to the MD 29
24.6%
+10.1
Q4 0:45
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 16 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST down
23.6%
-1.0
Q4 0:37
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Washington,Malik pass incomplete short right thrown to NEB40 PENALTY UMD Intentional Grounding (Washington,Malik) 14 yards from UMD45 to UMD31. NO PLAY.
24.4%
+0.8
Q4 0:37
Timeout Maryland, clock 00:37
23.6%
-0.8
Q4 0:31
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming
23.7%
+0.1
Q4 0:22
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 20 yds to the NEB 49
20.1%
-3.6
Q4 0:22
Timeout Nebraska, clock 00:22
22.5%
+2.4
Q4 0:21
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming
22.5%
0.0
NEB · Drive 24END OF GAME · 1 play · -1 yds
Q4 0:00
D. Raiola takes a knee
10.8%
-11.7
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:08
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
-56.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 9:58
Timeout Maryland, clock 09:58
-29.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 9:58
Sean O'Haire kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+27.2