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NU

Northwestern 22 at Penn State 21

PSU
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:10 · Preston Stone run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsHome team on offenseTime remainingTwo-minute warning
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:14: Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 29 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +12.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 1:19: Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +11.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. FG · Q4 14:08: Jack Olsen 41 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +18.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q4 10:50: Drew Allar run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +14.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · Q4 4:51: Caleb Komolafe 9 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — NU win probability +29.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:31NU 4th & 6 at NU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:51NU 4th & 9 at PSU 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:39PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:19PSU 4th & 2 at NU 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−6.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:03NU 4th & 9 at PSU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:15PSU 4th & 8 at PSU 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:08NU 4th & 23 at PSU 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−6.0
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−12.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:13NU 4th & 3 at NU 21, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:19PSU 4th & 8 at NU 45, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:30NU 4th & 8 at NU 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−1.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:00PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.3%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:40PSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:14NU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:19PSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:50PSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:51NU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    52.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    53.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:297% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
92.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
92.8%
Preston Stone run for no gain to the NU 31 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, off-side (Dani Dennis-Sutton) to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
92.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 4 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
92.8%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Drew WagnerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
92.8%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Drew WagnerSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
91.2%
punt for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 18:2093% → 78%
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+20
92.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 20 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
80.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 6 yds to the PSU 19Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+10
80.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the PSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
80.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
80.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 1 yd to the PSU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
77.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
77.5%
Liam Clifford run for 2 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
77.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 4 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
78.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
78.4%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the NU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
78.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the NU 11Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
78.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 11 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
91.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
91.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 6 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
91.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
91.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the NU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 7:2310% → 15%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
90.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 34Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+8
90.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 8 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+6
90.3%
Joseph Himon II run for 6 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
90.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 13 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
90.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Alex Lines for 7 yds to the PSU 32Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+10
90.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 10 yds to the PSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
90.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the PSU 21Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+12
90.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the PSU 18 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (Alonzo Ford Jr.) to the PSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
90.4%
Preston Stone sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 13Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
85.8%
Dashun Reeder run for no gain to the PSU 13Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
86.2%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the PSU 9Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
85.1%
Jack Olsen 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2622% → 38%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
77.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
77.7%
Preston Stone run for 3 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+18
75.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 3 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, personal foul (Dejuan Lane) to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
74.6%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the PSU 41Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
74.7%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+10
74.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 10 yds to the PSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
62.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 29 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2964% → 59%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
63.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 36Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+5
62.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 41Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
63.0%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson, broken up by Josh FussellSimilar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+2
59.1%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 35 yds , Drew Wagner returns for 2 yds to the NU 26, fumbles, recovered by Penn State at the NU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:2064% → 57%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
64.3%
Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
64.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
64.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the NU 14Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
64.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the NU 11Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+7
63.3%
Drew Allar run for 7 yds to the NU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.3%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas SingletonSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
64.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the NU 2Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the NU 2Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 1:1643% → 50%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
57.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the NU 27 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Zuriah Fisher) to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
56.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 9 yds to the PSU 49Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
54.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
54.6%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+16
55.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 16 yds to the PSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
54.0%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hunter WelcingSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
54.0%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Drew Wagner for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, roughing passer (Zuriah Fisher) to the PSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
54.2%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hunter WelcingSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
54.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon II, broken up by Elliot Washington IISimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+1
56.1%
Preston Stone run for 1 yd to the PSU 16Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
49.6%
J. Olsen 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:4563% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
62.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
63.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+7
62.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 7 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.6%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
63.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
63.0%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
58.3%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10FG
4 plays · -14 yds · 15:5239% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
60.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the PSU 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
43.6%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
45.4%
Preston Stone sacked by Zuriah Fisher for a loss of 15 yards to the PSU 23Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+41
27.2%
Jack Olsen 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:0251% → 54%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
49.2%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the NU 6Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+8
49.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 8 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
48.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the NU 14Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
49.3%
Preston Stone run for 7 yds to the NU 21Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
49.0%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hunter WelcingSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
46.4%
Luke Akers punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:5444% → 37%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
44.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 11 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
46.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 43Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
46.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 10 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
48.3%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kaytron AllenSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
47.7%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Luke ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+2
45.3%
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
37.4%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:4967% → 75%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
33.0%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 1 yd to the NU 11Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+1
33.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 12Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+12
34.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
32.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 8 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+5
31.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
31.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for no gain to the NU 37Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
31.6%
Joseph Himon II run for 7 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
30.5%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 44Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-5
31.8%
Northwestern Penalty, delay of game (Luke Akers) to the NU 39Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+52
25.0%
Luke Akers punt for 49 yds , Devonte Ross returns for no gain to the PSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:1429% → 53%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
28.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 1 yd to the PSU 10Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+4
28.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 14Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+67
27.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 67 yds to the NU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
38.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 18 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.3%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the NU 1Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.8%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5444% → 76%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin Wilde, broken up by Dominic DeLucaSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 2 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
57.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 16 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
54.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 9 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+5
49.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
51.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
50.5%
Dashun Reeder run for no gain to the PSU 31Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
50.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 11 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
51.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 9 yds to the PSU 11Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
53.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the PSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
24.1%
Caleb Komolafe 9 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
24.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the NU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5137% → 32%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
36.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 22Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
35.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 9 yds to the PSU 31Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
36.0%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the PSU 32Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.0%
Ethan Grunkemeyer run for no gain to the PSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17Uncategorized
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:5077% → 93%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
23.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the PSU 28Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
23.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the PSU 25Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
9.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
8.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the PSU 19Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+17
6.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 17 yds to the PSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-6
6.8%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 6 yards to the PSU 8Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
6.1%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 10Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
7.1%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:51
Caleb Komolafe 9 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-29.2
FG · Q4 14:08
Jack Olsen 41 yd FG GOOD
-18.2
TD · Q4 10:50
Drew Allar run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com