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PUR

Purdue 20 at Minnesota 27

MINN
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Ryan Browne pass complete to Corey Smith for 12 yds Corey Smith fumbled, recovered by PUR Emmanuel Karmo
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:46: Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 24 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — MINN win probability +8.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:52: Ryan Browne run for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK) — PUR win probability +12.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:20: Spencer Porath 20 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +8.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:47: Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 4 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — MINN win probability +30.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:40: Ryan Browne pass intercepted Koi Perich return for 27 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — MINN win probability +22.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 9 of 10PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:12PUR 4th & 2 at MINN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:12MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:04PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:43MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:16PUR 4th & 16 at PUR 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:44MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:48MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:09PUR 4th & 3 at MINN 16, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%−0.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:44MINN 4th & 9 at PUR 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:02MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:20PUR 4th & 3 at MINN 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−13.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:06PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:06MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−4.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:06MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−4.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:16PUR 4th & 8 at MINN 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:22MINN 4th & 2 at PUR 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.9%−2.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−14.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:09PUR 4th & 5 at MINN 14, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−8.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:56PUR 4th & 7 at MINN 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−5.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−11.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:14MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−1.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:12PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:46MINN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:52PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:47MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.9
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:40MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4128% → 29%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
72.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 15 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
71.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+9
71.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Corey Smith for 9 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
71.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
71.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MINN 41Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
71.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the MINN 40Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+40
70.6%
Malachi Singleton run for 40 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5171% → 69%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
70.6%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 8 yds to the MINN 28Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
70.5%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
70.1%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
69.9%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Pierce Walsh for 7 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
69.8%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Cam Davis for 2 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
69.4%
Tom Weston punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Jackson III at the PUR 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0231% → 31%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
69.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
68.8%
Ryan Browne run for 7 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
68.6%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+14
68.7%
Jack McCallister punt for 45 yds , Koi Perich returns for 14 yds to the MINN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:1369% → 67%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
69.1%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 46Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+7
68.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 7 yds to the PUR 47Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-5
68.5%
Drake Lindsey sacked by Ian Jeffries for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 48Similar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
67.3%
Tom Weston punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:2033% → 34%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
67.1%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass complete short middle to Jackson III,Michael caught at PUR30, for 13 yards to the PUR33 (Perich,Koi) PENALTY PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Tanona,Joey) 5 yards from PUR20 to PUR15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-7
66.9%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan rush right for 4 yards gain to the PUR19 (Nestor,John), out of bounds PENALTY PUR Holding (Trent,Ethan) 7 yards from PUR15 to PUR08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 22
OWN 8
0
67.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for no gain to the PUR 8Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 22
OWN 8
+6
66.6%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Antonio Harris for 6 yds to the PUR 14Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
66.2%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass complete deep right to Horton,EJ caught at PUR37, for 23 yards to the PUR37 (Nestor,John), out of bounds PENALTY PUR Illegal Touch-Pass (Horton,EJ). NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
66.4%
Jack McCallister punt for 52 yds , Koi Perich returns for no gain to the MINN 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2566% → 64%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
66.1%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the MINN 34Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
65.5%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-2
64.9%
Drake Lindsey sacked by CJ Nunnally IV for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 32Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
64.3%
Tom Weston punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7INT
7 plays · 59 yds · 1:4136% → 38%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
64.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+11
63.6%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Corey Smith for 11 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
63.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+10
62.7%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
62.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+27
62.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 27 yds to the MINN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
61.8%
Devin Mockobee pass intercepted Kerry Brown return for no gain to the MINN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0664% → 62%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
63.7%
(14:51) PENALTY MINN False Start (Ray,Dylan). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
63.6%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Malachi ColemanSimilar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
63.5%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 3Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
62.6%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jameson GeersSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
62.3%
Tom Weston punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:3139% → 42%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
61.2%
Malachi Thomas run for 14 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
60.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
60.4%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Michael Jackson IIISimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+8
60.7%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Rico Walker for 8 yds to the MINN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
60.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Rico WalkerSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
60.1%
Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the MINN 22Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+6
60.0%
Ryan Browne run for 6 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
58.1%
Spencer Porath 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1058% → 69%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
57.9%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Darius Taylor for 40 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
60.0%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
68.6%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 24 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
64.9%
Ryan Browne pass intercepted John Nestor return for 8 yds to the PUR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5069% → 69%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
68.6%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
68.5%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the PUR 28Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
67.4%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
69.3%
Brady Denaburg 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:4533% → 52%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.9%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to EJ Horton Jr.Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 11 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
65.2%
Ryan Browne run for 11 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
63.6%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 2 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
63.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Arhmad Branch for 10 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
62.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the MINN 35Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+3
62.0%
Ryan Browne run for 3 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+5
62.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the MINN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
61.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the MINN 22Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+14
61.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 14 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
60.9%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Mockobee,Devin rush middle for 0 yards to the MINN08 (Brown,Kerry; Baranowski,Maverick) PENALTY PUR Holding (Jackson III,Michael) 10 yards from MINN08 to MINN18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
-1
60.8%
Antonio Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 19Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+7
60.8%
Ryan Browne run for 7 yds to the MINN 12Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
47.7%
Ryan Browne run for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FG
18 plays · 64 yds · 1:4552% → 61%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
51.8%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 15 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
53.6%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
52.5%
Drake Lindsey run for 2 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+9
51.5%
Darius Taylor run for 9 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
54.6%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
53.9%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Lindsey,Drake sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MINN48 (Kennedy,Demeco, Correa,Charles) PENALTY PUR Holding (Grimes,Tony) 10 yards from PUR49 to PUR39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
54.7%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+9
54.6%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the PUR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
56.1%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
55.9%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Darius Taylor for 2 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+14
54.0%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Darius Taylor for 14 yds to the PUR 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
55.8%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+29
60.8%
Brady Denaburg 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5558% → 56%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.3%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.0%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 28Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
56.7%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
55.9%
Tom Weston punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Michael Jackson III at the PUR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:3544% → 58%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
56.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
55.9%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+13
57.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Corey Smith for 13 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
54.8%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass incomplete short right to Smith,Corey thrown to MINN44 QB hurried by Perich,Koi PENALTY MINN Pass Interference (Nestor,John) 15 yards from PUR37 to MINN48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
53.0%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Malachi ThomasSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+17
53.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 17 yds to the MINN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
51.7%
Ryan Browne run for 11 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
50.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the MINN 18Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+4
50.4%
Ryan Browne run for 4 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+6
51.4%
Malachi Singleton run for 6 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
49.6%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 10Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
49.5%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 10Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
50.9%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Rico Walker for 7 yds to the MINN 3Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
42.5%
Spencer Porath 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:5245% → 45%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
45.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 19 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
47.7%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+12
48.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Fame Ijeboi for 12 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
48.9%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
48.4%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+14
47.0%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 14 yds to the PUR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.1%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Drew BiberSimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
50.0%
PENALTY MINN False Start (Roy,Nathan) 5 yards from PUR28 to PUR33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 15
OPP 33
0
47.6%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 15
OPP 33
-18
45.1%
Drake Lindsey pass intercepted Myles Slusher return for 18 yds to the PUR 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5861% → 59%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
39.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to EJ Horton Jr.Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
39.2%
Antonio Harris run for 1 yd to the PUR 30Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
39.9%
Purdue Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tony Grimes) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+2
41.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 49 yds , Koi Perich returns for 2 yds to the MINN 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5042% → 39%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
42.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 22Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
41.5%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
39.6%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+15
38.5%
Tom Weston punt for 41 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 15 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+15
38.5%
Tom Weston punt for 41 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 15 yds to the PUR 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:3964% → 70%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
35.9%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Rico Walker for 1 yd to the PUR 32Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
35.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
33.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
32.7%
Malachi Singleton run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
50
+18
30.0%
Malachi Singleton run for 18 yds to the MINN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
29.4%
Malachi Singleton run for 2 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
26.9%
Malachi Singleton pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
28.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Rico WalkerSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
30.5%
Spencer Porath 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:1936% → 69%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
36.0%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 29Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
34.8%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+15
33.1%
(13:30) Shotgun Lindsey,Drake sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MINN22 (Kennedy,Demeco) PENALTY PUR Face Mask (Kennedy,Demeco) 15 yards from MINN29 to MINN44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
38.1%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 4
50
0
39.0%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Fame IjeboiSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
50
+14
37.9%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jalen Smith for 14 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
39.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Drew Biber for 9 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
40.9%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-1
38.5%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+3
35.5%
Drake Lindsey run for 3 yds to the PUR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.4%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
40.2%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+16
37.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 16 yds to the PUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
39.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Darius Taylor for 1 yd to the PUR 8Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
38.7%
(08:17) Lindsey,Drake sacked for loss of 11 yards to the PUR19 (Kennedy,Demeco, Madden,C.J.) PENALTY PUR Face Mask (Kennedy,Demeco) 4 yards from PUR08 to PUR04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.2%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 4 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-27
84.8%
Ryan Browne pass intercepted Koi Perich return for 27 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
19 plays · 68 yds · 5:3713% → 12%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
87.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 15 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
85.7%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Corey Smith for 4 yds to the PUR 45Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+8
85.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
84.4%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 13 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
83.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the MINN 33Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+14
83.9%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 14 yds to the MINN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
83.2%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
83.8%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 5 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+7
89.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 7 yds to the MINN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
86.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MINN 5Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
85.8%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass incomplete short right to Jackson III,Michael thrown to MINN02 broken up by Brown,Kerry PENALTY PUR Holding (Tanona,Joey) 10 yards from MINN05 to MINN15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
87.4%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
89.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Corey Smith for 8 yds to the MINN 7Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.5%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Michael Jackson IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:3795% → 98%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
95.3%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 9Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+5
95.2%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
96.4%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the MINN 14Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
97.9%
Tom Weston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Michael Jackson III at the PUR 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:088% → 7%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.2%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
92.6%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+12
93.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Corey Smith for 12 yds Corey Smith fumbled, recovered by PUR Emmanuel KarmoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:47
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 4 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+30.5
TD · Q4 7:40
Ryan Browne pass intercepted Koi Perich return for 27 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)
+22.3
TD · Q2 1:52
Ryan Browne run for 12 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com