RUTG
Rutgers 19 at Washington 38
WASH2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey play
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RUTG · Drive 1TD · 6 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 61 yds
71.8%
0.0
Q1 14:56
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29
70.0%
-1.8
Q1 14:12
Antwan Raymond run for 51 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST down
69.0%
-1.0
Q1 13:48
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ben Black
66.7%
-2.3
Q1 13:42
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 20 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
51.9%
-14.8
Q1 13:37
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds , Adam Mohammed return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the WASH 7
69.0%
+17.1
WASH · Drive 2MISSED FG · 7 plays · 72 yds
Q1 13:26
Demond Williams Jr. run for 42 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST down
57.2%
-11.8
Q1 12:46
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Chris Lawson for 12 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST down
57.2%
0.0
Q1 12:08
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST down
58.9%
+1.6
Q1 11:37
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the RUTG 21
58.9%
0.0
Q1 11:05
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Jonah Coleman
58.9%
0.0
Q1 10:58
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
58.6%
-0.2
Q1 10:53
Grady Gross 39 yd FG MISSED
58.2%
-0.4
RUTG · Drive 3FG · 16 plays · 62 yds
Q1 10:48
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong
52.7%
-5.5
Q1 10:31
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 4 yds to the RUTG 25
52.7%
0.0
Q1 10:21
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Kaliakmanis,Athan pass incomplete deep right to Sheffield,DT thrown to WASH42 PENALTY WASH Illegal Substitution 5 yards from RU25 to RU30. NO PLAY.
52.7%
0.0
Q1 10:14
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the RUTG 34 for a 1ST down
52.7%
0.0
Q1 9:41
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 37
52.7%
0.0
Q1 8:57
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 24 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST down
51.7%
-1.0
Q1 8:23
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong
50.7%
-1.0
Q1 8:17
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 6 yds to the WASH 33
50.7%
0.0
Q1 7:43
Antwan Raymond run for 17 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST down
50.7%
0.0
Q1 6:58
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for 4 yds to the WASH 12
50.7%
0.0
Q1 6:27
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the WASH 12
49.4%
-1.2
Q1 5:43
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete
49.4%
0.0
Q1 5:43
(05:43) PENALTY RU False Start (Giwa,Moshood) 5 yards from WASH12 to WASH17. NO PLAY.
50.2%
+0.8
Q1 5:38
Jai Patel 35 yd FG GOOD
44.4%
-5.8
Q1 5:38
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Rahshawn Clark)
51.3%
+6.8
Q1 5:38
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Rahshawn Clark)
51.3%
0.0
WASH · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · -9 yds
Q1 5:27
Demond Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 11
49.7%
-1.5
Q1 4:54
Demond Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the WASH 15
49.7%
0.0
Q1 4:23
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Jordan Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the WASH 8
49.7%
0.0
Q1 3:43
(03:46) Dunne,Luke punt 35 yards to the WASH43 fair catch by Sheffield,DT at WASH43 PENALTY WASH Illegal Formation 4 yards from WASH08 to WASH04. NO PLAY.
49.6%
-0.1
Q1 3:33
Luke Dunne punt for 28 yds
49.6%
0.0
RUTG · Drive 5MISSED FG · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q1 3:27
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the WASH 31
43.6%
-6.1
Q1 2:55
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Kenny Fletcher Jr.
43.6%
0.0
Q1 2:44
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 4 yds to the WASH 27
43.6%
0.0
Q1 1:59
Jai Patel 45 yd FG MISSED
43.0%
-0.6
WASH · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · 13 yds
Q1 1:47
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 18 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down
48.0%
+5.0
Q1 1:12
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
48.7%
+0.7
Q1 1:01
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 5 yards to the WASH 41
48.7%
0.0
Q1 0:25
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
48.2%
-0.5
Q1 0:12
Luke Dunne punt for 56 yds
48.2%
0.0
RUTG · Drive 7PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q1 0:07
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong
44.1%
-4.1
Q1 0:00
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 7
44.0%
-0.1
Q2 14:54
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Antwan Raymond
44.0%
0.0
Q2 14:41
Jakob Anderson punt for 43 yds
44.0%
0.0
WASH · Drive 8TD · 5 plays · 50 yds
Q2 14:34
Demond Williams Jr. run for 25 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST down
49.0%
+5.1
Q2 13:55
Adam Mohammed run for 2 yds to the RUTG 23
50.4%
+1.4
Q2 13:21
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 23 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
67.3%
+16.9
Q2 13:21
PENALTY WASH UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Azzopardi,Drew) 15 yards from WASH35 to WASH20. NO PLAY.
47.7%
-19.6
Q2 13:13
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 76 yds , Ben Black return for 24 yds to the RUTG 44 Rutgers Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the RUTG 18
47.7%
0.0
RUTG · Drive 9DOWNS · 15 plays · 76 yds
Q2 13:08
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 7 yds to the RUTG 25
60.0%
+12.3
Q2 12:29
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 7 yds to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST down
60.0%
0.0
Q2 11:54
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Kaliakmanis,Athan pass intercepted by Davis,Tacario at RU48, End Of Play PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Davis,Tacario) 15 yards from RU32 to RU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
59.9%
-0.2
Q2 11:30
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Bryce Butler for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 44
58.0%
-1.9
Q2 10:47
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 17 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST down
58.2%
+0.3
Q2 10:11
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong
57.8%
-0.4
Q2 10:06
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Colin Weber
57.8%
0.0
Q2 9:53
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 11 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST down
57.8%
0.0
Q2 9:15
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong
57.8%
0.0
Q2 9:05
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 15 yds to the WASH 13 for a 1ST down
57.8%
0.0
Q2 8:30
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the WASH 13
57.8%
0.0
Q2 7:50
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 3 yds to the WASH 10
55.7%
-2.1
Q2 7:34
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the WASH 6
55.7%
0.0
Q2 6:54
Timeout Rutgers, clock 06:54
55.7%
-0.1
Q2 6:49
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Antwan Raymond
55.7%
0.0
WASH · Drive 10FUMBLE · 10 plays · 91 yds
Q2 6:39
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 8
60.2%
+4.5
Q2 6:10
Timeout Washington, clock 06:10
59.5%
-0.7
Q2 5:59
Demond Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 7
59.5%
0.0
Q2 5:26
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 28 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Defensive Offside (DT Sheffield) declined for a 1ST down
59.5%
0.0
Q2 5:03
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST down
59.5%
0.0
Q2 4:36
Demond Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the RUTG 45
60.5%
+0.9
Q2 4:00
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the RUTG 43
61.4%
+0.9
Q2 3:20
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST down
61.8%
+0.4
Q2 2:33
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 22 yds to the RUTG 19 for a 1ST down
61.6%
-0.2
Q2 2:00
Demond Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the RUTG 3 Demond Williams Jr. fumbled, recovered by RUTG Dariel Djabome
61.5%
-0.1
RUTG · Drive 11FG · 11 plays · 78 yds
Q2 2:00
Timeout Washington, clock 02:00
54.1%
-7.4
Q2 2:00
(01:59) PENALTY RU False Start (Needham,Tyler) 1 yard from RU03 to RU02. NO PLAY.
54.1%
0.0
Q2 1:52
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 34 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST down
54.1%
0.0
Q2 1:45
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 41 yds to the WASH 23 for a 1ST down
54.1%
0.0
Q2 1:40
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the WASH 20
52.3%
-1.9
Q2 1:18
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 9 yds to the WASH 11 for a 1ST down
51.0%
-1.2
Q2 1:06
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete
51.0%
0.0
Q2 0:49
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff
51.0%
0.0
Q2 0:43
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 19
51.0%
0.0
Q2 0:43
Timeout Washington, clock 00:43
51.8%
+0.8
Q2 0:39
Jai Patel 37 yd FG GOOD
43.7%
-8.1
WASH · Drive 12FG · 9 plays · 57 yds
Q2 0:39
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
44.8%
+1.1
Q2 0:28
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Omari Evans for 13 yds Omari Evans fumbled, recovered by RUTG Omari Evans for a 1ST down
49.6%
+4.8
Q2 0:17
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 30 yds to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST down
50.0%
+0.4
Q2 0:14
Timeout Rutgers, clock 00:14
53.0%
+2.9
Q2 0:10
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 14 yds to the RUTG 18 for a 1ST down
53.0%
0.0
Q2 0:10
Timeout Washington, clock 00:10
51.2%
-1.7
Q2 0:04
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
51.2%
0.0
Q2 0:04
Timeout Rutgers, clock 00:04
51.2%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Grady Gross 36 yd FG GOOD
60.0%
+8.8
WASH · Drive 13TD · 5 plays · 75 yds
Q3 14:55
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds , Adam Mohammed return for 25 yds to the WASH 25
54.4%
-5.7
Q3 14:48
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 12 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST down
58.7%
+4.3
Q3 14:10
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 59 yds to the RUTG 4 for a 1ST down
58.7%
0.0
Q3 13:41
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the RUTG 1
61.0%
+2.3
Q3 13:01
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
77.6%
+16.6
RUTG · Drive 14PUNT · 5 plays · -7 yds
Q3 13:01
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
76.4%
-1.2
Q3 12:56
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26
71.9%
-4.6
Q3 12:14
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 2 yds to the RUTG 28
71.9%
0.0
Q3 11:36
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 5 yds to the RUTG 33 Rutgers Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Taj White) to the RUTG 18
71.9%
0.0
Q3 11:19
Jakob Anderson punt for 45 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 3 yds to the WASH 40
71.9%
0.0
WASH · Drive 15TD · 3 plays · 60 yds
Q3 11:10
Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the WASH 43
77.8%
+5.9
Q3 10:39
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Quentin Moore for 19 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST down
77.7%
0.0
Q3 10:06
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 38 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
89.3%
+11.6
RUTG · Drive 16TD · 4 plays · 75 yds
Q3 10:06
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 61 yds
89.0%
-0.3
Q3 9:57
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 12 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST down
87.5%
-1.5
Q3 9:29
(09:35) Shotgun Kaliakmanis,Athan pass incomplete deep left to Duff,KJ thrown to WASH24 PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Prysock,Ephesians) 15 yards from RU37 to WASH48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
87.5%
0.0
Q3 9:17
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 48 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
73.5%
-14.0
WASH · Drive 17TD · 14 plays · 75 yds
Q3 9:17
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
75.0%
+1.5
Q3 9:09
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WASH 26
79.2%
+4.2
Q3 8:38
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 8 yds to the WASH 34
79.2%
0.0
Q3 8:02
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 20 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST down
79.2%
-0.1
Q3 7:43
PENALTY WASH False Start (McCree,Maximus) 5 yards from RU46 to WASH49. NO PLAY.
80.0%
+0.8
Q3 7:27
Adam Mohammed run for 6 yds to the RUTG 45
80.0%
0.0
Q3 6:50
Demond Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the RUTG 44
80.0%
0.0
Q3 6:09
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 6 yds to the RUTG 38
80.3%
+0.3
Q3 5:29
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 13 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST down
80.2%
0.0
Q3 4:59
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the RUTG 25
80.0%
-0.2
Q3 4:12
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 11 yds to the RUTG 14 for a 1ST down
79.8%
-0.2
Q3 3:37
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the RUTG 11
79.8%
0.0
Q3 3:01
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
79.8%
0.0
Q3 2:53
Demond Williams Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
92.6%
+12.8
RUTG · Drive 18DOWNS · 20 plays · 73 yds
Q3 2:53
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
92.4%
-0.2
Q3 2:47
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 25
89.5%
-2.9
Q3 2:22
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 9 yds to the RUTG 34
89.5%
0.0
Q3 2:06
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST down
89.5%
0.0
Q3 1:28
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Antwan Raymond
89.5%
0.0
Q3 1:17
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for 8 yds to the RUTG 44
89.5%
0.0
Q3 0:57
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 4 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST down
89.5%
0.0
Q3 0:25
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 17 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST down
89.5%
0.0
Q3 0:02
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete
88.9%
-0.6
Q3 0:00
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 6 yds to the WASH 29
88.9%
0.0
Q4 14:56
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong
88.9%
0.0
Q4 14:45
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 7 yds to the WASH 22 for a 1ST down
89.0%
+0.2
Q4 14:29
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Colin Weber
88.8%
-0.3
Q4 14:15
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for 8 yds to the WASH 14
88.8%
0.0
Q4 13:57
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the WASH 13
89.1%
+0.4
Q4 13:15
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the WASH 11 for a 1ST down
89.5%
+0.4
Q4 12:32
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for no gain to the WASH 11
89.3%
-0.2
Q4 11:57
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Antwan Raymond
89.5%
+0.2
Q4 11:52
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong
89.5%
0.0
Q4 11:46
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 9 yds to the WASH 2
89.7%
+0.2
WASH · Drive 19TD · 8 plays · 97 yds
Q4 11:39
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Omari Evans for 32 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST down
94.0%
+4.3
Q4 11:08
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the WASH 40
94.0%
0.0
Q4 10:31
Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST down
94.0%
+0.1
Q4 9:49
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Quentin Moore for 6 yds to the RUTG 46
93.9%
-0.1
Q4 9:08
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST down
93.8%
-0.1
Q4 8:20
Demond Williams Jr. run for 30 yds to the RUTG 12 for a 1ST down
94.0%
+0.2
Q4 7:32
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Chris Lawson for 5 yds to the RUTG 7
94.0%
0.0
Q4 6:52
Demond Williams Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
97.8%
+3.9
RUTG · Drive 20INT · 15 plays · 71 yds
Q4 6:52
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.8%
0.0
Q4 6:47
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Bryce Butler for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 22
96.3%
-1.5
Q4 6:23
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the RUTG 27
96.3%
0.0
Q4 5:53
(05:57) Shotgun Kaliakmanis,Athan sacked for loss of 6 yards to the RU21 (Ward,Isaiah) PENALTY WASH Offside (Ward,Isaiah) 5 yards from RU27 to RU32. NO PLAY.
96.3%
0.0
Q4 5:24
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 34
96.3%
0.0
Q4 4:47
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST down
96.5%
+0.2
Q4 4:13
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for 7 yds to the RUTG 43
96.5%
0.0
Q4 3:53
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 3 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST down
96.5%
+0.1
Q4 3:36
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 9 yds to the WASH 45
96.5%
0.0
Q4 3:14
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST down
96.5%
0.0
Q4 2:40
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 6 yds to the WASH 36
96.4%
-0.1
Q4 2:12
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 32 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST down
96.4%
-0.1
Q4 1:57
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the WASH 4
96.5%
+0.1
Q4 1:57
Timeout Washington, clock 01:57
96.2%
-0.3
Q4 1:49
Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted, touchback. Ephesians Prysock return for no gain
96.2%
0.0
WASH · Drive 21END OF GAME · 3 plays · -11 yds
Q4 1:43
D. Williams Jr. takes a knee
97.8%
+1.7
Q4 1:05
D. Williams Jr. takes a knee
97.8%
0.0
Q4 0:00
D. Williams Jr. takes a knee
97.7%
-0.1
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 13:21
PENALTY WASH UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Azzopardi,Drew) 15 yards from WASH35 to WASH20. NO PLAY.
-19.6
KEY PLAY · Q1 13:37
Jack Scullion kickoff for 65 yds , Adam Mohammed return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the WASH 7
+17.1
TD · Q2 13:21
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 23 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+16.9