Try the model
ULM

UL Monroe 7 at Northwestern 42

NU
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:25 · Hunter Herring pass incomplete to Jonathan Bibbs
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorOffense timeoutsScore differentialDefense timeoutsScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:47: Nic Trujillo 34 Yd pass from Aidan Armenta (Luke Stagg Kick) — ULM win probability +2.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q1 5:22: Caleb Komolafe 3 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick) — NU win probability +2.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q2 13:57: Hayden Eligon II 37 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Lawson Albright Run for Two-Point Conversion) — ULM win probability +0.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · Q2 2:00: Jack Olsen 34 Yd Field Goal — ULM win probability +2.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · Q3 5:12: Griffin Wilde 49 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Jack Olsen Kick) — NU win probability +10.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:13NU 4th & 1 at NU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:39ULM 4th & 17 at NU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:50ULM 4th & 2 at NU 23, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:00NU 4th & 4 at ULM 16, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:31ULM 4th & 26 at ULM 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:49ULM 4th & 10 at NU 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:23ULM 4th & 17 at ULM 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:16NU 4th & 4 at ULM 6, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:50ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 19, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:43NU 4th & 3 at ULM 15, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:51ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 48, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:10NU 4th & 6 at ULM 39, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:47ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:22NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:57NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:12NU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:16NU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1219% → 26%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.9%
Jake Godfrey run for 4 yds to the ULM 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
80.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for 15 yds to the ULM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
79.4%
Aidan Armenta run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 4
50
+2
78.6%
D'Shaun Ford run for 2 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+6
77.7%
Hunter Herring run for 6 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
76.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 8 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+34
74.5%
Nic Trujillo 34 Yd pass from Aidan Armenta (Luke Stagg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:1875% → 70%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
75.4%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Lawson AlbrightSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
75.2%
Caleb Komolafe run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 35Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+13
74.0%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 13 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
73.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
71.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
71.1%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+15
70.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Ricky Ahumaraeze for 15 yds to the ULM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
70.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
69.7%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Joseph Himon IISimilar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+15
69.3%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the ULM 24 for a 1ST down UL Monroe Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Noah Flemmings) to the ULM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
68.9%
Preston Stone run for 7 yds to the ULM 5Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
68.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the ULM 3Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
70.1%
Caleb Komolafe 3 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:4231% → 36%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for 7 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
67.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the ULM 32Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+48
67.0%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 48 yds to the NU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
65.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 21Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-6
63.5%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 27Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 17
OPP 27
0
63.5%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake Godfrey, broken up by Ore AdeyiSimilar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 17
OPP 27
+45
64.5%
Luke Stagg 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:3964% → 63%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
63.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
62.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the NU 35Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
61.7%
Preston Stone run for 3 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
61.6%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin WildeSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+30
62.1%
Preston Stone run for 30 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
63.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for no gain to the ULM 32 Northwestern Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the ULM 37Similar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+37
62.7%
Hayden Eligon II 37 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Lawson Albright Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:0435% → 38%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
65.3%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for 13 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
64.1%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 41Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+14
63.1%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Julian Nixon for 14 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
62.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 14 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
60.9%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Julian NixonSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
60.8%
Aidan Armenta run for 7 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+1
60.8%
Julian Nixon run for 1 yd to the NU 23Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+1
62.1%
Hunter Herring run for 1 yd to the NU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 7:4660% → 55%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
60.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-5
59.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the NU 28 Northwestern Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NU 23Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+18
58.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 18 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
62.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 3 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-10
61.2%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 44 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (Ezomo Oratokhai) to the NU 34Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+7
59.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Lawson Albright for 7 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+25
58.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 25 yds to the ULM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
60.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 35Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
58.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the ULM 35Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-5
57.0%
Northwestern Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ULM 40Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+18
55.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 18 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
57.2%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin Wilde, broken up by Jaden HamlinSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
59.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the ULM 16Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
57.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
55.2%
Jack Olsen 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:2843% → 42%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
57.3%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 27 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
55.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nate Sullivan Jr., broken up by Braydon Brus for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Braydon Brus) to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
54.5%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to JP Coulter, broken up by Fred Davis IISimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
54.7%
Dorian Lewis run for no gain to the NU 39Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-16
55.8%
Aidan Armenta sacked by Anto Saka for a loss of 16 yards to the ULM 45Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 26
OWN 45
0
58.4%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8END OF HALF
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:0255% → 55%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
54.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 9 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+10
54.7%
Joseph Himon II run for 10 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
54.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 5 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
54.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 2 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+4
53.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 4 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
54.9%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
54.7%
Preston Stone run for 6 yds to the NU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:5664% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
64.4%
Dashun Reeder run for 10 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
65.1%
Dashun Reeder run for 4 yds to the ULM 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
80.8%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Alex LinesSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.0%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Chase Farrell, broken up by Lynard HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
85.9%
Preston Stone run for 3 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+39
86.0%
Caleb Komolafe 39 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick)Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+7
85.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 7 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:1515% → 13%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.2%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 10 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
86.1%
Jonathan Bibbs run for 3 yds to the ULM 38Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+13
85.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 13 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.4%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
87.1%
D'Shaun Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 49Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+2
87.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Dorian Lewis for 2 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 10
OPP 49
+5
87.0%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 45 yds , Drew Wagner returns for 5 yds to the NU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 3:2487% → 99%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
87.3%
Dashun Reeder run for 13 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
88.8%
Dashun Reeder run for 16 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
89.4%
Dashun Reeder run for 3 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
89.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 2 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+8
88.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.2%
Griffin Wilde 49 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Jack Olsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:442% → 2%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Tyler Griffin, broken up by Fred Davis IISimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.4%
Aidan Armenta sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 7 yards to the ULM 18Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
97.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:0199% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
Dashun Reeder run for 5 yds to the ULM 48Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+18
99.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 18 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.5%
Dashun Reeder run for 3 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
99.5%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Drew WagnerSimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+15
99.5%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin Wilde for a 1ST down UL Monroe Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jay Harper) to the ULM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the ULM 9Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
99.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the ULM 7Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+1
99.5%
Robby Preckel run for 1 yd to the ULM 6Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the ULM 17Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
99.8%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jonathan Bibbs for 11 yds to the ULM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to JP CoulterSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the ULM 28Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-9
99.9%
Aidan Armenta sacked by Michael Kilbane and Richie Hagarty for a loss of 9 yards to the ULM 19Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 19
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.8%
Dashun Reeder run for 6 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Dashun Reeder run for 1 yd to the ULM 38Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+16
99.9%
Ryan Boe run for 16 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Robby Preckel run for no gain to the ULM 22Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Ryan Boe pass complete to Chase Farrell for 7 yds to the ULM 15Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Daniel Anderson run for no gain to the ULM 15Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
J. Olsen 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for no gain to the ULM 25 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, illegal use of hands (Mason Mayne) to the ULM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 17 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the NU 42Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+10
99.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jonathan Bibbs for no gain to the ULM 42 Northwestern Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the ULM 48Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 19
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 19
OWN 48
+52
99.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 37 yds Northwestern Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the NU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
Dashun Reeder run for 15 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Dashun Reeder run for 3 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Ryan Boe run for 9 yds to the ULM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Robby Preckel run for 3 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Robby Preckel run for 1 yd to the ULM 39Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Ryan Boe pass incomplete to Chase FarrellSimilar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Luke Akers punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18Uncategorized
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 3 yds to the ULM 23Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
Landon Graves pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 9 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 4 yds to the ULM 36Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Jonathan Bibbs run for 6 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.9%
Landon Graves run for 10 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.9%
D'Shaun Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 49Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Landon Graves pass incomplete to Tyrell Reed Jr.Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+16
100.0%
Landon Graves run for 16 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Hunter Herring pass incomplete to Jonathan BibbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:12
Griffin Wilde 49 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Jack Olsen Kick)
+10.3
TD · Q1 10:47
Nic Trujillo 34 Yd pass from Aidan Armenta (Luke Stagg Kick)
-2.1
TD · Q1 5:22
Caleb Komolafe 3 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com