WASH
Washington 24 at Maryland 20
MD2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · SECU Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey play
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WASH · Drive 1INT · 7 plays · 12 yds
Q1 14:56
Philip Noyes kickoff for 56 yds , Jonah Coleman return for 19 yds to the WASH 28
41.5%
0.0
Q1 14:50
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the WASH 28
38.7%
-2.8
Q1 14:02
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 3 yds to the WASH 31
38.1%
-0.6
Q1 13:26
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 6 yds to the WASH 37
38.1%
0.0
Q1 12:52
Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST down
37.9%
-0.2
Q1 12:16
Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Decker DeGraaf) to the WASH 28 for a 1ST down
37.1%
-0.9
Q1 12:16
Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Decker DeGraaf) to the WASH 14 for a 1ST down
37.1%
0.0
MD · Drive 2FG · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q1 11:56
DeJuan Williams run for 5 yds to the WASH 9
44.2%
+7.2
Q1 11:34
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming
44.2%
0.0
Q1 11:26
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq
44.0%
-0.2
Q1 11:22
Sean O'Haire 26 yd FG GOOD
48.9%
+4.9
WASH · Drive 3PUNT · 8 plays · 13 yds
Q1 11:19
Philip Noyes kickoff for 51 yds , Jonah Coleman return for 12 yds to the WASH 26
48.1%
-0.8
Q1 11:08
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 28
44.9%
-3.2
Q1 10:33
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 14 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST down
44.9%
0.0
Q1 10:09
(10:14) Shotgun Williams Jr.,Demond pass complete short left to Roebuck,Dezmen caught at WAS49, for 7 yards to the WAS49, out of bounds at WAS49 PENALTY WAS Holding (McCree,Maximus) 10 yards from WAS42 to WAS32. NO PLAY.
43.7%
-1.2
Q1 9:51
Demond Williams Jr. run for no gain to the WASH 32
44.9%
+1.2
Q1 9:13
Demond Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the WASH 39
45.0%
+0.1
Q1 8:39
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Raiden Vines-Bright
43.6%
-1.3
Q1 8:29
Luke Dunne punt for 42 yds , Jalil Farooq returns for 10 yds to the MD 29
44.4%
+0.8
MD · Drive 4TD · 17 plays · 71 yds
Q1 8:26
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts
48.2%
+3.8
Q1 8:19
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the MD 34
48.2%
0.0
Q1 7:35
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 6 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST down
48.2%
0.0
Q1 7:06
Nolan Ray run for 8 yds to the MD 48
48.8%
+0.6
Q1 6:21
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb
49.3%
+0.5
Q1 6:14
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
49.1%
-0.3
Q1 5:42
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 49
49.3%
+0.2
Q1 5:01
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 2 yds to the WASH 49
49.6%
+0.3
Q1 4:32
Timeout Washington, clock 04:32
49.0%
-0.6
Q1 4:27
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 10 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST down
49.0%
0.0
Q1 3:55
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the WASH 35
49.7%
+0.6
Q1 3:18
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the WASH 31
49.8%
+0.1
Q1 2:37
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the WASH 27 for a 1ST down
49.5%
-0.3
Q1 1:56
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the WASH 24
49.8%
+0.3
Q1 1:19
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 3 yds to the WASH 27
49.9%
+0.1
Q1 0:34
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 23 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST down
49.7%
-0.1
Q1 0:20
Malik Washington run for 4 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
62.2%
+12.5
WASH · Drive 5DOWNS · 11 plays · 31 yds
Q1 0:11
Philip Noyes kickoff for 63 yds , Adam Mohammed return for 35 yds to the WASH 37
61.5%
-0.8
Q1 0:07
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Quentin Moore
57.2%
-4.3
Q1 0:00
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 8 yds to the WASH 45
57.1%
-0.1
Q2 14:52
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST down
55.9%
-1.2
Q2 14:33
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 8 yds to the MD 44
55.9%
0.0
Q2 14:09
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 8 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST down
55.4%
-0.6
Q2 13:35
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
54.8%
-0.6
Q2 13:30
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the MD 30
54.8%
0.0
Q2 13:06
PENALTY WAS Illegal Snap (Hatchett,Landen) 5 yards from UMD30 to UMD35. NO PLAY.
54.8%
0.0
Q2 12:39
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the MD 32
54.8%
0.0
Q2 12:04
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
55.5%
+0.8
MD · Drive 6FG · 18 plays · 57 yds
Q2 11:58
Iverson Howard run for no gain to the MD 32
61.6%
+6.1
Q2 11:24
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 7 yds to the MD 39
61.6%
0.0
Q2 10:39
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 5 yds to the MD 44 for a 1ST down
63.6%
+2.0
Q2 9:56
Malik Washington pass complete to Leon Haughton Jr. for 7 yds to the WASH 49
64.0%
+0.3
Q2 9:48
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb
64.2%
+0.2
Q2 9:40
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the WASH 49
63.9%
-0.2
Q2 8:58
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 5 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST down
63.3%
-0.6
Q2 8:16
DeJuan Williams run for 6 yds to the WASH 28
64.4%
+1.0
Q2 7:38
Timeout Maryland, clock 07:38
65.0%
+0.7
Q2 7:26
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 9 yds to the WASH 19 for a 1ST down
65.0%
0.0
Q2 6:46
Jalil Farooq run for 6 yds to the WASH 13
65.0%
0.0
Q2 6:03
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 15
65.0%
0.0
Q2 5:25
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 8 yds to the WASH 7 for a 1ST down
67.4%
+2.4
Q2 4:48
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the WASH 5
68.5%
+1.1
Q2 4:08
Timeout Washington, clock 04:08
69.5%
+1.0
Q2 4:07
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the WASH 11
69.7%
+0.2
Q2 4:05
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq
69.5%
-0.2
Q2 4:01
Sean O'Haire 29 yd FG GOOD
74.7%
+5.2
WASH · Drive 7PUNT · 8 plays · 14 yds
Q2 3:56
Philip Noyes kickoff for 65 yds , Adam Mohammed return for 25 yds to the WASH 25
74.9%
+0.2
Q2 3:47
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 5 yds to the WASH 30
69.2%
-5.7
Q2 3:26
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 6 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST down
69.2%
0.0
Q2 3:05
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 40
69.2%
0.0
Q2 2:45
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
69.2%
0.0
Q2 2:35
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Zahir Mathis for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 39
69.2%
0.0
Q2 2:32
Timeout Maryland, clock 02:32
70.9%
+1.7
Q2 2:25
Luke Dunne punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jalil Farooq at the MD 25
70.9%
0.0
MD · Drive 8INT · 2 plays · 0 yds
Q2 2:22
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan Ray
75.4%
+4.5
Q2 2:16
Malik Washington pass intercepted Makell Esteen return for no gain to the 50 yard line
75.4%
0.0
WASH · Drive 9DOWNS · 6 plays · 11 yds
Q2 2:06
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 10 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST down
70.6%
-4.8
Q2 1:54
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MD 38
70.0%
-0.6
Q2 1:54
PENALTY WAS False Start (Hatchett,Landen) 5 yards from UMD38 to UMD43. NO PLAY.
70.0%
0.0
Q2 1:43
Demond Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the MD 41
70.0%
0.0
Q2 1:16
Demond Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the MD 39
70.0%
0.0
Q2 1:12
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen Roebuck
70.2%
+0.1
MD · Drive 10MISSED FG · 7 plays · 24 yds
Q2 1:07
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak Knotts
75.7%
+5.5
Q2 0:58
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 16 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST down
75.7%
0.0
Q2 0:51
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 3 yds to the WASH 42
75.7%
0.0
Q2 0:41
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 5 yds to the WASH 37
75.8%
+0.1
Q2 0:30
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq
76.1%
+0.3
Q2 0:30
Timeout Washington, clock 00:30
73.3%
-2.8
Q2 0:25
Sean O'Haire 55 yd FG MISSED
72.9%
-0.4
WASH · Drive 11END OF HALF · 4 plays · 10 yds
Q2 0:15
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 2 yds to the WASH 39
70.5%
-2.4
Q2 0:04
Maryland Penalty, Targeting (3 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
70.5%
0.0
Q2 0:02
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen Roebuck
70.1%
-0.4
Q2 0:00
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen Roebuck
70.1%
0.0
MD · Drive 12TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
70.9%
+0.8
Q3 14:54
Malik Washington pass incomplete
73.6%
+2.7
Q3 14:46
Maryland Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MD 22
73.7%
+0.2
Q3 14:15
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 14 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Manu) to the WASH 49 for a 1ST down
73.7%
0.0
Q3 13:51
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the WASH 45
74.8%
+1.0
Q3 13:26
Malik Washington pass incomplete to AJ Szymanski
76.0%
+1.3
Q3 13:19
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 29 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST down
75.8%
-0.2
Q3 12:45
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 8 yds to the WASH 8
76.4%
+0.6
Q3 12:24
PENALTY UMD False Start (Wright,Isaiah) 5 yards from WAS08 to WAS13. NO PLAY.
76.4%
0.0
Q3 11:51
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 11 yds to the WASH 2 for a 1ST down
76.4%
0.0
Q3 11:25
Malik Washington pass complete to AJ Szymanski for 2 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
89.9%
+13.5
WASH · Drive 13FG · 18 plays · 55 yds
Q3 11:21
Philip Noyes kickoff for 63 yds , Adam Mohammed return for 25 yds to the WASH 27
89.5%
-0.4
Q3 11:06
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the WASH 32
87.1%
-2.4
Q3 10:40
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST down
87.4%
+0.3
Q3 10:03
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the WASH 43
87.5%
+0.1
Q3 9:33
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST down
87.7%
+0.2
Q3 8:55
Demond Williams Jr. sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WASH 39
87.7%
0.0
Q3 8:11
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 10 yds to the WASH 49
88.1%
+0.4
Q3 7:47
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 13 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST down
88.1%
0.0
Q3 7:17
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the MD 37
88.0%
-0.1
Q3 6:44
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 8 yds to the MD 29
88.1%
+0.1
Q3 6:15
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MD 27 for a 1ST down
88.1%
0.0
Q3 5:58
Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the MD 19
88.1%
0.0
Q3 5:37
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST down
88.4%
+0.3
Q3 4:55
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 17
88.4%
0.0
Q3 4:37
(04:41) PENALTY WAS False Start (Azzopardi,Drew) 5 yards from UMD17 to UMD22. NO PLAY.
88.3%
-0.1
Q3 4:20
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the MD 18
88.6%
+0.3
Q3 3:48
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel Boston
88.7%
+0.2
Q3 3:44
Grady Gross 36 yd FG GOOD
86.3%
-2.5
MD · Drive 14PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q3 3:44
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
86.5%
+0.3
Q3 3:39
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the MD 27
86.5%
-0.1
Q3 3:15
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq
86.5%
0.0
Q3 3:06
Malik Washington run for 2 yds to the MD 29
86.5%
0.0
Q3 2:24
Bryce McFerson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 26
86.5%
0.0
WASH · Drive 15TD · 10 plays · 74 yds
Q3 2:13
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 8 yds to the WASH 34
86.9%
+0.4
Q3 1:46
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 5 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST down
87.3%
+0.4
Q3 1:22
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 9 yds to the WASH 48
87.3%
0.0
Q3 0:53
Demond Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
87.3%
0.0
Q3 0:25
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 21 yds to the MD 29 for a 1ST down
87.3%
0.0
Q3 0:00
(00:13) Shotgun Williams Jr.,Demond pass complete short right to Coleman,Jonah caught at UMD24, for 5 yards to the UMD24, out of bounds at UMD24 PENALTY UMD Holding (Joyner,Dontay) 10 yards from UMD29 to UMD19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
87.0%
-0.3
Q4 14:54
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete
87.0%
0.0
Q4 14:31
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 13 yds to the MD 6 for a 1ST down
88.7%
+1.7
Q4 14:26
Maryland Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dontay Joyner) to the MD 3 for a 1ST down
88.7%
0.0
Q4 14:23
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 3 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
77.6%
-11.1
MD · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q4 14:23
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
78.9%
+1.3
Q4 14:12
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for no gain to the MD 25
80.2%
+1.3
Q4 13:28
Malik Washington pass complete to Iverson Howard for 1 yd to the MD 26
80.2%
0.0
Q4 12:58
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan Williams
80.2%
0.0
Q4 12:51
Bryce McFerson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 25
80.0%
-0.2
WASH · Drive 17TD · 4 plays · 75 yds
Q4 12:40
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 10 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST down
78.9%
-1.1
Q4 12:20
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down
79.8%
+0.9
Q4 12:03
Demond Williams Jr. run for 20 yds to the MD 34 for a 1ST down
79.8%
0.0
Q4 11:32
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 34 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
55.2%
-24.6
MD · Drive 18PUNT · 8 plays · 15 yds
Q4 11:32
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
58.0%
+2.9
Q4 11:23
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 5 yds to the MD 30
64.0%
+6.0
Q4 10:44
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for no gain to the MD 30
64.0%
0.0
Q4 10:00
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 8 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST down
65.2%
+1.2
Q4 9:31
Malik Washington pass incomplete
66.4%
+1.1
Q4 9:24
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 40
66.4%
0.0
Q4 8:49
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
66.1%
-0.2
Q4 8:38
Bryce McFerson punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 20 , Denzel Boston returns for 15 yds to the WASH 45 Washington Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Leroy Bryant) declined
65.7%
-0.5
WASH · Drive 19TD · 11 plays · 80 yds
Q4 8:32
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for no gain to the WASH 20
61.2%
-4.5
Q4 8:01
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete
61.2%
0.0
Q4 7:54
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 17 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST down
61.2%
0.0
Q4 7:25
Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the WASH 45
61.2%
0.0
Q4 6:55
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST down
59.8%
-1.4
Q4 6:12
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 26 yds to the MD 23 for a 1ST down
59.3%
-0.5
Q4 5:38
Adam Mohammed run for 2 yds to the MD 21
58.4%
-0.9
Q4 5:04
Adam Mohammed run for 2 yds to the MD 19
58.4%
0.0
Q4 4:24
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 7 yds to the MD 12 for a 1ST down
58.4%
0.0
Q4 3:52
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 11 yds to the MD 1 for a 1ST down
58.2%
-0.3
Q4 3:21
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
20.0%
-38.1
MD · Drive 20DOWNS · 10 plays · 32 yds
Q4 3:21
Ethan Moczulski kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
21.5%
+1.5
Q4 3:09
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 3 yds to the MD 28
28.3%
+6.8
Q4 2:33
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 13 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST down
27.0%
-1.3
Q4 2:12
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 14 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST down
27.9%
+0.9
Q4 1:57
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 2 yds to the WASH 43
30.3%
+2.4
Q4 1:57
Timeout Maryland, clock 01:57
31.1%
+0.8
Q4 1:54
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan Williams
30.7%
-0.4
Q4 1:49
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil Farooq
30.7%
0.0
Q4 1:43
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
30.3%
-0.4
Q4 1:43
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.
30.3%
0.0
WASH · Drive 21END OF GAME · 8 plays · 14 yds
Q4 1:39
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 46
14.5%
-15.8
Q4 1:39
Timeout Maryland, clock 01:39
15.1%
+0.6
Q4 1:33
Demond Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the MD 44 for a 1ST down
14.7%
-0.4
Q4 1:29
Timeout Maryland, clock 01:29
14.8%
+0.1
Q4 1:23
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MD 42
14.8%
0.0
Q4 1:23
Timeout Maryland, clock 01:23
14.5%
-0.3
Q4 1:17
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the MD 40
14.5%
0.0
Q4 0:00
D. Williams Jr. takes a knee
12.2%
-2.4
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:21
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
-38.1
TD · Q4 11:32
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 34 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
-24.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:39
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 46
-15.8