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PSU

Penn State 37 at UCLA 42

UCLA
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of GameFG+0.9UCLA 6.2%Mateen Bhaghani 24 Yd Field GoalAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q1 7:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:20 · Mateen Bhaghani 24 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialOffense timeoutsScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior−44.4Home team on offense+2.0Score differential+0.1Offense timeouts−4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Defense timeouts−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:20: Mateen Bhaghani 24 Yd Field Goal — UCLA win probability +0.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 4:47: Nico Iamaleava 3 Yd Run (Mateen Bhaghani Kick) — UCLA win probability +11.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Mateen Bhaghani 54 Yd Field Goal — UCLA win probability +14.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:19: Liam Clifford 6 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Ryan Barker Kick) — UCLA win probability +0.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:26: Kaytron Allen 2 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick) — PSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:20UCLA 4th & 5 at PSU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:04PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:27PSU 4th & 2 at UCLA 36, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.2%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:16UCLA 4th & 10 at PSU 38, up 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:19UCLA 4th & 25 at UCLA 33, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−3.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:58PSU 4th & 1 at UCLA 46, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 2:01UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 34, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:40PSU 4th & 2 at UCLA 9, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:26UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:47UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:335% → 5%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.7%
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
4.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 12 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
4.7%
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
4.7%
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+15
4.7%
Jaivian Thomas run for 15 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
4.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 4 yds to the PSU 29Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-5
4.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for no gain to the PSU 29 UCLA Penalty, illegal formation (Rico Flores Jr.) to the PSU 34Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
4.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Anthony WoodsSimilar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+22
4.8%
Nico Iamaleava run for 22 yds to the PSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
4.9%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the PSU 11Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
5.0%
Kwazi Gilmer 11 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:045% → 6%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
5.0%
Jaivian Thomas run for 4 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
5.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
5.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 24 yds to the PSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
5.3%
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the PSU 8Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
5.4%
Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the PSU 6Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
5.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mikey Matthews, broken up by A.J. HarrisSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
6.2%
Mateen Bhaghani 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1294% → 94%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the PSU 32Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
5.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 5 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
5.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 7 yds Drew Allar fumbled, recovered by PSU Trebor PenaSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
5.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
5.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 13 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
5.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 15 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
5.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+11
5.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Andrew Rappleyea for 11 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
6.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
5.8%
Kaytron Allen 13 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4491% → 89%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 29Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
10.2%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
10.5%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson, broken up by Rodrick PleasantSimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
10.8%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 46 yds , Mikey Matthews returns for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:0611% → 25%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
11.3%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
11.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 6 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
12.4%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+43
12.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 43 yds to the PSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
13.5%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the PSU 3Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.3%
Nico Iamaleava 3 Yd Run (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:1976% → 85%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
23.9%
Trebor Pena run for a loss of 10 yards to the PSU 15Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+20
26.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 20 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
26.3%
Drew Allar run for no gain to the PSU 35Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
29.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 6 yds to the PSU 41Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+15
28.5%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Devonte Ross for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Scooter Jackson) to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
20.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
20.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+2
15.2%
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-11
15.3%
Drew Allar sacked by Jacob Busic for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7FG
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:2017% → 32%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
16.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 11 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
16.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 6 yds to the PSU 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+54
31.5%
Mateen Bhaghani 54 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:3445% → 45%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
54.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 21Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+17
55.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 17 yds Drew Allar fumbled, recovered by UCLA Rodrick PleasantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0052% → 51%
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
51.9%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Sam Yoon) to the PSU 43Similar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+5
51.7%
Jaivian Thomas run for 5 yds to the PSU 38Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
53.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Jack Pedersen, broken up by King MackSimilar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
52.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi Gilmer, broken up by Audavion CollinsSimilar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
51.3%
Mateen Bhaghani 56 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:4243% → 36%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
57.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
57.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Andrew Rappleyea for 3 yds to the PSU 47Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+13
55.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.1%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyron Hudson) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
64.0%
Khalil Dinkins 40 Yd pass from Drew Allar (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0359% → 73%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.2%
Anthony Woods run for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.2%
Anthony Woods run for no gain to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
71.8%
Nico Iamaleava run for 11 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
77.2%
Jaivian Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 8
50
-11
78.3%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Amare Campbell for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 19
OWN 39
-6
72.0%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 25
OWN 33
+6
72.8%
Liam Clifford 6 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2376% → 92%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.3%
Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+52
78.3%
Nico Iamaleava run for 52 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
83.7%
Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the PSU 11Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+6
88.7%
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the PSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr. Penn State Penalty, off-side (Dani Dennis-Sutton) to the PSU 2Similar
Q3 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.6%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the PSU 1Similar
Q3 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
92.2%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the PSU 8Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.2%
Nico Iamaleava 1 Yd Run (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2814% → 10%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
86.0%
Drew Allar run for 20 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
85.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
87.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 5
50
+4
88.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+6
90.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
90.7%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
91.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
91.7%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+27
92.5%
Drew Allar run for 27 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.5%
Kaytron Allen 2 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:4495% → 100%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.2%
Nico Iamaleava run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+26
97.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.0%
Jaivian Thomas run for 6 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
98.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for no gain to the PSU 44Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
98.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 5 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.4%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the PSU 35Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
98.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
98.7%
Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the PSU 30Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
98.8%
Penn State Penalty, off-side (Zane Durant) to the PSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
99.0%
Anthony Woods run for 17 yds to the PSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
99.1%
Jaivian Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 10Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.2%
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the PSU 7Similar
Q4 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
99.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for no gain to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.5%
Nico Iamaleava 7 Yd Run (Nico Iamaleava Pass to Kwazi Gilmer for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:281% → 1%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.1%
Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 8 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-5
99.1%
Penn State Penalty, false start (Dominic DeLuca) to the PSU 39Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+17
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 17 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.2%
Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
99.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 3 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Devonte RossSimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+12
99.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 12 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.4%
Kyron Hudson 15 Yd pass from Drew Allar (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Jaivian Thomas run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.7%
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for no gain to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.8%
Nico Iamaleava run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
98.0%
Penn State Penalty, false start (Nick Dawkins) to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+4
98.3%
Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+16
98.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 16 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.2%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Luke ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-1
98.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+9
98.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 9 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 2
OPP 9
-3
98.5%
Drew Allar run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18SF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:1999% → 99%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.3%
Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-1
99.3%
Jaivian Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
99.3%
Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 11
OWN 11
-11
99.3%
A.J. Harris SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:041% → 1%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for no gain to the PSU 37Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.7%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
98.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for no gain Kyron Hudson fumbled, recovered by PSU Drew AllarSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
Mateen Bhaghani 54 Yd Field Goal
+14.9
TD · Q2 4:47
Nico Iamaleava 3 Yd Run (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)
+11.7
TD · Q4 14:26
Kaytron Allen 2 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com