PSU
Penn State 37 at UCLA 42
UCLA2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
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UCLA · Drive 1TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.6%
0.0
Q1 14:59
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31
0.7%
+0.1
Q1 14:29
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 12 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST down
0.7%
0.0
Q1 14:10
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49
0.7%
0.0
Q1 13:35
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the PSU 48
0.7%
0.0
Q1 13:05
Jaivian Thomas run for 15 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST down
0.7%
0.0
Q1 12:29
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 4 yds to the PSU 29
0.7%
0.0
Q1 11:50
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for no gain to the PSU 29 UCLA Penalty, illegal formation (Rico Flores Jr.) to the PSU 34
0.7%
0.0
Q1 11:35
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Anthony Woods
0.7%
0.0
Q1 11:31
Nico Iamaleava run for 22 yds to the PSU 12 for a 1ST down
0.7%
0.0
Q1 11:05
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the PSU 11
0.7%
0.0
Q1 10:26
Kwazi Gilmer 11 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)
1.3%
+0.5
UCLA · Drive 2FG · 8 plays · 40 yds
Q1 10:25
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 19 yds
1.2%
-0.1
Q1 10:24
Jaivian Thomas run for 4 yds to the PSU 42
1.3%
+0.1
Q1 9:39
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down
1.3%
0.0
Q1 9:18
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 24 yds to the PSU 11 for a 1ST down
1.3%
0.0
Q1 8:42
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the PSU 8
1.2%
0.0
Q1 8:06
Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the PSU 6
1.3%
0.0
Q1 7:25
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mikey Matthews, broken up by A.J. Harris
1.3%
0.0
Q1 7:20
Mateen Bhaghani 24 Yd Field Goal
1.5%
+0.3
PSU · Drive 3TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q1 7:20
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.2%
+0.7
Q1 7:18
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the PSU 32
2.1%
-0.2
Q1 6:57
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 5 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down
1.3%
-0.8
Q1 6:21
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 7 yds Drew Allar fumbled, recovered by PSU Trebor Pena
2.1%
+0.8
Q1 5:42
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST down
2.2%
+0.1
Q1 5:09
Nicholas Singleton run for 13 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST down
2.2%
+0.1
Q1 4:38
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 15 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST down
2.1%
-0.1
Q1 4:03
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 26
2.1%
-0.1
Q1 3:25
Drew Allar pass complete to Andrew Rappleyea for 11 yds to the UCLA 15
2.1%
0.0
Q1 2:47
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST down
2.1%
0.0
Q1 2:06
Kaytron Allen 13 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
0.7%
-1.3
PSU · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q2 8:50
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.4%
+1.7
Q2 8:48
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 29
2.3%
-0.2
Q2 8:13
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Trebor Pena
2.7%
+0.4
Q2 8:09
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson, broken up by Rodrick Pleasant
2.7%
0.0
Q2 8:04
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 46 yds , Mikey Matthews returns for 7 yds to the UCLA 32
2.7%
0.0
UCLA · Drive 5TD · 6 plays · 68 yds
Q2 7:53
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37
2.6%
-0.1
Q2 7:18
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 6 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST down
2.6%
0.0
Q2 6:38
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49
2.7%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 43 yds to the PSU 8 for a 1ST down
2.9%
+0.2
Q2 5:34
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the PSU 3
3.2%
+0.4
Q2 4:47
Nico Iamaleava 3 Yd Run (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)
10.7%
+7.4
PSU · Drive 6DOWNS · 10 plays · 28 yds
Q2 4:47
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
10.7%
0.0
Q2 4:46
Trebor Pena run for a loss of 10 yards to the PSU 15
4.8%
-5.9
Q2 4:02
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 20 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down
5.1%
+0.2
Q2 3:25
Drew Allar run for no gain to the PSU 35
5.0%
-0.1
Q2 2:46
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 6 yds to the PSU 41
5.0%
+0.1
Q2 2:03
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Devonte Ross for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Scooter Jackson) to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down
5.3%
+0.3
Q2 1:55
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 43
4.9%
-0.4
Q2 1:23
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 38
5.0%
+0.1
Q2 1:04
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36
5.1%
+0.1
Q2 0:27
Drew Allar sacked by Jacob Busic for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 47
5.2%
0.0
UCLA · Drive 7FG · 3 plays · 17 yds
Q2 0:20
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 11 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST down
12.0%
+6.8
Q2 0:13
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 6 yds to the PSU 36
11.9%
-0.1
Q2 0:00
Mateen Bhaghani 54 Yd Field Goal
32.9%
+21.1
PSU · Drive 8FUMBLE · 3 plays · -4 yds
Q3 15:00
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
33.2%
+0.3
Q3 14:56
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 21
7.2%
-26.1
Q3 14:22
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 17 yds Drew Allar fumbled, recovered by UCLA Rodrick Pleasant
7.3%
+0.1
UCLA · Drive 9MISSED FG · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q3 14:16
UCLA Penalty, false start (Sam Yoon) to the PSU 43
34.4%
+27.1
Q3 14:14
Jaivian Thomas run for 5 yds to the PSU 38
34.4%
0.0
Q3 13:25
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Jack Pedersen, broken up by King Mack
35.8%
+1.5
Q3 13:21
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi Gilmer, broken up by Audavion Collins
35.8%
0.0
Q3 13:16
Mateen Bhaghani 56 Yard Field Goal Missed
35.8%
0.0
PSU · Drive 10TD · 5 plays · 62 yds
Q3 13:10
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 44
7.4%
-28.5
Q3 12:54
Drew Allar pass complete to Andrew Rappleyea for 3 yds to the PSU 47
7.3%
-0.1
Q3 12:21
Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST down
7.7%
+0.4
Q3 11:47
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyron Hudson) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST down
7.1%
-0.5
Q3 11:28
Khalil Dinkins 40 Yd pass from Drew Allar (Ryan Barker Kick)
4.7%
-2.4
UCLA · Drive 11TD · 9 plays · 75 yds
Q3 11:28
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff Penn State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Khalil Dinkins) to the PSU 20
5.1%
+0.3
Q3 11:28
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 68 yds , Anthony Frias II return for 13 yds to the UCLA 25
5.1%
0.0
Q3 11:22
Anthony Woods run for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down
6.6%
+1.5
Q3 11:02
Anthony Woods run for no gain to the UCLA 37
6.6%
0.0
Q3 10:20
Nico Iamaleava run for 11 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down
7.9%
+1.4
Q3 9:37
Jaivian Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
8.9%
+0.9
Q3 8:52
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Amare Campbell for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 39
8.9%
0.0
Q3 8:09
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 33
8.1%
-0.8
Q3 7:19
Liam Clifford 6 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Ryan Barker Kick)
3.8%
-4.3
UCLA · Drive 12TD · 10 plays · 75 yds
Q3 7:19
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
3.2%
-0.7
Q3 7:18
Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 25
3.9%
+0.8
Q3 6:48
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 3 yds to the UCLA 28
4.0%
+0.1
Q3 6:09
Nico Iamaleava run for 52 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST down
4.0%
0.0
Q3 5:15
Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the PSU 11
4.4%
+0.3
Q3 4:26
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the PSU 5 for a 1ST down
5.1%
+0.8
Q3 3:46
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Rico Flores Jr. Penn State Penalty, off-side (Dani Dennis-Sutton) to the PSU 2
5.2%
0.0
Q3 3:37
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the PSU 1
5.2%
0.0
Q3 2:55
Nico Iamaleava 1 Yd Run (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)
9.8%
+4.7
Q3 2:58
UCLA Penalty, false start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the PSU 8
4.7%
-5.1
PSU · Drive 13TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q3 2:55
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
12.4%
+7.7
Q3 2:54
Drew Allar run for 20 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST down
7.9%
-4.5
Q3 2:32
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 48
7.9%
0.0
Q3 2:14
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
7.7%
-0.2
Q3 1:33
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 46
8.7%
+1.0
Q3 0:58
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST down
8.7%
0.0
Q3 0:38
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down
8.7%
0.0
Q3 0:09
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 29
9.2%
+0.5
Q4 14:59
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson
9.2%
0.0
Q4 14:53
Drew Allar run for 27 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST down
9.2%
0.0
Q4 14:26
Kaytron Allen 2 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
3.9%
-5.4
UCLA · Drive 14TD · 15 plays · 75 yds
Q4 14:26
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
4.3%
+0.4
Q4 14:25
Nico Iamaleava run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24
6.7%
+2.5
Q4 13:41
Nico Iamaleava run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
6.7%
0.0
Q4 12:52
Jaivian Thomas run for 6 yds to the PSU 44
7.7%
+1.0
Q4 12:00
Nico Iamaleava run for no gain to the PSU 44
8.5%
+0.8
Q4 11:18
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 5 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST down
8.5%
-0.1
Q4 10:33
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the PSU 35
9.7%
+1.2
Q4 9:54
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi Gilmer
10.2%
+0.5
Q4 9:47
Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the PSU 30
10.1%
-0.1
Q4 9:13
Penn State Penalty, off-side (Zane Durant) to the PSU 25 for a 1ST down
10.7%
+0.6
Q4 8:54
Anthony Woods run for 17 yds to the PSU 8 for a 1ST down
10.9%
+0.2
Q4 8:16
Jaivian Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 10
11.0%
+0.1
Q4 7:30
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the PSU 7
11.5%
+0.5
Q4 6:41
Nico Iamaleava 7 Yd Run (Nico Iamaleava Pass to Kwazi Gilmer for Two-Point Conversion)
28.6%
+17.1
Q4 6:46
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for no gain to the UCLA 35
28.6%
0.0
PSU · Drive 15TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q4 6:41
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
28.7%
0.0
Q4 6:39
Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the PSU 36 for a 1ST down
14.1%
-14.5
Q4 6:17
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 8 yds to the PSU 44
15.8%
+1.7
Q4 5:57
Penn State Penalty, false start (Dominic DeLuca) to the PSU 39
16.4%
+0.6
Q4 5:51
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 17 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down
7.4%
-9.0
Q4 5:32
Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the UCLA 36
16.4%
+9.0
Q4 5:19
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 3 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST down
18.3%
+1.9
Q4 5:00
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the UCLA 27
20.2%
+1.9
Q4 4:43
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Devonte Ross
20.2%
0.0
Q4 4:39
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 12 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST down
21.1%
+0.9
Q4 4:20
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson
22.5%
+1.3
Q4 4:11
Kyron Hudson 15 Yd pass from Drew Allar (Ryan Barker Kick)
9.3%
-13.2
UCLA · Drive 16DOWNS · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q4 4:11
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 50 yds
10.2%
+1.0
Q4 4:09
Jaivian Thomas run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31
20.1%
+9.8
Q4 3:26
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the UCLA 34
22.5%
+2.5
Q4 2:49
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for no gain to the UCLA 34
22.7%
+0.2
Q4 2:01
Nico Iamaleava run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 32
23.1%
+0.4
PSU · Drive 17DOWNS · 7 plays · 20 yds
Q4 2:00
Penn State Penalty, false start (Nick Dawkins) to the UCLA 37
10.2%
-12.9
Q4 1:59
Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the UCLA 33
10.2%
0.0
Q4 1:35
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 16 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST down
11.3%
+1.1
Q4 1:34
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Luke Reynolds
10.4%
-0.9
Q4 1:23
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 18
10.8%
+0.4
Q4 1:08
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 9 yds to the UCLA 9
12.6%
+1.8
Q4 0:40
Drew Allar run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 12
12.7%
+0.1
UCLA · Drive 18SF · 4 plays · -1 yds
Q4 0:36
Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 12
24.5%
+11.8
Q4 0:33
Jaivian Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 11
24.5%
0.0
Q4 0:28
Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 11
24.5%
0.0
Q4 0:17
A.J. Harris Safety
23.6%
-0.9
PSU · Drive 19FUMBLE · 4 plays · 0 yds
Q4 0:17
Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 73 yds , Corey Smith return for 30 yds to the PSU 37
23.6%
0.0
Q4 0:10
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for no gain to the PSU 37
10.2%
-13.4
Q4 0:06
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron Hudson
10.2%
0.0
Q4 0:06
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for no gain Kyron Hudson fumbled, recovered by PSU Drew Allar
10.7%
+0.5
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 13:10
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 44
-28.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:16
UCLA Penalty, false start (Sam Yoon) to the PSU 43
+27.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:56
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 21
-26.1