IU
Indiana 20 at Iowa 15
IOWA2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
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IOWA · Drive 1INT · 3 plays · 1 yds
Q1 15:00
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
14.6%
0.0
Q1 14:49
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26
16.2%
+1.5
Q1 14:16
Mark Gronowski pass intercepted Amare Ferrell return for 1 yd to the IOWA 24
16.3%
+0.1
IU · Drive 2TD · 2 plays · 24 yds
Q1 13:59
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 10 yds to the IOWA 14 for a 1ST down
13.1%
-3.2
Q1 13:33
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
7.4%
-5.7
IOWA · Drive 3PUNT · 7 plays · 13 yds
Q1 13:33
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
7.9%
+0.5
Q1 13:25
Kamari Moulton run for no gain to the IOWA 25
9.6%
+1.7
Q1 12:51
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Sam Phillips for 13 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST down
9.1%
-0.4
Q1 12:20
Kamari Moulton run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 36
9.3%
+0.1
Q1 11:30
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Nathan McNeil for 2 yds to the IOWA 38
9.1%
-0.1
Q1 10:58
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to DJ Vonnahme
9.2%
0.0
Q1 10:52
Rhys Dakin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 15
9.2%
0.0
IU · Drive 4PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q1 10:45
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the IU 21
7.6%
-1.6
Q1 9:59
Fernando Mendoza run for 2 yds to the IU 23
7.6%
0.0
Q1 9:24
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Aaron Graves for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 18
7.6%
0.0
Q1 8:42
Mitch McCarthy punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IU 45 , Kaden Wetjen returns for 17 yds to the IU 45
7.5%
-0.1
IOWA · Drive 5FG · 5 plays · 23 yds
Q1 8:25
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Sam Phillips for 15 yds to the IU 30 for a 1ST down
9.3%
+1.8
Q1 7:54
Kamari Moulton run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 33
9.6%
+0.4
Q1 7:16
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 6 yds to the IU 27
9.6%
0.0
Q1 6:39
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 5 yds to the IU 22
9.6%
-0.1
Q1 6:25
Drew Stevens 40 yd FG GOOD
13.0%
+3.5
IU · Drive 6PUNT · 9 plays · 18 yds
Q1 6:25
Drew Stevens kickoff for 57 yds
12.0%
-1.0
Q1 6:25
PENALTY IND Delay Of Game 5 yards from IND25 to IND20. NO PLAY.
10.2%
-1.8
Q1 6:16
Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the IU 30
10.2%
0.0
Q1 5:42
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the IU 33
10.3%
0.0
Q1 5:03
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST down
10.4%
+0.1
Q1 4:24
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 7 yds to the IU 42
10.4%
0.0
Q1 3:50
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the IU 43
9.9%
-0.5
Q1 3:11
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Elijah Sarratt
9.9%
0.0
Q1 3:01
Mitch McCarthy punt for 36 yds
10.0%
+0.1
IOWA · Drive 7PUNT · 13 plays · 39 yds
Q1 2:53
Nathan McNeil run for 5 yds to the IOWA 26
12.2%
+2.2
Q1 2:19
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to KJ Parker
12.2%
0.0
Q1 2:08
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 7 yds to the IOWA 33 for a 1ST down
12.2%
0.0
Q1 1:33
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 36
12.2%
0.0
Q1 0:47
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 2 yds to the IOWA 38
12.4%
+0.1
Q1 0:00
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 9 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST down
12.6%
+0.3
Q2 14:44
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 46
12.9%
+0.3
Q2 14:14
Nathan McNeil run for 5 yds to the IU 49
12.9%
0.0
Q2 13:37
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Dayton Howard for 10 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down
13.4%
+0.5
Q2 13:15
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the IU 37
14.0%
+0.6
Q2 12:39
Mark Gronowski sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the IU 44
14.0%
0.0
Q2 11:50
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Nathan McNeil for 4 yds to the IU 40
13.4%
-0.6
Q2 11:05
Rhys Dakin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 3
13.0%
-0.4
IU · Drive 8DOWNS · 11 plays · 70 yds
Q2 10:58
Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the IU 9
10.6%
-2.4
Q2 10:20
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST down
10.2%
-0.3
Q2 9:47
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 37 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST down
10.2%
0.0
Q2 9:13
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the IOWA 42
9.6%
-0.7
Q2 8:30
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the IOWA 39
9.5%
0.0
Q2 7:53
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST down
8.8%
-0.7
Q2 7:12
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.
8.8%
0.0
Q2 7:04
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the IOWA 26
8.8%
0.0
Q2 6:28
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the IOWA 26
9.0%
+0.2
Q2 5:56
Timeout Indiana, clock 05:56
9.3%
+0.3
Q2 5:53
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 27
9.3%
0.0
IOWA · Drive 9TD · 13 plays · 73 yds
Q2 5:44
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the IOWA 31
11.8%
+2.5
Q2 5:04
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 33
12.2%
+0.4
Q2 4:19
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Nathan McNeil for 7 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down
12.3%
+0.2
Q2 3:54
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Sam Phillips for 21 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down
12.6%
+0.3
Q2 3:16
Mark Gronowski run for no gain to the IU 39
13.5%
+0.9
Q2 2:35
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 6 yds to the IU 33
13.5%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Iowa, clock 02:00
13.5%
0.0
Q2 1:55
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the IU 30
13.5%
0.0
Q2 1:52
Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST down
13.3%
-0.2
Q2 1:27
Kamari Moulton run for 22 yds to the IU 6 for a 1ST down
14.3%
+1.0
Q2 0:52
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the IU 3
13.7%
-0.5
Q2 0:35
Timeout Iowa, clock 00:35
13.7%
-0.1
Q2 0:22
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
22.6%
+8.9
IU · Drive 10FG · 4 plays · 47 yds
Q2 0:22
Drew Stevens kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
21.5%
-1.1
Q2 0:15
Roman Hemby run for 16 yds to the IU 41 for a 1ST down
20.3%
-1.2
Q2 0:07
Timeout Indiana, clock 00:07
18.4%
-1.9
Q2 0:03
Nico Radicic 46 yd FG GOOD
12.5%
-5.9
IU · Drive 11PUNT · 10 plays · 27 yds
Q2 0:00
Brendan Franke kickoff for 42 yds , Terrell Washington Jr. return for 17 yds to the IOWA 40
13.8%
+1.3
Q3 15:00
Drew Stevens kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
17.8%
+4.0
Q3 14:53
Roman Hemby run for 16 yds to the IU 41 for a 1ST down
15.0%
-2.8
Q3 14:31
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 4 yds to the IU 45
14.4%
-0.6
Q3 13:53
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the IU 49
14.1%
-0.3
Q3 13:13
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 4 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST down
14.0%
-0.1
Q3 12:52
Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the IOWA 41
13.9%
-0.1
Q3 12:14
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Elijah Sarratt
13.8%
-0.1
Q3 12:03
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Max Llewellyn for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 48 Fernando Mendoza fumbled, recovered by IU Fernando Mendoza , return for 0 yards
13.8%
0.0
Q3 11:27
Mitch McCarthy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 10
14.0%
+0.2
IOWA · Drive 12PUNT · 6 plays · 19 yds
Q3 11:21
Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds to the IOWA 16
18.7%
+4.7
Q3 10:40
Kamari Moulton run for 10 yds to the IOWA 26 for a 1ST down
18.7%
0.0
Q3 9:52
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the IOWA 29
19.2%
+0.4
Q3 9:21
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Hayden Large
19.2%
0.0
Q3 9:16
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jacob Gill
19.2%
0.0
Q3 9:05
punt blocked by Isaiah Jones blocked by Isaiah Jones
19.0%
-0.2
IU · Drive 13PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q3 8:57
Omar Cooper Jr. run for 3 yds to the IU 45
14.7%
-4.2
Q3 8:28
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.
14.5%
-0.3
Q3 8:23
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.
14.5%
0.0
Q3 8:15
Mitch McCarthy punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IOWA 18
14.6%
+0.2
IOWA · Drive 14PUNT · 9 plays · 38 yds
Q3 8:07
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 20
19.2%
+4.5
Q3 7:36
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 16 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST down
19.2%
0.0
Q3 6:54
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Sam Phillips for 5 yds to the IOWA 41
19.4%
+0.3
Q3 6:12
Mark Gronowski run for no gain to the IOWA 41 Mark Gronowski fumbled, recovered by IU Mark Gronowski
19.8%
+0.4
Q3 5:43
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 8 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST down
19.7%
-0.2
Q3 5:06
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the IU 47
20.0%
+0.3
Q3 4:30
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the IU 44
21.3%
+1.4
Q3 3:51
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to KJ Parker
22.2%
+0.8
Q3 3:41
Rhys Dakin punt for 30 yds
21.9%
-0.2
IU · Drive 15DOWNS · 10 plays · 33 yds
Q3 3:34
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the IU 16
16.6%
-5.3
Q3 2:56
Fernando Mendoza run for 2 yds to the IU 18
16.6%
0.0
Q3 2:19
Fernando Mendoza run for 11 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST down Iowa Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the IU 39 for a 1ST down
16.6%
0.0
Q3 2:06
(02:06) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass complete short left to Brady,Jonathan caught at IND39, for 1 yard to the IND40 (Entringer,Koen) PENALTY IND Holding 10 yards from IND39 to IND29. NO PLAY.
16.0%
-0.6
Q3 1:52
PENALTY IND False Start 5 yards from IND29 to IND24. NO PLAY.
16.6%
+0.6
Q3 1:25
Roman Hemby run for 16 yds to the IU 40
16.6%
0.0
Q3 0:18
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 6 yards to the IU 34 Roman Hemby fumbled, recovered by IU Roman Hemby
16.0%
-0.6
Q3 0:06
Timeout Indiana, clock 00:06
16.6%
+0.6
Q3 0:00
Fernando Mendoza run for 14 yds to the IU 48 Iowa Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined
16.6%
0.0
Q4 14:56
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 47
15.6%
-1.0
IOWA · Drive 16FG · 5 plays · 11 yds
Q4 14:40
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 11 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST down
22.8%
+7.2
Q4 14:12
Nathan McNeil run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 37
23.1%
+0.3
Q4 13:41
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 2 yds to the IU 39
23.1%
0.0
Q4 12:58
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the IU 36
22.9%
-0.2
Q4 12:43
Drew Stevens 54 yd FG GOOD
31.7%
+8.8
IU · Drive 17FG · 9 plays · 49 yds
Q4 12:43
Drew Stevens kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
31.3%
-0.4
Q4 12:35
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the IU 31
27.0%
-4.3
Q4 12:02
Fernando Mendoza run for 6 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST down
27.0%
0.0
Q4 11:42
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to E.J. Williams Jr.
27.0%
0.0
Q4 11:30
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 29 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST down
27.0%
0.0
Q4 11:01
Fernando Mendoza run for 3 yds to the IOWA 31
24.8%
-2.2
Q4 10:24
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Roman Hemby for 5 yds to the IOWA 26
26.7%
+1.9
Q4 9:51
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.
26.7%
0.0
Q4 9:47
Nico Radicic 44 yd FG GOOD
16.7%
-10.0
IOWA · Drive 18INT · 7 plays · 36 yds
Q4 9:47
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
17.7%
+1.1
Q4 9:37
Kamari Moulton run for 14 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST down
23.1%
+5.4
Q4 9:02
Kamari Moulton run for no gain to the IOWA 39
23.5%
+0.4
Q4 8:25
Hank Brown pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 19 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST down
23.7%
+0.1
Q4 7:43
Nathan McNeil run for no gain to the IU 42
24.8%
+1.2
Q4 7:02
Hank Brown pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 3 yds to the IU 39
24.8%
0.0
Q4 6:27
Hank Brown pass intercepted E.J. Williams Jr. return for no gain to the IU 23
24.7%
-0.2
IU · Drive 19INT · 7 plays · 31 yds
Q4 6:20
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the IU 28
17.7%
-7.0
Q4 5:40
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the IU 31
17.7%
0.0
Q4 4:54
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 25 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST down
17.7%
0.0
Q4 4:20
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the IOWA 44
16.1%
-1.6
Q4 3:41
(03:49) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete deep right to Williams Jr.,E.J. thrown to Iowa03 QB hurried by Lutmer,Zach PENALTY IND Holding 10 yards from Iowa44 to IND46. NO PLAY.
16.2%
0.0
Q4 3:29
Kaelon Black run for 8 yds to the IOWA 46
16.3%
+0.2
Q4 2:50
Fernando Mendoza pass intercepted Zach Lutmer return for 38 yds to the IU 29
16.2%
-0.2
IOWA · Drive 20MISSED FG · 6 plays · 5 yds
Q4 2:36
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the IU 24
25.3%
+9.2
Q4 2:12
Timeout Indiana, clock 02:12
25.3%
0.0
Q4 2:08
Kamari Moulton run for no gain to the IU 24
25.3%
0.0
Q4 2:08
Timeout Indiana, clock 02:08
25.3%
0.0
Q4 2:05
Hank Brown pass incomplete to Kamari Moulton
25.3%
0.0
Q4 2:01
Drew Stevens 42 yd FG MISSED
25.0%
-0.3
IU · Drive 21TD · 6 plays · 76 yds
Q4 1:56
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the IU 27
16.8%
-8.2
Q4 1:56
Timeout Iowa, clock 01:56
16.2%
-0.6
Q4 1:49
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 24 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST down
16.2%
0.0
Q4 1:41
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.
15.0%
-1.2
Q4 1:36
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.
15.0%
0.0
Q4 1:28
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 49 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
2.7%
-12.3
IOWA · Drive 22DOWNS · 11 plays · 26 yds
Q4 1:28
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.8%
0.0
Q4 1:21
Hank Brown pass incomplete to DJ Vonnahme
4.7%
+1.9
Q4 1:04
Hank Brown pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 5 yds to the IOWA 30
4.4%
-0.2
Q4 0:56
Hank Brown pass complete to Sam Phillips for 10 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down
4.4%
0.0
Q4 0:44
Hank Brown pass incomplete to Jacob Gill
4.4%
0.0
Q4 0:34
Hank Brown pass complete to Dayton Howard for 11 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST down
4.4%
0.0
Q4 0:31
Hank Brown pass incomplete to KJ Parker
4.5%
+0.1
Q4 0:24
Hank Brown pass incomplete to Sam Phillips
4.5%
0.0
Q4 0:20
Hank Brown pass incomplete to Dayton Howard
4.5%
0.0
Q4 0:16
Hank Brown pass incomplete to DJ Vonnahme
4.5%
0.0
Q4 0:16
Hank Brown pass incomplete to DJ Vonnahme
4.5%
0.0
IU · Drive 23SF · 6 plays · -49 yds
Q4 0:11
(00:11) Kneel down by Indiana at IND47 for loss of 2 yards.
2.8%
-1.7
Q4 0:11
Timeout Iowa, clock 00:11
2.8%
0.0
Q4 0:07
(00:09) Kneel down by Indiana at IND45 for loss of 2 yards.
2.8%
0.0
Q4 0:07
Timeout Iowa, clock 00:07
2.8%
0.0
Q4 0:03
(00:00) Kneel down by Indiana at IND40 for loss of 5 yards.
2.8%
0.0
Q4 0:00
Team Safety
2.7%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:28
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 49 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
-12.3
FG · Q4 9:47
Nico Radicic 44 yd FG GOOD
-10
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:36
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the IU 24
+9.2