Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 28 at Minnesota 31

MINN
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Huntington Bank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:08 · Cam Davis run for no gain to the RUTG 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Defense timeoutsOffense timeoutsHome team on offenseTime remainingPregame priorTwo-minute warning
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Defense timeouts−16.3Offense timeouts−14.7Home team on offense+2.1Time remaining+1.3Pregame prior+3.3Two-minute warning−6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:52: Fame Ijeboi run for 2 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK) — MINN win probability +8.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 7:58: Le'Meke Brockington 8 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick) — MINN win probability +15.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q2 0:18: Antwan Raymond 2 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick) — RUTG win probability +5.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q3 9:18: Jalen Smith 9 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick) — MINN win probability +13.2 pts (now 36%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · Q3 0:11: Brady Denaburg 26 Yd Field Goal — MINN win probability +6.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:36RUTG 4th & 4 at MINN 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:35MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 21, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:27MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:35RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:10MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:21RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:08MINN 4th & 1 at RUTG 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    60.0%−1.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:15RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−5.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:11MINN 4th & 6 at RUTG 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−12.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:29MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:31RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 31, down 6
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:20RUTG 4th & 22 at MINN 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−10.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    38% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−11.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:16RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:43RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:52MINN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:58MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:18RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:18MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:2344% → 50%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
56.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 18 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
55.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the RUTG 44Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+29
54.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 29 yds to the MINN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
53.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 7 yds to the MINN 20Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
53.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
52.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 13 yds to the MINN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
51.9%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 4Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
50.8%
Samuel Brown V run for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 7Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
50.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the MINN 4Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
49.6%
Jai Patel 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5649% → 47%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
49.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Cam Davis for 6 yds to the MINN 18Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-2
49.3%
Fame Ijeboi run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 16Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+5
48.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds to the MINN 21Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
46.9%
Tom Weston punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 4:1253% → 62%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
47.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 7 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
46.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the RUTG 46Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
45.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 5 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
44.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 21 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
43.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 9 yds to the MINN 19Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+12
43.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 12 yds to the MINN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
42.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for 3 yds Athan Kaliakmanis fumbled, recovered by RUTGSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
38.1%
DT Sheffield 4 Yd pass from Athan Kaliakmanis (Jai Patel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4237% → 33%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
36.8%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Cam DavisSimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
36.6%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Cam Davis for 11 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
36.2%
Cam Davis run for 8 yds to the MINN 36Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
36.0%
Fame Ijeboi run for 1 yd to the MINN 37Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-3
35.0%
Fame Ijeboi run for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 34Similar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
33.0%
Tom Weston punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:3768% → 71%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
31.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Deven Eastern and Jaxon Howard for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+16
31.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 16 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
30.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 13 yds to the MINN 45 Minnesota Penalty, Defensive holding (Deven Eastern) to the MINN 35Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
29.6%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the MINN 33Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
28.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+8
28.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 8 yds to the MINN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
28.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the MINN 24Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+7
27.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 7 yds to the MINN 17Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+3
26.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the MINN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
25.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
25.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian Strong, broken up by John NestorSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
29.2%
KJ Duff 14 Yd pass from Athan Kaliakmanis (Jai Patel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:4220% → 29%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+78
20.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jalen Smith for 78 yds to the RUTG 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.1%
Fame Ijeboi run for no gain to the RUTG 3Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
21.0%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jameson Geers for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kaj Sanders) to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.0%
Fame Ijeboi run for 2 yds for a TD (Brady Denaburg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0877% → 77%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
38.8%
Le'Meke Brockington 8 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2167% → 67%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
32.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff, broken up by John Nestor for a 1ST down Minnesota Penalty, Defensive pass interference (John Nestor) to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
32.7%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-6
33.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Koi Perich for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 28Similar
Q2 6:35
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
33.3%
Jakob Anderson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2034% → 32%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
33.8%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Drew BiberSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
33.3%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Pierce WalshSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
32.3%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+5
31.5%
Tom Weston punt for 43 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 5 yds to the RUTG 32 Rutgers Penalty, illegal block (Timmy Ward) to the RUTG 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3969% → 69%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
30.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
30.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Maverick Baranowski for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 23Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+13
31.3%
Jakob Anderson punt for 48 yds , Koi Perich returns for 13 yds to the MINN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0233% → 22%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
33.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds to the MINN 47Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
33.3%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+7
32.4%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Logan Loya for 7 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
34.7%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 2 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
34.2%
Fame Ijeboi run for 7 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
23.6%
Cam Davis run for no gain to the RUTG 37Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
22.3%
Cam Davis run for no gain to the RUTG 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 0:4681% → 88%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
18.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 8 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+17
17.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 17 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
17.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 13 yds to the MINN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
17.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
17.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Antwan Raymond, broken up by Emmanuel KarmoSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+23
18.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 23 yds to the MINN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.2%
Antwan Raymond 2 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14MISSED FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+50
15.8%
Brady Denaburg 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 5:3621% → 36%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
21.0%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Logan Loya, broken up by Cam MillerSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
20.9%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 9 yds to the MINN 24Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+4
20.5%
Fame Ijeboi run for 4 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
20.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 9 yds to the MINN 37Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+10
21.7%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jalen Smith for 10 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
22.0%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
22.2%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 6 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
21.7%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Drew Biber for 11 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
23.0%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
22.8%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Cam Davis for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+12
21.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Fame Ijeboi for 12 yds to the RUTG 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
22.7%
Fame Ijeboi run for 5 yds to the RUTG 9Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
35.9%
Jalen Smith 9 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0173% → 75%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
27.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 14 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
22.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Kenny Fletcher Jr.Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
22.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Anthony Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 33Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 16
OWN 33
-1
24.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Anthony Smith and Jaxon Howard for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 17
OWN 32
+51
24.8%
Jakob Anderson punt for 41 yds Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Kingsbury) to the MINN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17FG
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:5625% → 35%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
24.8%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+10
24.1%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 10 yds to the MINN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
24.2%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Drew Biber for 5 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
24.8%
Fame Ijeboi run for 3 yds to the MINN 35Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+10
23.7%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Logan Loya for 10 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
27.7%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 11 yds to the RUTG 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
29.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Drew Biber for 4 yds to the RUTG 40Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+16
28.9%
Fame Ijeboi run for 16 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
31.4%
Drake Lindsey sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 26Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+4
30.8%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Frank Bierman for 4 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+10
29.0%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Le'Meke Brockington, broken up by Kaj Sanders for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Defensive holding (Kaj Sanders) to the RUTG 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
30.6%
Fame Ijeboi run for 4 yds to the RUTG 8Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
30.3%
Fame Ijeboi run for no gain to the RUTG 8Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
28.4%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
35.0%
Brady Denaburg 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4159% → 58%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
41.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 17 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
39.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 10 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
36.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 12 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
36.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 10 yds to the MINN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
40.0%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 31Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
43.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT Sheffield, broken up by Mike GeraldSimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+20
47.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 20 yds to the MINN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
41.6%
Antwan Raymond run for 7 yds to the MINN 4Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
42.1%
Antwan Raymond 4 Yd Run (Jai Patel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5355% → 59%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
55.2%
Drake Lindsey sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 20Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+11
56.2%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 11 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
56.6%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 30Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
59.0%
Tom Weston punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4648% → 28%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
52.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the RUTG 13Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+15
53.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 15 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
52.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
62.9%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 31Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
68.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ Duff, broken up by Mike GeraldSimilar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
71.6%
Jakob Anderson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:0473% → 78%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
73.4%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 27 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
78.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Drew Biber for 21 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
77.5%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the RUTG 19Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
77.7%
Drake Lindsey pass incomplete to Kenric Lanier IISimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+9
76.7%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 9 yds to the RUTG 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
81.3%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jalen Smith for 6 yds to the RUTG 4Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.8%
Javon Tracy 4 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22MISSED FG
15 plays · 37 yds · 2:5634% → 50%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
66.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Karter Menz for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 21Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+16
69.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 16 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT Sheffield, broken up by Kerry BrownSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
42.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 11 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
38.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 9 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
33.7%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the MINN 43Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-5
34.4%
Rutgers Penalty, false start (Tyler Needham) to the MINN 48Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+6
39.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
37.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 9 yds to the MINN 33Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+7
35.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 7 yds to the MINN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
36.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-15
39.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Rushawn Lawrence for a loss of 15 yards to the MINN 41Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 25
OPP 41
+3
48.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 3 yds to the MINN 38Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 22
OPP 38
+56
50.4%
Dane Pizzaro 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
64.6%
Drake Lindsey run for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+35.4
TD · Q2 7:58
Le'Meke Brockington 8 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick)
+15.8
TD · Q3 9:18
Jalen Smith 9 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Brady Denaburg Kick)
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com