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MICH

Michigan 30 at Nebraska 27

NEB
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:00 · Kyle Cunanan 44 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1One-score game−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:01: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +11.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:51: Justice Haynes run for 75 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +16.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 52 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +14.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: NEB down 3 timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 5:40: Jordan Marshall run for 54 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +15.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:34: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +35.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 10MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:10NEB 4th & 2 at MICH 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 13, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:00NEB 4th & 12 at MICH 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:38MICH 4th & 10 at NEB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06NEB 4th & 19 at NEB 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:58NEB 4th & 10 at MICH 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:58MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 48, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:34MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:15NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:43MICH 4th & 14 at NEB 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%
    38% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:12NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:56NEB 4th & 14 at MICH 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−7.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:05MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:40NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−4.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:54MICH 4th & 3 at NEB 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−9.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:48NEB 4th & 1 at MICH 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:11MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:01NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:51MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:40MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:34NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:4350% → 51%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 14 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
49.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+23
50.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 23 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
50.2%
Mekhi Nelson run for 11 yds to the MICH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
50.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
50.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 13 yds to the MICH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
50.7%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 7 yds to the MICH 7Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
50.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
50.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the MICH 6Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+1
50.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 1 yd to the MICH 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1850% → 49%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
50.5%
Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the MICH 7Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
50.6%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Channing Goodwin for 5 yds to the MICH 12Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 3
OWN 12
-5
50.9%
(09:49) PENALTY U-M False Start (Link,Evan) 5 yards from U-M12 to U-M07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+6
51.1%
Bryce Underwood run for 6 yds to the MICH 13Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 2
OWN 13
0
51.1%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:3352% → 51%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
51.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 8 yds to the MICH 29Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
51.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the MICH 28Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
51.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the MICH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
52.2%
Isaiah Mozee run for 1 yd to the MICH 23Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+2
52.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the MICH 21Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 7
OPP 21
-5
52.2%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Jaishawn Barham for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 26Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
51.1%
Kyle Cunanan 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:1749% → 50%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
51.2%
Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the MICH 29Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+12
51.0%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 12 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
50.5%
Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+16
50.3%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 16 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
50.2%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Channing GoodwinSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
50.2%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 11 yds to the NEB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
49.3%
Semaj Morgan pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
49.4%
Justice Haynes run for no gain to the NEB 28Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
50.0%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Channing GoodwinSimilar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
50.0%
Dominic Zvada 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:0450% → 50%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
49.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 8 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
51.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
50.2%
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted Cole Sullivan return for no gain to the NEB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
1 play · 37 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
43.6%
Bryce Underwood run for 37 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:0144% → 42%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Luke LindenmeyerSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
43.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 7 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
43.5%
(15:00) PENALTY NEB False Start (Pritchett,Elijah) 5 yards from NEB32 to NEB27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-11
42.9%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Rayshaun Benny for a loss of 11 yards to the NEB 16Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
42.2%
Archie Wilson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:5257% → 57%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
43.5%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
43.6%
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the MICH 44Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+8
43.2%
Bryce Underwood run for 8 yds to the NEB 48 Bryce Underwood fumbled, recovered by NEB DeShon SingletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:1044% → 44%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
43.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
43.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short left to Hunter,Nyziah thrown to U-M45 PENALTY U-M Pass Interference (Hill,Jyaire) 4 yards from U-M48 to U-M44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
44.0%
Mekhi Nelson run for 2 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+21
43.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 21 yds to the MICH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
44.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the MICH 18Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
44.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 4 yds to the MICH 14Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 3
OPP 14
-7
43.9%
Dylan Raiola sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MICH 21Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
44.3%
Kyle Cunanan 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:5157% → 57%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
43.2%
Justice Haynes run for 11 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
41.1%
Bryce Underwood sacked by Dasan McCullough for a loss of 6 yards to the MICH 30Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+3
41.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Justice Haynes for 3 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+7
42.4%
Justice Haynes run for 7 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+20
42.6%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 49 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for 20 yds to the NEB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:5043% → 57%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
42.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+11
43.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 11 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
44.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the MICH 40Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+12
44.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 12 yds to the MICH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
45.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the MICH 27Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+1
45.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the MICH 26Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
56.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
37.8%
Justice Haynes run for 75 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:4640% → 51%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
40.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Quinn Clark for 14 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
42.0%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Jimmy Rolder for a loss of 9 yards to the NEB 40Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+3
39.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+5
38.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+52
50.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 52 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1849% → 49%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
50.9%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 16 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
48.7%
Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the MICH 43Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
48.5%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Marlin Klein for 5 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-1
48.8%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Justice Haynes for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 47Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
50.8%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 49 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for no gain to the NEB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1254% → 52%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
54.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 6Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
53.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 7Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+5
52.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the NEB 12Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 1
OWN 12
-4
52.1%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game 4 yards from NEB12 to NEB08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
52.0%
Archie Wilson punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2451% → 54%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
49.5%
Justice Haynes run for 7 yds to the MICH 47Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
48.4%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Semaj MorganSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+3
48.9%
Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
50
+16
48.0%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Marlin Klein for 16 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
46.8%
Michigan Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
49.6%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
51.1%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Channing GoodwinSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 14
OPP 38
+56
45.9%
Dominic Zvada 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2247% → 44%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 26Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
46.5%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Ernest Hausmann for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 19Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
44.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Emmett JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
43.7%
Archie Wilson punt for 42 yds , Semaj Morgan returns for no gain to the MICH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:2558% → 74%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
42.2%
Jordan Marshall run for 8 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+54
26.5%
Jordan Marshall run for 54 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:1428% → 30%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Mekhi Nelson for 4 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
26.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Luke LindenmeyerSimilar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+3
25.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 3 yds to the NEB 18Similar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+15
24.8%
PENALTY U-M UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hillman,Brandyn) 15 yards from NEB18 to NEB33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
27.3%
Mekhi Nelson run for 6 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+18
28.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 18 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
29.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 9 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
30.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 5 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
30.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 5 yds to the MICH 24Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+8
30.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
29.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 3 yds to the MICH 13Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-7
29.2%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the MICH 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 20
0
25.7%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete deep right to Hunter,Nyziah caught at U-M00, for 0 yards to the U-M20 PENALTY NEB Illegal Touch-Pass (Hunter,Nyziah). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+38
30.3%
Kyle Cunanan 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4772% → 73%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.3%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Semaj MorganSimilar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.9%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Zack Marshall for 6 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
26.1%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Channing GoodwinSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
27.3%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 42 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for 2 yds to the NEB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1631% → 27%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
30.9%
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 27Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
30.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 12
OWN 27
-3
28.3%
Dylan Raiola sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 24Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
27.1%
Archie Wilson punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 8:3574% → 91%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
25.8%
Justice Haynes run for 13 yds to the MICH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
24.5%
Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
22.8%
Justice Haynes run for no gain to the MICH 38Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+6
20.7%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 6 yds to the MICH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
19.1%
Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the MICH 45Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
18.9%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+16
19.4%
Bryce Underwood pass complete to Justice Haynes for 16 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
17.9%
Bryce Underwood pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
17.9%
Jordan Marshall run for no gain to the NEB 39Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+19
18.0%
Justice Haynes run for 19 yds to the NEB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
14.6%
Bryce Underwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 21Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+12
14.4%
Bryce Underwood run for 12 yds to the NEB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
12.8%
Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the NEB 8Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
11.1%
Bryce Underwood run for 6 yds to the NEB 2Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
11.0%
Bryce Underwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 3Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
9.5%
Dominic Zvada 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:079% → 42%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
8.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 6 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
8.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 5 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
5.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Cortez Mills Jr. for 10 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
6.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
5.7%
Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Touch-Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 22
OWN 34
+21
4.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 21 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+6
5.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 6 yds to the MICH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
5.6%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep left to Hunter,Nyziah thrown to U-M03 PENALTY U-M Pass Interference (Earls,Shamari) 15 yards from U-M39 to U-M24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
7.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 21 yds to the MICH 3 for a 1ST down Michigan Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tré Williams) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
42.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:2990% → 94%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
9.9%
Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+8
9.5%
Jordan Marshall run for 8 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
8.4%
B. Underwood takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-2
6.2%
B. Underwood takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:34
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
+35.1
TD · Q2 1:51
Justice Haynes run for 75 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
-16.8
TD · Q3 5:40
Jordan Marshall run for 54 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
-15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com