Try the model
MD

Maryland 27 at Wisconsin 10

WIS
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Camp Randall Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:19 · Bryce McFerson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense−2.5Pregame prior+22.1Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:47: Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 9 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +5.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:38: Sean O'Haire 49 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +4.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Nathanial Vakos kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — WIS win probability +9.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:12: Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +6.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:03: Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 62 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 12MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:24WIS 4th & 6 at MD 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:24WIS 4th & 6 at MD 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:40MD 4th & 8 at WIS 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:19MD 4th & 2 at MD 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:11WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:17WIS 4th & 18 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:07MD 4th & 9 at MD 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:24WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 19, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:38MD 4th & 14 at WIS 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:52WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 32, down 17
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:24MD 4th & 3 at MD 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.6
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:25WIS 4th & 3 at MD 37, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.2%−0.2
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%
    40% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:00MD 4th & 1 at WIS 8, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%−4.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−15.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:35MD 4th & 5 at MD 30, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:12WIS 4th & 7 at MD 16, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−10.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:21MD 4th & 20 at MD 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:45WIS 4th & 10 at MD 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  19. Q3 3:58MD 4th & 3 at MD 12, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:18WIS 4th & 18 at MD 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:12MD 4th & 6 at midfield, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:17WIS 4th & 2 at MD 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:22MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:47MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:03MD Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:28WIS Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:3377% → 77%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.0%
Dilin Jones run for 5 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+45
76.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 45 yds to the MD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
76.9%
Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
76.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+1
76.8%
Dilin Jones run for 1 yd to the MD 21Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+4
76.6%
Nathanial Vakos 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eyan Thomas (12:31) Vakos,Nathanial field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD blocked by Thomas,Eyan (H: Bertrams,Atticus, LS: Levy,Nick), clock 12:24 recovered by WIS Vakos,Nathanial at MAR23 Vakos,Nathanial return 4 yards to the MAR19 (Wingate,Daniel). , return for 4 yds to the MD 19Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+4
76.6%
Nathanial Vakos 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Zahir Mathis (12:31) Vakos,Nathanial field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD blocked by Mathis,Zahir (H: Bertrams,Atticus, LS: Levy,Nick), clock 12:24 recovered by WIS Vakos,Nathanial at MAR23 Vakos,Nathanial return 4 yards to the MAR19 (Wingate,Daniel). , return for 4 yds to the MD 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:3924% → 24%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
76.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+26
76.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 26 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
76.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 5
50
+8
75.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 8 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
75.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Kaleb WebbSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
75.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+2
75.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 2 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
75.7%
Bryce McFerson punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:3976% → 75%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
75.8%
Danny O'Neil run for 8 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
75.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete to Lance MasonSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
75.4%
Danny O'Neil run for 3 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
75.4%
Dilin Jones run for 1 yd to the WIS 32Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-7
75.2%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Sidney Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 16
OWN 25
-46
74.6%
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted Jalen Huskey return for 46 yds to the WIS 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2126% → 29%
Q1 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
74.0%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the WIS 1Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.3%
Malik Washington run for 1 yd for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2572% → 71%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
72.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Vinny Anthony IISimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
72.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 4 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
71.6%
Danny O'Neil run for 2 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+1
71.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds , Jalil Farooq returns for 1 yd to the MD 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2129% → 30%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
71.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
71.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 21Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+6
70.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 6 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
70.5%
Bryce McFerson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:0470% → 68%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
70.4%
Darrion Dupree run for 10 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
70.2%
Dekel Crowdus run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
50
+7
70.5%
Dilin Jones run for 7 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+23
70.0%
run for 23 yds to the WIS 34 fumbled, recovered by WIS Dilin JonesSimilar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 26
OWN 34
+13
67.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 13 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 13
OWN 47
+19
67.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt blocked by Messiah Delhomme blocked by Messiah Delhomme (00:16) Bertrams,Atticus punt 0 yards to the WIS47 blocked by Delhomme,Messiah recovered by MAR Delhomme,Messiah at WIS47, Delhomme,Messiah for 19 yards to the WIS28, End Of Play. Messiah Delhomme return for 19 yds to the WIS 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:1334% → 41%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
66.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to DJ Samuels for 1 yd to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+12
65.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 12 yds to the WIS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
65.6%
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the WIS 9Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
65.1%
Malik Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
59.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 9 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:1761% → 57%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
61.3%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete short left to Dupree,Darrion thrown to WIS32 QB hurried by Reddick,Trey PENALTY MAR Roughing The Passer (Reddick,Trey) 15 yards from WIS26 to WIS41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
62.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-30
61.7%
(13:01) Shotgun O'Neil,Danny pass incomplete short right to Kekahuna,Trech thrown to MAR36 PENALTY MAR Personal Foul (Jenkins,Bryce) WIS Personal Foul 30 yards from WIS45 to WIS45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
61.6%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Daniel Wingate for a loss of 6 yards to the WIS 39Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+19
58.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 19 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
59.6%
Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the MD 41Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-9
59.0%
Danny O'Neil sacked by EJ Moore Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 18
50
0
57.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Lance MasonSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 18
50
0
56.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:1045% → 47%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
55.5%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
55.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+12
55.6%
DeJuan Williams run for 12 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
54.5%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the MD 42Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
54.5%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
54.9%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
53.5%
Bryce McFerson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3753% → 50%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
52.6%
Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the WIS 13Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-5
51.6%
PENALTY WIS Illegal Snap (Cory,Ryan) 5 yards from WIS13 to WIS08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 12
OWN 8
0
51.2%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+11
50.7%
Danny O'Neil run for 11 yds to the WIS 19Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
50.2%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3150% → 59%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
49.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 19 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
48.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan RaySimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
48.1%
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+18
47.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 18 yds to the WIS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
46.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Leon Haughton Jr.Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-4
46.3%
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 31Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 14
OPP 31
0
46.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+49
41.4%
Sean O'Haire 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3644% → 41%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.7%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
42.6%
Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
41.0%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 5 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
41.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 53 yds , Daniel Wingate returns for no gain to the MD 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2265% → 65%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
35.1%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 12Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
35.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+10
35.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 10 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
35.0%
Bryce McFerson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:5242% → 40%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
42.0%
Maryland Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Reddick) to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
43.0%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Lance MasonSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
42.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 9 yds to the MD 35Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-2
42.7%
Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 37Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+2
39.6%
Danny O'Neil run for 2 yds to the MD 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 0:1866% → 77%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+48
34.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 48 yds to the WIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
30.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
29.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 9 yds to the WIS 8Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
27.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+26
23.1%
Sean O'Haire 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2274% → 74%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
25.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the MD 30Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
25.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+35
25.7%
Bryce McFerson punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 47 , Tyrell Henry returns for 35 yds to the MD 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1335% → 32%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
35.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Chris Brooks Jr. for 12 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
33.1%
Darrion Dupree run for 7 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
30.1%
Tyrell Henry pass incomplete to Eugene Hilton Jr.Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+9
29.5%
Danny O'Neil run for 9 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
28.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the MD 15Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-1
26.5%
Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 16Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
25.3%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Trech KekahunaSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
31.9%
Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:4672% → 72%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Leon Haughton Jr.Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan RaySimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
28.4%
Malik Washington sacked by Mason Reiger for a loss of 10 yards to the MD 15Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
28.3%
Bryce McFerson punt for 46 yds , Tyrell Henry returns for no gain to the WIS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:2730% → 25%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
29.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Grant Stec for 5 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
29.9%
Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
29.3%
Danny O'Neil run for 5 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
29.2%
Danny O'Neil run for 1 yd to the MD 47Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
28.1%
Danny O'Neil run for 2 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-3
26.9%
Danny O'Neil run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 48Similar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
25.1%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3678% → 83%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
21.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 4 yds to the MD 9Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+3
21.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 12Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
20.9%
Malik Washington run for no gain to the MD 12Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
17.4%
Bryce McFerson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the WIS 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 13 yds · 6:2924% → 12%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
23.7%
Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 7
50
+7
22.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Chris Brooks Jr. for 7 yds to the MD 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
22.9%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Joel Starlings for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 46Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+17
21.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 17 yds to the MD 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
23.0%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the MD 25Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
21.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 3 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
19.3%
Danny O'Neil run for 2 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
19.7%
Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 21Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
15.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Darrion Dupree for no gain to the MD 21Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-19
13.5%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Cam Rice for a loss of 19 yards to the MD 40Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 31
OPP 40
0
11.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 31
OPP 40
0
11.5%
punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 3:1092% → 99%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+10
7.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 10 yds to the MD 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
6.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 15 yds to the MD 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
6.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+1
5.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 1 yd to the MD 29Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+9
5.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 9 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
1.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 62 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24MISSED FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:293% → 2%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
2.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 4 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
2.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 9 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
2.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 7 yds to the MD 49Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+23
1.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 23 yds to the MD 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-8
1.9%
Danny O'Neil sacked by Keyshawn Flowers for a loss of 8 yards to the MD 34Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 18
OPP 34
0
1.7%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Trech KekahunaSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 18
OPP 34
0
1.6%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Grant StecSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 18
OPP 34
+51
1.5%
Nathanial Vakos 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:5499% → 99%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
0.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 12 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
0.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 6 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
0.7%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the WIS 47Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-3
0.6%
Malik Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 6
50
0
0.6%
Bryce McFerson punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:391% → 3%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
1.0%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 5 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+11
0.9%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 11 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
0.8%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Lance Mason for 15 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
0.8%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Lance Mason for 8 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
0.9%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Jayden BallardSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
0.8%
Hunter Simmons pass incomplete to Grant StecSimilar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+5
0.8%
Darrion Dupree run for 5 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
0.7%
PENALTY MAR Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MAR36 to MAR31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 5
OPP 31
+12
0.9%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 12 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
0.9%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Eugene Hilton Jr. for 6 yds to the MD 13Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
2.7%
Hunter Simmons pass complete to Lance Mason for 13 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27Uncategorized
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.3%
DeJuan Williams run for 3 yds to the MD 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Nathanial Vakos kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+9.7
FG · Q3 10:12
Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOOD
+6.6
TD · Q2 13:47
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 9 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com