Try the model
IOWA

Iowa 38 at Rutgers 28

RUTG
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 19, 2025 · SHI Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · M. Gronowski takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:03: A. Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds for a TD (J. Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +0.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:24: Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +0.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:07: Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — IOWA win probability +0.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:00: Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +1.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:02: Drew Stevens 26 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +2.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 6IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:34IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:40RUTG 4th & 11 at IOWA 19, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−5.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:14IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 47, up 8
    Close callPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 20, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:46RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:37IOWA 4th & 7 at RUTG 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:37RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 28, down 8
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:30IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 3, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−3.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:46RUTG 4th & 7 at IOWA 11, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−11.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:02IOWA 4th & 5 at RUTG 8, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:28RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 42, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:48IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4747% → 47%
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
47.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 21 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
47.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
47.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 4 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+40
47.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 40 yds to the IOWA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
47.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5853% → 53%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.0%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Seth AndersonSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
47.0%
Kaden Wetjen run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 21Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
47.0%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Sam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
47.1%
Rhys Dakin punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RUTG 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:2247% → 47%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
46.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
46.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
46.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
46.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the IOWA 49Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+8
46.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 8 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
46.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 5 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
46.5%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
46.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to DT Sheffield for 6 yds to the IOWA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
46.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Kenny Fletcher Jr.Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
46.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for 5 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+19
46.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 19 yds to the IOWA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
46.6%
A. Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds for a TD (J. Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1955% → 58%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.9%
PENALTY RU Offside (Griffin,Keshon) 5 yards from IOWA25 to IOWA30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+7
44.4%
Jaziun Patterson run for 7 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
44.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 8 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+25
43.6%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Sam Phillips for 25 yds to the RUTG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
43.1%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Terrell Washington Jr. for 16 yds to the RUTG 14 for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Personal Foul (Jett Elad) to the RUTG 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
42.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 6Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
42.5%
Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:0544% → 44%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
44.2%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
43.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Colin Weber for 6 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+37
44.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 37 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
45.2%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the IOWA 14Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+13
45.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 13 yds to the IOWA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the IOWA 1Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the IOWA 1Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:5859% → 63%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
41.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 7 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+11
40.5%
Mark Gronowski run for 11 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
39.6%
Jaziun Patterson run for 9 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+21
38.6%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 21 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
38.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the RUTG 24Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
38.1%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Gronowski,Mark pass incomplete short middle thrown to RU20 QB hurried by Thompson,Jordan and Djabome,Dariel PENALTY RU Holding (Mascoe,Bo) 10 yards from RU24 to RU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
38.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for 12 yds to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.6%
Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7MISSED FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 5:1439% → 37%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
38.5%
(07:48) Shotgun Kaliakmanis,Athan pass incomplete deep middle to Strong,Ian thrown to IOWA35 QB hurried by Allen,Brian PENALTY IOWA Pass Interference (Lee,Deshaun) 15 yards from RU25 to RU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
40.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
39.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the RUTG 42Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+15
38.5%
(06:44) Shotgun Kaliakmanis,Athan pass incomplete deep right to Sheffield,DT thrown to IOWA20 PENALTY IOWA Pass Interference (Lutmer,Zach) 15 yards from RU42 to IOWA43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
40.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
40.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+4
40.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
41.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
41.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 12 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
41.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 21Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+7
40.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher Jr. for 7 yds to the IOWA 14Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
39.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 6
OPP 14
-5
37.7%
PENALTY RU Delay Of Game 5 yards from IOWA14 to IOWA19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
36.9%
Jai Patel 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:1764% → 65%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
35.9%
Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
34.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+11
34.1%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 11 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
32.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kamari Moulton for 2 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
33.2%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
33.5%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to DJ VonnahmeSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
34.6%
Rhys Dakin punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0635% → 34%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
34.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the RUTG 12Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+3
35.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+5
34.6%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the RUTG 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+43
33.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 37 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 43 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1435% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
35.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Max Llewellyn for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+7
35.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 7 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
34.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
33.3%
Jakob Anderson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:5868% → 69%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
32.3%
Kamari Moulton run for 8 yds to the IOWA 43Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
31.0%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 44Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+7
31.3%
Mark Gronowski run for 7 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
30.0%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 24 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
29.3%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Zach OrtwerthSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
29.5%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for no gain to the RUTG 25Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+3
29.9%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 3 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
31.4%
Drew Stevens 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5533% → 31%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
33.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Colin WeberSimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
32.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 6 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
32.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
31.0%
Jakob Anderson punt for 68 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4869% → 67%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
31.2%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 5Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+2
31.3%
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the IOWA 7Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 7
OWN 7
-4
31.9%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 3Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
32.6%
Rhys Dakin punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:3534% → 30%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
33.9%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 43Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+43
32.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 43 yds to the IOWA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
34.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the IOWA 12Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
34.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+1
32.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 1 yd to the IOWA 11Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
29.9%
Jai Patel 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ethan Hurkett (03:46) Patel,Jai field goal attempt from 29 yards NO GOOD blocked by Hurkett,Ethan (H: McCann,Riley, LS: OConnor,Michael), clock 03:46 recovered by RU Thompson,Jordan at IOWA23, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:3573% → 77%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
26.6%
Mark Gronowski run for 10 yds to the IOWA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
26.3%
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
25.5%
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the IOWA 41Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+17
24.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 17 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
22.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 6 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+23
22.0%
Nathan McNeil run for 10 yds to the RUTG 26 for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Cam Miller) to the RUTG 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
21.1%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
21.0%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the RUTG 8Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
20.7%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Zach OrtwerthSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
23.3%
Drew Stevens 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0426% → 30%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
26.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 10 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
25.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 26 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
29.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 12 yds to the IOWA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
31.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
30.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 10 yds to the IOWA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
30.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 7 yds to the IOWA 10Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+5
30.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the IOWA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
30.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the IOWA 1Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2481% → 91%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
18.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 11 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
18.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-3
16.8%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Cam Miller for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 33Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+10
15.4%
(07:55) Shotgun Gronowski,Mark pass incomplete short right to Gill,Jacob thrown to IOWA45 PENALTY RU Holding (Salaam,Al-Shadee) 10 yards from IOWA33 to IOWA43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
13.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+42
11.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Dayton Howard for 42 yds to the RUTG 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
9.3%
Mark Gronowski run for 9 yds to the RUTG 2Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
9.0%
Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1715% → 13%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
13.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted Jaxon Rexroth return for no gain to the RUTG 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:5292% → 96%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
7.9%
Kamari Moulton run for 11 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
7.7%
Mark Gronowski run for 9 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+4
6.3%
Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the RUTG 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
5.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 9 yds to the RUTG 2Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
5.0%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the RUTG 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.2%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:427% → 5%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
6.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 24 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
6.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to DT SheffieldSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-7
5.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Ethan Hurkett for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 42Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
4.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Ian StrongSimilar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
4.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to KJ DuffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 1:1597% → 97%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
3.2%
M. Gronowski takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-3
2.8%
M. Gronowski takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-2.8
FG · Q4 14:02
Drew Stevens 26 yd FG GOOD
+2.5
TD · Q2 8:00
Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com