ILL
Illinois 10 at Indiana 63
IU2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
ILL · Drive 1PUNT · 7 plays · 13 yds
Q1 15:00
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
71.1%
0.0
Q1 14:49
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for 4 yds to the ILL 29
69.3%
-1.8
Q1 14:30
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for 11 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST down
68.4%
-0.9
Q1 14:04
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hank Beatty
67.4%
-1.0
Q1 13:47
Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the ILL 45
67.4%
0.0
Q1 13:17
Luke Altmyer sacked by Rolijah Hardy for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 38
66.7%
-0.8
Q1 12:46
Keelan Crimmins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 19
67.7%
+1.1
IU · Drive 2PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q1 12:40
Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the IU 26
71.0%
+3.2
Q1 12:06
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Leon Lowery Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the IU 17
71.0%
0.0
Q1 11:25
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the IU 21
71.0%
0.0
Q1 10:43
Quinn Warren punt for 52 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 9 yds to the ILL 36
70.7%
-0.3
ILL · Drive 3PUNT TD · 4 plays · -3 yds
Q1 10:18
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ca'Lil Valentine for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 32
68.2%
-2.5
Q1 9:50
Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the ILL 33
68.4%
+0.2
Q1 9:35
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hudson Clement
68.4%
0.0
Q1 9:26
D'Angelo Ponds 11 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Nico Radicic Kick)
79.6%
+11.2
ILL · Drive 4TD · 4 plays · 75 yds
Q1 9:26
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
82.3%
+2.7
Q1 9:07
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 3 yds to the ILL 28
79.6%
-2.7
Q1 8:56
Luke Altmyer run for 13 yds to the ILL 41 for a 1ST down
79.3%
-0.3
Q1 8:24
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 59 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
66.9%
-12.4
IU · Drive 5TD · 9 plays · 75 yds
Q1 8:24
David Olano kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
68.2%
+1.3
Q1 7:58
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 14 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down
70.8%
+2.6
Q1 7:44
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the IU 42
71.3%
+0.5
Q1 7:05
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the IU 46
71.5%
+0.2
Q1 6:25
Fernando Mendoza run for 2 yds to the IU 48
70.9%
-0.6
Q1 5:52
Timeout Illinois, clock 05:52
69.4%
-1.5
Q1 5:20
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
69.4%
0.0
Q1 5:03
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 39 yds to the ILL 11 for a 1ST down
69.9%
+0.5
Q1 4:41
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
81.2%
+11.3
ILL · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · -8 yds
Q1 4:41
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
80.5%
-0.7
Q1 4:31
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 28
78.3%
-2.2
Q1 4:06
Luke Altmyer sacked by Tyrique Tucker for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 24
78.3%
0.0
Q1 3:26
Luke Altmyer sacked by Isaiah Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 17
78.3%
-0.1
Q1 2:45
Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 yds , Jonathan Brady returns for no gain to the IU 17 Illinois Penalty, Defensive Holding (TJ McMillen) to the IU 48
78.3%
0.0
IU · Drive 7PUNT · 4 plays · -2 yds
Q1 2:39
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Elijah Sarratt
81.1%
+2.8
Q1 2:30
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 46
81.1%
-0.1
Q1 1:53
Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Omar Cooper Jr.
80.6%
-0.5
Q1 1:41
Quinn Warren punt for 52 yds, downed at the ILL 2
80.1%
-0.4
ILL · Drive 8PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q1 1:15
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the ILL 3
78.7%
-1.4
Q1 0:52
Ca'Lil Valentine run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 2
78.7%
0.0
Q1 0:11
Altmyer, Luke pass complete to Feagin, Kaden for 12 yards to the ILL14, PENALTY ILL holding (Priestly, Melvin) 1 yards to the ILL1, NO PLAY.
78.5%
-0.1
Q1 0:01
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 8 yds to the ILL 9
78.5%
-0.1
Q2 14:46
Keelan Crimmins punt for 47 yds, downed at the IU 44
78.5%
0.0
IU · Drive 9TD · 8 plays · 56 yds
Q2 14:34
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the IU 48
80.6%
+2.1
Q2 14:00
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
80.9%
+0.3
Q2 13:31
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Roman Hemby for 26 yds to the ILL 24 for a 1ST down
80.7%
-0.2
Q2 13:05
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 9 yds to the ILL 15 for a 1ST down Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Miles Scott) to the ILL 8 for a 1ST down
81.0%
+0.3
Q2 12:40
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the ILL 6
81.0%
0.0
Q2 12:09
Fernando Mendoza run for no gain to the ILL 6
82.2%
+1.2
Q2 11:35
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Carter Smith) to the ILL 11
82.1%
-0.1
Q2 11:05
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
92.5%
+10.4
ILL · Drive 10PUNT · 6 plays · 17 yds
Q2 11:05
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
92.5%
0.0
Q2 10:55
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for 12 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST down
88.9%
-3.6
Q2 10:33
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 40
88.9%
0.0
Q2 9:35
Luke Altmyer sacked by Mario Landino and Stephen Daley for a loss of 5 yards to the ILL 35
88.9%
0.0
Q2 9:18
Luke Altmyer run for 7 yds to the ILL 42
88.9%
0.0
Q2 8:36
Keelan Crimmins punt for 58 yds for a touchback
88.9%
0.0
IU · Drive 11TD · 5 plays · 80 yds
Q2 8:27
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST down
92.5%
+3.6
Q2 7:49
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 21 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST down
92.2%
-0.3
Q2 7:14
Roman Hemby run for 10 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST down
92.2%
0.0
Q2 6:40
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Drew Evans) to the ILL 43
92.3%
+0.1
Q2 6:17
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 43 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
97.2%
+4.9
ILL · Drive 12PUNT · 5 plays · -3 yds
Q2 6:17
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.1%
-0.1
Q2 6:00
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds to the ILL 28
96.7%
-0.4
Q2 5:40
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds to the ILL 30
96.7%
0.0
Q2 5:10
Luke Altmyer sacked by Kellan Wyatt and Mario Landino for a loss of 8 yards to the ILL 22
96.7%
0.0
Q2 4:23
Keelan Crimmins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 35
97.3%
+0.6
IU · Drive 13TD · 10 plays · 65 yds
Q2 4:12
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the IU 37
97.1%
-0.2
Q2 3:45
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the IU 41
97.1%
0.0
Q2 3:04
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 6 yds to the IU 47 for a 1ST down
97.1%
0.0
Q2 2:30
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 6 yds to the ILL 47
97.1%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Kaelon Black run for 23 yds to the ILL 24 for a 1ST down
97.1%
0.0
Q2 1:50
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 8 yds to the ILL 16
97.1%
+0.1
Q2 1:28
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the ILL 12 for a 1ST down
97.1%
0.0
Q2 1:14
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the ILL 9
97.1%
0.0
Q2 1:14
Timeout Indiana, clock 01:14
97.1%
-0.1
Q2 1:09
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
98.5%
+1.4
ILL · Drive 14END OF HALF · 10 plays · 47 yds
Q2 1:09
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.5%
0.0
Q2 1:05
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hudson Clement
97.8%
-0.6
Q2 0:50
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Cole Rusk for 7 yds to the ILL 32
97.8%
0.0
Q2 0:30
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 10 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down
97.8%
0.0
Q2 0:26
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Cole Rusk for 14 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST down
97.8%
0.0
Q2 0:20
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 16 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST down
97.8%
0.0
Q2 0:09
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Collin Dixon
97.7%
-0.1
Q2 0:09
Timeout Indiana, clock 00:09
97.7%
0.0
Q2 0:05
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hank Beatty
97.7%
0.0
Q2 0:00
David Olano 46 yd FG GOOD
97.0%
-0.7
IU · Drive 15TD · 8 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
David Olano kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
97.3%
+0.3
Q3 14:53
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the IU 27
97.3%
+0.1
Q3 14:16
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 10 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST down
97.3%
0.0
Q3 13:56
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the IU 41
97.3%
0.0
Q3 12:55
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST down
97.5%
+0.2
Q3 12:50
Fernando Mendoza run for 5 yds to the ILL 43
97.5%
0.0
Q3 12:04
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the ILL 40
97.5%
0.0
Q3 11:38
Kaelon Black run for 40 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
98.4%
+1.0
ILL · Drive 16PUNT · 5 plays · -6 yds
Q3 11:38
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.4%
0.0
Q3 11:33
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Collin Dixon
98.1%
-0.3
Q3 11:19
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 3 yds to the ILL 28
98.1%
0.0
Q3 10:54
Luke Altmyer sacked by Mario Landino for a loss of 9 yards to the ILL 19
98.2%
+0.1
Q3 9:59
Keelan Crimmins punt for 57 yds , Jonathan Brady returns for 27 yds to the ILL 46 Illinois Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Tyler Strain) to the ILL 44
98.3%
0.0
IU · Drive 17TD · 10 plays · 44 yds
Q3 9:43
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds to the ILL 39
98.4%
+0.1
Q3 9:00
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:35
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 5 yds to the ILL 28
98.4%
0.0
Q3 7:48
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the ILL 27
98.4%
0.0
Q3 7:44
Timeout Indiana, clock 07:44
98.4%
0.0
Q3 7:00
Fernando Mendoza run for 5 yds to the ILL 22 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q3 6:59
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds to the ILL 13
98.4%
0.0
Q3 6:22
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the ILL 8 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q3 5:37
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the ILL 5
98.4%
0.0
Q3 5:02
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
99.0%
+0.6
ILL · Drive 18PUNT · 5 plays · -1 yds
Q3 5:02
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.0%
0.0
Q3 4:40
Ca'Lil Valentine run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 24
98.8%
-0.2
Q3 4:28
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Collin Dixon
98.7%
0.0
Q3 4:24
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hank Beatty
98.7%
0.0
Q3 4:16
Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 31
98.7%
0.0
IU · Drive 19TD · 8 plays · 69 yds
Q3 4:08
Kaelon Black run for 11 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST down
99.0%
+0.2
Q3 3:24
Fernando Mendoza run for 6 yds to the IU 48
99.0%
0.0
Q3 2:13
Fernando Mendoza sacked by Joe Barna for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 43
99.0%
0.0
Q3 1:47
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the ILL 46 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q3 1:00
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the ILL 42
99.0%
0.0
Q3 0:25
Khobie Martin run for 7 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 14:53
Khobie Martin run for 4 yds to the ILL 31
99.0%
0.0
Q4 14:09
Khobie Martin run for 31 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
99.0%
0.0
ILL · Drive 20PUNT · 5 plays · -1 yds
Q4 14:09
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds , Ca'Lil Valentine return for 22 yds to the ILL 22
99.0%
0.0
Q4 13:22
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the ILL 28
98.8%
-0.2
Q4 13:18
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for no gain to the ILL 28
98.8%
0.0
Q4 12:35
Luke Altmyer sacked by Tyrique Tucker for a loss of 7 yards to the ILL 21
98.8%
0.0
Q4 12:01
Keelan Crimmins punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jonathan Brady at the IU 33
98.8%
0.0
IU · Drive 21TD · 8 plays · 67 yds
Q4 11:36
Khobie Martin run for 12 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST down
99.0%
+0.2
Q4 11:10
Khobie Martin run for 9 yds to the ILL 46
99.0%
0.0
Q4 10:21
Khobie Martin run for 7 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 9:15
Solomon Vanhorse run for 8 yds to the ILL 31
99.0%
0.0
Q4 8:45
Solomon Vanhorse run for 4 yds to the ILL 27 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 7:40
Khobie Martin run for 2 yds to the ILL 25
99.0%
0.0
Q4 7:22
Khobie Martin run for 17 yds to the ILL 8 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 6:38
Khobie Martin run for 8 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
99.0%
0.0
ILL · Drive 22INT · 6 plays · 23 yds
Q4 6:38
Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.0%
0.0
Q4 6:24
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Malik Elzy for 6 yds to the ILL 31
98.7%
-0.3
Q4 6:05
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 4 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q4 5:29
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Malik Elzy for 7 yds to the ILL 42
98.7%
0.0
Q4 5:05
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 6 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST down
98.7%
+0.1
Q4 4:49
Ethan Hampton pass intercepted Amare Ferrell return for no gain to the IU 30
98.7%
0.0
IU · Drive 23END OF GAME · 7 plays · 45 yds
Q4 4:44
Khobie Martin run for 2 yds to the IU 32
98.9%
+0.2
Q4 3:21
Khobie Martin run for 3 yds to the IU 35
98.9%
0.0
Q4 3:00
Solomon Vanhorse run for 12 yds to the IU 47 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 2:26
Alberto Mendoza run for 14 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 1:42
Solomon Vanhorse run for 3 yds to the ILL 36
99.0%
0.0
Q4 1:08
Khobie Martin run for 5 yds to the ILL 31
99.0%
0.0
Q4 0:00
Grant Wilson run for 6 yds to the ILL 25 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 8:24
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 59 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q1 4:41
Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Nico Radicic KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q1 9:26
D'Angelo Ponds 11 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Nico Radicic Kick)
+11.2