ORST
Oregon State 7 at Oregon 41
ORE2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Autzen Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey play
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ORE · Drive 1TD · 8 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Caleb Ojeda kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.9%
0.0
Q1 14:54
Jayden Limar run for 22 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down
99.0%
+0.1
Q1 14:19
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Malik Benson
99.1%
+0.1
Q1 14:10
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 13 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q1 13:36
Jayden Limar run for no gain to the ORST 40
99.1%
0.0
Q1 13:09
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 11 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q1 12:31
Jayden Limar run for 7 yds to the ORST 22
99.1%
0.0
Q1 12:10
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 22 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
99.5%
+0.4
ORST · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q1 12:10
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.5%
0.0
Q1 12:04
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27
99.3%
-0.2
Q1 11:34
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.
99.4%
+0.1
Q1 11:29
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent Walker
99.4%
0.0
Q1 11:18
AJ Winsor punt for 52 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 12 yds to the ORE 33
99.4%
0.0
ORE · Drive 3DOWNS · 6 plays · 31 yds
Q1 11:07
Dante Moore run for 7 yds to the ORE 40
99.5%
+0.1
Q1 10:41
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 18 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q1 10:16
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ORST 39
99.5%
0.0
Q1 9:40
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien Moore
99.5%
0.0
Q1 9:35
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon Sadiq
99.5%
0.0
Q1 9:30
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 3 yds to the ORST 36
99.5%
0.0
ORST · Drive 4TD · 16 plays · 64 yds
Q1 9:18
Salahadin Allah run for no gain to the ORST 36
99.4%
-0.1
Q1 8:43
Salahadin Allah run for 11 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q1 8:12
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.
99.3%
0.0
Q1 8:05
Salahadin Allah run for 2 yds to the ORST 49
99.3%
0.0
Q1 7:31
Timeout Oregon, clock 07:31
99.4%
+0.1
Q1 7:20
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 13 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q1 6:59
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Murphy,Maalik pass complete short right to Walker,Trent caught at ORE35, for 2 yards to the ORE36 (Johnson,Theran) PENALTY OSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Timoteo,Josiah) 5 yards from ORE38 to ORE43. NO PLAY.
99.4%
0.0
Q1 6:36
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 41
99.4%
0.0
Q1 6:04
Anthony Hankerson run for 17 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST down
99.3%
-0.1
Q1 5:30
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 22
99.0%
-0.3
Q1 5:00
PENALTY OSU False Start (Caufield,Bryce) 5 yards from ORE22 to ORE27. NO PLAY.
99.0%
0.0
Q1 4:39
Salahadin Allah run for 5 yds to the ORE 22
99.0%
0.0
Q1 3:44
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 21 yds to the ORE 1 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q1 3:09
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORE 1
99.0%
0.0
Q1 2:30
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORE 1
99.0%
0.0
Q1 1:50
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK)
98.2%
-0.7
ORE · Drive 5PUNT · 7 plays · 9 yds
Q1 1:50
Caleb Ojeda kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.6%
+0.4
Q1 1:41
Jayden Limar run for 15 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down
98.9%
+0.2
Q1 1:03
Jayden Limar run for 4 yds to the ORE 44
98.9%
0.0
Q1 0:31
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon Sadiq
98.9%
0.0
Q1 0:00
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU45, End Of Play PENALTY ORE Holding (World,Isaiah) 10 yards from ORE44 to ORE34. NO PLAY.
98.9%
0.0
Q2 14:56
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon Sadiq
98.8%
0.0
Q2 14:48
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORST 30
98.8%
0.0
ORST · Drive 6PUNT · 6 plays · 16 yds
Q2 14:43
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 31
98.6%
-0.2
Q2 13:46
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 14 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q2 13:23
Salahadin Allah run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 44
98.5%
-0.1
Q2 12:45
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 46
98.4%
-0.1
Q2 11:59
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz Reddicks
98.3%
-0.1
Q2 11:50
AJ Winsor punt for 46 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the ORE 8
98.4%
0.0
ORE · Drive 7TD · 12 plays · 92 yds
Q2 11:42
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the ORE 16
98.6%
+0.3
Q2 11:09
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the ORE 19 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q2 10:38
Dante Moore run for 4 yds to the ORE 23
98.6%
0.0
Q2 9:59
Jayden Limar run for 4 yds to the ORE 27
98.5%
-0.1
Q2 9:13
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 8 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down
98.5%
0.0
Q2 9:00
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien Moore
98.5%
0.0
Q2 8:50
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 2 yds to the ORE 37
98.5%
0.0
Q2 8:12
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 9 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST down
98.6%
+0.1
Q2 7:35
Jayden Limar run for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 40
98.6%
0.0
Q2 6:52
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 31 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q2 6:21
Jayden Limar run for 6 yds to the ORST 23
98.6%
-0.1
Q2 5:40
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 23 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
99.3%
+0.7
ORST · Drive 8PUNT · 8 plays · 14 yds
Q2 5:35
Gage Hurych kickoff for 63 yds , David Wells Jr. return for 18 yds to the ORST 20
99.3%
0.0
Q2 5:26
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 25
99.1%
-0.2
Q2 4:49
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 29
99.1%
0.0
Q2 4:05
Maalik Murphy run for 1 yd to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q2 3:19
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 32
99.1%
0.0
Q2 2:39
Taz Reddicks run for 2 yds to the ORST 34
99.1%
0.0
Q2 1:56
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz Reddicks
99.1%
0.0
Q2 1:48
AJ Winsor punt for 66 yds for a touchback
99.1%
0.0
ORE · Drive 9TD · 9 plays · 80 yds
Q2 1:42
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 7 yds to the ORE 27
99.3%
+0.2
Q2 1:35
Jayden Limar run for 7 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q2 1:25
Dante Moore run for 28 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q2 1:17
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ORST 35
99.3%
0.0
Q2 0:49
Dante Moore pass complete to Jayden Limar for 11 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST down
99.0%
-0.3
Q2 0:35
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 23 yds to the ORST 1 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q2 0:25
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 2 yds to the ORST 3
99.0%
0.0
Q2 0:25
Timeout Oregon, clock 00:25
99.0%
+0.1
Q2 0:21
Jordon Davison run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
99.2%
+0.2
ORST · Drive 10END OF HALF · 2 plays · -2 yds
Q2 0:21
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.2%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 23
99.1%
-0.2
ORST · Drive 11PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q3 15:00
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.2%
+0.2
Q3 14:57
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz Reddicks
99.2%
-0.1
Q3 14:49
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 6 yds to the ORST 31
99.2%
0.0
Q3 14:07
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Taz Reddicks
99.1%
0.0
Q3 13:54
AJ Winsor punt for 52 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 11 yds to the ORE 28
99.1%
0.0
ORE · Drive 12TD · 11 plays · 72 yds
Q3 13:45
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORE 32
99.2%
+0.1
Q3 13:04
Dante Moore run for 2 yds to the ORE 34
99.3%
+0.1
Q3 12:31
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.
99.3%
0.0
Q3 12:16
James Ferguson-Reynolds run for 21 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q3 11:40
Jordon Davison run for 9 yds to the ORST 36
99.3%
0.0
Q3 11:20
Jordon Davison run for 5 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST down
99.1%
-0.2
Q3 10:46
Dante Moore sacked by Takari Hickle for a loss of 9 yards to the ORST 40
99.1%
0.0
Q3 9:24
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds Kenyon Sadiq fumbled, recovered by ORE Kenyon Sadiq for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q3 9:22
Jay Harris run for 3 yds to the ORST 13
99.1%
0.0
Q3 8:54
Jay Harris run for no gain to the ORST 13
99.1%
0.0
Q3 8:18
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 13 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
99.9%
+0.8
ORST · Drive 13PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q3 8:18
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q3 8:09
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27
99.8%
-0.1
Q3 7:41
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony Hankerson
99.8%
0.0
Q3 7:38
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony Hankerson
99.8%
0.0
Q3 7:22
AJ Winsor punt for 56 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 18 yds to the ORE 35
99.8%
0.0
ORE · Drive 14FG · 12 plays · 59 yds
Q3 7:13
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for no gain to the ORE 35
99.9%
+0.1
Q3 6:34
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 13 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 6:12
Jordon Davison run for 4 yds to the ORST 48
99.9%
0.0
Q3 5:32
Jordon Davison run for 7 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 4:48
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the ORST 36
99.9%
0.0
Q3 4:13
Dante Moore pass complete to Jayden Limar for 11 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 3:27
Dante Moore run for 17 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 2:53
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 3 yds to the ORST 5
100.0%
0.0
Q3 2:14
PENALTY ORE False Start (Harkey,Alex) 5 yards from OSU05 to OSU10. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q3 1:47
Dante Moore run for 4 yds to the ORST 6
100.0%
0.0
Q3 1:05
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Roger Saleapaga
100.0%
0.0
Q3 1:01
Atticus Sappington 24 yd FG GOOD
100.0%
0.0
ORST · Drive 15PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q3 1:01
Gage Hurych kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 0:55
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Zachary Card
100.0%
0.0
Q3 0:51
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Taz Reddicks
100.0%
0.0
Q3 0:40
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 6 yds to the ORST 31
100.0%
0.0
Q3 0:05
AJ Winsor punt for 53 yds , Dakorien Moore returns for 10 yds to the ORE 26
100.0%
0.0
ORE · Drive 16TD · 3 plays · 74 yds
Q3 0:00
Jordon Davison run for 6 yds to the ORE 32
100.0%
0.0
Q4 14:54
Makhi Hughes run for 19 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 14:20
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 49 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
100.0%
0.0
ORST · Drive 17PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q4 14:20
Gage Hurych kickoff for 64 yds
100.0%
0.0
Q4 14:14
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent Walker
100.0%
0.0
Q4 14:06
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 5 yds to the ORST 30
100.0%
0.0
Q4 13:31
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Malachi Durant
100.0%
0.0
Q4 13:19
AJ Winsor punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 40 , Dakorien Moore returns for 19 yds to the ORE 40
100.0%
0.0
ORE · Drive 18PUNT · 8 plays · 5 yds
Q4 13:09
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 9 yds to the ORE 49
100.0%
0.0
Q4 12:47
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 12:16
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante pass incomplete short left to Moore,Dakorien thrown to OSU35 QB hurried by Saez,Zakaih PENALTY ORE Holding (World,Isaiah) 10 yards from OSU47 to ORE43. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 12:07
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 3 yds to the ORE 46
100.0%
0.0
Q4 11:34
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante pass complete short right to Bryant Jr.,Gary caught at OSU42, for 19 yards to the OSU35 (Tucker,Jalil; Thomas,Skyler) PENALTY ORE Illegal Block in Back (Johnson,Jamari) 10 yards from ORE46 to ORE36. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 11:09
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 11:01
Jay Harris run for 9 yds to the ORE 45
100.0%
0.0
Q4 10:19
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 51 yds
100.0%
0.0
ORST · Drive 19FUMBLE · 6 plays · 24 yds
Q4 10:07
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 7 yds to the ORST 11
100.0%
0.0
Q4 9:39
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 9:03
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORST 18
100.0%
0.0
Q4 8:28
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 15 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 7:57
Timeout Oregon, clock 07:57
100.0%
0.0
Q4 7:53
Gabarri Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 28 Gabarri Johnson fumbled, recovered by ORE Bear Alexander
100.0%
0.0
ORE · Drive 20FG · 8 plays · 18 yds
Q4 7:41
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the ORST 23
100.0%
0.0
Q4 7:02
Dante Moore pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 20 yds to the ORST 3 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:25
Timeout Oregon, clock 06:25
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:17
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ORST 3
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:45
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 5
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:09
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kyler Kasper
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:09
PENALTY ORE Delay Of Game (Moore,Dante) 5 yards from OSU05 to OSU10. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:05
Atticus Sappington 28 yd FG GOOD
100.0%
0.0
ORST · Drive 21PUNT · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q4 5:05
Gage Hurych kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q4 4:59
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for no gain to the ORST 25
99.9%
0.0
Q4 4:27
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Cornell Hatcher Jr.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 4:22
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent Walker
100.0%
0.0
Q4 4:08
AJ Winsor punt for 53 yds
100.0%
0.0
ORE · Drive 22END OF GAME · 6 plays · 30 yds
Q4 3:58
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 1 yd to the ORE 23
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:19
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 19 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:37
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 4 yds to the ORE 46
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:52
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 2 yds to the ORE 48
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:15
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 5 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 0:00
B. Thomas takes a knee
100.0%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:18
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 13 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q1 1:50
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK)
-0.7
TD · Q2 5:40
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 23 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+0.7