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ORST

Oregon State 7 at Oregon 41

ORE
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · B. Thomas takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:50: Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK) — ORST win probability +0.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:40: Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 23 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:21: Jordon Davison run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:18: Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 13 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK) — ORE win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:20: Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 49 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ORST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:18ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:30ORE 4th & 7 at ORST 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:48ORE 4th & 16 at ORE 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:50ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:48ORST 4th & 6 at ORST 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:54ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:16ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 34, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:22ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:01ORE 4th & 6 at ORST 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:05ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:19ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:19ORE 4th & 18 at ORE 45, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:05ORE 4th & 10 at ORST 10, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:08ORST 4th & 10 at ORST 25, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:10ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:50ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:40ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:21ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:18ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:20ORE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4498% → 98%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
97.9%
Jayden Limar run for 22 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.9%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
97.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 13 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Jayden Limar run for no gain to the ORST 40Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
97.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 11 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
97.7%
Jayden Limar run for 7 yds to the ORST 22Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
97.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 22 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:462% → 2%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.6%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+12
97.6%
AJ Winsor punt for 52 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 12 yds to the ORE 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3798% → 97%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
97.6%
Dante Moore run for 7 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+18
97.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 18 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
97.5%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
97.5%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien MooreSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
97.5%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon SadiqSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+3
97.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 3 yds to the ORST 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4TD
16 plays · 64 yds · 7:283% → 5%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Salahadin Allah run for no gain to the ORST 36Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
97.3%
Salahadin Allah run for 11 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.2%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to David Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.2%
Salahadin Allah run for 2 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+13
97.1%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 13 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
97.0%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Murphy,Maalik pass complete short right to Walker,Trent caught at ORE35, for 2 yards to the ORE36 (Johnson,Theran) PENALTY OSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Timoteo,Josiah) 5 yards from ORE38 to ORE43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+2
97.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+17
96.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 17 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
96.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-5
96.6%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Caufield,Bryce) 5 yards from ORE22 to ORE27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+5
96.6%
Salahadin Allah run for 5 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+21
96.5%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 21 yds to the ORE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORE 1Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORE 1Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Ojeda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5396% → 95%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.6%
Jayden Limar run for 15 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.6%
Jayden Limar run for 4 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
95.6%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon SadiqSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-10
95.3%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU45, End Of Play PENALTY ORE Holding (World,Isaiah) 10 yards from ORE44 to ORE34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 16
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kenyon SadiqSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
94.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:535% → 6%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
94.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the ORST 31Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+14
94.6%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 14 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
94.2%
Salahadin Allah run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 44Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+2
94.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
93.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
94.1%
AJ Winsor punt for 46 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the ORE 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 6:0294% → 95%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
94.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the ORE 16Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+3
94.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the ORE 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
93.9%
Dante Moore run for 4 yds to the ORE 23Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
93.7%
Jayden Limar run for 4 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+8
93.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 8 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.4%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien MooreSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
93.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 2 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
93.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 9 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
93.3%
Jayden Limar run for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 40Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+31
92.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 31 yds to the ORST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
93.2%
Jayden Limar run for 6 yds to the ORST 23Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+23
95.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 23 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:386% → 7%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORST 25Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
93.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 29Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
93.8%
Maalik Murphy run for 1 yd to the ORST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
93.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
93.3%
Taz Reddicks run for 2 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
93.3%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
93.5%
AJ Winsor punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:2193% → 96%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
93.4%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 7 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
93.5%
Jayden Limar run for 7 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
93.4%
Dante Moore run for 28 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
94.1%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+11
94.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jayden Limar for 11 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
94.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 23 yds to the ORST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
94.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 2 yds to the ORST 3Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.0%
Jordon Davison run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:034% → 4%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.9%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 6 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
95.8%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
95.9%
AJ Winsor punt for 52 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 11 yds to the ORE 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:2796% → 99%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
96.1%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
96.1%
Dante Moore run for 2 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
95.9%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+21
95.8%
James Ferguson-Reynolds run for 21 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
96.2%
Jordon Davison run for 9 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+5
96.2%
Jordon Davison run for 5 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
96.2%
Dante Moore sacked by Takari Hickle for a loss of 9 yards to the ORST 40Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 19
OPP 40
+24
96.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds Kenyon Sadiq fumbled, recovered by ORE Kenyon Sadiq for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
96.2%
Jay Harris run for 3 yds to the ORST 13Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
96.2%
Jay Harris run for no gain to the ORST 13Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
98.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 13 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:472% → 2%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony HankersonSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Anthony HankersonSimilar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+18
98.5%
AJ Winsor punt for 56 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 18 yds to the ORE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:1299% → 99%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for no gain to the ORE 35Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
98.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 13 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.7%
Jordon Davison run for 4 yds to the ORST 48Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
98.7%
Jordon Davison run for 7 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.7%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the ORST 36Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+11
98.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jayden Limar for 11 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
98.8%
Dante Moore run for 17 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
98.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 3 yds to the ORST 5Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
98.9%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Harkey,Alex) 5 yards from OSU05 to OSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.1%
Dante Moore run for 4 yds to the ORST 6Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.1%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Roger SaleapagaSimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.1%
Atticus Sappington 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Zachary CardSimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Gabarri Johnson pass incomplete to Taz ReddicksSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 6 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.2%
AJ Winsor punt for 53 yds , Dakorien Moore returns for 10 yds to the ORE 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:4099% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.1%
Jordon Davison run for 6 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+19
99.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 19 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 49 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 5 yds to the ORST 30Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Malachi DurantSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+19
99.9%
AJ Winsor punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 40 , Dakorien Moore returns for 19 yds to the ORE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 9 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
99.9%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante pass incomplete short left to Moore,Dakorien thrown to OSU35 QB hurried by Saez,Zakaih PENALTY ORE Holding (World,Isaiah) 10 yards from OSU47 to ORE43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 3 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 17
OWN 46
-10
99.9%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante pass complete short right to Bryant Jr.,Gary caught at OSU42, for 19 yards to the OSU35 (Tucker,Jalil; Thomas,Skyler) PENALTY ORE Illegal Block in Back (Johnson,Jamari) 10 yards from ORE46 to ORE36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 27
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 27
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Jay Harris run for 9 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
99.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
99.9%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 7 yds to the ORST 11Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+15
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 15 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
Gabarri Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 28 Gabarri Johnson fumbled, recovered by ORE Bear AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the ORST 23Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+20
99.9%
Dante Moore pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 20 yds to the ORST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ORST 3Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 5Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kyler KasperSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
PENALTY ORE Delay Of Game (Moore,Dante) 5 yards from OSU05 to OSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
99.9%
Atticus Sappington 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Cornell Hatcher Jr. run for no gain to the ORST 25Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Cornell Hatcher Jr.Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass incomplete to Trent WalkerSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
AJ Winsor punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 1 yd to the ORE 23Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+19
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 19 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 4 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 2 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 5 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
100.0%
B. Thomas takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:18
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 13 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 0:21
Jordon Davison run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 5:40
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 23 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com