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TOW

Towson 17 at Maryland 44

MD
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadTOW aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreTOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:02 · Andrew Indorf pass complete to CJ Schaeffer for 9 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+20.4Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+28.1Blowout margin+14.6Garbage-time factor+10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:11: DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +0.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:14: Malik Washington run for 2 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:24: Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 32 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:45: Nolan Ray run for 5 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:51: Andrew Indorf pass intercepted La'khi Roland return for 100 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 10TOW made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:25TOW 4th & 9 at TOW 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:43MD 4th & 6 at TOW 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:29TOW 4th & 7 at TOW 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:38TOW 4th & 3 at TOW 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:38TOW 4th & 3 at TOW 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49TOW 4th & 17 at TOW 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:28TOW 4th & 1 at MD 12, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:13MD 4th & 1 at TOW 42, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MD 4th & 6 at TOW 21, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:50TOW 4th & 1 at TOW 34, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:48MD 4th & 6 at MD 49, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:48MD 4th & 6 at MD 49, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:29MD 4th & 1 at MD 32, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:02TOW 4th & 1 at TOW 45, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:16TOW 4th & 12 at MD 48, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:14MD 4th & 3 at MD 27, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:52TOW 4th & 5 at TOW 26, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:27MD 4th & 5 at TOW 10, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:00MD 4th & 14 at MD 19, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:13TOW 4th & 7 at MD 11, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:00MD 4th & 2 at TOW 40, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TOW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:11MD Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:14MD Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:24MD Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:45MD Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:51MD Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:42TOW Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:11TOW Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:303% → 3%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
96.9%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to Jaceon DossSimilar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
96.8%
Al Wooten II run for no gain to the TOW 2Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+1
96.8%
Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the TOW 3Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 9
OWN 3
+5
96.7%
Bryce LaFollette punt for 35 yds , Josiah McLaurin returns for 5 yds to the TOW 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:3597% → 96%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
96.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 10 yds to the TOW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
96.6%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the TOW 20Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
96.5%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the TOW 19Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
96.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Nolan RaySimilar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
96.4%
Sean O'Haire 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:074% → 4%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 1 yd to the TOW 26Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to John DunmoreSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
96.3%
Kemarrion Battles run for 2 yds to the TOW 28Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.2%
Bryce LaFollette punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josiah McLaurin at the MD 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:1296% → 96%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
96.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 7 yds to the MD 34Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+11
96.1%
DeJuan Williams run for 11 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for no gain to the MD 45Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+53
95.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 53 yds to the TOW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.2%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:244% → 4%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Kahseim Phillips run for 1 yd to the TOW 26Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
95.9%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Kahseim Phillips for 6 yds to the TOW 32Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to Zay PerkinsSimilar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
95.9%
Bryce LaFollette punt for 35 yds , Jalil Farooq returns for 2 yds to the MD 35Similar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
95.9%
Bryce LaFollette punt for 36 yds , Jalil Farooq returns for 3 yds to the MD 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:1196% → 97%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
95.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 18 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
95.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Ryan Manning for 13 yds to the TOW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
96.0%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the TOW 45Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
95.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to AJ Szymanski for 5 yds to the TOW 40Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
95.8%
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the TOW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
95.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 33 yds to the TOW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Malik Washington run for 2 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:214% → 3%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.5%
Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the TOW 28Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
96.5%
Kemarrion Battles run for 6 yds to the TOW 34Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.4%
Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the TOW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.4%
Al Wooten II run for no gain to the TOW 36Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
96.3%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Al Wooten II for 2 yds to the TOW 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-9
96.5%
Andrew Indorf sacked by Zahir Mathis for a loss of 9 yards to the TOW 29Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+5
96.6%
Bryce LaFollette punt for 49 yds , Jalil Farooq returns for 5 yds to the MD 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:1897% → 98%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
96.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 6 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+8
96.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 8 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
96.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 5 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+22
96.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 22 yds to the TOW 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
97.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 32 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.6%
Kahseim Phillips run for 7 yds to the TOW 25 Kahseim Phillips fumbled, recovered by MD Messiah DelhommeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:3998% → 99%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
97.9%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the TOW 23Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
97.9%
Malik Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+18
97.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 18 yds to the TOW 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.6%
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 59 yds · 4:072% → 2%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.0%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Kemarrion Battles for 4 yds to the TOW 33Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+15
97.5%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Jarvis Jones for 15 yds to the TOW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to John DunmoreSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-8
97.9%
Andrew Indorf sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TOW 40Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+15
98.8%
Maryland Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Carlton Smith) to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Andrew Indorf pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
98.8%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Al Wooten II for 12 yds to the MD 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.7%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to Lukkas LondonoSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
98.8%
Andrew Indorf run for 11 yds to the MD 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
98.7%
Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the MD 17Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
98.7%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Wooten II,Al rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMD15 (Holmes,DD) PENALTY UMD Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UMD17 to UMD12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
98.7%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to John DunmoreSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
98.7%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to John DunmoreSimilar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 1
OPP 12
0
98.3%
Kemarrion Battles run for no gain to the MD 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12FG
19 plays · 67 yds · 6:2199% → 99%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.1%
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the MD 12Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
99.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to Ryan Manning for 8 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
(05:23) Shotgun Washington,Malik pass incomplete short left to Webb,Kaleb thrown to UMD27, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TOW Pass Interference (Brown,Zakaa) 6 yards from UMD20 to UMD26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.3%
DeJuan Williams run for 7 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
99.3%
DeJuan Williams run for 5 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the MD 39Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
99.4%
Malik Washington run for 10 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 6 yds to the TOW 45Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+1
99.5%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the TOW 44Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+2
99.4%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the TOW 42Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+17
99.4%
Malik Washington run for 17 yds to the TOW 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.4%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the TOW 23Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
99.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 7 yds to the TOW 16Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-5
99.4%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the TOW 21Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
99.4%
Sean O'Haire 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 7 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+15
99.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 15 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.5%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MD 43Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-29
99.6%
Malik Washington pass intercepted JR Stegall return for 29 yds to the MD 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 14INT TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:581% → 0%
Q3 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.5%
Al Wooten II run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 6Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.5%
Andrew Indorf pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-100
99.6%
Andrew Indorf pass intercepted La'khi Roland return for 100 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Battles,Kemarrion rush left for 0 yards to the TOW25 (Jenkins,Bryce) PENALTY UMD Offside (Mathis,Zahir) 5 yards from TOW25 to TOW30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
Kemarrion Battles run for 2 yds to the TOW 32Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to Bryce ButlerSimilar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.7%
Kemarrion Battles run for 2 yds to the TOW 34Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Bryce LaFollette punt for 51 yds , Josiah McLaurin returns for 8 yds to the MD 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for 10 yds to the MD 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 32Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+13
99.8%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 13 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for no gain to the MD 45Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for 4 yds to the MD 49Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
99.9%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Cleveland Charlton for 38 yds to the MD 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
99.9%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Zay Perkins for 18 yds to the MD 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 19 yds for a TD (Caden Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.8%
Khristian Martin pass complete to Zymear Smith for 3 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Iverson Howard run for 3 yds to the MD 23Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+9
99.8%
Khristian Martin pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 9 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by John Dunmore at the TOW 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:520% → 0%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.9%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Sam Reynolds for 12 yds to the TOW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to Cleveland Charlton for 9 yds to the TOW 45Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to John DunmoreSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Al Wooten II run for no gain to the TOW 45Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Andrew Indorf pass complete to CJ Schaeffer for 9 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Andrew Indorf sacked by Sidney Stewart for 0 yards to the MD 46Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Andrew Indorf pass incomplete to Kemarrion BattlesSimilar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Kemarrion Battles run for 3 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-5
99.9%
(00:30) LaFollette,Bryce punt 42 yards to the UMD01 PENALTY TOW Illegal Formation 5 yards from UMD43 to UMD48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Bryce LaFollette punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Josiah McLaurin at the MD 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Khristian Martin run for 1 yd to the MD 21Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 6 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass incomplete to Josiah McLaurinSimilar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TOW 21 , John Dunmore returns for no gain to the TOW 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Kahseim Phillips run for 3 yds to the TOW 24Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Kahseim Phillips run for 2 yds to the TOW 26Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass incomplete to Zay PerkinsSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Bryce LaFollette punt blocked by Messiah Delhomme, punt out-of-bounds at the TOW 15 blocked by Messiah DelhommeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 3 yds to the TOW 12Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass complete to Iverson Howard for 2 yds to the TOW 10Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass incomplete to Jordan ScottSimilar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
99.9%
Sean O'Haire 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 23TD
2 plays · 84 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Jaceon Doss for 84 yds for a TD (Caden Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Khristian Martin pass complete to Zymear Smith for 3 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 6 yds to the MD 26Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-7
99.9%
Khristian Martin sacked by Kaden White for a loss of 7 yards to the MD 19Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Dunmore at the TOW 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 25FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.9%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Kent,Nathan pass incomplete deep right to Dunmore,John thrown to UMD40 PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Lee,Braydon) 15 yards from TOW39 to UMD46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Winston Watkins run for 3 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+14
99.9%
Nathan Kent run for 14 yds to the MD 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.9%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Kent,Nathan pass incomplete short right to Charlton,Cleveland thrown to UMD10 PENALTY UMD Pass Interference (Lee,Braydon) 15 yards from UMD29 to UMD14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Peyton Faulkner for 1 yd to the MD 13Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Kahseim Phillips run for 2 yds to the MD 11Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass incomplete to Zay PerkinsSimilar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
99.9%
Caden Williams 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26END OF GAME
12 plays · 38 yds · 6:06100% → 100%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 6 yds to the MD 31Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 5 yds to the MD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Iverson Howard run for 3 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Iverson Howard run for 3 yds to the MD 42Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+10
100.0%
Khristian Martin pass complete to Jordan Scott for 10 yds to the TOW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Iverson Howard run for 4 yds to the TOW 44Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Iverson Howard run for 5 yds to the TOW 39Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-1
100.0%
Roman Jensen run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOW 40Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Iverson Howard run for 3 yds to the TOW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:24
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 32 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 3:14
Malik Washington run for 2 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 10:45
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com