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UNM

New Mexico 35 at UCLA 10

UCLA
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 12, 2025 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:43: Jack Layne pass complete to Simon Mapa for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +5.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:59: Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 12 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +7.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:26: Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 28 yds to the UNM 31 for a 1ST down — UCLA win probability +5.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:42: Damon Bankston run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +22.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:06: Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 43 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +9.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:23UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:39UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:43UNM 4th & 2 at UCLA 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:48UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:09UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:09UNM 4th & 1 at UCLA 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−2.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−7.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:41UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:33UNM 4th & 1 at UCLA 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    48.3%−3.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−14.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:34UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:34UCLA 4th & 12 at UNM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:06UNM 4th & 1 at UCLA 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.4%−5.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−8.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:13UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:10UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:43UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:59UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:42UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:06UNM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:36UNM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:2410% → 11%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
89.7%
Jack Layne pass complete to D.J. McKinney for 20 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.5%
Michael Buckley pass incomplete to Damon BankstonSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
89.5%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian ThomasSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+2
89.5%
Jack Layne run for 2 yds to the UNM 47Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
89.3%
Daniel Hughes punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:4089% → 88%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
89.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-5
89.2%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (Armella,Julian) 5 yards from UCLA17 to UCLA12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+6
89.1%
Jaivian Thomas run for 6 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+6
88.8%
Nico Iamaleava run for 6 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
88.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 13 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
88.6%
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
88.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-3
88.3%
Jalen Berger run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
87.8%
Will Karoll punt for 38 yds , Michael Buckley returns for no gain to the UNM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 5:2012% → 17%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
87.7%
Scottre Humphrey run for 10 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
87.3%
Scottre Humphrey run for 19 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
86.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
86.7%
Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+9
86.4%
D.J. McKinney run for 9 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.0%
D.J. McKinney run for 5 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+10
85.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 10 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
85.3%
James Laubstein run for 3 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.7%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1784% → 82%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
83.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mikey MatthewsSimilar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+1
82.1%
Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
82.0%
Will Karoll punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Michael Buckley at the UNM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:1419% → 26%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
81.1%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+29
81.0%
Jack Layne pass complete to Shawn Miller for 14 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Keanu Williams) to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
80.0%
Scottre Humphrey run for 11 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
79.9%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
79.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 3 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+3
78.8%
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 3 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+8
73.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Simon Mapa for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:3275% → 79%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+32
74.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 32 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
74.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 12 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
74.5%
(11:39) PENALTY UCLA False Start (Gilmer,Kwazi) 5 yards from UNM34 to UNM39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
73.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for no gain to the UNM 39Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+15
72.4%
New Mexico Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Jon Johnson) to the UNM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
73.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 9 yds to the UNM 8Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+1
72.0%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the UNM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
71.5%
PENALTY UCLA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UNM07 to UNM12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
78.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 12 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:0524% → 25%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.8%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
74.1%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
74.5%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Zhaiel SmithSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
75.3%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Combs,Tavian) 5 yards from UNM28 to UNM23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
75.2%
Daniel Hughes punt for 57 yds , Mikey Matthews returns for 2 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3374% → 71%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
74.3%
Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+9
73.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 9 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
73.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
73.2%
Jaivian Thomas run for 7 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+1
72.4%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
71.3%
Will Karoll punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:5129% → 36%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
71.0%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the UNM 25Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+20
70.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 20 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+43
67.9%
Damon Bankston run for 43 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
65.4%
Damon Bankston run for 4 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
63.9%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+2
63.2%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
64.4%
Jack Layne run for no gain to the UCLA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10END OF HALF
12 plays · 77 yds · 1:0168% → 67%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
67.7%
Anthony Woods run for no gain to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+9
67.0%
Anthony Woods run for 9 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+9
64.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 9 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
65.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 5 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+20
65.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 20 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
66.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 6 yds to the UNM 48Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-5
67.9%
(00:01) PENALTY UCLA False Start (Brooks,Eugene) 5 yards from UNM48 to UCLA47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+33
67.2%
Anthony Woods run for 33 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1666% → 64%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
66.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
66.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Jaivian ThomasSimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
64.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q3 14:41
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
64.0%
Will Karoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Michael Buckley at the UNM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12FUMBLE
13 plays · 59 yds · 7:0338% → 47%
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
61.7%
Damon Bankston run for 7 yds to the UNM 45Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
60.6%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the UNM 47Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-4
60.0%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Mukwiza,Israel) 4 yards from UNM47 to UNM43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+15
59.7%
(13:00) Shotgun Layne,Jack rush middle for 0 yards to the UNM43 (Aupiu,Devin) PENALTY UCLA Face Mask (Aupiu,Devin) 15 yards from UNM43 to UCLA42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
58.0%
D.J. McKinney run for 6 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
56.9%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+4
56.8%
D.J. McKinney run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
55.1%
Jack Layne pass complete to Zhaiel Smith for 15 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
54.2%
Jack Layne pass complete to Cade Keith for no gain to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
53.3%
D.J. McKinney run for 7 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
53.2%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
52.8%
Deshaun Buchanan run for 2 yds to the UCLA 3 Deshaun Buchanan fumbled, recovered by UNM Devin AupiuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5157% → 54%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
57.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
56.8%
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
54.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Anthony WoodsSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+35
54.0%
Will Karoll punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:5259% → 59%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+28
59.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 28 yds to the UNM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
62.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 6 yds to the UNM 25Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-2
62.2%
Jaivian Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 27Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-5
59.3%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 5 yards from UNM27 to UNM32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 11
OPP 32
-5
57.5%
(04:41) PENALTY UCLA False Start (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 5 yards from UNM32 to UNM37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 16
OPP 37
+4
55.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 12
OPP 33
+51
58.9%
Mateen Bhaghani 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:4445% → 83%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.2%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Zhaiel SmithSimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
56.0%
D.J. McKinney run for 11 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
52.2%
Damon Bankston run for 5 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+20
49.9%
Damon Bankston run for 20 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
47.7%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
45.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Deshaun Buchanan for 5 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
45.9%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
47.1%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
42.9%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+11
41.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 11 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
40.1%
D.J. McKinney run for 9 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+4
39.2%
Damon Bankston run for 4 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.1%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:2221% → 20%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
21.7%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (Gilmer,Kwazi) 5 yards from UCLA36 to UCLA31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
20.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
20.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mikey MatthewsSimilar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+11
18.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for 11 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
19.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:5785% → 97%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
15.0%
D.J. McKinney run for 4 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
13.5%
D.J. McKinney run for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-5
13.3%
(07:47) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass complete short left to Buckley,Michael caught at UCLA34, for 4 yards to the UCLA34, out of bounds at UCLA34 PENALTY UNM Illegal Motion (Pearce,Richard) 5 yards from UCLA38 to UCLA43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+43
3.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 43 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18INT
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:575% → 3%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
5.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
5.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for 3 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
4.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for 6 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
4.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 2 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
3.5%
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
3.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 11 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
3.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 8 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
3.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for no gain to the UNM 34Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-11
3.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass intercepted Tavian Combs return for 11 yds to the UNM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:1698% → 100%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
2.0%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the UNM 27Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+54
2.0%
Damon Bankston run for 54 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
1.4%
Damon Bankston run for 4 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
1.3%
D.J. McKinney run for 4 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+4
1.0%
D.J. McKinney run for 4 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
0.9%
D.J. McKinney run for 4 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Anthony Woods run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
0.2%
Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:42
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-22.1
TD · Q4 7:06
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 43 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q2 8:59
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 12 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com