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USC

USC 33 at Purdue 17

PUR
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · J. Maiava takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:18: Waymond Jordan run for 6 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:47: Ryan Browne 26 Yd Run (Spencer Porath Kick) — PUR win probability +7.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:01: Ryon Sayeri 48 yd FG GOOD — USC win probability +2.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:15: Jamaal Jarrett 70 Yd Interception Return (Ryon Sayeri Kick) — USC win probability +11.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:17: Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK) — PUR win probability +11.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:41PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:39PUR 4th & 21 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:39USC 4th & 7 at PUR 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:49PUR 4th & 11 at USC 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:20USC 4th & 4 at PUR 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:59USC 4th & 1 at PUR 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−1.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:08PUR 4th & 19 at PUR 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:08PUR 4th & 19 at PUR 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:15USC 4th & 8 at PUR 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:23USC 4th & 2 at PUR 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−1.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:01USC 4th & 12 at PUR 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:08USC 4th & 3 at PUR 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:24USC 4th & 3 at PUR 19, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:10USC 4th & 2 at PUR 2, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:35PUR 4th & 25 at PUR 10, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:54USC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:18USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:47PUR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:15USC Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:17PUR Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:118% → 9%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.7%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
7.8%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
7.9%
Ryan Browne run for 9 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+10
8.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
8.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to George Burhenn for 17 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
8.5%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 40Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-10
8.7%
Ryan Browne sacked by Christian Pierce for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 21
50
0
8.8%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 21
50
0
8.8%
Jack McCallister punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Makai Lemon at the USC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 2FG
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:5091% → 90%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
8.9%
Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
9.0%
Waymond Jordan run for no gain to the USC 13Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+44
9.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 59 yds to the PUR 28 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Sideline Inteference (Kameryn Fountain) to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
9.2%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass incomplete deep middle to Lane,Ja'Kobi thrown to PUR05 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Ra-El,Tahj) 15 yards from PUR43 to PUR28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
9.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 21 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
9.4%
Waymond Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 8Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
9.6%
Jayden Maiava run for 5 yds to the PUR 3Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+4
9.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Waymond Jordan for 4 yds to the PUR 7Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
10.1%
Ryon Sayeri 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3INT
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:3610% → 12%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
10.1%
Ryan Browne sacked by Eric Gentry for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 20Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
10.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 17 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
10.6%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Arhmad Branch for 15 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
11.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for 18 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
11.4%
Ryan Browne pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for 21 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
11.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the USC 7Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
11.9%
Malachi Singleton run for 4 yds to the USC 3Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
12.0%
Ryan Browne pass intercepted, touchback. Bishop Fitzgerald return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5388% → 90%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
11.8%
Waymond Jordan run for 2 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
12.0%
Waymond Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 20Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+25
12.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Tanook Hines for 25 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
11.9%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+20
12.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 20 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
11.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi LaneSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
12.1%
USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PUR 30Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+26
12.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 26 yds to the PUR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
12.1%
Waymond Jordan run for 1 yd to the PUR 3Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.3%
Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 3:5010% → 13%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
10.4%
Ryan Browne run for 4 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
10.4%
Ryan Browne run for 5 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-2
10.5%
Antonio Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 29Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+15
10.4%
(13:04) McCallister,Jack punt 40 yards to the USC31 fair catch by Lemon,Makai at USC31 PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Matthews,Walter) 15 yards from PUR29 to PUR44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
11.0%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Devin MockobeeSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
10.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 4
50
+14
11.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 14 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
11.3%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass incomplete short right to Smith,Corey thrown to USC26 PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Thompkins,Devan) 15 yards from USC36 to USC21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
11.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
12.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Jesse WatsonSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-6
11.8%
Ryan Browne sacked by Eric Gentry for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 22 Ryan Browne fumbled, recovered by PUR , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
12.8%
Spencer Porath 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:2288% → 91%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.4%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
12.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 14 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
11.9%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
50
0
11.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Makai LemonSimilar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 5
50
+1
12.1%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the PUR 49Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+12
12.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 12 yds to the PUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
11.6%
King Miller run for 9 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+11
11.5%
Jayden Maiava run for 11 yds to the PUR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
11.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to King Miller for 7 yds to the PUR 10Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-5
11.8%
PENALTY USC False Start (O'Connor,Kilian) 5 yards from PUR10 to PUR15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+1
11.9%
King Miller run for 1 yd to the PUR 14Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+6
12.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 6 yds to the PUR 8Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+2
13.2%
Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
8.7%
Waymond Jordan run for 6 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 11 yds · 2:017% → 8%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
7.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
7.6%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass complete short right to Mockobee,Devin caught at PUR33, for 5 yards to the PUR37 (Lucas,Anthony) PENALTY PUR Holding (Coly,Bakyne) 10 yards from PUR32 to PUR22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
7.2%
USC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jahkeem Stewart) to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
7.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to George Burhenn for 8 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
7.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 3 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
7.9%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
7.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to George Burhenn for no gain to the PUR 45Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-9
7.7%
Ryan Browne sacked by Floyd Boucard for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 36Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 19
OWN 36
+2
7.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 54 yds , Makai Lemon returns for 2 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 19
OWN 36
+2
7.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 54 yds , Makai Lemon returns for 2 yds to the USC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0192% → 93%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
8.3%
Jayden Maiava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
8.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Tanook Hines for 2 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+20
7.8%
Eli Sanders run for 20 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-9
7.1%
Jayden Maiava sacked by Demeco Kennedy for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:3190% → 92%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
9.7%
Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+15
9.7%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass incomplete deep right to Lemon,Makai thrown to PUR45 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (Grimes,Tony) 15 yards from USC21 to USC36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
9.5%
Waymond Jordan run for 1 yd to the USC 37Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
9.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Lake McReeSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+42
9.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 42 yds to the PUR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
8.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 2 yds to the PUR 19Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
8.6%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Makai LemonSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
8.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Waymond JordanSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
7.9%
Ryon Sayeri 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:078% → 17%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
8.4%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Arhmad Branch for 20 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
9.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 4 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-4
9.2%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 45Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+13
8.5%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 13 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
9.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to George Burhenn for 1 yd to the USC 41Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
9.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Arhmad BranchSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+15
9.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Antonio Harris for 15 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
16.8%
Ryan Browne 26 Yd Run (Spencer Porath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:3185% → 90%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
14.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 29 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
13.8%
Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
13.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Makai LemonSimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+6
13.8%
Eli Sanders run for 6 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+9
13.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 9 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
12.5%
Waymond Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 31Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
12.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Walker LyonsSimilar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 12
OPP 31
0
12.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi LaneSimilar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+48
9.7%
Ryon Sayeri 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12INT TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:3512% → 2%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 30Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
12.5%
Ryan Browne pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for 11 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
12.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the PUR 47Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
13.4%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to EJ Horton Jr.Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+33
12.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 33 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.2%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the USC 20Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-70
4.0%
Jamaal Jarrett 70 Yd Interception Return (Ryon Sayeri Kick)Similar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
2.1%
PENALTY USC Sideline Inteference 15 yards from USC35 to USC20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:433% → 15%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
3.2%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 34Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+2
3.0%
Jaheim Merriweather run for 2 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+20
3.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Jesse Watson for 20 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kameryn Fountain) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
3.3%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
3.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 4 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+31
3.1%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 31 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.4%
Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the USC 9Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.6%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:3891% → 95%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
8.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 9 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
8.5%
Waymond Jordan run for 15 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
6.5%
Waymond Jordan run for 7 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
6.2%
Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
5.8%
King Miller run for 6 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+1
5.4%
King Miller run for 1 yd to the PUR 33Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
5.3%
USC Penalty, Illegal Formation (Kameryn Fountain) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+7
6.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 7 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
5.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Tanook HinesSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-4
5.1%
Jayden Maiava run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 30Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+11
5.5%
Waymond Jordan run for 11 yds to the PUR 19Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
5.5%
Ryon Sayeri 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15INT
11 plays · 66 yds · 2:418% → 11%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.0%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
7.8%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 22 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
9.1%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to EJ Horton Jr.Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
8.4%
Ryan Browne pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for 7 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+13
9.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to EJ Horton Jr. for 13 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
9.6%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 6 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
12.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Michael Jackson III for no gain to the USC 32Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+5
9.9%
(06:11) Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass incomplete short middle to Jackson III,Michael thrown to USC20 broken up by Pierce,Christian PENALTY USC Offside (Shelby,Braylan) 5 yards from USC32 to USC27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
11.3%
(06:07) Shotgun Browne,Ryan pass intercepted by Williams,Marcelles at USC05 Williams,Marcelles return 35 yards to the USC40 (Tuggle,Nitro) PENALTY USC Offside declined USC Roughing The Passer (Lucas,Anthony) 13 yards from USC27 to USC14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
11.2%
Ryan Browne pass incomplete to Michael Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-33
11.3%
Ryan Browne pass intercepted Bishop Fitzgerald return for 33 yds to the USC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:1695% → 99%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
4.6%
Waymond Jordan run for 10 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
4.0%
Waymond Jordan run for 11 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
3.7%
Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST down Purdue Penalty, Personal Foul (Tahj Ra-El) to the PUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
3.2%
Eli Sanders run for 15 yds to the PUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
2.8%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the PUR 5Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
2.8%
Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the PUR 2Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.0%
Waymond Jordan run for no gain to the PUR 2Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
0.8%
Ryon Sayeri 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -15 yds · 0:272% → 2%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
1.9%
Ryan Browne sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 18Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-3
1.9%
Ryan Browne run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 15Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
1.9%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 20
OWN 15
-5
1.9%
PENALTY PUR False Start 5 yards from PUR15 to PUR10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
1.8%
punt for 68 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
1.0%
J. Maiava takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:15
Jamaal Jarrett 70 Yd Interception Return (Ryon Sayeri Kick)
-11.2
TD · Q4 14:17
Ryan Browne pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 8:47
Ryan Browne 26 Yd Run (Spencer Porath Kick)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com