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Oregon 34 at Northwestern 14

NU
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · L. Moga takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:18: Jayden Limar run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +1.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:28: Timeout Northwestern, clock 09:28 — ORE win probability +1.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:31: Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +8.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:44: Dierre Hill Jr. run for 66 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:56: Jordon Davison run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:22ORE 4th & 9 at NU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:36NU 4th & 1 at NU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:31NU 4th & 14 at NU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:28ORE 4th & 7 at NU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:51NU 4th & 23 at NU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:56NU 4th & 9 at ORE 34, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:52NU 4th & 7 at NU 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:51NU 4th & 1 at NU 13, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:27ORE 4th & 5 at NU 7, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:20NU 4th & 1 at ORE 1, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:01ORE 4th & 9 at NU 47, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:18ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:31ORE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:44ORE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:56ORE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:20NU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:48NU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:3195% → 94%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.8%
Jayden Limar run for 7 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
5.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jayden Limar for 2 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
5.1%
Jordon Davison run for 5 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
5.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
50
0
5.4%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien MooreSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
50
+1
5.4%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the NU 49Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
5.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jordon Davison for no gain to the NU 49Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
5.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2INT
14 plays · 38 yds · 6:146% → 8%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
5.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+4
6.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
6.3%
Preston Stone run for no gain to the NU 22Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
6.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 8 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
6.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the NU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
6.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 38Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
7.3%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin WildeSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+5
7.2%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
7.5%
Lawson Albright run for 3 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
8.0%
Frank Covey IV pass incomplete to Joseph Himon IISimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
7.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 7 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
8.3%
(05:15) Shotgun Himon II,Joseph rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UO46 (Gray,Tionne; Alexander,Bear) PENALTY NU Illegal Formation 5 yards from UO47 to NU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-31
8.2%
Preston Stone pass intercepted Bryce Boettcher return for 31 yds to the NU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1892% → 93%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
7.7%
Luke Moga run for 2 yds to the NU 21Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+12
7.9%
Jayden Limar run for 12 yds to the NU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
8.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 7 yds to the NU 2Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
8.3%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the NU 1Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.1%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:308% → 8%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
7.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
7.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 6 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 14
OWN 41
0
7.6%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Carson GroveSimilar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
7.6%
Luke Akers punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 5:3292% → 91%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for no gain to the ORE 20Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
8.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Cooper Perry for 8 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
8.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
8.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 11 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
8.2%
Jay Harris run for 2 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+16
8.3%
Jay Harris run for 16 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
8.3%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
8.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 11 yds to the NU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
8.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Cooper Perry for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 28Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+4
8.6%
Jayden Limar run for 4 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
8.8%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien MooreSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
8.9%
Atticus Sappington 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 4:298% → 8%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
7.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 7 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
8.0%
PENALTY NU False Start (Beerntsen,Evan) 5 yards from NU32 to NU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
7.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 9 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
8.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 12 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-18
8.6%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 18 yards to the NU 30 Preston Stone fumbled, recovered by NU Preston StoneSimilar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 28
OWN 30
+9
8.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 9 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 19
OWN 39
-4
8.3%
Preston Stone sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 35Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 23
OWN 35
0
8.2%
Luke Akers punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 4:1089% → 96%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
11.4%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the ORE 12Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-1
12.5%
Jayden Limar run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 11Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+20
12.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 20 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
12.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 12 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
13.4%
Jordon Davison run for 1 yd to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
15.5%
Dante Moore run for 1 yd to the ORE 45Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+20
15.8%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 20 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
15.0%
Jayden Limar run for 7 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
14.6%
Jayden Limar run for no gain to the NU 28Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
15.6%
Dante Moore run for 4 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
3.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
5.9%
P. Stone takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 6:547% → 8%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
6.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
6.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
7.2%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Frank Covey IVSimilar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
7.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+8
7.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
7.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 7 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
7.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 7 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
7.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 7 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
8.0%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the ORE 26Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-8
7.9%
Preston Stone sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 34Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
7.5%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Ricky AhumaraezeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
2.0%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 66 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:182% → 2%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+31
2.2%
Preston Stone pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 31 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
2.3%
Preston Stone run for 6 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
2.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
2.4%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Joseph Himon IISimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-36
2.4%
Preston Stone pass intercepted Jerry Mixon return for 36 yds to the NU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0798% → 100%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
1.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 17 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
1.5%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+9
1.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 9 yds to the NU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
1.4%
(03:05) Shotgun Moore,Dante pass incomplete short right to Kasper,Kyler thrown to NU00 PENALTY NU Pass Interference (Davis II,Fred) 2 yards from NU04 to NU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.4%
Jordon Davison run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Lawson AlbrightSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Griffin WildeSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
0.2%
Luke Akers punt for 53 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 9 yds to the ORE 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14INT
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
0.5%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 27Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+27
0.4%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 27 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
0.4%
Jay Harris run for 7 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
0.3%
Dante Moore pass intercepted Mac Uihlein return for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
0.2%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the NU 8Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+5
0.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 5 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 13
0
0.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the NU 13Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 1
OWN 13
-1
0.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
0.3%
Luke Moga pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 5 yds to the NU 7Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
0.3%
Jordon Davison run for no gain to the NU 7Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
0.2%
Luke Moga pass incomplete to Kyler KasperSimilar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
0.2%
Atticus Sappington 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.1%
Preston Stone run for 10 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
0.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 8 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
0.1%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+40
0.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Drew Wagner for 40 yds to the ORE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
0.1%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 5 yards to the ORE 14Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Preston Stone pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+13
0.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 13 yds to the ORE 1Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
0.1%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 13 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.1%
Brock Thomas pass complete to Malik Benson for 3 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for no gain to the ORE 41Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
0.1%
Brock Thomas pass complete to Kyler Kasper for 11 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.1%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 1 yd to the NU 47Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Brock Thomas pass incomplete to Cooper PerrySimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Brock Thomas pass incomplete to Jamari JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
0.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Drew Wagner at the NU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
0.0%
Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the NU 14Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+7
0.0%
Preston Stone pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 7 yds to the NU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
0.2%
Dashun Reeder run for 79 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
0.4%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 17 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Fred Davis II) to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
0.3%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-2
0.3%
L. Moga takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 24 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-8.5
TD · Q3 7:44
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 66 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q1 2:18
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com