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WMU

Western Michigan 0 at Illinois 38

ILL
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · E. Hampton takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:31: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:59: Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:35: Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the ILL 21 — ILL win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:48: Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds for a TD Western Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Talique Williams) declined (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:06: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ashton Hollins for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 8:47ILL 4th & 10 at WMU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:23WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:18ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:24WMU 4th & 11 at WMU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:29WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:35ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:05WMU 4th & 13 at ILL 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:51ILL 4th & 7 at ILL 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00WMU 4th & 1 at ILL 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:00WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42WMU 4th & 5 at ILL 44, down 17
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:14WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:14WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:39WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:02ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 33, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:39WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:10WMU 4th & 7 at ILL 42, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 13:31ILL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:59ILL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:48ILL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:06ILL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:15ILL Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:0896% → 95%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the ILL 27Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Collin DixonSimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
96.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Justin Bowick for 13 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
96.2%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete deep left to Bowick,Justin thrown to WMU30 PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Wofford,Aaron) 15 yards from ILL40 to WMU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
96.2%
Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
96.1%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for no gain to the WMU 40Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+9
96.0%
Kaden Feagin run for 9 yds to the WMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for no gain to the WMU 31Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
95.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 9 yds to the WMU 22Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+1
95.7%
Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the WMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
95.6%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 12 yds to the WMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hudson ClementSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
95.5%
Kaden Feagin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 10Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.3%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
95.3%
David Olano 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:175% → 5%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Brady Jones pass incomplete to Devin MilesSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.3%
Jalen Buckley run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 23Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
95.2%
Brady Jones pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 12 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.1%
Devin Miles run for 4 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
94.8%
Devin Miles run for 4 yds to the WMU 43Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
94.7%
Devin Miles run for 1 yd to the WMU 44Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+12
94.6%
Ryan Millmore punt for 39 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 12 yds to the ILL 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5695% → 94%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
94.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 6 yds to the ILL 35Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
94.5%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 3 yds to the ILL 38Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-2
94.4%
Kaden Feagin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 36Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
94.0%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:316% → 6%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
94.1%
Brady Jones pass complete to Devin Miles for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 23Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
94.0%
Brady Jones pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
94.1%
Brady Jones pass incomplete to Terence MarshallSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
94.1%
Ryan Millmore punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:3494% → 95%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
93.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for 9 yds to the ILL 41Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.7%
Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the ILL 36Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+15
93.5%
(01:26) Shotgun Altmyer,Luke sacked for loss of 11 yards to the ILL25 (Franklin,Josh) PENALTY WMU Horse Collar Tackle (Franklin,Josh) 15 yards from ILL36 to WMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
93.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tanner ArkinSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
93.7%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 9 yds to the WMU 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
93.5%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 6 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.6%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Collin DixonSimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+25
93.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Malik Elzy for 25 yds to the WMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
93.4%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the WMU 6Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:566% → 6%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.2%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WMU 28Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
94.1%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
93.9%
Jalen Buckley run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 33Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
93.8%
Ryan Millmore punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5194% → 93%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Malik ElzySimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
93.8%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 4 yds to the ILL 28Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
93.6%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Malik ElzySimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
93.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 5:246% → 7%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.7%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Terence MarshallSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
93.7%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Blake Bosma for 8 yds to the WMU 37Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+7
93.4%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Michael Brescia for 7 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
93.2%
Ofa Mataele run for 4 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
93.0%
Ofa Mataele run for 4 yds to the ILL 48Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+7
92.9%
Broc Lowry run for 7 yds to the ILL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
92.7%
Broc Lowry run for 16 yds to the ILL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
92.2%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Lowry,Broc pass complete short left to Cabana,Cole caught at ILL30, for 3 yards to the ILL22 (Scott,Miles), out of bounds PENALTY WMU Holding (Dieudonne,Malique) 10 yards from ILL25 to ILL35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+3
92.4%
Ofa Mataele run for 3 yds to the ILL 32Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 17
OPP 32
0
92.5%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Talique WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+4
92.9%
Broc Lowry run for 4 yds to the ILL 28Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+46
93.2%
Palmer Domschke 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1493% → 92%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
93.1%
(05:05) PENALTY ILL False Start (Priestly,Melvin) 5 yards from ILL28 to ILL23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 15
OWN 23
-8
92.9%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Jarvarius Sims for a loss of 8 yards to the ILL 15Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 23
OWN 15
+3
92.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 3 yds to the ILL 18Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 20
OWN 18
+13
92.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for 13 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
92.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 50 yds , Keivin Boone-Nelson II returns for no gain to the WMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10DOWNS
17 plays · 80 yds · 2:457% → 8%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
92.7%
Devin Miles run for 3 yds to the WMU 22Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+10
92.6%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 10 yds to the WMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.1%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Baylin BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
92.2%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 15 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
91.4%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Aveion Chenault for 9 yds to the ILL 44Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+15
91.0%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Lowry,Broc pass incomplete deep left to Chenault,Aveion thrown to ILL20 PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Cox Jr.,Torrie) 15 yards from ILL44 to ILL29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
90.4%
Michael Brescia sacked by Pat Farrell for a loss of 5 yards to the ILL 34Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+13
91.2%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 13 yds to the ILL 21Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+11
90.9%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Lowry,Broc pass incomplete short right to Marshall,Terence thrown to ILL08 PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Patterson,Kaleb) 11 yard from ILL21 to ILL10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
90.4%
Ofa Mataele run for 3 yds to the ILL 7Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
91.0%
Broc Lowry run for 6 yds to the ILL 1Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.6%
Devin Miles run for no gain to the ILL 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.9%
Michael Brescia run for no gain to the ILL 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:558% → 7%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 25Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.1%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Baylin Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 24Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
92.8%
Broc Lowry sacked by Leon Lowery Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 22Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
93.0%
Ryan Millmore punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:5793% → 97%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
93.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the ILL 48Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+24
92.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 24 yds to the WMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
93.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 15 yds to the WMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
93.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 10 yds to the WMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.8%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:014% → 5%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.8%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Blake Bosma for 10 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the WMU 42Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
95.4%
Broc Lowry run for 9 yds to the ILL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
95.3%
Broc Lowry run for no gain to the ILL 49Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
95.5%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Christian Leary for 5 yds to the ILL 44Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
95.4%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Christian LearySimilar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
95.5%
Ryan Millmore punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:4797% → 99%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
96.8%
Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the ILL 21Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+22
96.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for 22 yds to the ILL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
97.0%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 9 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+10
97.1%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 10 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
97.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hudson Clement for 9 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
97.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 5 yds to the WMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
97.1%
Luke Altmyer sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 25Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+8
97.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 8 yds to the WMU 17Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+4
97.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the WMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
97.2%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete short left to Elzy,Malik thrown to WMU00 PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Sims,Jarvarius) 11 yard from WMU13 to WMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds for a TD Western Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Talique Williams) declined (David Olano KICK)Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.9%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Al-Garawi,Mustafi) 2 yards from WMU03 to WMU01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.7%
Brady Jones pass incomplete to Aveion ChenaultSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
98.8%
Brady Jones pass complete to Ofa Mataele for 2 yds to the WMU 15Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-5
98.9%
Brady Jones sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 10Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
98.9%
Ryan Millmore punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 47Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 13
OWN 10
0
98.9%
Ryan Millmore punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the ILL 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:0399% → 100%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.0%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the ILL 49Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
99.0%
Luke Altmyer run for 6 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
99.0%
Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+35
99.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ashton Hollins for 35 yds to the WMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ashton Hollins for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Ofa Mataele run for 4 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Ofa Mataele run for 3 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Brady Jones pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Ryan Millmore punt for 47 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 7 yds to the ILL 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Cole Rusk for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 27Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 6 yds to the ILL 33Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Ashton HollinsSimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Keivin Boone-Nelson II at the WMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.9%
Cole Cabana run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 13Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Broc Lowry pass complete to Cole Cabana for 2 yds to the WMU 15Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Aveion ChenaultSimilar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Ryan Millmore punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 4:18100% → 100%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 7 yds to the WMU 35Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-10
99.9%
Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WMU 42Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+26
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 26 yds to the WMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 8 yds to the WMU 8Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 2
OPP 8
-5
99.9%
(06:58) Feagin,Kaden rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:55 PENALTY ILL Illegal Formation 5 yards from WMU08 to WMU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the WMU 10Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+8
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 8 yds to the WMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:510% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
100.0%
Ofa Mataele run for 21 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Ofa Mataele run for 4 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+10
100.0%
Tre' Hartwell run for 10 yds to the ILL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
Tre' Hartwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 46Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Tre' Hartwell run for 1 yd to the ILL 45Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Cole Cabana run for 3 yds to the ILL 42Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Broc Lowry pass incomplete to Tre' HartwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
E. Hampton takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:59
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q3 2:48
Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds for a TD Western Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Talique Williams) declined (David Olano KICK)
+1.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:35
Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the ILL 21
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com