Try the model
HCU

Houston Christian 7 at Nebraska 59

NEB
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadHCU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreHCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:50 · Vincent Genatone run for 1 yd to the HCU 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+8.3Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+30.9Blowout margin+17.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.0Garbage-time factor+13.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:12: Kyle Cunanan 24 yd FG GOOD — HCU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:14: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — HCU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:14: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 39 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:34: Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — NEB win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 9:38: Williams Nwaneri 0 Yd Fumble Return (Kyle Cunanan Kick) — NEB win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:12NEB 4th & 6 at HCU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01HCU 4th & 8 at HCU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:04HCU 4th & 8 at HCU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:16HCU 4th & 11 at HCU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:40HCU 4th & 5 at HCU 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:19HCU 4th & 4 at HCU 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00HCU 4th & 1 at HCU 45, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00HCU 4th & 1 at NEB 43, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:36HCU 4th & 15 at NEB 47, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:18NEB 4th & 2 at HCU 2, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:50HCU 4th & 2 at HCU 9, down 52
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:50NEB 4th & 1 at HCU 21, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 8HCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:14NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:14NEB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:34NEB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:38NEB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:52NEB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:19NEB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:34HCU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:01NEB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:14NEB Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 14:55100% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the HCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
99.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 40 yds to the HCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the HCU 6Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Heinrich HaarbergSimilar
Q1 11:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.6%
Kyle Cunanan 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
98.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
98.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the HCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
98.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 40 yds to the HCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
98.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the HCU 6Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Heinrich HaarbergSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:060% → 1%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.6%
Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the HCU 11Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 11
-6
99.6%
Jake Weir sacked by Marques Watson-Trent for a loss of 6 yards to the HCU 5Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 14
OWN 5
+6
99.6%
Darryle Evans run for 6 yds to the HCU 11Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 8
OWN 11
0
99.5%
Brady Young punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:47100% → 99%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 4 yds to the HCU 41Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Luke LindenmeyerSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+9
99.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 9 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.5%
Kwinten Ives run for 3 yds to the HCU 29Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+15
99.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Kwinten Ives for 15 yds to the HCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ives,Kwinten rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU11 (Blowe,Ravonte) PENALTY HCU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from HCU14 to HCU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 5
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.4%
PENALTY HCU False Start 5 yards from HCU35 to HCU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-1
99.4%
Darryle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 29Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the HCU 31Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+6
99.4%
Jake Weir pass complete to Adrian Green for 6 yds to the HCU 37Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Brady Young punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 0:5099% → 100%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+28
99.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 13 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (TJ Smith) to the NEB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
99.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 17 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 39 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:491% → 1%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Darryle Evans run for no gain to the HCU 32Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
99.4%
PENALTY HCU False Start 5 yards from HCU32 to HCU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 15
OWN 27
-1
99.4%
Darryle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 26Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+5
99.4%
Jake Weir pass complete to Tamarcus Gray Jr. for 5 yds to the HCU 31Similar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Brady Young punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:2699% → 100%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 16 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 5 yds to the HCU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
99.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the HCU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+7
99.4%
Dylan Raiola run for 7 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
99.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the HCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the HCU 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+4
99.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the HCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
99.4%
Kwinten Ives run for 10 yds to the HCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:501% → 0%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.5%
Jake Weir pass complete to Ja'Ryan Wallace for 6 yds to the HCU 19Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Jake Weir pass incomplete to Adrian GreenSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+15
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Weir,Jake pass incomplete deep left to Wallace,Ja'Ryan thrown to HCU43 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Jones,Donovan) 15 yards from HCU19 to HCU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.5%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 7 yds to the HCU 41Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Williams Nwaneri 0 Yd Fumble Return (Kyle Cunanan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 2 yds to the HCU 27Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.7%
Jake Weir pass complete to Ja'Ryan Wallace for 7 yds to the HCU 34Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.6%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 1 yd to the HCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.7%
Jake Weir pass complete to Ja'Ryan Wallace for 4 yds to the HCU 39Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 1 yd to the HCU 40Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Jake Weir pass incomplete to Adrian GreenSimilar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Brady Young punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jacory Barney Jr. at the NEB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 9 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+14
99.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Cortez Mills Jr. for 14 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Nyziah HunterSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the HCU 43Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+22
99.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Cortez Mills Jr. for 22 yds to the HCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the HCU 16Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
99.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the HCU 12Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+8
99.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the HCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Cortez Mills Jr.Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 18 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Jake Weir pass complete to Ja'Ryan Wallace for 10 yds to the HCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for 7 yds to the HCU 42Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+13
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 13 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Jake Weir pass complete to Ja'Ryan Wallace for 4 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jake Weir pass incomplete to Deuce McMillanSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 7 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Jake Weir pass incomplete to Ja'Ryan WallaceSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
99.9%
PENALTY HCU False Start (Drake,Josiah) 5 yards from NEB34 to NEB39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
run for 7 yds to the NEB 46 fumbled, recovered by HCU Xai'Shaun EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 22
OPP 46
-11
99.9%
Jake Weir sacked by Dasan McCullough for a loss of 11 yards to the HCU 43Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 33
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Brady Young punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NEB41, End Of Play PENALTY NEB Holding (Evans,Justin) 10 yards from NEB27 to NEB17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Dylan Raiola run for no gain to the NEB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for 8 yds to the HCU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jake Weir pass incomplete to Deuce McMillanSimilar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Brady Young punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Mozee at the NEB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 14 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 20 yds to the HCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 2 yds to the HCU 42Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
TJ Lateef pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 8 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
99.9%
TJ Lateef pass complete to Kwinten Ives for 21 yds to the HCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 7 yds to the HCU 6Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for no gain to the HCU 6Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
TJ Lateef run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 23Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Jake Weir pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 8 yds to the HCU 31Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+24
99.9%
Jake Weir pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 9 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (Ashton Murphy) to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 45 yds for a TD (Charlie Weinrich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
PENALTY HCU Offside (Littles,Sincere) 5 yards from NEB25 to NEB30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+20
99.9%
TJ Lateef pass complete to Kenneth Williams for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
TJ Lateef run for 2 yds to the HCU 48Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+17
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 17 yds to the HCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.9%
TJ Lateef run for 7 yds to the HCU 24Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 5 yds to the HCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for no gain to the HCU 19Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+15
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lateef,TJ pass incomplete short right to Smith,Keelan thrown to HCU03, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY HCU Pass Interference (Roberts,D.J.) 15 yards from HCU19 to HCU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 17PUNT
17 plays · 28 yds · 9:250% → 0%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for 8 yds to the HCU 33Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for 1 yd to the HCU 34Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Jake Weir run for 2 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for 8 yds to the HCU 44Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 1 yd to the HCU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for no gain to the HCU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 3 yds to the HCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Jake Weir pass complete to Tamarcus Gray Jr. for 8 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for 1 yd to the NEB 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Darryle Evans run for no gain to the NEB 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 1 yd to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jake Weir pass incomplete to Deuce McMillanSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jake Weir pass complete to Mason Graham for no gain to the NEB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jake Weir pass incomplete to Deuce McMillanSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
PENALTY HCU False Start (Bess,Matthew) 5 yards from NEB42 to NEB47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Brady Young punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
TJ Lateef pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 15 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 3 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+62
100.0%
TJ Lateef pass complete to Cortez Mills Jr. for 62 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
100.0%
Jordan Montanez run for 1 yd to the HCU 8 Jordan Montanez fumbled, recovered by NEB Kahmir PrescottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Kenneth Williams run for 4 yds to the HCU 4Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
100.0%
Kenneth Williams run for 1 yd to the HCU 3Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
100.0%
Kenneth Williams run for 1 yd to the HCU 2Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
Kenneth Williams run for 1 yd to the HCU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
100.0%
Maddox Kopp run for 3 yds to the HCU 4Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
100.0%
Maddox Kopp run for 2 yds to the HCU 6Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+3
100.0%
Xai'Shaun Edwards run for 3 yds to the HCU 9Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+38
100.0%
Brady Young punt for 59 yds , Isaiah Mozee returns for 38 yds to the HCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
100.0%
Jalyn Gramstad pass complete to Isaiah Mozee for 3 yds to the HCU 27Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-5
100.0%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Hammerbeck,Shawn) 5 yards from HCU27 to HCU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
Jalyn Gramstad pass complete to Conor Booth for 6 yds to the HCU 26Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+5
100.0%
Jalyn Gramstad pass complete to Conor Booth for 5 yds to the HCU 21Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
100.0%
Vincent Genatone run for 1 yd to the HCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
100.0%
Izaac Dickey run for 1 yd to the HCU 19Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Conor Booth run for no gain to the HCU 19Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by Nebraska at HCU21 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:34
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
+0.2
FG · Q1 11:12
Kyle Cunanan 24 yd FG GOOD
-0.1
TD · Q1 6:14
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com