OHIO
Ohio 9 at Ohio State 37
OSU2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey play
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OSU · Drive 1DOWNS · 9 plays · 66 yds
Q1 15:00
David Dellenbach kickoff for 65 yds
98.5%
0.0
Q1 15:00
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST down
98.7%
+0.2
Q1 15:00
James Peoples run for 5 yds to the OSU 40
98.7%
0.0
Q1 15:00
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 9 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q1 15:00
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 42 yds to the OHIO 9 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q1 15:00
CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the OHIO 8
98.8%
0.0
Q1 15:00
CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the OHIO 4
98.8%
0.0
Q1 15:00
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Carnell Tate
98.8%
0.0
Q1 11:20
Julian Sayin sacked by Anas Luqman for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 9
98.7%
-0.1
OHIO · Drive 2PUNT · 7 plays · 13 yds
Q1 11:20
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 13
98.4%
-0.3
Q1 11:20
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game (Jackson Jr.,Kenyatta) 5 yards from OU13 to OU18. NO PLAY.
98.4%
0.0
Q1 11:20
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q1 11:20
Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the OHIO 21
98.4%
0.0
Q1 11:20
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 1 yd to the OHIO 22
98.4%
0.0
Q1 11:20
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Caleb Gossett
98.4%
0.0
Q1 8:13
Magnus Haines punt for 48 yds , Brandon Inniss returns for no gain to the OSU 28
98.4%
0.0
OSU · Drive 3FG · 11 plays · 52 yds
Q1 8:13
CJ Donaldson run for 8 yds to the OSU 36
98.6%
+0.3
Q1 8:13
James Peoples run for 9 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q1 8:13
Julian Sayin pass complete to Max Klare for 14 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q1 8:13
Julian Sayin pass complete to James Peoples for 1 yd to the OHIO 40
98.7%
+0.1
Q1 8:13
James Peoples run for 4 yds to the OHIO 36
98.7%
0.0
Q1 8:13
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 8 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q1 8:13
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the OHIO 22
98.7%
0.0
Q1 8:13
PENALTY OSU False Start (Tshabola,Tegra) 5 yards from OU22 to OU27. NO PLAY.
98.7%
0.0
Q1 8:13
CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the OHIO 26
98.7%
0.0
Q1 8:13
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jelani Thurman for 6 yds to the OHIO 20
98.7%
0.0
Q1 1:54
Jayden Fielding 38 yd FG GOOD
98.6%
-0.1
OHIO · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 3 yds
Q1 1:54
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.6%
0.0
Q1 1:54
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Sieh Bangura
98.5%
-0.1
Q1 1:54
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 25
98.5%
0.0
Q1 1:54
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 3 yds to the OHIO 28
98.5%
0.0
Q1 0:15
Magnus Haines punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 35
98.5%
0.0
OSU · Drive 5FG · 11 plays · 63 yds
Q1 0:00
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 30 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Bo Jackson run for no gain to the OHIO 35
98.6%
+0.1
Q2 15:00
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds to the OHIO 27
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Lincoln Kienholz run for 8 yds to the OHIO 19 for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, Personal Foul (Tegra Tshabola) to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Bo Jackson run for 15 yds to the OHIO 19 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Julian Sayin pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the OHIO 14
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
CJ Donaldson run for 11 yds to the OHIO 3 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the OHIO 2
98.6%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith
98.6%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Jayden Fielding 20 yd FG GOOD
99.0%
+0.4
OHIO · Drive 6PUNT · 9 plays · 19 yds
Q2 9:58
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.0%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Duncan Brune run for 3 yds to the OHIO 28
98.6%
-0.4
Q2 9:58
Nick Poulos pass complete to Max Rodarte for 6 yds to the OHIO 34
98.6%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Duncan Brune run for no gain to the OHIO 34
98.6%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Nick Poulos pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 2 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Duncan Brune run for 3 yds to the OHIO 39
98.6%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Nick Poulos pass complete to Jake Bruno for 5 yds to the OHIO 44
98.6%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Nick Poulos pass incomplete to Rodney Harris II
98.6%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Magnus Haines punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 23
98.4%
-0.2
OSU · Drive 7TD · 9 plays · 77 yds
Q2 6:05
Julian Sayin pass complete to Bo Jackson for 11 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST down
98.8%
+0.4
Q2 6:05
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 17 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Bo Jackson run for 4 yds to the OHIO 45
98.8%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Ohio Penalty, (15 Yards) to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Ohio State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the OHIO 27
98.9%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Bo Jackson run for 11 yds to the OHIO 16 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q2 6:05
James Peoples run for no gain to the OHIO 16
98.9%
0.0
Q2 6:05
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith
98.9%
0.0
Q2 2:29
Julian Sayin pass complete to Max Klare for 16 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
99.3%
+0.5
OHIO · Drive 8PUNT · 10 plays · -16 yds
Q2 2:29
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.3%
0.0
Q2 2:29
Nick Poulos sacked by Kayden McDonald for a loss of 4 yards to the OHIO 21
99.2%
-0.2
Q2 2:21
Timeout Ohio, clock 02:21
99.3%
+0.1
Q2 2:21
PENALTY OU False Start (Rhodes Jr.,Shedrick) 5 yards from OU21 to OU16. NO PLAY.
99.3%
0.0
Q2 2:21
Nick Poulos pass incomplete to Caleb Gossett
99.3%
0.0
Q2 2:18
Timeout Ohio, clock 02:18
99.3%
0.0
Q2 2:18
PENALTY OU False Start (Weatherspoon,Davion) 5 yards from OU22 to OU17. NO PLAY.
99.3%
0.0
Q2 2:18
Nick Poulos sacked by Caden Curry for a loss of 8 yards to the OHIO 9
99.3%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Ohio State, clock 02:00
99.4%
+0.1
Q2 1:46
Magnus Haines punt for 53 yds , Jeremiah Smith returns for no gain to the OSU 22
99.4%
0.0
OSU · Drive 9INT · 3 plays · 16 yds
Q2 1:46
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the OSU 28
99.5%
+0.2
Q2 1:46
Julian Sayin pass complete to James Peoples for 10 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q2 1:20
Julian Sayin pass intercepted Michael Mack II return for 4 yds to the OSU 40
99.5%
0.0
OHIO · Drive 10FG · 8 plays · 14 yds
Q2 1:20
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OSU 39
99.3%
-0.2
Q2 1:20
No Huddle-Shotgun Poulos,Nick pass incomplete short right thrown to OSU25 QB hurried by Atkinson,Beau PENALTY OSU Holding (Igbinosun,Davison) 10 yards from OSU39 to OSU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.3%
0.0
Q2 1:20
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OSU 28
99.3%
0.0
Q2 0:38
Timeout Ohio, clock 00:38
99.4%
+0.1
Q2 0:38
Nick Poulos pass incomplete to Max Rodarte
99.4%
0.0
Q2 0:38
Nick Poulos run for 2 yds to the OSU 26
99.4%
0.0
Q2 0:28
Timeout Ohio, clock 00:28
99.3%
-0.1
Q2 0:24
Brack Peacock 44 yd FG GOOD
99.2%
0.0
OSU · Drive 11END OF HALF · 2 plays · -1 yds
Q2 0:22
David Dellenbach kickoff for 57 yds , Brandon Inniss return for 3 yds to the OSU 11
99.3%
0.0
Q2 0:00
J. Sayin takes a knee
99.3%
0.0
OHIO · Drive 12TD · 3 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.2%
-0.1
Q3 15:00
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the OHIO 33
98.9%
-0.3
Q3 14:07
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 67 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock PAT MISSED)
97.9%
-1.0
OSU · Drive 13FG · 7 plays · 71 yds
Q3 14:07
David Dellenbach kickoff for 63 yds
97.9%
0.0
Q3 14:07
Bo Jackson run for 64 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST down
98.1%
+0.3
Q3 14:07
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from OU11 to OU16. NO PLAY.
98.2%
+0.1
Q3 14:07
CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the OHIO 13
98.2%
0.0
Q3 14:07
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 3 yds to the OHIO 10
98.2%
0.0
Q3 11:31
Julian Sayin pass complete to CJ Donaldson for 6 yds
98.2%
0.0
Q3 11:19
Jayden Fielding 22 yd FG GOOD
98.8%
+0.5
OHIO · Drive 14PUNT · 7 plays · 8 yds
Q3 11:19
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.8%
0.0
Q3 11:19
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 7 yds to the OHIO 32
98.3%
-0.5
Q3 11:19
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST down
98.3%
0.0
Q3 11:19
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 35
98.3%
0.0
Q3 11:19
Parker Navarro sacked by Arvell Reese for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 33
98.3%
0.0
Q3 11:19
Parker Navarro pass incomplete
98.3%
0.0
Q3 8:14
Magnus Haines punt for 54 yds , Brandon Inniss returns for 28 yds to the OSU 41
98.4%
+0.1
OSU · Drive 15TD · 4 plays · 59 yds
Q3 8:14
James Peoples run for 1 yd to the OSU 42
98.9%
+0.5
Q3 8:14
Carnell Tate run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line
98.9%
0.0
Q3 8:14
CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q3 6:16
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 47 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
99.5%
+0.6
OHIO · Drive 16PUNT · 8 plays · 19 yds
Q3 6:16
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.5%
0.0
Q3 6:16
Parker Navarro pass incomplete
99.1%
-0.4
Q3 6:16
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the OHIO 27
99.1%
0.0
Q3 6:16
Parker Navarro pass complete to Jake Bruno for 16 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q3 6:16
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the OHIO 45
99.1%
0.0
Q3 6:16
Duncan Brune run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 44
99.1%
0.0
Q3 6:16
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks
99.1%
0.0
Q3 3:03
Magnus Haines punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 15
99.0%
0.0
OSU · Drive 17TD · 8 plays · 85 yds
Q3 3:03
Bo Jackson run for 2 yds to the OSU 17
99.5%
+0.5
Q3 3:03
Julian Sayin pass complete to Bo Jackson for 10 yds to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q3 3:03
Bo Jackson run for 6 yds to the OSU 33
99.5%
0.0
Q3 3:03
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Will Kacmarek
99.5%
0.0
Q3 3:03
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 5 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 14 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST down
99.6%
+0.1
Q4 15:00
Bo Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 49
99.6%
0.0
Q4 14:14
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 49 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
99.9%
+0.4
OHIO · Drive 18PUNT · 5 plays · -7 yds
Q4 14:14
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q4 14:14
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 24
99.7%
-0.2
Q4 14:14
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 27
99.7%
0.0
Q4 14:14
Parker Navarro sacked by Beau Atkinson for a loss of 9 yards to the OHIO 18
99.7%
0.0
Q4 12:02
Magnus Haines punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 37
99.7%
0.0
OSU · Drive 19INT · 3 plays · 15 yds
Q4 12:02
Julian Sayin pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 7 yds to the OSU 44
99.9%
+0.2
Q4 12:02
Bo Jackson run for 8 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 10:29
Julian Sayin pass intercepted Austin Mitchell return for no gain to the OSU 42
99.9%
0.0
OHIO · Drive 20DOWNS · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q4 10:29
Parker Navarro pass incomplete
99.7%
-0.2
Q4 10:29
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd to the OSU 41
99.7%
0.0
Q4 10:29
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks
99.7%
0.0
Q4 9:29
Parker Navarro pass complete to Duncan Brune for no gain Duncan Brune fumbled, recovered by OHIO
99.8%
0.0
OSU · Drive 21TD · 5 plays · 59 yds
Q4 9:29
James Peoples run for 11 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.2
Q4 9:29
James Peoples run for 17 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:29
Julian Sayin pass complete to CJ Donaldson for 7 yds to the OHIO 24
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:29
CJ Donaldson run for 7 yds to the OHIO 17 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:36
Jeremiah Smith run for 17 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
100.0%
0.0
OHIO · Drive 22END OF GAME · 16 plays · 57 yds
Q4 6:36
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:36
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the OHIO 30
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:36
Nick Poulos run for 2 yds to the OHIO 32
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:36
Nick Poulos run for 11 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:36
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 47
99.9%
0.0
Q4 6:36
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OSU 49
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:59
Timeout Ohio, clock 02:59
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:59
Nick Poulos run for 10 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:59
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OSU 36
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Ohio State, clock 02:00
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Duncan Brune run for 3 yds to the OSU 33
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Ohio Penalty, (Yards) declined
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Duncan Brune run for 6 yds to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Doe Boyland run for 8 yds to the OSU 19
99.9%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Nick Poulos pass incomplete to Jake Bruno
99.9%
0.0
Q4 0:00
Doe Boyland run for 1 yd to the OSU 18
99.9%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:07
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 67 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock PAT MISSED)
-1
TD · Q3 6:16
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 47 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 2:29
Julian Sayin pass complete to Max Klare for 16 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+0.5