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NIU

Northern Illinois 9 at Maryland 20

MD
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 5, 2025 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-8.1MD 78.1%Telly Johnson Jr. run for 74 yds for aTD (Two-Point Conversion failed)AWAY 9 - HOME 13 · Q3 6:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:22 · Telly Johnson Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+14.9Home team on offense+3.2Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:46: Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 12 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +3.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:22: Telly Johnson Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NIU win probability +8.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:17: Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 15 — NIU win probability +5.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:20: Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 42 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK) — MD win probability +15.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: K. Martin takes a knee — MD win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NIU made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 13:54MD 4th & 3 at MD 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:25NIU 4th & 1 at MD 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:27NIU 4th & 9 at MD 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:30MD 4th & 6 at NIU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:57NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:49MD 4th & 5 at MD 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:37NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 45, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:49NIU 4th & 3 at MD 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03NIU 4th & 3 at MD 3, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:01NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:52MD 4th & 10 at NIU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−5.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:46NIU 4th & 21 at NIU 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−5.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:04MD 4th & 8 at NIU 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−1.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:04MD 4th & 8 at NIU 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−1.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:20NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:20MD 4th & 5 at NIU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    74.3%−2.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:23NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:15MD 4th & 3 at NIU 3, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−2.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:15MD 4th & 3 at NIU 3, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−2.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:27NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−0.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:25NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.9
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:25NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.9
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:08MD 4th & 2 at NIU 19, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NIU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 8:46MD Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:22NIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:20MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5487% → 86%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
86.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 5 yds to the MD 15Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+2
86.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 17Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
86.2%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to DeJuan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
86.2%
Bryce McFerson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by DeAree Rogers at the NIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 6:1914% → 16%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
86.2%
Chavon Wright run for 6 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
85.9%
Chavon Wright run for 1 yd to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
85.6%
Josh Holst pass complete to Chavon Wright for 2 yds to the NIU 44Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
85.5%
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
85.2%
Josh Holst sacked by Zahir Mathis for a loss of 6 yards to the NIU 40Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+2
85.1%
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+13
85.0%
Chavon Wright run for 13 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+1
84.8%
Chavon Wright run for 1 yd to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
84.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the MD 43Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
84.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the MD 42Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 8
OPP 42
-1
83.9%
Josh Holst sacked by Trey Reddick for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 43Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
84.2%
Danny Vuckovic punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:5184% → 84%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
84.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 8 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
84.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 2 yds to the MD 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+48
83.9%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 48 yds to the NIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
84.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 18Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
84.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Ryan ManningSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
84.1%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
84.3%
Sean O'Haire 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:2216% → 17%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
84.2%
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
83.9%
Chavon Wright run for 5 yds to the NIU 32Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
83.7%
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the NIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 34Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
83.2%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Jaylen PoeSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+5
83.5%
Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+9
83.2%
Danny Vuckovic punt for 54 yds , Josiah McLaurin returns for 9 yds to the MD 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0283% → 82%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
83.0%
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the MD 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
82.8%
Nolan Ray run for no gain to the MD 21Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
82.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
82.1%
Bryce McFerson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by DeAree Rogers at the NIU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0617% → 18%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Josh Holst pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
82.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 4 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+11
82.5%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gary Givens for 11 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
81.6%
Josh Holst run for 4 yds to the NIU 49Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-7
81.2%
Josh Holst sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NIU 42Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+3
81.9%
Josh Holst pass complete to Chavon Wright for 3 yds to the NIU 45Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.2%
Quinn Urwiler run for 2 yds to the NIU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:4483% → 87%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
82.8%
Octavian Smith Jr. run for 11 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
82.8%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+7
83.0%
Nolan Ray run for 7 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
82.9%
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+9
82.8%
Nolan Ray run for 9 yds to the NIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
86.5%
Malik Washington pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 12 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8FG
27 plays · 75 yds · 8:3214% → 17%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.9%
Chavon Wright run for no gain to the NIU 22Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
86.0%
Chavon Wright run for 1 yd to the NIU 23Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+15
86.3%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gary Givens for 15 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
85.5%
Chavon Wright run for 5 yds to the NIU 43Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+11
85.1%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 11 yds to the MD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
84.8%
Chavon Wright run for 4 yds to the MD 42Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
84.7%
Chavon Wright run for 1 yd to the MD 41Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+2
84.8%
Josh Holst pass complete to Chavon Wright for 2 yds to the MD 39Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+8
85.5%
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 8 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
84.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 27
-5
84.4%
(03:07) PENALTY NIU False Start (Ozoh,Izuchukwu) 5 yards from UMD27 to UMD32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+4
84.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+12
84.4%
Chavon Wright run for 12 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
83.3%
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the MD 18Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+6
83.0%
Chavon Wright run for 6 yds to the MD 12Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+7
83.4%
Chavon Wright run for 7 yds to the MD 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
83.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 6Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
83.1%
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 7Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
83.9%
Chavon Wright run for 4 yds to the MD 3Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
82.8%
Andrew Glass 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
86.6%
M. Washington takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5617% → 17%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.9%
(14:57) PENALTY NIU False Start (Paasch,Thomas) 5 yards from NIU25 to NIU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
83.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to Jake Appleget for 3 yds to the NIU 23Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
83.0%
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 26Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
83.4%
Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
83.3%
Danny Vuckovic punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MD 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 5:0183% → 86%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
83.4%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 32Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+16
83.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 16 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.9%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
84.6%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,DeJuan rush middle for 0 yards to the UMD48 (Urwiler,Quinton) PENALTY NIU Personal Foul 15 yards from UMD48 to NIU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
85.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 9 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
85.2%
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the NIU 28Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
84.4%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
86.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 6 yds to the NIU 21Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+10
86.0%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 10 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
86.0%
DeJuan Williams run for no gain to the NIU 11Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
86.8%
Malik Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
85.6%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
85.8%
Sean O'Haire 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1815% → 22%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
85.5%
Chavon Wright run for no gain to the NIU 27Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-1
86.2%
Chavon Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 26Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+74
78.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13FUMBLE
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:4679% → 81%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.6%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 5 yds to the MD 30Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
78.9%
Nolan Ray run for 4 yds to the MD 34Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
78.7%
Nolan Ray run for 4 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Octavian Smith Jr.Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
78.9%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MD 39Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+15
78.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete for a 1ST down Northern Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalonnie Williams) to the NIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
81.2%
Nolan Ray run for 10 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
81.1%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the NIU 34Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
81.4%
(02:43) Shotgun Washington,Malik pass incomplete deep right to Smith Jr.,Octavian thrown to NIU00 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Lyons,Keshawn) 15 yards from NIU34 to NIU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
81.3%
Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+8
81.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 8 yds to the NIU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
81.2%
Malik Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the NIU 12 Malik Washington fumbled, recovered by NIU Jalonnie WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:3125% → 22%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
75.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 15Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
75.1%
Josh Holst pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for no gain to the NIU 15Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-14
76.5%
Northern Illinois Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Josh Holst) to the NIU 1Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 21
OWN 1
0
77.7%
Danny Vuckovic punt for 40 yds , Josiah McLaurin returns for no gain to the NIU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:3181% → 77%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
80.7%
Malik Washington pass complete to Nolan Ray for 2 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
80.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
79.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Shaleak KnottsSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
77.2%
Bryce McFerson punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
77.2%
Bryce McFerson punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3827% → 24%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.4%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
74.4%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 31Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+1
75.4%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 1 yd to the NIU 32Similar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+8
75.9%
Danny Vuckovic punt for 53 yds , Josiah McLaurin returns for 8 yds to the MD 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:5577% → 92%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
76.9%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,DeJuan rush right for 9 yards gain to the UMD32 (Urwiler,Quinton) PENALTY UMD Holding (Herron,Alan) 10 yards from UMD23 to UMD13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+25
76.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 25 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
78.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 15 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
80.0%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 48Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
79.4%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Jalil FarooqSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+6
77.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 6 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+42
92.2%
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 42 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:478% → 7%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.9%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 24Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
91.9%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
92.5%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Telly Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
92.8%
Danny Vuckovic punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:0294% → 94%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.5%
Malik Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
93.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 7
50
+19
93.3%
Malik Washington pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 19 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
94.1%
Malik Washington pass complete to AJ Szymanski for 2 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+20
94.4%
Malik Washington pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 20 yds to the NIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.8%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
94.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 5 yds to the NIU 4Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
94.8%
DeJuan Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 3Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
Q4 4:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.3%
Malik Washington pass incomplete to Dorian FlemingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:436% → 5%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
93.6%
Chavon Wright run for 5 yds to the NIU 8Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+2
93.7%
Chavon Wright run for 2 yds to the NIU 10Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+2
95.1%
Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the NIU 12Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 12
+6
95.3%
Chavon Wright run for 6 yds to the NIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
94.9%
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 6 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
94.3%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
95.1%
Chavon Wright run for 3 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Gary GivensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:1198% → 98%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.7%
Iverson Howard run for 7 yds to the NIU 20Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
97.8%
Iverson Howard run for 1 yd to the NIU 19Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
97.7%
Khristian Martin pass incomplete to JT TaggartSimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
97.5%
Sean O'Haire 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22MISSED FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:524% → 6%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.0%
Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the NIU 25Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to Chavon WrightSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
96.1%
Josh Holst pass complete to La'Don Bryant for 8 yds to the NIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
95.3%
Josh Holst pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
50
+9
94.8%
Josh Holst run for 9 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+58
94.0%
Andrew Glass 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
97.7%
K. Martin takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:20
Malik Washington pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 42 yds for a TD (Sean O'Haire KICK)
+15
TD · Q3 6:22
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 74 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-8.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:17
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 15
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com