Try the model
OKST

Oklahoma State 3 at Oregon 69

ORE
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Autzen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kalib Hicks run for 1 yd to the ORE 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:04: Dierre Hill Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:08: Logan Ward 23 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +1.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:39: Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 42 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:46: Dakorien Moore run for 25 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:11: Jayden Limar run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 13:36OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:29ORE 4th & 4 at OKST 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:15OKST 4th & 8 at ORE 40, down 13
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:14OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:08OKST 4th & 6 at ORE 6, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:51OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:20OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 26, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:31ORE 4th & 3 at OKST 22, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:40OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:16OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 19, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:44ORE 4th & 5 at OKST 39, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:54OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 16, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:43OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 21, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57ORE 4th & 5 at OKST 41, up 66
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:48OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 21, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:58ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 34, up 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:20ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:24ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:04ORE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:39ORE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:46ORE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:11ORE Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:20ORE Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:17ORE Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:09ORE Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:27ORE Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:2997% → 97%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 6 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+59
96.5%
Noah Whittington run for 59 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:374% → 4%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Freddie Brock IV run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Wes Pahl punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
96.5%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 65 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:574% → 4%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Kalib Hicks run for no gain to the OKST 25Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.5%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Schick,Bob) 5 yards from OSU25 to OSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
96.4%
Kalib Hicks run for 5 yds to the OKST 25Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
Zane Flores run for 1 yd to the OKST 26Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.4%
Wes Pahl punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3996% → 96%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
96.4%
Noah Whittington run for 12 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
96.4%
Noah Whittington run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
50
-10
96.4%
Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ORE 45Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+1
96.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jay Harris for 1 yd to the ORE 46Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 14
OWN 46
0
96.3%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+10
96.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Justius Lowe for 10 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
96.3%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
96.0%
Zane Flores pass complete to Josh Ford for 14 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar RigbySimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Josh FordSimilar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+2
95.9%
Zane Flores run for 2 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
95.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0396% → 97%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.2%
Noah Whittington run for 9 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-5
96.2%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Limar,Jayden) 5 yards from ORE29 to ORE24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+53
96.1%
Jayden Limar run for 53 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
96.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Dakorien Moore for 4 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
96.9%
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
Q1 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
96.9%
Moore,Dante pass attempt failed PENALTY ORE Illegal Shift (Hill Jr,Dierre) 5 yards from OSU03 to OSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
20 plays · 69 yds · 7:413% → 4%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
96.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 6 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.8%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 34Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.0%
Zane Flores run for 2 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
97.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
97.0%
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 3 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-5
97.1%
PENALTY OSU False Start (McKinney,Noah) 5 yards from OSU41 to OSU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+35
97.2%
Zane Flores pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 35 yds to the ORE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
96.9%
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
96.9%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the ORE 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
96.9%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Seagren,Grant) 5 yards from ORE18 to ORE23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+8
97.0%
Trent Howland run for 8 yds to the ORE 15Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
96.9%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the ORE 10Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+5
97.0%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the ORE 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
96.9%
Zane Flores run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 6Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.0%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.0%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Christian FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
95.8%
Logan Ward 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2997% → 98%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.3%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Bryant Jr.,Gary) 5 yards from ORE25 to ORE20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+26
97.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 26 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.5%
Jay Harris run for 2 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
97.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+5
97.5%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
98.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 42 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:433% → 3%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
97.5%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Freeman,Gavin) 5 yards from OSU17 to OSU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
97.5%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Cam AbshireSimilar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+2
97.5%
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the OKST 14Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 13
OWN 14
-5
97.5%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Mafi,Nuku) 5 yards from OSU14 to OSU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 18
OWN 9
+11
97.6%
Freddie Brock IV run for 11 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Wes Pahl punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:5398% → 99%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
98.0%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 28 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.1%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 7 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
98.1%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dakorien MooreSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+3
98.1%
Kenyon Sadiq run for 3 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
98.9%
Dakorien Moore run for 25 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Zane Flores pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 24Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
99.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Sam Jackson VSimilar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 4:0399% → 100%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Jordon Davison run for no gain to the ORE 24Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Justius Lowe for 9 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
99.2%
Dante Moore run for 1 yd to the ORE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
99.3%
Jay Harris run for 6 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+25
99.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 25 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Jeremiah McClellanSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.3%
Jayden Limar run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 30Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+8
99.3%
Jayden Limar run for 8 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+7
99.3%
Dante Moore pass complete to Cooper Perry for 7 yds to the OKST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.3%
Dante Moore run for 10 yds to the OKST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Kalib Hicks run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:151% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Christian FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Kalib Hicks run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.6%
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 3 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Wes Pahl punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Jay Harris run for 3 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 6 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Jay Harris run for 3 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Jay HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.7%
Jay Harris run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 9
50
+14
99.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 14 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
99.7%
Jayden Limar run for 17 yds to the OKST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.7%
Jay Harris run for 4 yds to the OKST 15Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
99.7%
Jay Harris run for 4 yds to the OKST 11Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Dante Moore pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 11 yds for a TD Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Malik Charles) declined (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.8%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 18Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-6
99.8%
Zane Flores sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 12Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+7
99.8%
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 7 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18MISSED FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
(07:12) Shotgun Moga,Luke pass incomplete deep left to Kasper,Kyler thrown to OSU30 PENALTY OSU Holding (Smith,Kale) 10 yards from ORE46 to OSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.8%
Jordon Davison run for 5 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-5
99.8%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Harkey,Alex) 5 yards from OSU39 to OSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.8%
Luke Moga pass complete to Cooper Perry for 2 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Atticus Sappington 57 yd FG MISSED , Parker Robertson return for no gain to the OKST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Kalib Hicks run for 1 yd to the OKST 20Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-5
99.9%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Flores,Zane pass complete short right to Fitzpatrick,Christian caught at OSU30, for 11 yards to the OSU31 (Lopa,Kingston) PENALTY OSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Schick,Bob) 5 yards from OSU20 to OSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 14
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Sam Jackson VSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+1
99.9%
Kalib Hicks run for 1 yd to the OKST 16Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 13
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+51
99.8%
Luke Moga pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 51 yds to the OKST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the OKST 1Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jordon Davison run for 1 yd for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-26
99.9%
Zane Flores pass intercepted Jerry Mixon return for 26 yds for a TD (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Freddie Brock IV run for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-30
99.9%
Zane Flores pass intercepted Peyton Woodyard return for 30 yds for a TD Oklahoma State Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declined (Gage Hurych KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Freddie Brock IV run for 4 yds to the OKST 17Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Freddie Brock IV run for 2 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Freddie Brock IV run for 2 yds to the OKST 21Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dakorien Moore at the ORE 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ORE 32Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+22
99.9%
Luke Moga run for 22 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-5
99.9%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Saleapaga,Roger) 5 yards from OSU41 to OSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Luke Moga pass incomplete to Jeremiah McClellanSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
99.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 10Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 5
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for no gain to the OKST 10Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+6
100.0%
Zane Flores pass complete to Royal Capell for 6 yds to the OKST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 8 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+1
100.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
Zane Flores sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 21Similar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+15
100.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 34 , Dakorien Moore returns for 15 yds to the ORE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 33Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Brock Thomas pass incomplete to Malik BensonSimilar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Thomas,Brock pass incomplete short right to Bidwell,Brady thrown to ORE50 PENALTY OSU Offside (Havili Kaufusi,Sitiveni) 5 yards from ORE33 to ORE38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-4
100.0%
Brock Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 34Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
100.0%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Gavin Freeman at the OKST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:480% → 0%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 8 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 1 yd to the OKST 38Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 6 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 4
50
+14
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 14 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 7 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+7
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 7 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
100.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 1 yd to the ORE 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 12:08
Logan Ward 23 yd FG GOOD
-1.2
TD · Q2 5:46
Dakorien Moore run for 25 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q1 5:04
Dierre Hill Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com