Try the model
UCLA

UCLA 23 at UNLV 30

UNLV
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-5.2UNLV 83.9%Mateen Bhaghani 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 23 - HOME 30 · Q4 5:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:25 · Mateen Bhaghani 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense+12.0Score differential+3.5Garbage-time factor+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Pregame prior−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:39: Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 21 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +12.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:49: Keyvone Lee run for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UNLV win probability +8.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:48: Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Noah Fox-Flores for 4 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:04: Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 17 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +12.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:50: Nico Iamaleava run for 30 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +9.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 8:01UNLV 4th & 11 at UCLA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:41UCLA 4th & 17 at UCLA 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:09UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:17UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:30UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.9%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:16UNLV 4th & 4 at UCLA 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−1.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30UCLA 4th & 1 at UNLV 32, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:04UCLA 4th & 1 at UNLV 15, down 23
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%−1.7
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:24UCLA 4th & 9 at UNLV 33, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:53UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 33, up 13
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:02UCLA 4th & 1 at UNLV 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−2.6
    87% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−10.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:03UCLA 4th & 17 at UNLV 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−5.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:00UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 4, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−3.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:25UCLA 4th & 10 at UNLV 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:17UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:13UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:39UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:49UNLV Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:48UCLA Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:04UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:50UCLA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1FG
16 plays · 43 yds · 6:5043% → 46%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.4%
Anthony Colandrea run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
43.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
43.7%
(13:40) Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete short right to Bradley,Jaden thrown to UNLV35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference (Stafford III,Robert) 10 yards from UNLV28 to UNLV38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
43.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
44.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+12
44.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 12 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
44.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Nick Elksnis for 11 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-15
45.0%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush right for 2 yards loss to the UCLA33 (Martin,Cole) PENALTY UNLV Personal Foul (McGowan,Malik) 15 yards from UCLA31 to UCLA46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 25
OPP 46
-10
44.9%
UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 17
OPP 38
-5
45.1%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass complete short left to Elksnis,Nick caught at UCLA44, for 10 yards to the UCLA28 (Martin,Cole) PENALTY UNLV Illegal Shift 5 yards from UCLA38 to UCLA43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 22
OPP 43
+8
45.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 8 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 14
OPP 35
-3
45.5%
Anthony Colandrea run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 17
OPP 38
+6
45.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 6 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
45.9%
Ramon Villela 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:0754% → 52%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
46.4%
(07:53) Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico pass complete short left to Berger,Jalen caught at UCLA19, for 9 yards to the UCLA32 (McDuffie,Marsel) PENALTY UCLA Holding (Gilmer,Kwazi) 3 yards from UCLA23 to UCLA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 13
OWN 20
+32
46.6%
Jaivian Thomas run for 32 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
45.9%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-4
46.1%
Nico Iamaleava sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 11
OPP 49
-6
46.8%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Landen Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
48.1%
Will Karoll punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeAngelo Irvin Jr. at the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:2247% → 55%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
47.2%
(04:39) Shotgun Thomas,Jai'Den rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNLV27 (Bennett,Kechaun) PENALTY UCLA Offside (Bennett,Kechaun) 5 yards from UNLV19 to UNLV24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+6
47.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
47.8%
Alex Orji run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
48.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
47.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for 6 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
49.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 8 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+15
49.7%
(00:47) Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush middle for 9 yards loss to the UNLV40 (Jackson,Scooter) PENALTY UCLA Face Mask (Jackson,Scooter) 15 yards from UNLV49 to UCLA36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
50.1%
(00:21) Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete deep right to Elksnis,Nick thrown to UCLA00 PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference (Martin,Cole) 15 yards from UCLA36 to UCLA21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
55.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Nick Elksnis for 21 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:4346% → 43%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
53.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jalen Berger for 15 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
53.5%
Jaivian Thomas run for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
53.4%
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
53.0%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
55.3%
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
54.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
55.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+2
56.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 2 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
57.4%
Will Karoll punt for 42 yds , DeAngelo Irvin Jr. returns for no gain to the UNLV 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 5:2957% → 76%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-10
57.1%
UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 5
OWN 18
-5
57.5%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (Boyd,Austin) 5 yards from UNLV18 to UNLV13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
57.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
57.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+14
57.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Taeshaun Lyons for 14 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
58.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+32
59.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 32 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
61.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
61.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 11 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
62.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
63.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+21
75.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 21 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5127% → 26%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
72.8%
Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
73.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
73.0%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 1
OWN 46
-2
74.2%
Nico Iamaleava run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 44 Nico Iamaleava fumbled, recovered by UCLA Jaheem JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7TD
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:3479% → 89%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
79.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Keyvone Lee for 9 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 1
OPP 35
-8
80.7%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Anthony Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+5
79.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+14
78.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 14 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
81.0%
(02:00) Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass complete short right to Gumms,Var'Keyes caught at UCLA23, for 2 yards to the UCLA22 (Clark,Kanye) PENALTY UCLA Offside (Stafford III,Robert) 5 yards from UCLA24 to UCLA19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 5
OPP 19
+19
89.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
89.3%
PENALTY UNLV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bradley,Jaden) 15 yards from UNLV35 to UNLV20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
89.2%
(01:49) Costa,Caden kickoff 69 yards to the UCLA11 Frias II,Anthony return 25 yards to the UCLA36 (McIlquham,Andrew) PENALTY UNLV Offside (Moore,Koy) 5 yards from UNLV20 to UNLV15. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 1:2614% → 14%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
85.7%
(01:32) Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico rush right for 1 yard gain to the UCLA40 (Alualu-Tuiolemotu,Blesyng) PENALTY UCLA Holding (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 10 yards from UCLA39 to UCLA29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+15
86.5%
PENALTY UNLV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alualu-Tuiolemotu,Blesyng) 15 yards from UCLA29 to UCLA44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
85.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 15 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
85.4%
Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
85.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 1 yd to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+8
86.4%
Jalen Berger run for 8 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
85.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
85.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 9 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
86.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+33
85.8%
Mateen Bhaghani 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 7:1212% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.3%
Jaivian Thomas run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
87.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 12 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
87.3%
Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico pass complete short left to Mokiao-Atimalala,Titus caught at UNLV50, for 8 yards to the UNLV40 (Keyes,Quandarius; Pope,Jake) PENALTY UCLA Holding (Matthews,Mikey) 6 yards from UNLV48 to UCLA46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 46
+20
88.2%
Anthony Woods run for 20 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-13
86.6%
PENALTY UCLA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Armella,Julian) 13 yards from UNLV34 to UNLV47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 23
OPP 47
+13
87.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 13 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
87.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 11 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
88.4%
Jaivian Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-5
89.0%
PENALTY UCLA False Start (Yoon,Sam) 5 yards from UNLV32 to UNLV37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+4
89.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+15
91.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 15 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
89.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mikey MatthewsSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
90.2%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 9
OPP 17
-5
91.5%
(09:29) PENALTY UCLA False Start (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 5 yards from UNLV17 to UNLV22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+12
92.3%
(09:03) Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico pass complete deep right to Pedersen,Jack caught at UNLV02, for 21 yards to the UNLV01 fumbled by Pedersen,Jack at UNLV02 forced by Bin-Wahad,Mumu recovered by UNLV Bin-Wahad,Mumu at UNLV01 Bin-Wahad,Mumu return 0 yards to the UNLV01, End Of Play PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (Bin-Wahad,Mumu) 12 yards from UNLV22 to UNLV10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
92.0%
Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Noah Fox-Flores for 4 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4783% → 83%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
83.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
82.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to JoJo EarleSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
82.5%
Cameron Brown punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UCLA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11FG
16 plays · 52 yds · 6:3818% → 16%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
82.1%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+15
82.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 15 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
82.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Frias II for 5 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
81.3%
Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
81.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+12
83.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 12 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
80.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 4 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
80.5%
Anthony Woods run for 4 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
82.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 1 yd to the UNLV 11Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+10
83.8%
Nico Iamaleava run for 10 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
82.3%
Jalen Berger run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 2Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.3%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the UNLV 2Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
86.5%
(00:16) Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico pass complete short middle to Gilmer,Kwazi caught at UNLV00, for 2 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:14 PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference (Mokiao-Atimalala,Titus) 15 yards from UNLV02 to UNLV17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
87.6%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jalen Berger) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
84.0%
Mateen Bhaghani 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5682% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 9 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
82.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
83.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
84.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
50
+33
85.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 33 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 17 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:586% → 15%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
94.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 12 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
94.4%
Nico Iamaleava run for 15 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
94.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
94.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
94.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 5 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
94.9%
Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
94.2%
Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+30
84.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 30 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:3795% → 96%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
94.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-13
95.2%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Kechaun Bennett for a loss of 13 yards to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 17
OWN 5
+2
95.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 15
OWN 7
-3
95.5%
(07:15) Brown,Cam punt 43 yards to the UNLV50, out of bounds at UCLA50 PENALTY UNLV Illegal Substitution 3 yards from UNLV07 to UNLV04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 18
OWN 4
0
96.1%
Cameron Brown punt for 43 yds , Mikey Matthews returns for no gain to the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:2411% → 16%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
88.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 3
50
+20
88.6%
Jalen Berger run for 20 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
87.9%
(05:46) Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico pass incomplete deep left to Gilmer,Kwazi thrown to UNLV00 PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (Welch,Laterrance) 15 yards from UNLV30 to UNLV15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Jack PedersenSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
87.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
89.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
83.9%
Mateen Bhaghani 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:5893% → 96%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
92.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
95.3%
Anthony Colandrea run for 3 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
96.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jai'Den ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
96.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
96.1%
Cameron Brown punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17INT
9 plays · 57 yds · 1:1811% → 17%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-12
88.9%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 16
OWN 13
0
89.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Titus Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 16
OWN 13
+21
89.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 21 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
88.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Ezavier Staples for 6 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+12
86.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Ezavier Staples for 12 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
85.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Anthony Woods for 11 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
85.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 13 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
81.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Kwazi GilmerSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
82.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:4598% → 98%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
97.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 13 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
98.0%
(00:44) Kneel down by UNLV at UNLV25 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-2
98.0%
(00:34) Kneel down by UNLV at UNLV23 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:48
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Noah Fox-Flores for 4 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
-13.3
TD · Q2 5:39
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 21 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)
+12.7
TD · Q4 12:04
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 17 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com