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IOWA

Iowa 13 at Iowa State 16

ISU
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:09 · Rhys Dakin punt for 54 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialDefense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+9.3Home team on offense+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential+0.1Defense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:50: Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +4.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 4:28: Drew Stevens 36 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +6.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:28: Timeout Iowa State, clock 04:28 — ISU win probability +5.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:52: Kyle Konrardy 54 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +29.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:52: Timeout Iowa State, clock 01:52 — IOWA win probability +7.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:41IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42ISU 4th & 5 at IOWA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:09IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:18ISU 4th & 7 at IOWA 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:03IOWA 4th & 22 at IOWA 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:53IOWA 4th & 2 at ISU 12, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:53ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:41IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:41IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:14ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 18, up 3
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:56ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:00IOWA 4th & 1 at ISU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−4.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−4.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:28IOWA 4th & 2 at ISU 18, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%−1.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−11.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:27ISU 4th & 5 at IOWA 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−3.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:21IOWA 4th & 7 at ISU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:52ISU 4th & 7 at IOWA 35, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%−1.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−7.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:49IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 4:50ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:27IOWA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0139% → 39%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
60.7%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 14Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+4
60.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kaden Wetjen for 4 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+4
60.8%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 4 yds to the IOWA 22Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
60.8%
Rhys Dakin punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:5261% → 62%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
60.9%
Carson Hansen run for 11 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
61.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 5 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
61.2%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+5
61.1%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
61.4%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Brett EskildsenSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
61.4%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Becht,Rocco rush right for 8 yards gain to the IOWA23 (Sharar,Karson) PENALTY ISU Holding (Barrett,Dylan) 10 yards from IOWA31 to IOWA41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+6
61.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 6 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+9
60.9%
Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
61.5%
Kyle Konrardy 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:2738% → 38%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
61.7%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 27Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
61.9%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Addison OstrengaSimilar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
62.2%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (Rexroth,Jaxon) 5 yards from IOWA27 to IOWA22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
62.4%
Rhys Dakin punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:4662% → 63%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
61.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+11
62.1%
Abu Sama III run for 11 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
62.7%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 42Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+6
62.6%
Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+5
62.4%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+35
62.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 35 yds to the IOWA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
63.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Dominic OverbySimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
63.1%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the IOWA 9Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
62.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
63.3%
Kyle Konrardy 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 2:5936% → 34%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.2%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
63.7%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 31Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
64.3%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 5 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.9%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jacob GillSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
64.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Terrell Washington Jr. for 6 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 16
OWN 30
-6
65.4%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Marcus Neal Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the IOWA 24Similar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 22
OWN 24
+1
66.4%
Rhys Dakin punt for 44 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 1 yd to the ISU 33 Xavier Townsend fumbled, recovered by IOWA Koen EntringerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0737% → 38%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
62.8%
Mark Gronowski run for 13 yds to the ISU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
62.4%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 21Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+4
62.8%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the ISU 17Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+5
63.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 5 yds to the ISU 12Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+31
62.0%
Drew Stevens 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4764% → 63%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 4 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
63.9%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 28Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
63.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 2 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
62.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:0435% → 34%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
65.3%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Zach OrtwerthSimilar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
65.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Seth Anderson for 5 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
65.6%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
66.4%
Rhys Dakin punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
66.4%
Rhys Dakin punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5065% → 64%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
65.0%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the ISU 12 Carson Hansen fumbled, recovered by ISU Jim BonifasSimilar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+6
64.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 6 yds to the ISU 18Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
64.2%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Dominic OverbySimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
64.3%
Tyler Perkins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:2134% → 33%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
66.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Xavier Williams for 2 yds to the IOWA 33Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-24
67.1%
Mark Gronowski pass intercepted Jeremiah Cooper return for 24 yds to the IOWA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:3669% → 74%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
68.7%
Rocco Becht run for 6 yds to the IOWA 12Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+5
68.9%
Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the IOWA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
69.1%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the IOWA 5Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
69.4%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the IOWA 2Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
74.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12TD
23 plays · 85 yds · 4:0924% → 31%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
76.4%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 19Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+10
77.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 10 yds to the IOWA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
77.1%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Seth AndersonSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+15
77.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Sam Phillips for 15 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
77.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
77.8%
Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the ISU 47Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
77.4%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the ISU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
77.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 7 yds to the ISU 39Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
77.9%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaziun PattersonSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+16
77.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 16 yds to the ISU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
76.8%
Mark Gronowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
76.9%
Xavier Williams run for 9 yds to the ISU 14Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+3
74.0%
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the ISU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
73.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaziun Patterson for 2 yds to the ISU 9Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
73.7%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jacob GillSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+5
74.6%
(00:38) Shotgun Gronowski,Mark sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ISU16 (Bacon,Caleb, Neal,Marcus) PENALTY ISU Holding (James,Ta'Shawn) 5 yards from ISU09 to ISU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
73.7%
PENALTY ISU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hawk,Zaimir) 2 yards from ISU04 to ISU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.3%
Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:2168% → 70%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
67.9%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Becht,Rocco pass incomplete deep right to Eskildsen,Brett thrown to ISU47 PENALTY IOWA Pass Interference (Hall,TJ) 15 yards from ISU25 to ISU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
69.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 5 yds to the ISU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5964% → 62%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.5%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Dominic OverbySimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
64.4%
Rocco Becht run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 23Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
63.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
62.4%
Tyler Perkins punt for 65 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for no gain to the IOWA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 9:1936% → 47%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
64.0%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the IOWA 8Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+22
64.2%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 22 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
63.1%
Mark Gronowski run for 11 yds to the IOWA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
61.2%
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the IOWA 44Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+7
60.7%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to Hayden Large for 7 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
60.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
59.7%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 2 yds to the ISU 41Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
60.2%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the ISU 40Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+3
62.3%
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
60.0%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+4
58.4%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
59.9%
Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
58.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
58.5%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+1
59.7%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the ISU 18Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+36
52.9%
Drew Stevens 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
15 plays · 53 yds · 5:5057% → 59%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
56.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Chase Sowell for 10 yds to the ISU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
57.9%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 13Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
57.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 5 yds to the ISU 18Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+6
55.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 6 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
57.9%
Abu Sama III run for 9 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
60.2%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Xavier TownsendSimilar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
58.4%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
59.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dominic Overby for 9 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
62.2%
Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
63.0%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the IOWA 48Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
62.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 4 yds to the IOWA 44Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
62.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Dominic OverbySimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
59.1%
Tyler Perkins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:5448% → 48%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
52.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 17Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 17
-5
52.3%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (Ortwerth,Zach) 5 yards from IOWA17 to IOWA12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+7
52.7%
Mark Gronowski run for 7 yds to the IOWA 19Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+15
54.2%
(11:28) No Huddle Gronowski,Mark pass incomplete deep middle to Anderson,Seth thrown to ISU40 PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Goodwin,Beau) 15 yards from IOWA19 to IOWA34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
51.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+9
48.4%
Jaziun Patterson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
47.5%
Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 8
50
+1
47.0%
Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the ISU 49Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
47.3%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jacob GillSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
51.7%
Rhys Dakin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the ISU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FG
18 plays · 55 yds · 6:2260% → 89%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
59.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 5 yds to the ISU 15Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+3
59.8%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 18Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+3
56.7%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
59.5%
Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
60.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Brett EskildsenSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+17
58.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 17 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
64.5%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 45Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+7
64.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Chase Sowell for 7 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+10
64.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 10 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
66.8%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the IOWA 37Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
66.6%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the IOWA 37Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+2
61.7%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+54
88.8%
Kyle Konrardy 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:4419% → 10%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
81.4%
Mark Gronowski pass complete to DJ Vonnahme for 6 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-7
80.6%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Tamatoa McDonough for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 11
OWN 23
-4
88.1%
Mark Gronowski sacked by Tamatoa McDonough for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 19Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
89.8%
Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Hayden LargeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4295% → 96%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.8%
R. Becht takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
96.0%
R. Becht takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:52
Kyle Konrardy 54 yd FG GOOD
+29.7
FG · Q4 1:52
Timeout Iowa State, clock 01:52
-7.5
FG · Q3 4:28
Drew Stevens 36 yd FG GOOD
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com