Try the model
UCD

UC Davis 10 at Washington 70

WASH
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadUCD aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreUCD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:11 · Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCD 5 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+30.5Home team on offense+29.7Score differential+19.3Blowout margin+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7Garbage-time factor+8.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:28: Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 5:35: Hunter Ridley 45 yd FG GOOD — UCD win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:51: Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:51: Caden Pinnick pass complete to Ian Simpson for 4 yds for a TD — UCD win probability +0.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:36: Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:37UCD 4th & 15 at UCD 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:23UCD 4th & 6 at UCD 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:35UCD 4th & 15 at WASH 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:04WASH 4th & 1 at UCD 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:43UCD 4th & 6 at UCD 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:11WASH 4th & 1 at UCD 8, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:22UCD 4th & 6 at UCD 29, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:14UCD 4th & 14 at WASH 48, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:55UCD 4th & 5 at UCD 30, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:54UCD 4th & 13 at WASH 46, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:17WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:28WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:51WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:27WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:36WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:31WASH Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:33WASH Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:52WASH Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:02WASH Touchdown, up 59 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCDDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:183% → 3%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
97.4%
Caden Pinnick sacked by Jacob Lane for a loss of 8 yards to the UCD 17Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
97.3%
Jordan Fisher run for 3 yds to the UCD 20Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
97.2%
Caden Pinnick pass incomplete to Samuel Gbatu Jr.Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
97.2%
Dylan Mauro punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:0897% → 97%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
97.2%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 27 yds to the UCD 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
97.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 18 yds to the UCD 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
97.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:483% → 3%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Caden Pinnick pass incomplete to Zach JonesSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 4 yds to the UCD 29Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Caden Pinnick pass incomplete to Matteo PerezSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Dylan Mauro punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:4497% → 97%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 7 yds to the WASH 37Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
97.0%
(10:47) Coleman,Jonah rush left for 0 yards to the WASH37 (Mayo Jr.,Rayne) PENALTY UCD Offside (Goligoski,Sam) 5 yards from WASH37 to WASH42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
96.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+45
96.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 45 yds to the UCD 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
96.7%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the UCD 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 5FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:463% → 4%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Caden Pinnick pass incomplete to Samuel Gbatu Jr.Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Jordan Fisher run for 2 yds to the UCD 27Similar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.8%
Caden Pinnick pass incomplete to Samuel Gbatu Jr.Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+35
96.8%
Carter Vargas run for 35 yds to the WASH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
96.7%
Carter Vargas run for 3 yds to the WASH 20Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-8
96.6%
Caden Pinnick sacked by Isaiah Ward for a loss of 8 yards to the WASH 28Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
96.7%
Caden Pinnick pass incomplete to Samuel Gbatu Jr.Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
96.4%
Hunter Ridley 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:2297% → 97%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 1 yd to the WASH 38Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+10
96.5%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
96.4%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the UCD 48Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-10
96.3%
(03:41) Shotgun Williams Jr.,Demond rush right for 8 yards gain to the UCD40 (Richardson,Ty; Smith-Porter,Derrell) PENALTY WASH Holding (Azzopardi,Drew) 10 yards from UCD48 to WASH42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+13
96.2%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 13 yds to the UCD 45Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+13
96.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the UCD 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
96.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the UCD 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
96.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 6 yds to the UCD 15Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
95.9%
Adam Mohammed run for no gain to the UCD 15Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+7
95.8%
Adam Mohammed run for 7 yds to the UCD 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for no gain to the UCD 8Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen RoebuckSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.8%
Caden Pinnick pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:0997% → 97%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Jonah ColemanSimilar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
96.9%
Jordan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 37Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+16
96.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 16 yds to the UCD 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCD 44Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+11
96.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the UCD 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
96.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds to the UCD 24Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
96.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
96.8%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the UCD 24Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+15
96.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds to the UCD 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 9TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:524% → 4%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.3%
Caden Pinnick run for 4 yds to the UCD 39Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+15
96.2%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Stacy Dobbins for 15 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
96.4%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Stacy Dobbins for 5 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+10
96.2%
(08:13) Shotgun Pinnick,Caden pass incomplete short left to Vargas,Carter thrown to WASH34 QB hurried by Lane,Jacob PENALTY WASH Holding (Clark,Rahshawn) 10 yards from WASH41 to WASH31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
96.2%
(08:06) Shotgun Pinnick,Caden pass incomplete deep left to Gbatu, Jr.,Samuel thrown to WASH08 PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Prysock,Ephesians) 15 yards from WASH31 to WASH16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
96.1%
PENALTY UCD False Start (Simonson,Eli) 5 yards from WASH16 to WASH21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 15
OPP 21
-5
96.2%
PENALTY UCD False Start (Simonson,Eli) 5 yards from WASH21 to WASH26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 20
OPP 26
0
96.4%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Matteo Perez for no gain to the WASH 26Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+5
96.4%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 5 yds to the WASH 21Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+17
96.5%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 17 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.0%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Ian Simpson for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.8%
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Matteo Perez for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:4397% → 98%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
96.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 24 yds to the UCD 41 for a 1ST down UC Davis Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Khalani Riddick) to the UCD 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
96.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCD 23Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for no gain to the UCD 23Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+10
96.7%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the UCD 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
96.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 6 yds to the UCD 7Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
98.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:463% → 0%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
Jordan Fisher run for 3 yds to the UCD 28Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.8%
Caden Pinnick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.0%
UC Davis Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+78
99.6%
Dylan Mauro punt for 49 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 78 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
99.7%
Jordan Fisher run for 2 yds to the UCD 5Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+4
99.7%
Carter Vargas run for 4 yds to the UCD 9Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+10
99.7%
Caden Pinnick run for 10 yds to the UCD 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Caden Pinnick run for 2 yds to the UCD 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:11100% → 100%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds to the UCD 47Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
99.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the UCD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 15 yds to the UCD 27 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Carver Willis) to the UCD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
99.5%
Adam Mohammed run for 25 yds to the UCD 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
99.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+9
99.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds to the UCD 8Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+3
99.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the UCD 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:120% → 0%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Jordan Fisher run for 2 yds to the UCD 27Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.7%
PENALTY UCD Delay Of Game 5 yards from UCD27 to UCD22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
99.7%
Grant Harper pass complete to Winston Williams for 7 yds to the UCD 29Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Grant Harper pass incomplete to Stacy DobbinsSimilar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+27
99.7%
Dylan Mauro pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 27 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
99.7%
Grant Harper sacked by Zach Durfee for a loss of 7 yards to the UCD 49Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Carter Vargas run for 3 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 14
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Grant Harper pass incomplete to Zach JonesSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Dylan Mauro punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Rahshawn Clark at the WASH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Audric Harris for 3 yds to the WASH 13Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+22
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 22 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Dezmen RoebuckSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Decker DeGraafSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.8%
Adam Mohammed run for 7 yds to the UCD 47Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+47
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 47 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Grant Harper run for 4 yds to the UCD 29Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Grant Harper run for 1 yd to the UCD 30Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Grant Harper pass incomplete to Stacy DobbinsSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+17
99.9%
Cade Cox punt for 51 yds , Rahshawn Clark returns for 17 yds to the WASH 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Chris LawsonSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+19
99.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 19 yds to the UCD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 8 yds to the UCD 37Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Chris LawsonSimilar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 5 yds to the UCD 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.9%
Jordan Washington run for 15 yds to the UCD 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 5 yds to the UCD 12Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 2 yds to the UCD 10Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Kai Horton run for 10 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.9%
PENALTY UCD UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Totton,Kameron) 15 yards from WASH35 to WASH50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Grant Harper pass incomplete to Carter VargasSimilar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Grant Harper pass complete to Zach Jones for 12 yds to the UCD 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
100.0%
Grant Harper pass complete to Winston Williams for 20 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Grant Harper pass incomplete to Zach JonesSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
Carter Vargas run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 45Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Grant Harper run for 4 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 8
OPP 41
-5
100.0%
PENALTY UCD Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH41 to WASH46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Cade Cox punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rahshawn Clark at the WASH 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 7:40100% → 100%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.9%
Kai Horton run for 3 yds to the WASH 10Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Jordan Washington run for 5 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+10
99.9%
Jordan Washington run for 10 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Kai Horton pass complete to Justice Williams for 14 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Jordan Washington run for 3 yds to the WASH 42Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+22
99.9%
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Lawson for 22 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the UCD 33Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+8
100.0%
Kai Horton run for 8 yds to the UCD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
100.0%
Jordan Washington run for 1 yd to the UCD 24Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+14
100.0%
Kai Horton pass complete to Justice Williams for 14 yds to the UCD 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
100.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 2 yds to the UCD 8Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the UCD 4Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 20END OF GAME
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Kai Acia run for 3 yds to the UCD 28Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Treynor Cleeland pass complete to Connor Bonesio for 6 yds to the UCD 34Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Kai Acia run for 2 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
100.0%
Kai Acia run for 10 yds to the UCD 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Treynor Cleeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
100.0%
Kai Acia run for 3 yds to the UCD 49Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+20
100.0%
Treynor Cleeland pass complete to Tyler Hennessy for 20 yds to the WASH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:36
Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 14:51
Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 5:51
Caden Pinnick pass complete to Ian Simpson for 4 yds for a TD
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com