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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 10 at Wisconsin 42

WIS
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q4Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:54 · Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 5 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q4Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+27.5Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:13: Jacob Hathaway 27 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:16: Danny O'Neil pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +2.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:00: Nicholas Vattiato pass to Jekail Middlebrook for 11 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down — WIS win probability +16.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:26: Trech Kekahuna run for 61 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +6.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:48: Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 17 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 13 of 14
  1. Q1 9:52WIS 4th & 10 at MTSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:13MTSU 4th & 9 at WIS 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:13MTSU 4th & 9 at WIS 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:24WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:16WIS 4th & 3 at MTSU 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:00MTSU 4th & 23 at WIS 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:00MTSU 4th & 23 at WIS 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:24MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:54MTSU 4th & 5 at WIS 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−0.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:18MTSU 4th & 1 at WIS 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−1.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:18MTSU 4th & 18 at MTSU 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:05MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:54MTSU 4th & 5 at WIS 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:18MTSU 4th & 1 at WIS 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−1.0
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−3.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:21MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:08WIS 4th & 3 at MTSU 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:18MTSU 4th & 18 at MTSU 17, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:26MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 46, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 8:16WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:26WIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:48WIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 5:0596% → 95%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Dilin Jones run for 4 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
96.1%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 11 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.1%
Dilin Jones run for no gain to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
96.0%
Tyrell Henry run for 3 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+16
95.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 16 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
95.8%
Danny O'Neil run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 45Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+5
95.7%
Dilin Jones run for 5 yds to the MTSU 40Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-1
95.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 41Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 10
OPP 41
+15
95.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 33 yds , Juwon Gaston returns for 15 yds to the MTSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 8:104% → 6%
Q1 12:23
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+16
95.8%
Danny O'Neil pass to Vinny Anthony II for 16 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
95.8%
Danny O'Neil run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 45Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+5
95.7%
Dilin Jones run for 5 yds to the MTSU 40Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-1
95.5%
Danny O'Neil pass to Trech Kekahuna for a loss of 1 yards to the MTSU 41Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 10
OPP 41
+15
95.3%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 33 yds to the MTSU 23, Juwon Gaston returns for 15 yds to the MTSU 23Similar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
95.3%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the MTSU 29Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+15
95.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 15 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.9%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MTSU 44Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
94.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 9 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
94.6%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
94.4%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-1
94.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Rickey Hunt Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 41Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+37
94.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 37 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the WIS 4Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae CoxSimilar
Q1 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
93.8%
PENALTY MTS Delay Of Game 5 yards from WIS04 to WIS09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
93.6%
Jacob Hathaway 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
18 plays · 8 yds · 7:235% → 7%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
95.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the MTSU 29Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+15
95.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Myles Butler for 15 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
94.9%
Jekail Middlebrook runSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
94.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Myles Butler for 9 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
94.5%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the WIS 41Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
94.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-1
94.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Rickey Hunt Jr. for a loss of 1 yards to the WIS 41Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+37
93.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Nahzae Cox for 37 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.6%
Jekail Middlebrook runSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+5
93.6%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, delayofgame (5 Yards)Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
93.6%
Jacob Hathaway 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Dilin Jones for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
93.4%
Dilin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.0%
Danny O'Neil run for 8 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
92.8%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 10:4594% → 91%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Danny O'Neil pass to Dilin Jones for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
93.4%
Dilin Jones run for a loss of 1 yards to the WIS 25Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.0%
Danny O'Neil run for 8 yds to the WIS 33Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
92.8%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 yds to the WIS , punt out-of-bounds at the WIS Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
91.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 16 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
91.5%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+11
91.6%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Chris Brooks Jr. for 11 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
91.4%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 1 yd to the MTSU 48Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+9
91.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 9 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
91.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the MTSU 37Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+34
90.7%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 34 yds to the MTSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
90.4%
Dilin Jones run for 1 yd to the MTSU 2Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
90.1%
Dilin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 3Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.3%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Lance MasonSimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.3%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:176% → 7%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
93.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Amorion Walker for 6 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+6
93.5%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
93.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the MTSU 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+31
93.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 31 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-13
92.4%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-13 Yards) to the WIS 48Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 23
OPP 48
0
92.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the WIS 48Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 23
OPP 48
0
92.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae CoxSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 23
OPP 48
0
93.0%
Ashton Logan punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6INT
15 plays · 13 yds · 10:136% → 10%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
93.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Amorion Walker for 6 yds to the MTSU 27Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+6
93.5%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTSU 33Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
93.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the MTSU 34Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+31
93.2%
to Nahzae Cox for 31 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down, Nicholas Vattiato passSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-13
92.4%
Middle Tennessee Penalty, intentionalgrounding (Myles Butler), Myles Butler sacked by Sebastian Cheeks for a loss of 13 yards to the WIS 48Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 23
OPP 48
0
92.8%
Jekail Middlebrook runSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 23
OPP 48
0
92.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 23
OPP 48
0
93.0%
Ashton Logan punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.0%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
90.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Amorion WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
90.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 9 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7DOWNS
19 plays · 50 yds · 8:427% → 15%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
93.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Jekail Middlebrook for 11 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
92.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Nahzae Cox for 7 yds to the MTSU 43Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
92.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
92.9%
Ashton Logan punt for 37 yds to the MTSU Similar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
89.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 21 yds to the MTSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
87.7%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 6 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
87.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Myles ButlerSimilar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
87.0%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
86.4%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIS42 (Lane Jr.,Brandon) PENALTY MTS Illegal Shift 5 yards from WIS43 to WIS48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
87.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+4
87.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Rickey Hunt Jr. for 4 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+6
86.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 6 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+5
87.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 5 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
85.0%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+2
84.4%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-1
85.5%
Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 8:4989% → 93%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
89.1%
Danny O'Neil pass intercepted, Damonte Smith return for 7 yds to the WIS 18Similar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
87.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 14 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
93.3%
Trech Kekahuna run for 61 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 10:519% → 7%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
91.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Jekail Middlebrook for 7 yds to the WIS 4Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
91.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Hunter Tipton for 4 yds to the WIS 0, for a TD for a 1ST down (Jacob Hathaway KICK)Similar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Austin Clemons for 3 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-9
92.6%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Brandon Lane for a loss of 9 yards to the MTSU 19Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+2
93.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 2 yds to the MTSU 17Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+3
93.4%
Ashton Logan punt for 36 yds , Tyrell Henry returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 16:427% → 3%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
93.3%
Danny O'Neil pass to Trech Kekahuna for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 28Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+13
93.0%
Dilin Jones run for 13 yds to the WIS 41Similar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.8%
Stanley Anderson-Lofton run for 1 yd to the MTSU 26Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
96.9%
Stanley Anderson-Lofton run for 15 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
96.6%
Stanley Anderson-Lofton sacked by Tackett Curtis for a loss of 7 yards to the MTSU 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MTSU 34Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+11
97.3%
Stanley Anderson-Lofton pass complete to Kason Stokes for 11 yds to the MTSU 45Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Ashton Logan punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
18 plays · 5 yds · 20:264% → 0%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
95.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Myles Butler for 21 yds to the MTSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
95.4%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 6 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
95.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
95.3%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
95.1%
Nicholas Vattiato run, Middle Tennessee Penalty, illegalshift (5 Yards)Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
95.4%
Jekail Middlebrook runSimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+4
95.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Rickey Hunt Jr. for 4 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+6
95.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Hunter Tipton for 6 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+5
95.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Jekail Middlebrook for 5 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
94.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+2
95.4%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
95.8%
Jekail Middlebrook runSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-1
95.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 1 yards to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Myles ButlerSimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 5 yds to the MTSU 30Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Tayvion GallowaySimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+23
99.7%
Jekail Middlebrook punt blocked by Charlie Jarvis blocked by Charlie JarvisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 17:2699% → 100%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.1%
Darrion Dupree run for 14 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
99.3%
Trech Kekahuna run for 61 yds to the MTSU 0, for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jackson McGohan for 15 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the MTSU 37Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Danny O'Neil pass incomplete to Cade YacamelliSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+6
99.8%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+6
99.8%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the MTSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 8 yds to the MTSU 17Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 17 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 20:590% → 0%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Austin Clemons for 3 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-9
99.7%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Brandon Lane for a loss of 9 yards to the MTSU 19Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-2
99.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Myles Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 17Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+3
99.7%
Ashton Logan punt for 36 yds to the 50 yard line, Tyrell Henry returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Gideon Ituka run for 4 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Gideon Ituka run for 2 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
100.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 44 fumbled, recovered by MTSU Korey SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 15 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+15
99.8%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 15 yds to the MTSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.8%
Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the MTSU 14Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Vinny Anthony II run for 14 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15END OF GAME
9 plays · 2 yds · 20:08100% → 100%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.8%
Danny O'Neil pass to Lance Mason for 15 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+15
99.8%
Danny O'Neil pass to Jayden Ballard for 15 yds to the MTSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.8%
Darrion Dupree run for 2 yds to the MTSU 14Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Vinny Anthony II run for 14 yds to the MTSU 0, for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae CoxSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
100.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Amorion Walker for 9 yds to the WIS 35Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-9
100.0%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WIS 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 3:36100% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
99.9%
Dilin Jones run for 4 yds to the WIS 5Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+5
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 5 yds to the WIS 10Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Lance Mason for 13 yds to the WIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Danny O'Neil run for 7 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Dilin Jones run for 10 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
99.9%
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 58 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
99.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 12 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
100.0%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 40Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 8 yds to the MTSU 48Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-2
100.0%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Tyreese Fearbry for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 46Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Ashton Logan punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIS 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:00
Nicholas Vattiato pass to Jekail Middlebrook for 11 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down
+16.7
TD · Q3 7:26
Trech Kekahuna run for 61 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 8:16
Danny O'Neil pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com