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WIU

Western Illinois 7 at Northwestern 42

NU
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 5, 2025 · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:10 · Luke Droegemueller punt for 32 yds to the NU 43, Drew Wagner returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+21.2Home team on offense+34.5Score differential+29.5Garbage-time factor+9.8Blowout margin+14.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:44: Hayden Eligon II 5 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Lawson Albright Run for Two-Point Conversion) — NU win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:06: Luke Akers 35 Yd Field Goal — NU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:40: Luke Akers 25 Yd Field Goal — NU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:53WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:53NU 4th & 10 at NU 41, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:30WIU 4th & 10 at WIU 15, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:47NU 4th & 18 at NU 44, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:46WIU 4th & 8 at NU 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38NU 4th & 10 at NU 10, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:02WIU 4th & 15 at WIU 43, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:28NU 4th & 1 at WIU 6, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:19WIU 4th & 1 at NU 29, down 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:06NU 4th & 8 at WIU 17, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:57WIU 4th & 10 at WIU 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:40NU 4th & 7 at WIU 7, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:10WIU 4th & 10 at WIU 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:39WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:58NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:44NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:43NU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:07NU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:47WIU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:1398% → 98%
Q1 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
97.8%
Preston Stone pass to Cam Porter for 4 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
97.7%
Preston Stone pass to Ricky Ahumaraeze for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.7%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the WIU 49Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+6
97.6%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the WIU 43Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+43
97.6%
Cam Porter 43 Yd Run (Luke Akers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:433% → 3%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.5%
Chris Irvin pass to Christian Anaya for 4 yds to the WIU 31Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
97.5%
Markell Holman run for 2 yds to the WIU 33Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+34
97.4%
Chris Irvin runSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+2
97.4%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 47 yds to the NU 22, Drew Wagner returns for 2 yds to the NU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:5597% → 98%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+46
97.4%
Preston Stone pass to Griffin Wilde for 46 yds to the WIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
97.3%
Preston Stone pass to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds to the WIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
97.3%
Cam Porter run for 14 yds to the WIU 6Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.2%
Cam Porter runSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.2%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the WIU 5Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Hayden Eligon II 5 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Lawson Albright Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 4INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:592% → 2%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Chris Irvin run for 1 yd to the WIU 26Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
97.9%
Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the WIU 30Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
97.9%
Chris Irvin pass to Demari Davis for 9 yds to the WIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.9%
Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the WIU 43Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
97.9%
Chris Irvin run for 1 yd to the WIU 44Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-7
97.9%
Chris Irvin pass intercepted, Mac Uihlein return for 7 yds to the WIU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5DOWNS
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:2998% → 98%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
97.9%
Preston Stone pass to Griffin Wilde for 16 yds to the WIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
98.1%
Preston Stone pass to Chase Farrell for a loss of 3 yards to the WIU 35, to Justin RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
97.9%
Markell Holman run for 3 yds to the WIU 37Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
98.0%
Markell Holman run for a loss of 1 yards to the WIU 36Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+4
98.0%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 38 yds to the , Drew Wagner returns for 4 yds to the NU 26, Northwestern Penalty, illegalblockinback (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5998% → 98%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.1%
Preston Stone pass to Joseph Himon II for 1 yd to the NU 21Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+20
98.1%
to Ricky Ahumaraeze for 20 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST down, Preston Stone passSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Caleb Komolafe runSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
98.2%
to Griffin Wilde, Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
98.1%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds to the NU , punt out-of-bounds at the NU Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 33 yds to the WIU , punt out-of-bounds at the WIU Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:3898% → 98%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.3%
Preston Stone pass to Hayden Eligon II, Northwestern Penalty, ineligibledownfieldonpass (Martes Lewis)Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+10
98.3%
Cam Porter run, Northwestern Penalty, holding (Evan Beerntsen)Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 25
OWN 37
+5
98.2%
Preston Stone pass to Lawson Albright for 5 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 20
OWN 42
+7
98.2%
Preston Stone pass to Cam Porter for 7 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 13
OWN 49
+5
98.1%
Northwestern Penalty, falsestart (Robert Fitzgerald)Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
98.1%
Luke Akers punt for 41 yds to the NU Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:542% → 2%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
98.2%
Markell Holman run for 12 yds to the WIU 27Similar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.2%
Chris Irvin pass to Christian Anaya for 5 yds to the WIU 32Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass to Demari Davis for 6 yds to the WIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass incomplete, Northwestern Penalty, roughingthepasser (Anto Saka)Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.1%
Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
98.1%
Western Illinois Penalty, delayofgame (5 Yards)Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+3
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass to Joel Salien for 3 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
97.9%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 35 yds to the WIU Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5898% → 98%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
98.3%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 7Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+4
98.3%
Preston Stone pass to Drew Wagner for 4 yds to the NU 11Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-1
98.3%
Preston Stone sacked by Peyton Bradford for a loss of 1 yards to the NU 10Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
98.3%
Luke Akers punt for 42 yds to the NU Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
97.9%
Markell Holman runSimilar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-3
97.9%
Chris Irvin sacked by Michael Kilbane for a loss of 3 yards to the WIU 43Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 15
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 40 yds to the WIU Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13DOWNS
17 plays · 77 yds · 3:2998% → 99%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
98.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 10 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+10
98.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 10 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
98.6%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 38Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+12
98.5%
Preston Stone pass to Cam Porter for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
50
+1
98.7%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the WIU 49Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+5
98.7%
Cam Porter run, Western Illinois Penalty, offside (Esteban Guillory)Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
98.8%
Preston Stone pass to Griffin Wilde for 16 yds to the WIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
98.8%
Preston Stone pass to Ricky Ahumaraeze for 13 yds to the WIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.9%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
98.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 9 yds to the WIU 6Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
98.7%
Caleb Komolafe runSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
98.6%
Hunter Welcing 6 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Luke Akers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 14DOWNS
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
98.3%
Markell Holman run for 8 yds to the WIU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:272% → 2%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
98.3%
Markell Holman run for 10 yds to the WIU 31Similar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+31
98.2%
Christian Anaya pass to Demari Davis for 31 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
98.2%
Markell Holman run for 2 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
98.3%
Markell Holman run for 4 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
98.3%
Chris Irvin run for 3 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+48
98.3%
Antonio Chadha 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:0599% → 99%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.6%
Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
98.7%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+13
98.7%
Preston Stone run, Preston Stone run for 13 yds to the Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
98.7%
Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the WIU 42Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+11
98.8%
Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the WIU 31Similar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
98.8%
Preston Stone pass to Hayden Eligon II for 12 yds to the WIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.7%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
98.7%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the WIU 17Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
98.7%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
99.4%
Luke Akers 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+58
99.3%
Markell Holman runSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 50 yds to the WIU Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 64 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.5%
Preston Stone pass to Griffin Wilde for 4 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+16
99.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 16 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
99.6%
Preston Stone pass to Joseph Himon II for 14 yds to the WIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+28
99.6%
Preston Stone pass to Hunter Welcing for 28 yds to the WIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.6%
Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the WIU 4Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
99.6%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIU 7Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.6%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
99.9%
Luke Akers 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Chris Irvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 10
OWN 22
-3
99.9%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 32 yds to the NU 43, Drew Wagner returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:18100% → 100%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 44Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 7 yds to the WIU 49Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+12
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 12 yds to the WIU 37Similar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 24 yds to the WIU 13Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the WIU 7Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the WIU 5Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Caleb Komolafe run, Western Illinois Penalty, unsportsmanlikeconduct (3 Yards)Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
99.9%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIU 4Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Joseph Himon II runSimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Drew Wagner 4 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Jack Olsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Cason Carswell pass to Markell Holman for 2 yds to the WIU 27Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
99.9%
Cason Carswell sacked by Carmine Bastone for a loss of 9 yards to the WIU 18Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+12
100.0%
Cason Carswell pass to Brandon Lanier for 12 yds to the WIU 30Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+36
100.0%
Luke Droegemueller punt for 36 yds to the NU 33, Drew Wagner returns for a loss of 1 yards to the NU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Daniel Anderson run for 4 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Daniel Anderson run for 5 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+58
99.9%
Ryan Boe 58 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:070% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Brinston Williams run for 4 yds to the WIU 29Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
100.0%
Cason Carswell pass to Alex Williams for 13 yds to the WIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
Cason Carswell run for 9 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+14
100.0%
Cason Carswell pass to Brandon Lanier for 14 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Cason Carswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
100.0%
Brinston Williams run for 7 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+8
100.0%
Cason Carswell run for 8 yds to the NU 20Similar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
100.0%
Cason Carswell pass to Alex Williams for 3 yds to the NU 17, Northwestern Penalty, facemask (Jalen Lewis)Similar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Cason Carswell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Christian Anaya 8 Yd pass from Cason Carswell (Antonio Chadha Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Dashun Reeder run for 3 yds to the NU 38Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Dashun Reeder run for 4 yds to the NU 42Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Dashun Reeder run for 6 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
100.0%
Ryan Boe takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 7:06
Luke Akers 35 Yd Field Goal
+0.7
TD · Q1 6:44
Hayden Eligon II 5 Yd pass from Preston Stone (Lawson Albright Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+0.3
FG · Q3 1:40
Luke Akers 25 Yd Field Goal
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com