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GASO

Georgia Southern 20 at USC 59

USC
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:17 · Alex Smith punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+42.0Home team on offense+2.6Score differential+0.8Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:14: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 74 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:32: JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK) — GASO win probability +1.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:52: Ryon Sayeri 26 yd FG GOOD — USC win probability +0.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:31: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 14 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +1.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:49: Waymond Jordan run for 36 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK) — USC win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 7:41GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:17GASO 4th & 21 at USC 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:51USC 4th & 15 at USC 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:52USC 4th & 3 at GASO 8, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:26GASO 4th & 2 at USC 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:31GASO 4th & 25 at GASO 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:43USC 4th & 8 at USC 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:12GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, down 18
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:55GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:30GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:04GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 24, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:50GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 42, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:24USC 4th & 17 at GASO 45, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00GASO 4th & 5 at USC 14, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:01GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:50USC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:53USC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:14USC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:32GASO Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:31USC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:49USC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:58USC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:34GASO Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:55USC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:24USC Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1497% → 97%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
96.6%
Waymond Jordan run for 6 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
96.5%
Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the USC 41 Waymond Jordan fumbled, recovered by GASO Caleb MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:334% → 4%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
96.4%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
96.3%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Josh DallasSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
96.3%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete short right to Cobb,Dalen thrown to USC23 PENALTY USC Offside (Fountain,Kameryn) 5 yards from USC37 to USC32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+32
96.3%
Weston Bryan pass complete to Camden Brown for 32 yds for a TD USC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0696% → 96%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.3%
Waymond Jordan run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
96.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 16 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
96.1%
Waymond Jordan run for 13 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
96.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Tanook Hines for 6 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
95.9%
Waymond Jordan run for 3 yds to the GASO 35Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+17
95.7%
Waymond Jordan run for 17 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
95.7%
Waymond Jordan run for 6 yds to the GASO 12Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+12
95.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 12 yds for a TD Georgia Southern Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chris Crouch) declined (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:054% → 5%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
95.5%
JC French IV pass complete to Josh Dallas for no gain to the GASO 30Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.5%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.5%
Alex Smith punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4095% → 96%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
95.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 18 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
95.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 62 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:284% → 5%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.7%
JC French IV run for 6 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
95.6%
JC French IV pass complete to Josh Dallas for 15 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
95.5%
OJ Arnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 45Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+5
95.4%
David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 6
50
+15
95.3%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete deep right to Cobb,Dalen thrown to USC25 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Johnson,Chasen) 15 yards from GS50 to USC35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.1%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
95.1%
JC French IV pass complete to Ahmon Green for 4 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 14
OPP 39
-7
95.3%
JC French IV sacked by Anthony Lucas for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 46Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 21
OPP 46
0
95.3%
Alex Smith punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:5895% → 96%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
95.3%
Waymond Jordan run for 7 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
95.2%
Waymond Jordan run for 4 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
96.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 74 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:574% → 4%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.0%
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 11 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
95.9%
USC Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Eric Gentry) to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.8%
JC French IV pass intercepted DeCarlos Nicholson return for no gain to the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:1796% → 96%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
96.1%
Eli Sanders run for 19 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Makai LemonSimilar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Eli Sanders for 5 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
96.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jay FairSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Sam Johnson punt for 46 yds , Josh Dallas returns for no gain to the GASO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:094% → 6%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
95.8%
JC French IV pass complete to Terrance Gibbs for 17 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.7%
JC French IV pass complete to Josh Dallas for 5 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
95.6%
Terrance Gibbs run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 2
50
+5
95.6%
David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
95.4%
USC Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Braylan Shelby) to the USC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
95.2%
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the USC 24Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
93.6%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2894% → 95%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
94.2%
Waymond Jordan run for 6 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
94.2%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Lake McReeSimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+53
94.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 53 yds to the GASO 15 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chris Crouch) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
94.4%
Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds to the GASO 10Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
94.4%
Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the GASO 8Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
94.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
94.8%
Ryon Sayeri 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:206% → 6%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Josh DallasSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
94.5%
OJ Arnold run for 10 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
94.4%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 17 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
94.0%
JC French IV pass complete to Ahmon Green for 17 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
93.7%
Dalen Cobb sacked by Eric Gentry for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 35Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+7
93.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 7 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+5
93.8%
JC French IV run for 5 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
94.0%
JC French IV pass incomplete to OJ ArnoldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:4595% → 97%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
94.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 22 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
94.7%
Eli Sanders run for 15 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
94.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 26 yds to the GASO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 14 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 1:554% → 4%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.0%
OJ Arnold run for 13 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
95.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Ahmon Green for 6 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+8
95.8%
OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
95.4%
JC French IV sacked by Kameryn Fountain for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 49Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 13
OWN 49
0
95.8%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-12
96.0%
JC French IV sacked by Anthony Lucas for a loss of 12 yards to the GASO 37Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 25
OWN 37
0
96.3%
Alex Smith punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4397% → 97%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ja'Kobi LaneSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
96.8%
Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Makai LemonSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Sam Johnson punt for 48 yds , Peyton Plott returns for no gain to the GASO 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:364% → 4%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
96.1%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 21Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
96.1%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Arnold,OJ rush middle for 0 yards to the GS21 (Lucas,Anthony; Shelby,Braylan) PENALTY USC Illegal Use Of Hands (Stephens II,Desman) 15 yards from GS21 to GS36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.8%
David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the GASO 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:404% → 4%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.1%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
95.9%
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 1 yd to the GASO 30Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
96.0%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.9%
Alex Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Makai Lemon at the USC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:1697% → 99%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
97.0%
Waymond Jordan run for 12 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
97.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 12 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chris Crouch) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.4%
Waymond Jordan run for 6 yds to the GASO 41Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Waymond JordanSimilar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
97.3%
Waymond Jordan run for 5 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.1%
Waymond Jordan run for 36 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Alex Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Makai Lemon at the USC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:5299% → 100%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.1%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+61
99.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zacharyus Williams for 61 yds to the GASO 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.2%
Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the GASO 2Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.3%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass incomplete short left thrown to GS00 PENALTY GS Holding (Meyers,Justin) 1 yard from GS02 to GS01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 6:150% → 1%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.8%
JC French IV pass complete to David Mbadinga for 4 yds to the GASO 15Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+13
99.7%
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 13 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+2
99.7%
JC French IV run for 2 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
99.7%
JC French IV run for 7 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
99.7%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
JC French IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.8%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 14 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.8%
David Mbadinga run for 11 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.8%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+19
99.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 19 yds to the USC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.2%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 13 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Lake McReeSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to DJ Jordan for 9 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+35
99.6%
Waymond Jordan run for 35 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.6%
Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the GASO 34Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+26
99.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 26 yds to the GASO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.7%
Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds to the GASO 5Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
David Mbadinga run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 24Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Alex Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zacharyus Williams at the USC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 24TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
King Miller run for 2 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+21
99.9%
Harry Dalton III run for 21 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
King Miller run for 41 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
Sayeri,Ryon kick attempt good (H: Johnson,Sam, LS: Pepper,Hank) PENALTY USC False Start (Paige,Elijah) 5 yards from GS03 to GS08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Turner Helton pass complete to Antavious Murphy for 11 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Turner Helton pass complete to Dylan Gary for 3 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Turner Helton run for 3 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Turner Helton pass incomplete to Antavious MurphySimilar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Alex Smith punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Zacharyus Williams at the USC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 26PUNT
12 plays · 45 yds · 6:16100% → 100%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to DJ Jordan for 5 yds to the USC 15Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass incomplete to Joey OlsenSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Tanook Hines for 7 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Harry Dalton III run for 6 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to DJ Jordan for 14 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
100.0%
Husan Longstreet pass complete to Tanook Hines for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 2
50
+12
100.0%
King Miller run for 12 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
100.0%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Dalton III,Harry rush right for 8 yards gain to the GS30 (Tyson,Brandon) PENALTY USC Holding (Tabaracci,Carson) 10 yards from GS38 to GS48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Husan Longstreet run for 6 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 14
OPP 42
-3
100.0%
Harry Dalton III run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 45Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 17
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Husan Longstreet pass incomplete to Tanook HinesSimilar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Sam Johnson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Peyton Plott at the GASO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27END OF GAME
13 plays · 81 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
100.0%
Jamarian Samuel run for 15 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Turner Helton pass incomplete to Dylan GarySimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+36
100.0%
Jamarian Samuel run for 36 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
100.0%
Turner Helton pass complete to Dylan Gary for 5 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Turner Helton pass incomplete to Carmelo MaysSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Jamarian Samuel run for 2 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+13
100.0%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Helton,Turner pass incomplete deep left to Murphy,Antavious thrown to USC02 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Urlacher,Kennedy) 13 yards from USC32 to USC19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Turner Helton pass incomplete to Carmelo MaysSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
100.0%
Jamarian Samuel run for 5 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
100.0%
Turner Helton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+5
100.0%
Turner Helton pass complete to Carmelo Mays for 5 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:31
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Walker Lyons for 14 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q3 10:49
Waymond Jordan run for 36 yds for a TD (Ryon Sayeri KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 11:32
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com