Try the model
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Beaver Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:28 · Trey Wilhoit punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the PSU 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+24.5Home team on offense+27.3Score differential+19.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Garbage-time factor+5.0Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:50: Ryan Barker 41 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Noah Grant kickoff for 59 yds , King Mack return for 18 yds to the PSU 24 — FIU win probability +0.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:56: Ryan Barker 34 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:45: Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 14 — PSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:44: Devonte Ross 42 Yd pass from Drew Allar, Two Point Conversion Failed. Penalty PSU Holding. (Ryan Barker Kick) — PSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9FIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 14:07FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31PSU 4th & 4 at FIU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48FIU 4th & 2 at PSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:02PSU 4th & 1 at FIU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:23FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:36PSU 4th & 2 at FIU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:29FIU 4th & 13 at PSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:32PSU 4th & 7 at FIU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:56FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:53PSU 4th & 3 at FIU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:50PSU 4th & 13 at FIU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:26FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:56PSU 4th & 4 at FIU 16, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:53FIU 4th & 7 at PSU 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:33FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 41, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:28FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 40, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:34PSU 4th & 11 at PSU 16, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:04FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 16, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:33PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 40, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:55FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:40FIU 4th & 4 at PSU 33, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 3:54PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:44PSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:29PSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:19PSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.2%
Florida International Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FIU 20Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+6
99.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 50 yds , Devonte Ross returns for 6 yds to the PSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2499% → 99%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 43Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 6 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
99.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:321% → 1%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.0%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 7
50
+8
98.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 8 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+21
98.9%
Kejon Owens run for 21 yds to the PSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.8%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the PSU 19Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-4
98.8%
Anthony Carrie run for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 23Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+10
98.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 10 yds to the PSU 13Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 2
OPP 13
0
98.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 3:4899% → 99%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
98.7%
Florida International Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the PSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
98.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 16 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.7%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
98.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+2
98.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
98.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
98.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 20 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+11
98.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 11 yds to the FIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 9 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5INT
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:122% → 2%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.5%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
98.4%
Owens, Kejon rush for 1 yard to the FIU31, PENALTY FIU holding 10 yards to the FIU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
98.4%
Anthony Carrie run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+12
98.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Justin Cayenne for 12 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
98.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kyle McNeal for 3 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.3%
Anthony Carrie run for 5 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-1
98.1%
Anthony Carrie run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 41Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+13
98.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 13 yds to the PSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.0%
Anthony Carrie run for 2 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+22
97.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 22 yds to the PSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
97.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Alonzo Ford Jr. return for 5 yds to the PSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:4698% → 98%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 26Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
97.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 3 yds to the PSU 29Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
97.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 13 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
97.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+12
97.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 12 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
97.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
97.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+2
97.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+1
97.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the FIU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:533% → 3%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
97.5%
Devonte Lyons run for 9 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+27
97.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to JoJo Stone for 27 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-3
97.1%
Devonte Lyons run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 46Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 13
OPP 46
0
97.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
97.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Dominic DeLuca blocked by Dominic DeLuca TEAM punt 0 yards to the PSU46, recovered by FIU Payne, Dallas at FIU45 (blocked by DeLuca, Dominic).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5297% → 97%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.4%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
97.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 3 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
97.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
97.1%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 40 yds, downed at the FIU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:233% → 3%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
97.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 4Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
97.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+3
97.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shaborne Demps for 3 yds to the FIU 7Similar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+17
97.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 47 yds , Devonte Ross returns for 17 yds to the FIU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:5397% → 97%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
97.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+3
96.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+9
96.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 9 yds to the FIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
96.7%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
96.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pea for 2 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-5
96.4%
Drew Allar sacked by Quaylen Hill for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
96.8%
Ryan Barker 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:173% → 3%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 2 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
96.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 5 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
96.7%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 32 yds, downed at the PSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:1797% → 97%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 7 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+8
97.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
50
+14
97.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 14 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+53
97.0%
Ryan Barker 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:4996% → 97%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
96.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 16 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
96.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 6 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+7
96.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
96.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 6 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+7
96.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 7 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 8 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
96.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the FIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
96.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 4 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
96.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
96.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
97.0%
Ryan Barker 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:523% → 4%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.8%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
96.6%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
96.5%
Kejon Owens run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
50
0
96.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
50
0
96.3%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 10
50
+3
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 3 yds to the PSU 47Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
96.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the PSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 88 yds · 2:0197% → 99%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
96.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 14Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+30
96.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pea for 30 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+10
97.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.0%
Devonte Ross 42 Yd pass from Drew Allar, Two Point Conversion Failed. Penalty PSU Holding. (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 5 yds · 3:581% → 1%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Justin Cayenne for 2 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
98.9%
Anthony Carrie run for 6 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-2
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 41Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+5
99.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Anthony Carrie for 5 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 47Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-10
99.1%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FIU 37Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 19
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+3
99.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Anthony Carrie for 3 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the PSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 21Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+1
99.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 22Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 5
OWN 22
-6
99.4%
Drew Allar sacked by Johnny Chaney Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the PSU 16Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
99.3%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 67 yds, downed at the FIU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
99.4%
Devonte Lyons run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 14Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 13
OWN 14
-9
99.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Enai White for a loss of 9 yards to the FIU 5Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 22
OWN 5
+11
99.5%
Devonte Lyons run for 11 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 44 yds, downed at the PSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:23100% → 99%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.4%
Gabriel Nwosu punt for 53 yds , C'Quan Jnopierre returns for 10 yds to the FIU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:301% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.4%
Devonte Lyons run for 8 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Devonte Lyons run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+2
99.7%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.7%
JoJo Stone run for 7 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+8
99.7%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Nelson for 9 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-2
99.7%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 3
50
+11
99.8%
Kejon Owens run for 11 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 5 yds to the PSU 34Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+1
99.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the PSU 33Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
100.0%
Kaytron Allen 67 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Ross Fournet for 6 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
100.0%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Ross Fournet for 7 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
100.0%
Anthony Carrie run for 2 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+39
100.0%
Joe Pesansky sacked by Chaz Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 5 Joe Pesansky fumbled, recovered by PSU Chaz Coleman , return for 0 yards , return for 39 yds to the FIU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Nicholas Singleton 5 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Joe Pesansky run for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
100.0%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Ross Fournet for 9 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
100.0%
Joe Pesansky run for 9 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Joe Pesansky pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+15
100.0%
Devonte Lyons run for 15 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:44
Devonte Ross 42 Yd pass from Drew Allar, Two Point Conversion Failed. Penalty PSU Holding. (Ryan Barker Kick)
+2
FG · Q3 9:56
Ryan Barker 34 yd FG GOOD
+1.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Noah Grant kickoff for 59 yds , King Mack return for 18 yds to the PSU 24
-0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com