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NEV

Nevada 11 at Penn State 46

PSU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.1PSU 98.7%Ryan Barker 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q1 1:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:41 · Ryan Barker 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+45.8Home team on offense+3.5Score differential+0.5Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:02: Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:52: Joe McFadden 28 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:22: Ryan Barker 28 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:23: Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 31 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 9:23: Ryan Barker 32 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 1:41PSU 4th & 10 at NEV 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:20NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:52NEV 4th & 10 at PSU 11, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:22PSU 4th & 3 at NEV 11, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:38NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:38PSU 4th & 2 at NEV 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:23PSU 4th & 5 at NEV 15, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:47NEV 4th & 20 at NEV 15, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:21PSU 4th & 9 at NEV 22, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:47NEV 4th & 6 at PSU 6, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47PSU 4th & 2 at NEV 12, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:35NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 28, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:54PSU 4th & 2 at NEV 48, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:50NEV 4th & 6 at PSU 33, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NEV made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 3:05PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:02PSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:23PSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:15PSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:37PSU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:25NEV Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 44 yds · 5:141% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Herschel Turner run for 2 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 6 yds to the NEV 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.4%
Herschel Turner run for 3 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.4%
Herschel Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+5
99.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 5 yds to the NEV 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
99.4%
Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.4%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jett Carpenter for 12 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
99.1%
Ky Woods run for 10 yds to the PSU 31 Ky Woods fumbled, recovered by PSU A.J. HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:4199% → 99%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 35Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+13
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 13 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
99.2%
Trebor Pena run for 13 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 6 yds to the NEV 33Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
99.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the NEV 30Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
99.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 5 yds to the NEV 20Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
99.2%
Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the NEV 16Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
99.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the NEV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.2%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the NEV 6Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+5
99.2%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the NEV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
98.8%
Chubba Purdy pass intercepted Zane Durant return for 14 yds to the NEV 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1699% → 99%
Q1 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 2 yds to the NEV 4Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the NEV 1Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-9
98.8%
Drew Allar run for a loss of 9 yards to the NEV 10 Drew Allar fumbled, recovered by PSU Drew AllarSimilar
Q1 1:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
98.7%
Ryan Barker 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:211% → 1%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
98.7%
Chubba Purdy run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 25Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
PENALTY PSU Offside (Dennis-Sutton,Dani) 5 yards from NEV25 to NEV30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Nevada Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Bailey Ettridge punt for 42 yds , Trebor Pena returns for no gain to the PSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:1899% → 99%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
98.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 14 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 44Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-2
98.6%
Drew Allar sacked by Nelson Ropati for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 42Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.5%
PENALTY NEV Offside (Witte,Thomas) 5 yards from PSU42 to PSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+5
98.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
98.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the NEV 42Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+18
98.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 18 yds to the NEV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
98.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 12 yds to the NEV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 5:051% → 2%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
98.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 18 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+28
98.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jordan Brown for 28 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
98.7%
Caleb Ramseur run for 7 yds to the PSU 17Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
98.7%
Chubba Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+6
98.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 6 yds to the PSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
98.7%
Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the PSU 9Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-1
98.7%
Caleb Ramseur run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 10Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-1
98.8%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Dominic DeLuca for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 11Similar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
98.2%
Joe McFadden 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1898% → 99%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
98.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 21Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 13
OPP 21
-1
98.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 22Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+11
98.3%
Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the NEV 11Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
98.7%
Ryan Barker 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:382% → 2%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
98.4%
Herschel Turner run for 2 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-5
98.3%
Herschel Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEV 24Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+4
98.3%
Herschel Turner run for 4 yds to the NEV 28Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Bailey Ettridge punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:1599% → 99%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
98.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 11 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 7 yds to the NEV 46Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+3
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 3 yds to the NEV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+8
98.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 8 yds to the NEV 35Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+4
98.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Devonte Ross for 4 yds to the NEV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 31 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:231% → 1%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.0%
Herschel Turner run for a loss of 9 yards to the NEV 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 5:3299% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the PSU 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+18
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 18 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 13 yds to the NEV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Allar,Drew sacked for loss of 1 yard to the NEV36 (Ropati,Nelson) PENALTY PSU Holding (Shelton,Drew) 10 yards from NEV35 to NEV45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+11
99.2%
Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the NEV 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+14
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 14 yds to the NEV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the NEV 18Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for no gain to the NEV 18Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+3
99.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 3 yds to the NEV 15Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
99.8%
Ryan Barker 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
99.8%
Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the NEV 23Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+4
99.8%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jordan Brown for 4 yds to the NEV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-11
99.9%
Herschel Turner run for a loss of 11 yards to the NEV 16 Herschel Turner fumbled, recovered by PSU Zakee WheatleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
99.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Trebor Pena for 15 yds to the NEV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.9%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Dejuan Lane for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 18Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the NEV 22Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-7
99.9%
Chubba Purdy sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 15Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+10
99.9%
Bailey Ettridge punt for 40 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 10 yds to the NEV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
99.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 22 yds to the NEV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the NEV 21Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas SingletonSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-1
99.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 22Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Ryan Barker 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:340% → 0%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 22 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the NEV 48Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+32
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 32 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Nate Burleson IISimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Marcus BellonSimilar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+10
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 10 yds to the PSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the PSU 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Nate Burleson IISimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Nevada Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Nathaneal Floyd) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
15 plays · 94 yds · 7:10100% → 100%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.9%
Cam Wallace run for 5 yds to the PSU 11Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+12
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Cam Wallace for 12 yds to the PSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass incomplete to Liam CliffordSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Corey Smith run for 3 yds to the PSU 26Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+16
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Andrew Rappleyea for 26 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Illegal Block (Liam Clifford) to the PSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 24 yds to the NEV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Cam Wallace run for 5 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
99.9%
Cam Wallace run for 9 yds to the NEV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer run for 1 yd to the NEV 19Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-4
99.9%
Corey Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 23Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Tyseer Denmark for 11 yds to the NEV 12Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
Corey Smith run for 5 yds to the NEV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer run for 1 yd to the NEV 6Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass incomplete to Liam CliffordSimilar
Q4 7:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Ethan Grunkemeyer run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Parker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Ashton Hayes run for 4 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Daijon Calimon for 4 yds to the NEV 31Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the NEV 32Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-4
100.0%
PENALTY NEV False Start 4 yards from NEV32 to NEV28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Bailey Ettridge punt for 40 yds , Tyseer Denmark returns for no gain to the PSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
100.0%
Corey Smith run for 9 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Andrew Rappleyea for 5 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Corey Smith run for no gain to the PSU 44Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Tyseer Denmark for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 4
50
+2
100.0%
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Andrew Rappleyea for 2 yds to the NEV 48Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 48
-2
100.0%
Cam Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
50
+1
100.0%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Ashton Hayes for 1 yd to the PSU 49Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+12
100.0%
AJ Bianco run for 12 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
Ashton Hayes run for 2 yds to the PSU 35Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
100.0%
AJ Bianco pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+14
100.0%
AJ Bianco pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 14 yds to the PSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
100.0%
AJ Bianco pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+15
100.0%
Shotgun Bianco,AJ pass incomplete short right to Brown,Jordan thrown to PSU03 PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (Dinkins,Kolin) 15 yards from PSU19 to PSU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
100.0%
PENALTY NEV False Start (Scott,Trenton) 5 yards from PSU04 to PSU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Marcus Bellon 9 Yd pass from AJ Bianco (AJ Bianco Pass to Jett Carpenter for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
100.0%
PENALTY PSU Delay Of Game (Grunkemeyer,Ethan) 5 yards from PSU32 to PSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Cam Wallace run for 2 yds to the PSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:02
Kaytron Allen run for 12 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+0.7
FG · Q2 4:52
Joe McFadden 28 yd FG GOOD
-0.6
TD · Q2 0:23
Drew Allar pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 31 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com