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CSU

Colorado State 21 at Washington 38

WASH
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · D. Williams Jr. takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:10: Jalen Dupree run for 15 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — CSU win probability +11.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:17: Kade Eldridge run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +6.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:01: Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 27 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — CSU win probability +13.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:01: Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds for a TD Colorado State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dylan Phelps) declined (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +11.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:57: Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:30CSU 4th & 9 at CSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:19WASH 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:38CSU 4th & 2 at WASH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:09WASH 4th & 19 at CSU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:03CSU 4th & 8 at WASH 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:00WASH 4th & 21 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:29CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:11WASH 4th & 6 at CSU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−7.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:22CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 39, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:35CSU 4th & 7 at WASH 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:48CSU 4th & 12 at CSU 34, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:18CSU 4th & 18 at CSU 41, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:08WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:47CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:43WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:17WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:01CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:01WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:57WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:137% → 8%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
92.6%
Jalen Dupree run for 9 yds to the CSU 37Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+3
92.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jalen Dupree for 3 yds to the CSU 34Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
92.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jordan RossSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 4
OWN 34
-5
92.3%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Rodriguez,Drew) 5 yards from CSU34 to CSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+8
92.3%
Bryan Hansen punt for 43 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 8 yds to the WASH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2292% → 92%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
92.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
92.2%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
92.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 1
50
+22
92.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 22 yds to the CSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
92.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 2 yds to the CSU 26Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
92.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 26 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:598% → 10%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.0%
Jalen Dupree run for 6 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
91.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tahj Bullock for 16 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
91.7%
Jalen Dupree run for 19 yds to the WASH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.6%
Tahj Bullock pass incomplete to Tahj BullockSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
91.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the WASH 29Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+3
91.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jalen Dupree for 3 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+2
91.4%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the WASH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
91.0%
Jalen Dupree run for 20 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (Alex McLaughlin) to the WASH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.9%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 28 yds · 5:2290% → 88%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
90.4%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 7 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
90.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the CSU 48Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
90.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 8 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.2%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the CSU 40Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
90.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 9 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
89.8%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the CSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
89.8%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the CSU 22Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
89.7%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the CSU 22Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 22
-5
89.4%
PENALTY WASH False Start (Azzopardi,Drew) 5 yards from CSU22 to CSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-9
89.2%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the CSU 36Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 19
OPP 36
0
88.2%
Luke Dunne punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4612% → 12%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
88.1%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the CSU 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
87.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the CSU 28Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-2
87.6%
Jalen Dupree run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 26Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+7
87.8%
Bryan Hansen punt for 55 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 7 yds to the WASH 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:2488% → 90%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
87.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 16 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
87.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 6 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+23
87.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 23 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
88.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
87.7%
Demond Williams Jr. run for no gain to the CSU 40Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+39
87.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 39 yds to the CSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.6%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Mohammed,Adam rush middle for 0 yards to the CSU01 (Long,Owen) PENALTY CSU Illegal Substitution. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1012% → 11%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for no gain to the WASH 47Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
88.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tay LanierSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+2
88.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 2 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
88.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:0389% → 88%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
88.7%
PENALTY WASH False Start (Hatchett,Geirean). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
88.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the WASH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
88.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 3 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+28
88.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 28 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST down Colorado State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dylan Phelps) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
89.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 3 yds to the WASH 46Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
89.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
89.7%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 42Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
89.2%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Rashid WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 13
OPP 42
-8
88.7%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Robert Edmonson for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 21
50
0
87.9%
Luke Dunne punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tommy Maher at the CSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2412% → 11%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
88.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Petey TuckerSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
88.4%
Lloyd Avant run for 1 yd to the CSU 9Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+1
88.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 1 yd to the CSU 10Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
88.6%
Bryan Hansen punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:4689% → 89%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Rashid WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
88.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 13 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
89.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 12 yds to the CSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
89.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for no gain to the CSU 34Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
88.3%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-3
89.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 34 Demond Williams Jr. fumbled, recovered by CSU JaQues EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 1:2413% → 26%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
86.8%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Fowler-Nicolosi,Brayden pass complete short right to Maher,Tommy caught at CSU41, for 7 yards to the CSU41, out of bounds at CSU41 PENALTY CSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from CSU34 to CSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+7
87.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 7 yds to the CSU 36Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
86.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 2 yds to the CSU 38Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+10
86.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tay Lanier for 10 yds to the CSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+16
86.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Lavon Brown for 16 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
86.3%
Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+15
85.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 15 yds to the WASH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
85.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 3 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
74.4%
Jalen Dupree run for 15 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
81.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the WASH 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:2482% → 89%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
82.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 1
50
0
82.6%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 1
50
+2
81.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the CSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
82.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 14 yds to the CSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+27
82.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 27 yds to the CSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
81.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the CSU 1Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.5%
Kade Eldridge run for 1 yd for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0714% → 30%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
85.8%
Jalen Dupree run for 4 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
84.8%
Jalen Dupree run for no gain to the CSU 39Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
85.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 6 yds to the CSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-9
84.6%
Jordan Ross run for a loss of 9 yards to the CSU 36Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 19
OWN 36
0
85.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jaxxon WarrenSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+25
86.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 25 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
83.4%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Fowler-Nicolosi,Brayden pass incomplete short left to Maher,Tommy thrown to WASH26, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Bryant,Leroy) 12 yards from WASH39 to WASH27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
69.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 27 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:4177% → 89%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
76.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-5
76.6%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Lemondre Joe for a loss of 5 yards to the WASH 29Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+33
74.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 33 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
78.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 12 yds to the CSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
78.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the CSU 24Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
78.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 4 yds to the CSU 20Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+4
76.8%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the CSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
77.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the CSU 12Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
88.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds for a TD Colorado State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dylan Phelps) declined (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1117% → 17%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
83.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 6 yds to the CSU 49Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
82.0%
Lloyd Avant run for no gain to the CSU 49Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
83.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:2389% → 90%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 42Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+20
89.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 20 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
90.7%
Jordan Washington run for 9 yds to the CSU 29Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+4
90.9%
Jordan Washington run for 4 yds to the CSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Decker DeGraafSimilar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
90.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 9 yds to the CSU 16Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+11
90.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the CSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
91.1%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 6Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Jonah ColemanSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incomplete to Denzel BostonSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
90.2%
Grady Gross 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 25 yds · 2:0311% → 10%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
89.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 4 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+8
89.0%
Lloyd Avant run for 8 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
88.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jaxxon WarrenSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
88.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jaxxon WarrenSimilar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
89.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jaxxon WarrenSimilar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+24
91.5%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Petey Tucker for 24 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
88.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tommy MaherSimilar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
89.0%
Lloyd Avant run for 3 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
89.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Petey TuckerSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 7
OPP 34
-14
90.2%
Tahj Bullock sacked by Rahshawn Clark for a loss of 14 yards to the WASH 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:3693% → 98%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
92.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the CSU 49Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
93.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 6 yds to the CSU 43Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+7
93.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
93.3%
(07:46) PENALTY WASH False Start (DeGraaf,Decker) 5 yards from CSU36 to CSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+38
93.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 38 yds to the CSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 16 yds · 3:093% → 2%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.2%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the CSU 30Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Lavon Brown for 6 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
97.6%
Jalen Dupree run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 34Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
97.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Lavon BrownSimilar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jaxxon WarrenSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+15
98.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 15 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jordan McIntyreSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
97.7%
(04:41) PENALTY CSU False Start (Wortmann,Liam) 5 yards from CSU49 to CSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+4
98.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 4 yds to the CSU 48Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 11
OWN 48
-7
97.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Devin Hyde for a loss of 7 yards to the CSU 41Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
98.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tay LanierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:2699% → 99%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 5 yds to the CSU 36Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
98.8%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
98.8%
Jordan Washington run for 1 yd to the CSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
98.9%
Raiden Vines-Bright run for 1 yd to the CSU 30Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+1
98.9%
Jordan Washington run for 1 yd to the CSU 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-4
98.8%
D. Williams Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:01
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jaxxon Warren for 27 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q2 0:10
Jalen Dupree run for 15 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q3 3:01
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds for a TD Colorado State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dylan Phelps) declined (Grady Gross KICK)
+11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com